Elections

Every general election in the atlas, live forecasts for the next ones, and a public record of how those forecasts did.

AS OF 2026-09-16 · 67 HUBS · 2,497 CONTESTS · WIKIPEDIA, NATIONAL ELECTORAL AUTHORITIES

Also in geographyWorld Leaders Countries Conflicts Constitutions

Forecasts

Seat ranges from thousands of simulations, updated weekly: ranges first, probabilities second.

How this is measured

Every average is a recency-weighted mean of each pollster's latest poll within a 45-day window, 14-day half-life. Labelled as speculation, not a claim about the outcome. Updated 2026-09-16.

United States & United Kingdom · always on

Open the full forecast →

Whatever the next US and UK elections are, they live here permanently.

United States · 2026 midterms · 3 November

Dem House230 (208–251) House 81.9%

Rep House205 (184–227) House 18.1%

Dem Senate50 (47–54) control 46.6%

Rep Senate50 (46–53) control 53.4%

House: generic ballot margin through the 2012–2024 seats-votes relationship.

United Kingdom · next general election · hung parliament 53.7%

Labour203 (16–454) largest 42.7%

Reform UK149 (2–395) largest 35.4%

Conservative93 (0–341) largest 21.8%

Liberal Democrat67 (0–106) largest 0.1%

SNP20 (0–56)

Green9 (0–79) largest 0.1%

Proportional swing from the 2024 result in all 632 GB constituencies.

Tracking now · elections on the near horizon

Full forecasts →

A race is tracked when its date is confirmed within twelve months and it has a poll series we parse. Next to rotate in: Nigeria (16 January 2027) as a scenario board, Germany's Federal Convention (30 January 2027).

Brazil

Presidential · 4 Oct 2026

Lula39.1%

F. Bolsonaro34.0%

Runoff: Lula 62%

Israel

Knesset · 2026

Haredi Public36 seats

Seat-poll average

General · late 2026

Right bloc 84.2% · left 8.1% · neither 7.7%

France

Presidential · spring 2027

Marine Le Pen33.2%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon15.8%

Scenario polling · no declared field yet

Next to vote

The twelve soonest contests in the atlas, badged by how firm their date is.

How this is measured

16 of the 64 hubs have an officially set date (badged Set). The rest show the term running its course (Term running) or have no scheduled vote at all (No date), which is what is actually known, never a guessed day. A Set date that has passed with no result filed shows "result due" until it is.

World map

64 election hubs, 2,497 contests. Click any marker to open its hub.

Loading map…

competitive democracies managed systems

Every hub, in power order

67 polities, US/UK/EU first then ranked by the site's country power ranking: when each last voted, when it votes next, and who governs.

How this is measured

Managed systems carry an amber badge beside their name; Contests is this atlas's own count, not any official total.

