Season titles · resolves 13 Mar 2027
Who will win the 2027 Six Nations Tournament?
1%Italy's chance
How the model worksSeason titles record: 100% of 3 calls right
Italy
Six Nations295 tests · 1937–2026 · 15.3% won
Title chances
This side's chance in each title race we forecast, frozen and scored like every forecast here.
Full odds: Six Nations Tournament · every title race
All-time test record
Played295Won / Lost / Drawn45–246–4Points for / against4,474 / 10,008Win rate15.3%
World ranking (our Elo)
Current#13Peak (since 1947)#8 (1956-02-14)Weeks at #10
Honours
Rugby World Cup10 tournaments · 0 finals · 0 semi-finals
Italy's greatest tests
This nation's highest-rated internationals by Game Score, drawn from the all-time ranking on the hub.
16N
9 Mar 2024 · 2024 Six Nations Championship · Rome
31–29
26N
12 Mar 2011 · 2011 Six Nations Championship · Rome
22–21
36N
7 Mar 2026 · 2026 Six Nations Championship · Rome
23–18
4TEST
12 Nov 2022 · 2022 Autumn International · Florence
28–27
5TEST
19 Nov 2016 · 2016 end-of-year test · Florence
20–18
66N
3 Feb 2013 · 2013 Six Nations Championship · Rome
23–18
76N
7 Feb 2026 · 2026 Six Nations Championship · Rome
18–15
86N
10 Mar 2007 · 2007 Six Nations Championship · Rome
23–20
96N
25 Feb 2024 · 2024 Six Nations Championship · Villeneuve-dAscq
13–13
106N
15 Mar 2008 · 2008 Six Nations Championship · Rome
23–20
11TEST
22 Jun 2013 · South African Quadrangular tournament third place final · Pretoria
30–29
| # | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 Mar 2024 · 31–29 · 2024 Six Nations Championship · Rome Closeness 0.926 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.215 · Scoring volume 0.7 · Upset 0.855 | |
| 2 | 12 Mar 2011 · 22–21 · 2011 Six Nations Championship · Rome Closeness 0.948 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.137 · Scoring volume 0.275 · Upset 0.903 | |
| 3 | 7 Mar 2026 · 23–18 · 2026 Six Nations Championship · Rome Closeness 0.729 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.487 · Scoring volume 0.225 · Upset 0.855 | |
| 4 | 12 Nov 2022 · 28–27 · 2022 Autumn International · Florence Closeness 0.96 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 0.111 · Scoring volume 0.575 · Upset 0.901 | |
| 5 | TESTItaly v South Africa 19 Nov 2016 · 20–18 · 2016 end-of-year test · Florence Closeness 0.883 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 0.232 · Scoring volume 0.15 · Upset 0.937 | |
| 6 | 3 Feb 2013 · 23–18 · 2013 Six Nations Championship · Rome Closeness 0.729 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.26 · Scoring volume 0.225 · Upset 0.88 | |
| 7 | 7 Feb 2026 · 18–15 · 2026 Six Nations Championship · Rome Closeness 0.812 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.233 · Scoring volume 0.025 · Upset 0.66 | |
| 8 | 10 Mar 2007 · 23–20 · 2007 Six Nations Championship · Rome Closeness 0.845 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0 · Scoring volume 0.275 · Upset 0.715 | |
| 9 | 25 Feb 2024 · 13–13 · 2024 Six Nations Championship · Villeneuve-dAscq Closeness 0.95 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0.374 · Scoring volume 0 · Upset 0 | |
| 10 | 15 Mar 2008 · 23–20 · 2008 Six Nations Championship · Rome Closeness 0.845 · Stakes 0.55 · Quality 0 · Scoring volume 0.275 · Upset 0.636 | |
| 11 | 22 Jun 2013 · 30–29 · South African Quadrangular tournament third place final · Pretoria Closeness 0.962 · Stakes 0.42 · Quality 0.04 · Scoring volume 0.675 · Upset 0.372 | |
| 12 | 26 Sep 2015 · 23–18 · 2015 Rugby World Cup · Leeds Closeness 0.729 · Stakes 0.68 · Quality 0 · Scoring volume 0.225 · Upset 0.546 |
Season by season
Championship and World Cup campaigns on file; W marks a title, GS a Grand Slam, TC a Triple Crown.
