The expectation ledger
The 2024 season, against expectation
Every game of 2024scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
285
Model Brier
0.2126
Market Brier
0.2025
Longest odds beaten
11.8%
Chicago Bears
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 2024.
Show all 32 rows
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 2024 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-05 | Baltimore RavensatKansas City Chiefs | 61.0% | 20-27 |
| 2024-09-06 | Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 43.7% | 29-34 |
| 2024-09-08 | Tennessee TitansatChicago Bears | 63.7% | 17-24 |
| 2024-09-08 | New England PatriotsatCincinnati Bengals | 76.5% | 16-10 |
| 2024-09-08 | Arizona CardinalsatBuffalo Bills | 81.5% | 28-34 |
| 2024-09-08 | Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks | 62.5% | 20-26 |
| 2024-09-08 | Dallas CowboysatCleveland Browns | 49.5% | 33-17 |
| 2024-09-08 | Washington CommandersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 76.3% | 20-37 |
| 2024-09-08 | Las Vegas RaidersatLos Angeles Chargers | 51.1% | 10-22 |
| 2024-09-08 | Houston TexansatIndianapolis Colts | 54.2% | 29-27 |
| 2024-09-08 | Jacksonville JaguarsatMiami Dolphins | 65.8% | 17-20 |
| 2024-09-08 | Pittsburgh SteelersatAtlanta Falcons | 45.5% | 18-10 |
| 2024-09-08 | Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants | 56.3% | 28-6 |
| 2024-09-08 | Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions | 65.9% | 20-26 |
| 2024-09-08 | Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints | 78.9% | 10-47 |
| 2024-09-09 | New York JetsatSan Francisco 49ers | 80.3% | 19-32 |
| 2024-09-12 | Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins | 48.4% | 31-10 |
| 2024-09-15 | San Francisco 49ersatMinnesota Vikings | 41.4% | 17-23 |
| 2024-09-15 | Chicago BearsatHouston Texans | 63.1% | 13-19 |
| 2024-09-15 | Cincinnati BengalsatKansas City Chiefs | 75.9% | 25-26 |
| 2024-09-15 | Pittsburgh SteelersatDenver Broncos | 46.2% | 13-6 |
| 2024-09-15 | Cleveland BrownsatJacksonville Jaguars | 59.8% | 18-13 |
| 2024-09-15 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions | 65.7% | 20-16 |
| 2024-09-15 | Los Angeles RamsatArizona Cardinals | 46.1% | 10-41 |
| 2024-09-15 | Los Angeles ChargersatCarolina Panthers | 41.2% | 26-3 |
| 2024-09-15 | Indianapolis ColtsatGreen Bay Packers | 70.5% | 10-16 |
| 2024-09-15 | New York GiantsatWashington Commanders | 51.6% | 18-21 |
| 2024-09-15 | New Orleans SaintsatDallas Cowboys | 68.0% | 44-19 |
| 2024-09-15 | New York JetsatTennessee Titans | 55.9% | 24-17 |
| 2024-09-15 | Seattle SeahawksatNew England Patriots | 49.2% | 23-20 |
| 2024-09-15 | Las Vegas RaidersatBaltimore Ravens | 75.7% | 26-23 |
| 2024-09-16 | Atlanta FalconsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.4% | 22-21 |
| 2024-09-19 | New England PatriotsatNew York Jets | 64.9% | 3-24 |
| 2024-09-22 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 37.9% | 24-27 |
| 2024-09-22 | Chicago BearsatIndianapolis Colts | 55.3% | 16-21 |
| 2024-09-22 | Denver BroncosatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 73.8% | 26-7 |
| 2024-09-22 | New York GiantsatCleveland Browns | 70.2% | 21-15 |
| 2024-09-22 | Detroit LionsatArizona Cardinals | 44.0% | 20-13 |
| 2024-09-22 | Los Angeles ChargersatPittsburgh Steelers | 69.6% | 10-20 |
| 2024-09-22 | Kansas City ChiefsatAtlanta Falcons | 28.3% | 22-17 |
| 2024-09-22 | Baltimore RavensatDallas Cowboys | 54.6% | 28-25 |
| 2024-09-22 | Miami DolphinsatSeattle Seahawks | 60.9% | 3-24 |
