2026 across Australian and New Zealand sport
International Rugby Union
Every rugby Test since 1871, with sides ranked by our own Elo rating.
International Fixtures & Results
World RugbyWorld rankings
Our own Elo, built from every Test on file, tier-two and tier-three tournaments included, so emerging nations rank below the established sides rather than not at all. As of 2026-10-26, updated daily; weeks at number one are counted on our weekly table since 1947.
Championship rolls of honour
Northern hemisphere (Home, Five & Six Nations since 1883) and southern hemisphere (Tri Nations & Rugby Championship since 1996), side by side per year. GS Grand Slam, TC Triple Crown.
Rugby World Cup 2027 odds
Each side's chance of reaching each round in Australia, simulated from our Elo over the confirmed draw.
Issued 30 Oct 2026 · locks 1 Oct 2027 · resolves 13 Nov 2027
How these forecasts workv1.0
24 teams, six pools of four; top two and the four best thirds to a round of 16. Pools: A New Zealand, Australia, Chile, Hong Kong; B South Africa, Italy, Georgia, Romania; C Argentina, Fiji, Spain, Canada; D Ireland, Scotland, Uruguay, Portugal; E France, Japan, United States, Samoa; F England, Wales, Tonga, Zimbabwe. Draw made in Sydney on 3 December 2025; format checked on 10 Oct 2026 against Wikipedia: 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup (knockout stage, third-place permutations) and World Rugby: the new men's Rugby World Cup draw format explained.
A match margin is drawn around 0.0504 points per Elo point of difference, give or take 16.76 points, both fitted on 1,390 tests since 2003; Australia gets home advantage in every match. Because the tournament is a year away, every rating is first moved by a random amount the size of a top side's typical Elo change over that time (47 points over 356 days, measured). Pool points count a losing bonus within 7 and stand in for the try bonus with a win by 20 or more.
Scored on every World Cup match since 2003 (285): Brier 0.126 against 0.25 for a coin flip, the higher-rated side winning 230. Whole tournaments, re-run from the same distance out: 2015, New Zealand given 66% (favourite New Zealand, 66%); 2019, South Africa given 4% (favourite New Zealand, 65%); 2023, South Africa given 12% (favourite France, 23%).
Every forecast is frozen when it locks and scored against the result. Resolution rules: The winner of the final at Stadium Australia, Sydney, on 13 November 2027.
Rugby World Cup finals
Every final since the inaugural tournament in 1987.
| Year | Champion | Score | Runner-up | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | South Africa | 12-11 | New Zealand | Stade de France, Saint-Denis |
| 2019 | South Africa | 32-12 | England | Nissan Stadium, Yokohama |
| 2015 | New Zealand | 34-17 | Australia | Twickenham Stadium, London |
| 2011 | New Zealand | 8-7 | France | Eden Park, Auckland |
| 2007 | South Africa | 15-6 | England | Stade de France, Saint-Denis |
| 2003 | England | 20-17 | Australia | Telstra Stadium, Sydney |
| 1999 | Australia | 35-12 | France | Millennium Stadium, Cardiff |
| 1995 | South Africa | 15-12 | New Zealand | Ellis Park, Johannesburg |
| 1991 | Australia | 12-6 | England | Twickenham Stadium, London |
| 1987 | New Zealand | 29-9 | France | Eden Park, Auckland |
The greatest tests
Every men's international since 1871 ranked by a computed Game Score blending closeness, stakes and team strength.
