Elections

Every general election in the atlas, live forecasts for the next ones, and a public record of how those forecasts did.

71 HUBS · 2,668 CONTESTS · WIKIPEDIA, NATIONAL ELECTORAL AUTHORITIES

Data as of

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Forecasts

Seat ranges from thousands of simulations, updated three times a week: ranges first, probabilities second.

How this is measured
Every average is a recency-weighted mean of each pollster's latest poll within a 45-day window, 14-day half-life. Labelled as speculation, not a claim about the outcome. Updated 2026-10-30.

United States & United Kingdom · always on

Open the full forecast →

Whatever the next US and UK elections are, they live here permanently.

United States · 2026 midterms · 3 November

Dem House233 (216–249) House 88.1%
Rep House202 (186–219) House 11.9%
Dem Senate51 (49–54) control 64.7%
Rep Senate49 (46–51) control 35.3%

House: generic ballot margin through the 2012–2024 seats-votes relationship.

United Kingdom · next general election · hung parliament 47.6%

Labour248 (59–453) largest 51.9%
Conservative117 (4–315) largest 23.9%
Reform UK95 (3–325) largest 24.2%
Liberal Democrat57 (3–91)
SNP16 (0–55)
Green6 (1–46) largest 0%

Proportional swing from the 2024 result in all 632 GB constituencies.

Tracking now · elections on the near horizon

Full forecasts →

A race is tracked when its date is confirmed within twelve months and it has a poll series we parse. Next to rotate in: Nigeria (16 January 2027) as a scenario board, Germany's Federal Convention (30 January 2027).

Brazil

Presidential · 4 Oct 2026

Lula44.7%
F. Bolsonaro42.9%

Runoff: F. Bolsonaro 67%

New Zealand

General · late 2026

Labour28.5%
National27.7%

Right bloc 75.8% · left 13% · neither 11.2%

Spain

General · 29 Nov 2026

PP129 seats
PSOE111 seats

PP and Vox majority 97% · 176 of 350 needed

France

Presidential · spring 2027

Marine Le Pen34.0%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16.4%

Scenario polling · no declared field yet

Next to vote

The twelve soonest contests in the atlas, badged by how firm their date is.

How this is measured
15 of the 68 hubs have an officially set date (badged Set). The rest show the term running its course (Term running) or have no scheduled vote at all (No date), which is what is actually known, never a guessed day. A Set date that has passed with no result filed shows "result due" until it is.
United StatesSetMidterm elections · 3 November 20261daysCalendar
New ZealandSetGeneral election · 7 November 20265daysCalendar
PalestineSetPLC election · 28 November 202626daysCalendar
SpainSetSnap general election · 29 November 202627daysCalendar
SerbiaTerm runningpresidential election, by 27 December 202655days
NigeriaSetPresidential & National Assembly · 16 January 202775daysCalendar
GermanySetPresidential election by the Federal Convention · 30 January 202789daysCalendar
FranceTerm runningpresidential, April 2027160days
FinlandSetParliamentary election · 18 April 2027167daysCalendar
MexicoSetMidterm elections · 6 June 2027216daysCalendar
GreeceTerm runningparliamentary, expected 2027244days
KenyaSetGeneral election · 10 August 2027281daysCalendar

Just voted

Results filed in the last six months, newest first, with who finished largest.

How this is measured
The mirror of the countdown above. A contest appears here only once its result has been filed into its hub, so a country can sit in "Next to vote" marked "result due" and be absent from this board on the same day: the vote happened, the numbers are not in the atlas yet. "Majority" means the largest party cleared its own chamber's majority line on its own, which most of these did not. "Caveat" means the result carries a recorded qualification, such as parts of the country not voting; the hub spells it out. Dates are printed as the source records them, so a multi-day or two-round election shows its full span.
IsraelProvisional count as of 30 October 2026CaveatLikud largest · 27/12027 October 202678.0% turnoutSerbiaMajorityProvisional count as of 26 October 2026Student List largest · 140/25025 October 2026Bosnia and HerzegovinaProvisional countCaveatParty of Democratic Action largest · 9/424 October 202640.2% turnoutBosnia and HerzegovinaProvisional countCaveatŽeljka Cvijanović elected4 October 202642.5% turnoutBrazilProvisional count as of 5 October 2026CaveatLiberal Party largest · 121/5134 October 202679.1% turnoutBrazilProvisional count as of 26 October 2026Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva elected4 October 202678.9% turnoutMoroccoCaveatAuthenticity and Modernity Party largest · 97/39523 September 202638.0% turnoutRussiaMajorityManagedCaveatUnited Russia largest · 349/45018–20 September 202659.8% turnoutSwedenSocial Democrats (S) largest · 99/34913 September 202684.9% turnoutPeruPopular Force largest12–13 April 2026 (first round) 7 June 2026 (second round)73.8% turnoutPeruKeiko Fujimori elected12–13 April 2026 (first round) 7 June 2026 (second round)73.8% turnoutEthiopiaMajorityCaveatProsperity Party largest · 438/5471 June 202695.7% turnout

World map

68 election hubs, 2,668 contests. Click any marker to open its hub.