| 2024-09-22 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew Orleans Saints | 66.5% | 15-12 |
| 2024-09-22 | Green Bay PackersatTennessee Titans | 37.8% | 30-14 |
| 2024-09-22 | Carolina PanthersatLas Vegas Raidersshock | 80.6% | 36-22 |
| 2024-09-22 | Houston TexansatMinnesota Vikings | 61.4% | 7-34 |
| 2024-09-23 | Washington CommandersatCincinnati Bengals | 75.4% | 38-33 |
| 2024-09-23 | Jacksonville JaguarsatBuffalo Bills | 81.7% | 10-47 |
| 2024-09-26 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants | 45.8% | 20-15 |
| 2024-09-29 | Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears | 54.6% | 18-24 |
| 2024-09-29 | Cincinnati BengalsatCarolina Panthers | 42.1% | 34-24 |
| 2024-09-29 | Buffalo BillsatBaltimore Ravens | 50.3% | 10-35 |
| 2024-09-29 | Denver BroncosatNew York Jets | 59.4% | 10-9 |
| 2024-09-29 | Cleveland BrownsatLas Vegas Raiders | 56.7% | 16-20 |
| 2024-09-29 | Philadelphia EaglesatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 54.1% | 16-33 |
| 2024-09-29 | Washington CommandersatArizona Cardinals | 62.1% | 42-14 |
| 2024-09-29 | Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Chargers | 33.4% | 17-10 |
| 2024-09-29 | Pittsburgh SteelersatIndianapolis Colts | 41.1% | 24-27 |
| 2024-09-29 | New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons | 39.1% | 24-26 |
| 2024-09-29 | Jacksonville JaguarsatHouston Texans | 67.0% | 20-24 |
| 2024-09-29 | Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers | 59.8% | 31-29 |
| 2024-09-29 | New England PatriotsatSan Francisco 49ers | 81.7% | 13-30 |
| 2024-09-30 | Tennessee TitansatMiami Dolphins | 73.6% | 31-12 |
| 2024-09-30 | Seattle SeahawksatDetroit Lions | 63.1% | 29-42 |
| 2024-10-03 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons | 44.6% | 30-36 |
| 2024-10-06 | Carolina PanthersatChicago Bears | 75.2% | 10-36 |
| 2024-10-06 | Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals | 41.1% | 41-38 |
| 2024-10-06 | Buffalo BillsatHouston Texans | 42.4% | 20-23 |
| 2024-10-06 | Las Vegas RaidersatDenver Broncos | 64.2% | 18-34 |
| 2024-10-06 | Cleveland BrownsatWashington Commanders | 60.0% | 13-34 |
| 2024-10-06 | Indianapolis ColtsatJacksonville Jaguars | 53.4% | 34-37 |
| 2024-10-06 | Dallas CowboysatPittsburgh Steelers | 61.5% | 20-17 |
| 2024-10-06 | Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots | 52.9% | 15-10 |
| 2024-10-06 | New York GiantsatSeattle Seahawks | 72.8% | 29-20 |
| 2024-10-06 | New York JetsatMinnesota Vikings | 63.7% | 17-23 |
| 2024-10-06 | Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams | 46.9% | 24-19 |
| 2024-10-06 | Arizona CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ersshock | 83.8% | 24-23 |
| 2024-10-07 | New Orleans SaintsatKansas City Chiefs | 75.5% | 13-26 |
| 2024-10-10 | San Francisco 49ersatSeattle Seahawks | 44.4% | 36-24 |
| 2024-10-13 | Jacksonville JaguarsatChicago Bears | 55.8% | 16-35 |
| 2024-10-13 | Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Giants | 54.8% | 17-7 |
| 2024-10-13 | Los Angeles ChargersatDenver Broncos | 66.2% | 23-16 |
| 2024-10-13 | Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 70.9% | 16-20 |
| 2024-10-13 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints | 62.2% | 51-27 |
| 2024-10-13 | Arizona CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers | 79.3% | 13-34 |
| 2024-10-13 | Indianapolis ColtsatTennessee Titans | 54.2% | 20-17 |
| 2024-10-13 | Washington CommandersatBaltimore Ravens | 78.6% | 23-30 |
| 2024-10-13 | Detroit LionsatDallas Cowboys | 55.5% | 47-9 |
