Elections · resolves 3 Nov 2026
Will Democrats hold most governorships after 2026?
67%chance, our model
an editorial flag: atrocities, subversion of the constitutional order, or a criminal conviction.
population: Official estimate (1 Jul 2025) · indicators as of 5 Sep 2026 · 596 metros tracked
United States metro footprint, shaded by composite tier.
Select a metro for its rank and a link to its page. Boundaries derived from Overture Maps administrative divisions; metros without source coverage are omitted.
51 entries listed under United States across 2 types. Select any to see its metros and footprint.
5 entries listed under United States. Select any to see its own metros.
Facts via Wikidata.
English first; one language carries the country; 1 official.
| Language | Share | Status | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| English | 96% | De facto | CLDR, country |
| Spanish | 9.6% | Regional | CLDR, country |
| Mandarin Chinese | 0.7% | None | CLDR, country |
| French | 0.6% | None | CLDR, country |
| Tagalog | 0.6% | None | Census, home language |
| German | 0.5% | None | CLDR, country |
Shares count first and second language, so they overlap and can add past 100%.
Status · 1 Nov 2026
The Manosphere Turns on MAGAStatus reports that Rogan, Schulz, Dillon and Theo Von, who helped Trump reach young men in 2024, are now openly attacking him ahead of the midterms.
Status · 1 Nov 2026
Fox's Trump FatigueStatus reports Fox News's audience has declined sharply heading into the midterms, a warning sign for a president tied to the network.
The Washington Post · 1 Nov 2026
4 ways the polls could be wrong — or right — about who will win the SenateDemocrats are favored to win Congress, but unusually uncertain polling leaves room for outcomes ranging from a rout to losing the Senate.
The Washington Post · 1 Nov 2026
Can frat guys save Republicans? They don't particularly want to.A conservative PAC's effort to turn out fraternity brothers shows how hard it is to replace the cultural pull that moved young men in 2024.
The Washington Post · 1 Nov 2026
Trump's economic message on eve of midterms: It's better than you thinkThe White House's closing pitch is that the economy is better than voters think, even as premiums, power bills and prices rise.
The Washington Post · 1 Nov 2026
Candidates rally in key swing states amid a rapidly changing electoral mapFurther reading from the day's section on The Coalition Cracks: Podcasters, Pollsters and Frat Houses.
Ranks are among sovereign countries with data; ★ marks a top-5% finish. Sources: World Bank Open Data and Our World in Data (UNDP, UN WPP, V-Dem, Global Carbon Budget, Ember, Energy Institute; CC BY 4.0). Each card credits its originating body. Renewable share is of electricity generation, not of primary energy. Each figure is the most recent year available.
Our forecasts, frozen before the result and scored after it.
Elections · resolves 3 Nov 2026
67%chance, our model
Elections · resolves 3 Nov 2026
88%chance, our model
Polymarket prices it at 95% (the tick). A reference line, not advice.
Elections · resolves 3 Nov 2026
65%chance, our model
Polymarket prices it at 72% (the tick). A reference line, not advice.
Elections · resolves 7 Nov 2028
61%chance, our model
8 more on the forecast page.
is an editorial flag: associated with atrocities against civilians, systemic subversion of the constitutional order, or a criminal conviction (political persecutions and annulled convictions excluded). It is a curated list, not a measurement, so a name without one has not been cleared of anything. Hover a badge for the reason on file.
Political leadership
President, Supreme Court, Cabinet, governors & Congress →
Who holds power today, with a time machine back through history.
Elections
Every presidential election since 1788 →
Sixty contests: electoral college, state results, turnout, Congress and the midterm penalty.
Constitution
Written 1789 →
16 amendment events since, the last in 1992. Compare it with every other country.
Spectrum →
Executive 8.2 (expert)
Legislature 6.0 mean, 2.2 spread · presidential
The power line is the headline share of world power, running from the state’s first ranked year (benchmark estimates with wide error bars before 1816). Latent power is material mass a state could mobilise (population, manpower, heavy industry). Recognised power is what the system actually treats it as (military spending, productive economy, reach, and status such as a Security Council seat or nuclear arsenal). When latent runs above recognised, a power is rising or under-rated; when recognised runs higher, it is punching above its weight or coasting on prestige. Material sub-indices run 1816 through 2016.
Bold = principal belligerent. Source: Wikipedia, “List of interstate wars since 1945.” Figures marked “COW battle deaths” are Correlates of War battle-death counts, which run lower than total deaths.
Our World in Data population (CC BY): UN WPP 2024 from 1950, Gapminder v7 1800-1949, HYDE 3.3 earlier; today's borders. Figures above are as of 2023, the last year that is estimated rather than forecast. The dashed tail to 2026 is a UN WPP medium-variant projection. It is drawn because the line should reach the present, and drawn differently because it has not happened yet: no rank, peak or share on this page uses it. Before 1950 the series is reconstruction rather than contemporaneous statistics, which is worth knowing when a country’s peak sits back there. The current population shown elsewhere on this page comes from the workbook and is unchanged by this. Note that people and share of world can move in opposite directions. A country can grow steadily and still become a smaller part of humanity, which is what happened to almost every rich country after 1960.
The UN’s probabilistic projection for United States: the median with its 80% and 95% bands, the UN’s own high, low and zero-migration scenarios beside it. Not this site’s model; the site reads it and says what it implies.
Births, deaths and net migration on the UN medium path, with fertility, life expectancy and median age, every decade from 1950.
Source: United Nations, DESA, Population Division. World Population Prospects 2024. Licensed under CC BY 3.0 IGO. Estimates to 2023; projections 2024 to 2100, medium variant and probabilistic intervals. The UN revises every two years; this is the WPP 2024 revision.
is an editorial flag: associated with atrocities against civilians, systemic subversion of the constitutional order, or a criminal conviction (political persecutions and annulled convictions excluded). It is a curated list, not a measurement, so a name without one has not been cleared of anything. Hover a badge for the reason on file.
Source: Forbes real-time billionaires (via the rtb-api project). Net worth as of the latest monthly snapshot.
United States on the international stage. Select a card for the full record.
Every major championship won by United States's national teams, newest first. 77 in total.
Domestic league portals that operate in United States: 9 leagues.