Every hub, in power order67 hubs

Region

Sort


United States	20.9%	The Americas	Presidential	presidential, 5 November 2024	midterm elections, 3 November 2026Set	⚠️ Donald TrumpPresident	60
United Kingdom	4.5%	Europe	Parliamentary	general election, 4 July 2024	general election, expected 2029Term running	Andy BurnhamPrime Minister	58
European Union	—	Europe	Supranational parliament	European Parliament, June 2024	European Parliament, June 2029Term running	Ursula von der LeyenCommission President	10
ChinaNo competitive elections	11.8%	Asia & Oceania	One-party state	14th NPC convened, March 2023	15th NPC convenes, March 2028Term running	Xi JinpingPresident	15
Germany	3.8%	Europe	Parliamentary	federal election, 23 February 2025	presidential election by the Federal Convention, 30 January 2027; federal election expected 2029Set	Friedrich MerzChancellor	66
France	3.4%	Europe	Semi-presidential	legislative, June–July 2024	presidential, April 2027Term running	Emmanuel MacronPresident	77
Italy	3.0%	Europe	Parliamentary	general election, 25 September 2022	general election, expected 2027Term running	Giorgia MeloniPrime Minister	42
Japan	3.0%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, 8 February 2026	general election, due by 2030Term running	Sanae TakaichiPrime Minister	51
India	2.6%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, April–June 2024	general election, expected 2029Term running	Narendra ModiPrime Minister	25
Spain	2.6%	Europe	Parliamentary	general election, 23 July 2023	general election, expected 2027Term running	Pedro SánchezPrime Minister	48
Canada	2.4%	The Americas	Parliamentary	federal election, 28 April 2025	federal election, expected 2029Term running	Mark CarneyPrime Minister	45
Brazil	2.3%	The Americas	Presidential	general election, October 2022	general election, 4 October 2026Set	Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaPresident	46
Australia	2.1%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	federal election, 3 May 2025	federal election, expected 2028Term running	Anthony AlbanesePrime Minister	48
RussiaManaged elections	1.6%	Europe	Semi-presidential	presidential, March 2024 (managed)	Duma election, 20 September 2026Set	⚠️ Vladimir PutinPresident	42
Mexico	1.6%	The Americas	Presidential	general election, 2 June 2024	midterm elections, June 2027Set	Claudia SheinbaumPresident	52
South Korea	1.6%	Asia & Oceania	Presidential	presidential, 3 June 2025	Assembly election, April 2028Set	Lee Jae MyungPresident	45
Netherlands	1.3%	Europe	Parliamentary	general election, 29 October 2025	general election, expected 2029Term running	Rob JettenPrime Minister	42
Turkey	1.2%	Middle East & Africa	Presidential	presidential & parliamentary, May 2023	presidential & parliamentary, expected 2028Term running	⚠️ Recep Tayyip ErdoğanPresident	56
Switzerland	1.2%	Europe	Collegial executive	federal election, 22 October 2023	federal election, October 2027Set	Swiss Federal CouncilPresident	52
Indonesia	1.0%	Asia & Oceania	Presidential	general election, 14 February 2024	general election, February 2029Term running	Prabowo SubiantoPresident	26
Poland	1.0%	Europe	Semi-presidential	presidential runoff, 1 June 2025	parliamentary, autumn 2027Term running	Donald TuskPrime Minister	51
Belgium	0.9%	Europe	Parliamentary	federal election, 9 June 2024	federal election, expected 2029Term running	Bart De WeverPrime Minister	76
South Africa	0.9%	Middle East & Africa	Parliamentary	general election, 29 May 2024	general election, expected 2029Term running	Cyril RamaphosaPresident	27
United Arab EmiratesAppointed electorate	0.8%	Middle East & Africa	Federal monarchy	Federal National Council, 7 October 2023	Federal National Council, expected 2027Term running	Mohammed bin Rashid Al MaktoumPrime Minister	5
Malaysia	0.8%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, 19 November 2022	general election, due by early 2028Term running	Anwar IbrahimPrime Minister	16
Austria	0.8%	Europe	Parliamentary	legislative, 29 September 2024	legislative, expected 2029Term running	Christian StockerChancellor	46
Argentina	0.7%	The Americas	Presidential	general election, October–November 2023	general election, October 2027Set	⚠️ Javier MileiPresident	34
Portugal	0.7%	Europe	Semi-presidential	legislative, 18 May 2025	legislative, expected 2029Term running	Luís MontenegroPrime Minister	61
Sweden	0.7%	Europe	Parliamentary	general election, 11 September 2022	general election, 13 September 2026Set	Ulf KristerssonPrime Minister	51
Taiwan	0.7%	Asia & Oceania	Semi-presidential	presidential & legislative, 13 January 2024	presidential & legislative, January 2028Term running	Lai Ching-tePresident	21
Thailand	0.7%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, 8 February 2026	general election, expected 2030Term running	Phumtham WechayachaiPrime Minister	28
Colombia	0.7%	The Americas	Presidential	presidential runoff, 21 June 2026	congressional and presidential, expected 2030Term running	Abelardo de la EspriellaPresident	85
EgyptManaged elections	0.7%	Middle East & Africa	Presidential	presidential, 10-12 December 2023	presidential, expected 2030Term running	⚠️ Abdel Fattah el-SisiPresident	32