| 2024-10-13 | Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers | 41.5% | 38-20 |
| 2024-10-13 | Houston TexansatNew England Patriots | 38.2% | 41-21 |
| 2024-10-13 | Pittsburgh SteelersatLas Vegas Raiders | 43.9% | 32-13 |
| 2024-10-14 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets | 38.7% | 23-20 |
| 2024-10-17 | Denver BroncosatNew Orleans Saints | 59.8% | 33-10 |
| 2024-10-20 | Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns | 45.0% | 21-14 |
| 2024-10-20 | Tennessee TitansatBuffalo Bills | 83.2% | 10-34 |
| 2024-10-20 | Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts | 61.3% | 10-16 |
| 2024-10-20 | Carolina PanthersatWashington Commanders | 79.3% | 7-40 |
| 2024-10-20 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants | 46.0% | 28-3 |
| 2024-10-20 | Seattle SeahawksatAtlanta Falcons | 60.0% | 34-14 |
| 2024-10-20 | New England PatriotsatJacksonville Jaguars | 59.0% | 16-32 |
| 2024-10-20 | New York JetsatPittsburgh Steelers | 74.1% | 15-37 |
| 2024-10-20 | Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings | 53.0% | 31-29 |
| 2024-10-20 | Houston TexansatGreen Bay Packers | 64.0% | 22-24 |
| 2024-10-20 | Las Vegas RaidersatLos Angeles Rams | 64.2% | 15-20 |
| 2024-10-20 | Kansas City ChiefsatSan Francisco 49ers | 49.6% | 28-18 |
| 2024-10-21 | Baltimore RavensatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 45.5% | 41-31 |
| 2024-10-21 | Los Angeles ChargersatArizona Cardinals | 44.8% | 15-17 |
| 2024-10-24 | Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Rams | 42.7% | 20-30 |
| 2024-10-27 | Chicago BearsatWashington Commanders | 55.6% | 15-18 |
| 2024-10-27 | Philadelphia EaglesatCincinnati Bengals | 56.6% | 37-17 |
| 2024-10-27 | Buffalo BillsatSeattle Seahawks | 41.7% | 31-10 |
| 2024-10-27 | Carolina PanthersatDenver Broncos | 84.9% | 14-28 |
| 2024-10-27 | Baltimore RavensatCleveland Browns | 23.4% | 24-29 |
| 2024-10-27 | Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 71.3% | 31-26 |
| 2024-10-27 | Arizona CardinalsatMiami Dolphins | 64.9% | 28-27 |
| 2024-10-27 | New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Chargers | 63.2% | 8-26 |
| 2024-10-27 | Kansas City ChiefsatLas Vegas Raiders | 19.8% | 27-20 |
| 2024-10-27 | Indianapolis ColtsatHouston Texans | 66.1% | 20-23 |
| 2024-10-27 | Green Bay PackersatJacksonville Jaguars | 38.0% | 30-27 |
| 2024-10-27 | New York JetsatNew England Patriots | 43.7% | 22-25 |
| 2024-10-27 | Tennessee TitansatDetroit Lions | 85.9% | 14-52 |
| 2024-10-27 | Dallas CowboysatSan Francisco 49ers | 68.4% | 24-30 |
| 2024-10-28 | New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers | 80.9% | 18-26 |
| 2024-10-31 | Houston TexansatNew York Jets | 41.6% | 13-21 |
| 2024-11-03 | Chicago BearsatArizona Cardinals | 47.0% | 9-29 |
| 2024-11-03 | Las Vegas RaidersatCincinnati Bengals | 72.8% | 24-41 |
| 2024-11-03 | Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills | 83.8% | 27-30 |
| 2024-11-03 | Denver BroncosatBaltimore Ravens | 72.9% | 10-41 |
| 2024-11-03 | Los Angeles ChargersatCleveland Browns | 49.1% | 27-10 |
| 2024-11-03 | Indianapolis ColtsatMinnesota Vikings | 68.7% | 13-21 |
| 2024-11-03 | Washington CommandersatNew York Giants | 44.8% | 27-22 |
| 2024-11-03 | Dallas CowboysatAtlanta Falcons | 52.3% | 21-27 |
| 2024-11-03 | Jacksonville JaguarsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 78.5% | 23-28 |
| 2024-11-03 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 51.3% | 24-14 |