How this is measured
| # | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 Jun 1995 · 15–12 · 1995 Rugby World Cup · Final · Johannesburg Closeness 0.812 · Stakes 1 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0 · Upset 0.508 · Placed at #1 by hand: model score 97.0 | |
| 2 | 22 Nov 2003 · 20–17 · 2003 Rugby World Cup · Final · Sydney Closeness 0.82 · Stakes 1 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.125 · Upset 0 · Placed at #2 by hand: model score 90.5 | |
| 3 | 21 Sep 2024 · 29–28 · 2024 Rugby Championship · Santiago del Estero Closeness 0.961 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.052 · Scoring volume 0.625 · Upset 0.853 | |
| 4 | 11 Jun 1995 · 25–22 · 1995 Rugby World Cup · Quarter-Final · Cape Town Closeness 0.858 · Stakes 0.82 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.375 · Upset 0.55 | |
| 5 | RCNew Zealand v Australia 15 Jul 2000 · 39–35 · 2000 Tri Nations Series · Sydney Closeness 0.88 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 95: model score 84.4 | |
| 6 | RWCFrance v New Zealand 31 Oct 1999 · 43–31 · 1999 Rugby World Cup · Semi-Final · London Closeness 0.64 · Stakes 0.88 · Quality 0.959 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0.868 · All-time classic (curated pick) | |
| 7 | 17 Aug 2002 · 33–31 · 2002 Tri Nations Series · Johannesburg Closeness 0.931 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.093 · Scoring volume 0.8 · Upset 0.708 | |
| 8 | RWCJapan v South Africa 19 Sep 2015 · 34–32 · 2015 Rugby World Cup · Brighton Closeness 0.933 · Stakes 0.68 · Quality 0.135 · Scoring volume 0.85 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 94: model score 66.8 | |
| 9 | 28 Oct 2023 · 12–11 · 2023 Rugby World Cup · Final · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.938 · Stakes 1 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0 · Upset 0 | |
| 10 | 2 Sep 2006 · 21–20 · 2006 Tri Nations Series · Rustenburg Closeness 0.946 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.225 · Upset 0.814 | |
| 11 | 23 Oct 2011 · 8–7 · 2011 Rugby World Cup · Final · Auckland Closeness 0.938 · Stakes 1 · Quality 1.122 · Scoring volume 0 · Upset 0 · Placed at #11 by hand: model score 93.3 | |
| 12 | 4 Oct 2014 · 27–25 · 2014 Rugby Championship · Johannesburg Closeness 0.915 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.5 · Upset 0.723 | |
| 13 | RWCSouth Africa v France 15 Oct 2023 · 29–28 · 2023 Rugby World Cup · Quarter-Final · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.961 · Stakes 0.82 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.625 · Upset 0 · All-time classic (curated pick) | |
| 14 | RCAustralia v New Zealand 7 Nov 2020 · 24–22 · 2020 Tri Nations Series · Brisbane Closeness 0.903 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.107 · Scoring volume 0.35 · Upset 0.849 | |
| 15 | 11 Sep 2021 · 28–26 · 2021 Rugby Championship · Gold Coast Closeness 0.918 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.1 · Scoring volume 0.55 · Upset 0.701 | |
| 16 | RWCNew Zealand v Australia 31 Oct 2015 · 34–17 · 2015 Rugby World Cup · Final · London Closeness 0.259 · Stakes 1 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.475 · Upset 0.207 · Curated floor 92: model score 75.9 | |
| 17 | 9 Mar 2024 · 23–22 · 2024 Six Nations Championship · London Closeness 0.951 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.325 · Upset 0.764 | |
| 18 | RWCAustralia v South Africa 30 Oct 1999 · 27–21 · 1999 Rugby World Cup · Semi-Final · London Closeness 0.722 · Stakes 0.88 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.4 · Upset 0.472 | |
| 19 | 8 Feb 2025 · 26–25 · 2025 Six Nations Championship · London Closeness 0.956 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 1.104 · Scoring volume 0.475 · Upset 0.693 | |
| 20 | 19 Aug 2000 · 46–40 · 2000 Tri Nations Series · Johannesburg Closeness 0.845 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0.525 | |
| 21 | 6 Sep 2014 · 24–23 · 2014 Rugby Championship · Perth Closeness 0.953 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.375 · Upset 0.548 | |
| 22 | RWCSouth Africa v Wales 17 Oct 2015 · 23–19 · 2015 Rugby World Cup · Quarter-Final · London Closeness 0.788 · Stakes 0.82 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.25 · Upset 0.428 | |
| 23 | RWCNew Zealand v Ireland 14 Oct 2023 · 28–24 · 2023 Rugby World Cup · Quarter-Final · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.829 · Stakes 0.82 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.5 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 90: model score 87.0 | |
| 24 | NCNew Zealand v France 4 Jul 2026 · 34–32 · 2026 Nations Championship · Christchurch Closeness 0.933 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.85 · Upset 0.303 | |
| 25 | RWCSouth Africa v England 21 Oct 2023 · 16–15 · 2023 Rugby World Cup · Semi-Final · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.938 · Stakes 0.88 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0 · Upset 0 | |
| 26 | 14 Mar 2026 · 48–46 · 2026 Six Nations Championship · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.953 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0.286 | |
| 27 | 20 Mar 2021 · 32–30 · 2021 Six Nations Championship · Paris Closeness 0.928 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.75 · Upset 0.425 | |
| 28 | TESTAustralia v South Africa 27 Sep 2026 · 42–38 · 2026 Men's Internationals · Perth | Boorloo Closeness 0.889 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 0.997 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0.909 | |