Philippines	0.6%	Asia & Oceania	Presidential	presidential, 9 May 2022	presidential, May 2028Term running	Bongbong MarcosPresident	18
Greece	0.6%	Europe	Parliamentary	parliamentary, 25 June 2023	parliamentary, expected 2027Term running	Kyriakos MitsotakisPrime Minister	61
Denmark	0.5%	Europe	Parliamentary	general election, 24 March 2026	general election, due by 2030Term running	Mette FrederiksenPrime Minister	72
Singapore	0.5%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, 3 May 2025	general election, due by 2030Term running	Lawrence WongPrime Minister	19
VietnamOne-party elections	0.5%	Asia & Oceania	One-party state	National Assembly, 15 March 2026	National Assembly, expected 2031Term running	Tô LâmPresident	16
Israel	0.5%	Middle East & Africa	Parliamentary	Knesset election, 1 November 2022	Knesset election, 27 October 2026Set	⚠️ Benjamin NetanyahuPrime Minister	30
Pakistan	0.5%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, 8 February 2024	general election, expected 2029Term running	Asif Ali ZardariPresident	14
Norway	0.5%	Europe	Parliamentary	parliamentary, 8 September 2025	parliamentary, September 2029Term running	Jonas Gahr StørePrime Minister	63
IranVetted candidates	0.5%	Middle East & Africa	Islamic republic, vetted candidates	presidential snap election, 5 July 2024	Majlis election, expected 2028Term running	⚠️ Mojtaba KhameneiSupreme Leader	51
New Zealand	0.4%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, 14 October 2023	general election, 7 November 2026Set	Christopher LuxonPrime Minister	54
Czech Republic	0.4%	Europe	Parliamentary	parliamentary, 3 and 4 October 2025	presidential, expected January 2028Term running	Andrej BabišPrime Minister	46
Chile	0.4%	The Americas	Presidential	presidential runoff, 14 December 2025	general election, expected 2029Term running	José Antonio KastPresident	72
Ireland	0.4%	Europe	Parliamentary	general election, 29 November 2024	general election, due by 2030Term running	Catherine ConnollyPresident	45
Finland	0.3%	Europe	Parliamentary	presidential, 28 January and 11 February 2024	parliamentary election, 18 April 2027Set	Petteri OrpoPrime Minister	40
Nigeria	0.3%	Middle East & Africa	Presidential	general election, 25 February 2023	presidential & National Assembly, 16 January 2027Set	Bola Ahmed TinubuPresident	30
Bangladesh	0.3%	Asia & Oceania	Parliamentary	general election, 12 February 2026	general election, expected 2031Term running	Mohammad ShahabuddinPresident	13
Ukraine	0.3%	Europe	Semi-presidential	presidential & Rada, spring–summer 2019	suspended under martial law, after the warNo date	Volodymyr ZelenskyyPresident	15
Hungary	0.3%	Europe	Parliamentary	parliamentary, 12 April 2026	parliamentary, expected 2030Term running	Péter MagyarPrime Minister	50
Peru	0.3%	The Americas	Presidential	general election, 12 April and 7 June 2026	general election, expected April 2031Term running	Keiko FujimoriPresident	55
Morocco	0.3%	Middle East & Africa	Parliamentary	legislative, 8 September 2021	general election, 23 September 2026Set	Aziz AkhannouchPrime Minister	11
Romania	0.2%	Europe	Semi-presidential	presidential, 4 and 18 May 2025	parliamentary, expected December 2028Term running	Nicușor DanPresident	48
Kenya	0.2%	Middle East & Africa	Presidential	general election, 9 August 2022	general election, 10 August 2027Set	William RutoPresident	33
Venezuela	0.2%	The Americas	Presidential	parliamentary, 25 May 2025	presidential, expected 2030Term running	Delcy RodriguezActing President	33
DR Congo	0.2%	Middle East & Africa	Semi-presidential	general election, 20 December 2023	general election, expected December 2028Term running	Félix TshisekediPresident	18
Iraq	0.1%	Middle East & Africa	Parliamentary	parliamentary, 11 November 2025	parliamentary, expected 2029Term running	Muhammad Shia' al-SudaniPrime Minister	24
Ethiopia	0.1%	Middle East & Africa	Parliamentary	general election, 1 June 2026	general election, expected 2031Term running	Abiy AhmedPrime Minister	14
CubaOne-party elections	0.1%	The Americas	One-party state	legislative, 26 March 2023	parliamentary election expected 2028Term running	Miguel Díaz-CanelGeneral Secretary	37
Slovakia	0.1%	Europe	Parliamentary	presidential, 23 March and 6 April 2024	parliamentary, expected by September 2027Term running	Robert FicoPrime Minister	31
Jamaica	0.1%	The Americas	Parliamentary	general election, 3 September 2025	general election expected by 2030Term running	Andrew HolnessPrime Minister	19
Palestine	0.0%	Middle East & Africa	Semi-presidential	legislative, 25 January 2006	PLC election, 28 November 2026Set	Mahmoud AbbasPresident	5
East GermanyDissolved 1990	—	Europe	One-party state to 1990	Volkskammer, 18 March 1990	none: dissolved 3 October 1990Dissolved		11
South VietnamDissolved 1975	—	Asia & Oceania	Presidential	presidential, 2 October 1971	none: dissolved 30 April 1975Dissolved		9
Vatican CityElectoral monarchy	—	Europe	Electoral monarchy	conclave, 7–8 May 2025 (Leo XIV)	on the death or resignation of the popeNo date		—
West Indies FederationDissolved 1962	—	The Americas	Parliamentary	federal election, 25 March 1958	none: dissolved 31 May 1962Dissolved		1