Six Nations Championship
2026Place 4
Six Nations Championship
2025Place 5
Six Nations Championship
2024Place 5
Rugby World Cup · A
2023Place —
Six Nations Championship
2023Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2022Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2021Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2020Place 6
Rugby World Cup · B
2019Place —
Six Nations Championship
2019Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2018Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2017Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2016Place 6
Rugby World Cup · D
2015Place —
Six Nations Championship
2015Place 5
Six Nations Championship
2014Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2013Place 4
Six Nations Championship
2012Place 5
Rugby World Cup · C
2011Place —
Six Nations Championship
2011Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2010Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2009Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2008Place 6
Rugby World Cup · C
2007Place —
Six Nations Championship
2007Place 4
Six Nations Championship
2006Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2005Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2004Place 5
Rugby World Cup · D
2003Place —
Six Nations Championship
2003Place 5
Six Nations Championship
2002Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2001Place 6
Six Nations Championship
2000Place 6
Rugby World Cup · B
1999Place —
Rugby World Cup · B
1995Place —
Rugby World Cup · A
1991Place —
Rugby World Cup · C
1987Place —
| Season | Competition | Place | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Six Nations Championship | 4 | |
| 2025 | Six Nations Championship | 5 | |
| 2024 | Six Nations Championship | 5 | |
| 2023 | Rugby World Cup · A | — | |
| 2023 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2022 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2021 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2020 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2019 | Rugby World Cup · B | — | |
| 2019 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2018 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2017 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2016 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2015 | Rugby World Cup · D | — | |
| 2015 | Six Nations Championship | 5 | |
| 2014 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2013 | Six Nations Championship | 4 | |
| 2012 | Six Nations Championship | 5 | |
| 2011 | Rugby World Cup · C | — | |
| 2011 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2010 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2009 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2008 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2007 | Rugby World Cup · C | — | |
| 2007 | Six Nations Championship | 4 | |
| 2006 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2005 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2004 | Six Nations Championship | 5 | |
| 2003 | Rugby World Cup · D | — | |
| 2003 | Six Nations Championship | 5 | |
| 2002 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2001 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 2000 | Six Nations Championship | 6 | |
| 1999 | Rugby World Cup · B | — | |
| 1995 | Rugby World Cup · B | — | |
| 1991 | Rugby World Cup · A | — | |
| 1987 | Rugby World Cup · C | — |
Head-to-head
France51 tests
W
3
L
47
D
1
Ireland39 tests
W
4
L
35
D
0
Scotland38 tests
W
10
L
28
D
0
Wales35 tests
W
5
L
29
D
1
England32 tests
W
1
L
31
D
0
Argentina24 tests
W
5
L
18
D
1
Australia21 tests
W
2
L
19
D
0
New Zealand19 tests
W
0
L
18
D
1
South Africa19 tests
W
1
L
18
D
0
Canada3 tests
W
3
L
0
D
0
United States2 tests
W
2
L
0
D
0
Tonga2 tests
W
1
L
1
D
0
| Opponent | Tests | W | L | D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | tests 51 | 3 | 47 | 1 |
| Ireland | tests 39 | 4 | 35 | 0 |
| Scotland | tests 38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| Wales | tests 35 | 5 | 29 | 1 |
| England | tests 32 | 1 | 31 | 0 |
| Argentina | tests 24 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
| Australia | tests 21 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| New Zealand | tests 19 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
| South Africa | tests 19 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| Canada | tests 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| United States | tests 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tonga | tests 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Romania | tests 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Namibia | tests 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Fiji | tests 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Samoa | tests 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Portugal | tests 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Russia | tests 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Uruguay | tests 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Japan | tests 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Recent tests
Australia2026-07-18
L 10-572026 Nations ChampionshipHBF Park, Perth | Boorloo
New Zealand2026-07-11
L 17-472026 Nations ChampionshipSky Stadium, Wellington
Japan2026-07-04
L 10-272026 Nations ChampionshipPrince Chichibu Memorial Stadium, Tokyo
Wales2026-03-14
L 17-312026 Six Nations ChampionshipMillennium Stadium, Cardiff
England2026-03-07
W 23-182026 Six Nations ChampionshipStadio Olimpico, Rome
France2026-02-22
L 8-332026 Six Nations ChampionshipStade de France, Saint-Denis
Ireland2026-02-14
L 13-202026 Six Nations ChampionshipAviva Stadium, Dublin
Scotland2026-02-07
W 18-152026 Six Nations ChampionshipStadio Olimpico, Rome
South Africa2025-11-15
L 14-322025 Autumn InternationalAllianz Stadium, Turin
Australia2025-11-08
W 26-192025 Autumn InternationalStadio Friuli, Udine
South Africa2025-07-12
L 0-452025 Italy tour of South AfricaNelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Gqeberha
South Africa2025-07-05
L 24-422025 Italy tour of South AfricaLoftus Versfeld Stadium, Pretoria
| Date | Opponent | Result | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Australia | L 10-57 | 2026 Nations Championship | HBF Park, Perth | Boorloo |
| 2026-07-11 | New Zealand | L 17-47 | 2026 Nations Championship | Sky Stadium, Wellington |
| 2026-07-04 | Japan | L 10-27 | 2026 Nations Championship | Prince Chichibu Memorial Stadium, Tokyo |
| 2026-03-14 | Wales | L 17-31 | 2026 Six Nations Championship | Millennium Stadium, Cardiff |
| 2026-03-07 | England | W 23-18 | 2026 Six Nations Championship | Stadio Olimpico, Rome |
| 2026-02-22 | France | L 8-33 | 2026 Six Nations Championship | Stade de France, Saint-Denis |
| 2026-02-14 | Ireland | L 13-20 | 2026 Six Nations Championship | Aviva Stadium, Dublin |
| 2026-02-07 | Scotland | W 18-15 | 2026 Six Nations Championship | Stadio Olimpico, Rome |
| 2025-11-15 | South Africa | L 14-32 | 2025 Autumn International | Allianz Stadium, Turin |
| 2025-11-08 | Australia | W 26-19 | 2025 Autumn International | Stadio Friuli, Udine |
| 2025-07-12 | South Africa | L 0-45 | 2025 Italy tour of South Africa | Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Gqeberha |
| 2025-07-05 | South Africa | L 24-42 | 2025 Italy tour of South Africa | Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Pretoria |
From the project rugby workbook (results since 1871) and our own Elo world ranking. See the methodology on the hub.