| 2024-11-03 | New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthers | 38.4% | 22-23 |
| 2024-11-03 | New England PatriotsatTennessee Titans | 64.9% | 17-20 |
| 2024-11-03 | Los Angeles RamsatSeattle Seahawks | 58.0% | 26-20 |
| 2024-11-04 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatKansas City Chiefs | 83.3% | 24-30 |
| 2024-11-07 | Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravens | 76.7% | 34-35 |
| 2024-11-10 | San Francisco 49ersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 43.6% | 23-20 |
| 2024-11-10 | New England PatriotsatChicago Bears | 75.2% | 19-3 |
| 2024-11-10 | Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts | 32.4% | 30-20 |
| 2024-11-10 | Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs | 82.8% | 14-16 |
| 2024-11-10 | New York JetsatArizona Cardinals | 58.4% | 6-31 |
| 2024-11-10 | Tennessee TitansatLos Angeles Chargers | 75.5% | 17-27 |
| 2024-11-10 | Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Commanders | 47.3% | 28-27 |
| 2024-11-10 | Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys | 44.8% | 34-6 |
| 2024-11-10 | Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints | 50.4% | 17-20 |
| 2024-11-10 | New York GiantsatCarolina Panthers | 37.6% | 17-20 |
| 2024-11-10 | Minnesota VikingsatJacksonville Jaguars | 39.2% | 12-7 |
| 2024-11-10 | Detroit LionsatHouston Texans | 36.9% | 26-23 |
| 2024-11-11 | Miami DolphinsatLos Angeles Rams | 70.1% | 23-15 |
| 2024-11-14 | Washington CommandersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.4% | 18-26 |
| 2024-11-17 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 37.1% | 20-19 |
| 2024-11-17 | Cincinnati BengalsatLos Angeles Chargers | 63.1% | 27-34 |
| 2024-11-17 | Kansas City ChiefsatBuffalo Bills | 51.9% | 21-30 |
| 2024-11-17 | Atlanta FalconsatDenver Broncos | 64.9% | 6-38 |
| 2024-11-17 | Cleveland BrownsatNew Orleans Saints | 63.9% | 14-35 |
| 2024-11-17 | Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets | 55.4% | 28-27 |
| 2024-11-17 | Las Vegas RaidersatMiami Dolphins | 70.3% | 19-34 |
| 2024-11-17 | Jacksonville JaguarsatDetroit Lions | 88.0% | 6-52 |
| 2024-11-17 | Los Angeles RamsatNew England Patriots | 45.5% | 28-22 |
| 2024-11-17 | Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers | 51.1% | 16-18 |
| 2024-11-17 | Minnesota VikingsatTennessee Titans | 32.8% | 23-13 |
| 2024-11-17 | Seattle SeahawksatSan Francisco 49ers | 78.4% | 20-17 |
| 2024-11-18 | Houston TexansatDallas Cowboys | 52.6% | 34-10 |
| 2024-11-21 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 27.5% | 19-24 |
| 2024-11-24 | San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers | 57.4% | 10-38 |
| 2024-11-24 | Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears | 34.2% | 30-27 |
| 2024-11-24 | Denver BroncosatLas Vegas Raiders | 35.3% | 29-19 |
| 2024-11-24 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew York Giants | 41.6% | 30-7 |
| 2024-11-24 | Arizona CardinalsatSeattle Seahawks | 60.9% | 6-16 |
| 2024-11-24 | Kansas City ChiefsatCarolina Panthers | 13.0% | 30-27 |
| 2024-11-24 | Detroit LionsatIndianapolis Colts | 26.9% | 24-6 |
| 2024-11-24 | Dallas CowboysatWashington Commanders | 67.7% | 34-26 |
| 2024-11-24 | New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins | 73.5% | 15-34 |
| 2024-11-24 | Philadelphia EaglesatLos Angeles Rams | 39.7% | 37-20 |
| 2024-11-24 | Tennessee TitansatHouston Texansshock | 79.8% | 32-27 |
| 2024-11-25 | Baltimore RavensatLos Angeles Chargers | 45.8% | 30-23 |
| 2024-11-28 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 89.5% | 20-23 |