United StatesThe Americas · midterm elections, 3 November 2026 · President ⚠️ Donald TrumpSet20.9%60 contests

United KingdomEurope · general election, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Andy BurnhamTerm running4.5%58 contests

European UnionEurope · European Parliament, June 2029 · Commission President Ursula von der LeyenTerm running—10 contests

ChinaNo competitive electionsAsia & Oceania · 15th NPC convenes, March 2028 · President Xi JinpingTerm running11.8%15 contests

GermanyEurope · presidential election by the Federal Convention, 30 January 2027; federal election expected 2029 · Chancellor Friedrich MerzSet3.8%66 contests

FranceEurope · presidential, April 2027 · President Emmanuel MacronTerm running3.4%77 contests

ItalyEurope · general election, expected 2027 · Prime Minister Giorgia MeloniTerm running3.0%42 contests

JapanAsia & Oceania · general election, due by 2030 · Prime Minister Sanae TakaichiTerm running3.0%51 contests

Show all 67 hubs

IndiaAsia & Oceania · general election, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Narendra ModiTerm running2.6%25 contests

SpainEurope · general election, expected 2027 · Prime Minister Pedro SánchezTerm running2.6%48 contests

CanadaThe Americas · federal election, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Mark CarneyTerm running2.4%45 contests

BrazilThe Americas · general election, 4 October 2026 · President Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaSet2.3%46 contests

AustraliaAsia & Oceania · federal election, expected 2028 · Prime Minister Anthony AlbaneseTerm running2.1%48 contests

RussiaManaged electionsEurope · Duma election, 20 September 2026 · President ⚠️ Vladimir PutinSet1.6%42 contests

MexicoThe Americas · midterm elections, June 2027 · President Claudia SheinbaumSet1.6%52 contests

South KoreaAsia & Oceania · Assembly election, April 2028 · President Lee Jae MyungSet1.6%45 contests

NetherlandsEurope · general election, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Rob JettenTerm running1.3%42 contests

TurkeyMiddle East & Africa · presidential & parliamentary, expected 2028 · President ⚠️ Recep Tayyip ErdoğanTerm running1.2%56 contests

SwitzerlandEurope · federal election, October 2027 · President Swiss Federal CouncilSet1.2%52 contests

IndonesiaAsia & Oceania · general election, February 2029 · President Prabowo SubiantoTerm running1.0%26 contests

PolandEurope · parliamentary, autumn 2027 · Prime Minister Donald TuskTerm running1.0%51 contests

BelgiumEurope · federal election, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Bart De WeverTerm running0.9%76 contests