| 29 | RWCNew Zealand v South Africa 24 Oct 2015 · 20–18 · 2015 Rugby World Cup · Semi-Final · London Closeness 0.883 · Stakes 0.88 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.15 · Upset 0 | |
| 30 | 20 Oct 2019 · 20–19 · 2019 Rugby World Cup · Quarter-Final · Oita Closeness 0.943 · Stakes 0.82 · Quality 0.982 · Scoring volume 0.175 · Upset 0.2 | |
| 31 | 15 Aug 1998 · 24–23 · 1998 Tri Nations Series · Durban Closeness 0.953 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.375 · Upset 0.37 | |
| 32 | TESTAustralia v New Zealand 30 Oct 2010 · 26–24 · 2010 Autumn International · Hong Kong Closeness 0.911 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.45 · Upset 0.854 | |
| 33 | 29 Sep 2007 · 38–34 · 2007 Rugby World Cup · Nantes Closeness 0.877 · Stakes 0.68 · Quality 0.096 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 88: model score 65.0 | |
| 34 | 5 Oct 2013 · 38–27 · 2013 Rugby Championship · Johannesburg Closeness 0.624 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.825 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 88: model score 74.0 | |
| 35 | 15 Sep 2018 · 36–34 · 2018 Rugby Championship · Wellington Closeness 0.937 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.081 · Scoring volume 0.95 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 88: model score 84.7 | |
| 36 | 16 Mar 2019 · 38–38 · 2019 Six Nations Championship · London Closeness 0.95 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.952 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 88: model score 81.0 | |
| 37 | 13 Oct 2007 · 14–9 · 2007 Rugby World Cup · Semi-Final · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.688 · Stakes 0.88 · Quality 1.009 · Scoring volume 0 · Upset 0.681 | |
| 38 | TESTSouth Africa v England 9 Jun 2018 · 42–39 · 2018 England rugby union tour of South Africa · Johannesburg Closeness 0.918 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 1.119 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0.607 | |
| 39 | 16 Mar 2024 · 33–31 · 2024 Six Nations Championship · Lyon Closeness 0.931 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.8 · Upset 0.3 | |
| 40 | 27 Mar 2004 · 24–21 · 2004 Six Nations Championship · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.852 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 1.135 · Scoring volume 0.325 · Upset 0.726 | |
| 41 | 20 Oct 1991 · 19–18 · 1991 Rugby World Cup · Quarter-Final · Dublin Closeness 0.94 · Stakes 0.82 · Quality 0.264 · Scoring volume 0.125 · Upset 0 · Curated floor 87: model score 69.8 | |
| 42 | 27 Aug 2016 · 26–24 · 2016 Rugby Championship · Salta Closeness 0.911 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 0.856 · Scoring volume 0.45 · Upset 0.763 | |
| 43 | 14 Aug 1999 · 10–9 · 1999 Tri Nations Series · Cape Town Closeness 0.938 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0 · Upset 0.486 | |
| 44 | TESTFrance v New Zealand 16 Nov 2024 · 30–29 · 2024 Autumn International · Saint-Denis Closeness 0.962 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.675 · Upset 0.541 | |
| 45 | 4 Sep 2010 · 41–39 · 2010 Tri Nations Series · Bloemfontein Closeness 0.944 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0 | |
| 46 | RWCFrance v New Zealand 6 Oct 2007 · 20–18 · 2007 Rugby World Cup · Quarter-Final · Cardiff Closeness 0.883 · Stakes 0.82 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.15 · Upset 0 | |
| 47 | 16 Nov 2002 · 32–31 · 2002 Autumn International · London Closeness 0.965 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.775 · Upset 0.457 | |
| 48 | RCAustralia v New Zealand 1 Sep 2001 · 29–26 · 2001 Tri Nations Series · Sydney Closeness 0.879 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.575 · Upset 0.315 | |
| 49 | 18 Jul 2015 · 24–20 · 2015 Rugby Championship · Brisbane Closeness 0.798 · Stakes 0.6 · Quality 1.15 · Scoring volume 0.3 · Upset 0.633 | |
| 50 | 7 Mar 2026 · 50–40 · 2026 Six Nations Championship · Edinburgh Closeness 0.753 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.964 · Scoring volume 1 · Upset 0.791 |
Test nations
Sources & methodology
TestedEvery test-match update is zero-sum under property tests; the ranking itself has no published backtest. About the tiers
Test rugby from the first international in 1871: 3,191 matches, every season of the Home, Five and Six Nations and of the Tri Nations and Rugby Championship, all the Rugby World Cup finals, and our own Elo world ranking of 79 sides, tier two and three included. A page for every test nation on file.
Results and season tables are compiled and hand-curated in the project workbook: every championship test from the 1883 Home Nations onward, Rugby World Cup pools and knockouts, tour matches and autumn/summer internationals, with standings, Grand Slams, Triple Crowns and titles derived from the match ledger. Scheduled fixtures without a result are excluded from all records.
World rankings are our own Elo, the rating behind the Universal Index nations board. It rates every Test in the workbook plus tier-two and tier-three tournaments (Rugby Europe, the Africa Cup, the Asia Rugby Championship, the South American Championship, Rugby Americas North, the Pacific Nations Cup and the RWC qualifiers) from Wikipedia; a side first seen in those games starts at 1100 rather than 1500, so a small closed pool cannot inflate it. It replaced the World Rugby rankings on 4 October 2026. Western Samoa results are carried under Samoa.