Loading map…

competitive democracies managed systems

Every hub, in power order

71 polities, US/UK/EU first then ranked by the site's country power ranking: when each last voted, when it votes next, and who governs.

How this is measured
Managed systems carry an amber badge beside their name; Contests is this atlas's own count, not any official total.
Every hub, in power order71 hubs
Region
United States
The Americas · midterm elections, 3 November 2026 · President Donald TrumpSet
20.9%
60 contests
United Kingdom
Europe · general election, expected 2029 · Prime Minister Andy BurnhamTerm running
4.5%
58 contests
European Union
Europe · European Parliament, June 2029 · Commission President Ursula von der LeyenTerm running
—
10 contests
ChinaNo competitive elections
Asia & Oceania · 15th NPC convenes, March 2028 · President Xi JinpingTerm running
11.8%
15 contests
Germany
Europe · presidential election by the Federal Convention, 30 January 2027; federal election expected 2029 · Chancellor Friedrich MerzSet
3.8%
66 contests
France
Europe · presidential, April 2027 · President Emmanuel MacronTerm running
3.4%
77 contests
Italy
Europe · general election, expected 2027 · Prime Minister Giorgia MeloniTerm running
3.0%
42 contests
Japan
Asia & Oceania · general election, due by 2030 · Prime Minister Sanae TakaichiTerm running
3.0%
51 contests

Two centuries of ballots

Every one of the 2,668 contests in the atlas, newest first.

How to read it
Rows lead with the US, UK and EU, then group by region. The postwar democratic wave, the cluster of 1989-91, the solid orange-and-purple rows of the managed systems, and New Zealand's unbroken teal line back to 1853. Scroll right to travel back in time.
179018101830185018701890191019301950197019902010United StatesUnited KingdomEuropean UnionEUROPEAustriaBelgiumBosnia and HerzegovinaCroatiaCzech RepublicDenmarkEast GermanyFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyNetherlandsNorwayPolandPortugalRomaniaRussiaSerbiaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenSwitzerlandUkraineASIA & OCEANIAAustraliaBangladeshChinaIndiaIndonesiaJapanMalaysiaNew ZealandPakistanPhilippinesSingaporeSouth KoreaSouth VietnamTaiwanThailandVietnamMIDDLE EAST & AFRICADR CongoEgyptEthiopiaIranIraqIsraelKenyaMoroccoNigeriaPalestineSouth AfricaTurkeyUnited Arab EmiratesTHE AMERICASArgentinaBrazilCanadaChileColombiaCubaJamaicaMexicoPeruVenezuelaWest Indies Federation

free contest restricted or tilted unfree ritualTap or hover any dot for the election; click to open it.

Forecasts: the road to the next elections in the US, UK, Brazil, Israel, New Zealand and France →Elections under fire: every ballot held in wartime →Landmark referendums: when the people decided directly →Every hub A–Z, searchable →Electoral systems: how closely seats track votes →

The world compared

Turnout across six long-running democracies, and how much of the world voted freely, by decade.

The world compared

Turnout across six democracies, 1900–2026

Compulsory voting explains most of the gap between these six democracies.

How to read it
Compulsory-voting Australia holds above 90% for a century; New Zealand and Germany run high without compulsion; India climbs as the franchise deepens; American presidential turnout lives 20 points below its peers. Hover for exact figures.
25%50%75%1900192019401960198020002020
AustraliaNew ZealandUnited KingdomGermanyIndiaUnited States (pres.)

Six is a chart; all of them is a table. Turnout for every polity that records it, with the highs that are rituals marked as such, is on electoral systems.

How much of the world voted freely

Weighted by the people, not by the elections.

How this is measured
Each polity counts once a decade, at its population in that decade, under the worst label its ballots earned: the colonial restrictions of the early rows, the mid-century rituals under dictatorship, the democratic flood after 1945 and again after 1989.

Free (teal), restricted or tilted (orange), unfree (purple), the same colours as the timeline above. The figure on the right is the population of the polities that voted at all that decade, which is why the early rows are small: in the 1850s that was 9% of the people alive, against 82% in the 2020s. Tap or hover a decade for the people and contest counts behind its bar. Coverage is the 70 polities tracked here, so this is the covered world, not the whole one.

About this dataas of 30 Oct 2026

What the numbers mean

Each hub holds the filed result of every contest: seats and votes by party, the government that followed. Forecasts are seat ranges from simulations over a recency-weighted polling average, labelled as speculation.

Sources

How often it refreshes

A result enters its hub once it is filed; forecasts are rebuilt every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. The date shown is the latest forecast build.

Known limits

  • Unfree and managed votes are labelled as such rather than counted as competitive contests.
  • A contest appears in the results only once its result has been filed, so a vote can have happened before it shows here.
  • Coverage is the polities tracked here, not the whole world.

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