South AfricaMiddle East & Africa · general election, expected 2029 · President Cyril RamaphosaTerm running0.9%27 contests

United Arab EmiratesAppointed electorateMiddle East & Africa · Federal National Council, expected 2027 · Prime Minister Mohammed bin Rashid Al MaktoumTerm running0.8%5 contests

MalaysiaAsia & Oceania · general election, due by early 2028 · Prime Minister Anwar IbrahimTerm running0.8%16 contests

AustriaEurope · legislative, expected 2029 · Chancellor Christian StockerTerm running0.8%46 contests

ArgentinaThe Americas · general election, October 2027 · President ⚠️ Javier MileiSet0.7%34 contests

PortugalEurope · legislative, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Luís MontenegroTerm running0.7%61 contests

SwedenEurope · general election, 13 September 2026 · Prime Minister Ulf KristerssonSet0.7%51 contests

TaiwanAsia & Oceania · presidential & legislative, January 2028 · President Lai Ching-teTerm running0.7%21 contests

ThailandAsia & Oceania · general election, expected 2030 · Prime Minister Phumtham WechayachaiTerm running0.7%28 contests

ColombiaThe Americas · congressional and presidential, expected 2030 · President Abelardo de la EspriellaTerm running0.7%85 contests

EgyptManaged electionsMiddle East & Africa · presidential, expected 2030 · President ⚠️ Abdel Fattah el-SisiTerm running0.7%32 contests

PhilippinesAsia & Oceania · presidential, May 2028 · President Bongbong MarcosTerm running0.6%18 contests

GreeceEurope · parliamentary, expected 2027 · Prime Minister Kyriakos MitsotakisTerm running0.6%61 contests

DenmarkEurope · general election, due by 2030 · Prime Minister Mette FrederiksenTerm running0.5%72 contests

SingaporeAsia & Oceania · general election, due by 2030 · Prime Minister Lawrence WongTerm running0.5%19 contests

VietnamOne-party electionsAsia & Oceania · National Assembly, expected 2031 · President Tô LâmTerm running0.5%16 contests

IsraelMiddle East & Africa · Knesset election, 27 October 2026 · Prime Minister ⚠️ Benjamin NetanyahuSet0.5%30 contests

PakistanAsia & Oceania · general election, expected 2029 · President Asif Ali ZardariTerm running0.5%14 contests

NorwayEurope · parliamentary, September 2029 · Prime Minister Jonas Gahr StøreTerm running0.5%63 contests

IranVetted candidatesMiddle East & Africa · Majlis election, expected 2028 · Supreme Leader ⚠️ Mojtaba KhameneiTerm running0.5%51 contests

New ZealandAsia & Oceania · general election, 7 November 2026 · Prime Minister Christopher LuxonSet0.4%54 contests

Czech RepublicEurope · presidential, expected January 2028 · Prime Minister Andrej BabišTerm running0.4%46 contests

ChileThe Americas · general election, expected 2029 · President José Antonio KastTerm running0.4%72 contests

IrelandEurope · general election, due by 2030 · President Catherine ConnollyTerm running0.4%45 contests

FinlandEurope · parliamentary election, 18 April 2027 · Prime Minister Petteri OrpoSet0.3%40 contests

NigeriaMiddle East & Africa · presidential & National Assembly, 16 January 2027 · President Bola Ahmed TinubuSet0.3%30 contests

BangladeshAsia & Oceania · general election, expected 2031 · President Mohammad ShahabuddinTerm running0.3%13 contests

UkraineEurope · suspended under martial law, after the war · President Volodymyr ZelenskyyNo date0.3%15 contests

HungaryEurope · parliamentary, expected 2030 · Prime Minister Péter MagyarTerm running0.3%50 contests

PeruThe Americas · general election, expected April 2031 · President Keiko FujimoriTerm running0.3%55 contests

MoroccoMiddle East & Africa · general election, 23 September 2026 · Prime Minister Aziz AkhannouchSet0.3%11 contests

RomaniaEurope · parliamentary, expected December 2028 · President Nicușor DanTerm running0.2%48 contests

