Every franchise, every season back to 1920, and one rating that runs the whole way through, so a 1925 team and a 2026 team are measured the same way.
Every team's rating week by week as it happens, with next week's games priced before they are played. Top rated right now: Seattle Seahawks.
Our odds for the 2026 title, with the market's beside them.
2026 · In season · decided by 7 Feb 2027
Everyone else34%
Season simulationFull modelMkt: PolymarketEvery title race
What the table says, and what the model says. The gap between them is the story.
Seahawks–16702
Billsup 1416693
Broncosup 1016374
49ers–16265
Vikingsdown 1616206
Jaguarsup 1216187
Patriotsup 1016088
Ramsup 101591
Lionsup 16158410
Bears–157911
Steelersup 17157412
Bengalsup 5157413
Chiefsdown 10155514
Packersup 13153715
Texans–151616
Ravensdown 141504Full detail, week by week, on the 2026 season page · every season since 1920 in the season archive.
Live from ESPN, refreshed hourly. As of Nov 2, 2026. Playoff and Super Bowl LXI odds are our own simulation of the remaining schedule (20,000 runs, 2026-10-30), blended with the market.
Opponent-adjusted expected points added per play, 17-game window, from nflverse.
Opponent-adjusted net EPA per play, 2026 season through week 7, rolling 17-game window with recency decay. Points/game converts the rating using a documented placeholder (see methodology). Luck is the season's actual point margin minus what the rating implies; blank where not yet scoreable. Source: nflverse-data (CC-BY 4.0).
Every active franchise, pinned in the metro that hosts it.
Every franchise, active and defunct, by championships won.
Ranked by Game Score, which nobody voted on.
Ranked by the site's Game Score (ELO) metric, which combines hype, quality, stakes, and matchup rank. Switch the filter for the top 10 of any decade.Methodology.
Enough to disbelieve this page on purpose rather than by accident.
VerifiedRating updates are zero-sum and win odds add up under property tests; every priced game is scored against the market in the Ledger. About the tiers
Franchise records, championships, stadiums and awards come from this site’s own NFL workbook, curated by hand over many years. Ratings are Neil Paine’s NFL Elo carried in the same workbook: 48,636 team-weeks from 1920 to 2026, one rating and one league rank on every week.
Current standings are live from ESPN’s public feed and refresh hourly; everything else refreshes when the workbook does, last on 2026-09-06. Full method on the methodology page.