| 2024-11-28 | New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys | 75.2% | 20-27 |
| 2024-11-28 | Miami DolphinsatGreen Bay Packers | 73.7% | 17-30 |
| 2024-11-29 | Las Vegas RaidersatKansas City Chiefs | 92.0% | 17-19 |
| 2024-12-01 | San Francisco 49ersatBuffalo Bills | 75.5% | 10-35 |
| 2024-12-01 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals | 46.7% | 44-38 |
| 2024-12-01 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCarolina Panthers | 30.9% | 26-23 |
| 2024-12-01 | Arizona CardinalsatMinnesota Vikings | 77.3% | 22-23 |
| 2024-12-01 | Los Angeles ChargersatAtlanta Falcons | 46.5% | 17-13 |
| 2024-12-01 | Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots | 46.0% | 25-24 |
| 2024-12-01 | Tennessee TitansatWashington Commanders | 67.1% | 19-42 |
| 2024-12-01 | Philadelphia EaglesatBaltimore Ravens | 60.5% | 24-19 |
| 2024-12-01 | Houston TexansatJacksonville Jaguars | 43.1% | 23-20 |
| 2024-12-01 | Seattle SeahawksatNew York Jets | 47.2% | 26-21 |
| 2024-12-01 | Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints | 56.4% | 21-14 |
| 2024-12-02 | Cleveland BrownsatDenver Broncos | 76.8% | 32-41 |
| 2024-12-05 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions | 71.4% | 31-34 |
| 2024-12-08 | Buffalo BillsatLos Angeles Rams | 30.2% | 42-44 |
| 2024-12-08 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 82.6% | 14-27 |
| 2024-12-08 | Las Vegas RaidersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 79.7% | 13-28 |
| 2024-12-08 | Seattle SeahawksatArizona Cardinals | 49.6% | 30-18 |
| 2024-12-08 | Los Angeles ChargersatKansas City Chiefs | 78.3% | 17-19 |
| 2024-12-08 | New York JetsatMiami Dolphins | 69.9% | 26-32 |
| 2024-12-08 | Carolina PanthersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 93.0% | 16-22 |
| 2024-12-08 | Atlanta FalconsatMinnesota Vikings | 79.8% | 21-42 |
| 2024-12-08 | New Orleans SaintsatNew York Giants | 44.1% | 14-11 |
| 2024-12-08 | Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titans | 58.6% | 10-6 |
| 2024-12-08 | Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers | 77.4% | 13-38 |
| 2024-12-09 | Cincinnati BengalsatDallas Cowboys | 58.4% | 27-20 |
| 2024-12-12 | Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers | 65.7% | 12-6 |
| 2024-12-15 | Cincinnati BengalsatTennessee Titans | 39.6% | 37-27 |
| 2024-12-15 | Buffalo BillsatDetroit Lions | 63.1% | 48-42 |
| 2024-12-15 | Indianapolis ColtsatDenver Broncos | 73.2% | 13-31 |
| 2024-12-15 | Kansas City ChiefsatCleveland Browns | 18.4% | 21-7 |
| 2024-12-15 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatLos Angeles Chargers | 61.6% | 40-17 |
| 2024-12-15 | New England PatriotsatArizona Cardinals | 69.5% | 17-30 |
| 2024-12-15 | Washington CommandersatNew Orleans Saints | 53.7% | 20-19 |
| 2024-12-15 | Dallas CowboysatCarolina Panthers | 37.8% | 30-14 |
| 2024-12-15 | Miami DolphinsatHouston Texans | 63.8% | 12-20 |
| 2024-12-15 | Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 68.8% | 13-27 |
| 2024-12-15 | Baltimore RavensatNew York Giants | 17.7% | 35-14 |
| 2024-12-15 | New York JetsatJacksonville Jaguars | 62.0% | 32-25 |
| 2024-12-15 | Green Bay PackersatSeattle Seahawks | 49.2% | 30-13 |
| 2024-12-16 | Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings | 84.3% | 12-30 |
| 2024-12-16 | Atlanta FalconsatLas Vegas Raiders | 47.3% | 15-9 |
| 2024-12-19 | Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Chargers | 49.3% | 27-34 |
| 2024-12-21 | Houston TexansatKansas City Chiefs | 80.4% | 19-27 |