KenyaMiddle East & Africa · general election, 10 August 2027 · President William RutoSet0.2%33 contests

VenezuelaThe Americas · presidential, expected 2030 · Acting President Delcy RodriguezTerm running0.2%33 contests

DR CongoMiddle East & Africa · general election, expected December 2028 · President Félix TshisekediTerm running0.2%18 contests

IraqMiddle East & Africa · parliamentary, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Muhammad Shia' al-SudaniTerm running0.1%24 contests

EthiopiaMiddle East & Africa · general election, expected 2031 · Prime Minister Abiy AhmedTerm running0.1%14 contests

CubaOne-party electionsThe Americas · parliamentary election expected 2028 · General Secretary Miguel Díaz-CanelTerm running0.1%37 contests

SlovakiaEurope · parliamentary, expected by September 2027 · Prime Minister Robert FicoTerm running0.1%31 contests

JamaicaThe Americas · general election expected by 2030 · Prime Minister Andrew HolnessTerm running0.1%19 contests

PalestineMiddle East & Africa · PLC election, 28 November 2026 · President Mahmoud AbbasSet0.0%5 contests

East GermanyDissolved 1990Europe · none: dissolved 3 October 1990Dissolved—11 contests

South VietnamDissolved 1975Asia & Oceania · none: dissolved 30 April 1975Dissolved—9 contests

Vatican CityElectoral monarchyEurope · on the death or resignation of the popeNo date—

West Indies FederationDissolved 1962The Americas · none: dissolved 31 May 1962Dissolved—1 contests

Two centuries of ballots

Every one of the 2,497 contests in the atlas, newest first.

How to read it

Rows lead with the US, UK and EU, then group by region. The postwar democratic wave, the cluster of 1989-91, the solid amber-and-red rows of the managed systems, and New Zealand's unbroken teal line back to 1853. Scroll right to travel back in time.

free contest restricted or tilted unfree ritualHover any dot for the election; click to open it.

Forecasts: the road to the next elections in the US, UK, Brazil, Israel, New Zealand and France →Elections under fire: every ballot held in wartime →Landmark referendums: when the people decided directly →Every hub A–Z, searchable →Electoral systems: how closely seats track votes →

The world compared

Turnout across six long-running democracies, and how much of the world voted freely, by decade.

The world compared

Turnout across six democracies, 1900–2026

Compulsory voting explains most of the gap between these six democracies.

How to read it

Compulsory-voting Australia holds above 90% for a century; New Zealand and Germany run high without compulsion; India climbs as the franchise deepens; American presidential turnout lives 20 points below its peers. Hover for exact figures.

Hover the chart for exact values

Six is a chart; all of them is a table. Turnout for every polity that records it, with the highs that are rituals marked as such, is on electoral systems.

How much of the world voted freely

Weighted by the people, not by the elections.

How this is measured

Each polity counts once a decade, at its population in that decade, under the worst label its ballots earned: the colonial restrictions of the early rows, the mid-century rituals under dictatorship, the democratic flood after 1945 and again after 1989.

1850s

116m

1860s

229m

1870s

265m

1880s

285m

1890s

381m

1900s

543m

1910s

692m

1920s

1.11bn

1930s

1.28bn

1940s

1.88bn

1950s

2.22bn

1960s

2.71bn

1970s

3.45bn

1980s

4.18bn

1990s

4.93bn

2000s

5.63bn

2010s

6.29bn

2020s

6.76bn

Free (teal), restricted or tilted (amber), unfree (dark red). The figure on the right is the population of the polities that voted at all that decade, which is why the early rows are small: in the 1850s that was 9% of the people alive, against 82% in the 2020s. Hover any bar for the contest counts behind it. Coverage is the 66 polities tracked here, so this is the covered world, not the whole one.

Where these numbers come from

Every hub is built from Wikipedia's election articles cross-checked against each polity's national electoral authority, with unfree and managed votes labelled as such rather than folded in as if they were competitive contests. Forecasts on this page are this site's own aggregation model, rebuilt weekly; the ledger of how those forecasts have done is on Track record.

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