| 2024-12-21 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravens | 67.2% | 17-34 |
| 2024-12-22 | San Francisco 49ersatMiami Dolphins | 50.7% | 17-29 |
| 2024-12-22 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 19.0% | 34-17 |
| 2024-12-22 | Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals | 76.7% | 6-24 |
| 2024-12-22 | New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills | 93.2% | 21-24 |
| 2024-12-22 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDallas Cowboys | 44.8% | 24-26 |
| 2024-12-22 | Arizona CardinalsatCarolina Panthers | 36.0% | 30-36 |
| 2024-12-22 | Tennessee TitansatIndianapolis Colts | 70.9% | 30-38 |
| 2024-12-22 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Commanders | 30.5% | 33-36 |
| 2024-12-22 | New York GiantsatAtlanta Falcons | 75.9% | 7-34 |
| 2024-12-22 | Jacksonville JaguarsatLas Vegas Raiders | 50.1% | 14-19 |
| 2024-12-22 | Los Angeles RamsatNew York Jets | 41.0% | 19-9 |
| 2024-12-22 | Minnesota VikingsatSeattle Seahawks | 43.7% | 27-24 |
| 2024-12-23 | New Orleans SaintsatGreen Bay Packers | 82.6% | 0-34 |
| 2024-12-25 | Kansas City ChiefsatPittsburgh Steelers | 37.7% | 29-10 |
| 2024-12-25 | Baltimore RavensatHouston Texans | 39.5% | 31-2 |
| 2024-12-26 | Seattle SeahawksatChicago Bears | 40.4% | 6-3 |
| 2024-12-28 | Denver BroncosatCincinnati Bengals | 56.5% | 24-30 |
| 2024-12-28 | Arizona CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams | 77.4% | 9-13 |
| 2024-12-28 | Los Angeles ChargersatNew England Patriots | 31.9% | 40-7 |
| 2024-12-29 | New York JetsatBuffalo Bills | 90.4% | 14-40 |
| 2024-12-29 | Miami DolphinsatCleveland Brownsstarters rested | 40.1% | 20-3 |
| 2024-12-29 | Carolina PanthersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 86.4% | 14-48 |
| 2024-12-29 | Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Giantsstarters rested | 36.7% | 33-45 |
| 2024-12-29 | Atlanta FalconsatWashington Commanders | 67.1% | 24-30 |
| 2024-12-29 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eaglesstarters rested | 82.0% | 7-41 |
| 2024-12-29 | Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguarsstarters rested | 63.2% | 13-20 |
| 2024-12-29 | Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings | 56.8% | 25-27 |
| 2024-12-29 | Las Vegas RaidersatNew Orleans Saintsstarters rested | 70.9% | 25-10 |
| 2024-12-30 | Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers | 32.1% | 40-34 |
| 2025-01-04 | Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 59.8% | 19-17 |
| 2025-01-04 | Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Ravens | 91.8% | 10-35 |
| 2025-01-05 | San Francisco 49ersatArizona Cardinalsstarters rested | 44.3% | 24-47 |
| 2025-01-05 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packersshock | 88.2% | 24-22 |
| 2025-01-05 | Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriotsstarters rested | 11.6% | 16-23 |
| 2025-01-05 | Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncosstarters rested | 29.8% | 0-38 |
| 2025-01-05 | New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 80.6% | 19-27 |
| 2025-01-05 | Los Angeles ChargersatLas Vegas Raiders | 35.4% | 34-20 |
| 2025-01-05 | Jacksonville JaguarsatIndianapolis Coltsstarters rested | 64.1% | 23-26 |
| 2025-01-05 | Washington CommandersatDallas Cowboysstarters rested | 51.5% | 23-19 |
| 2025-01-05 | Miami DolphinsatNew York Jetsstarters rested | 40.2% | 20-32 |
| 2025-01-05 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eaglesstarters rested | 92.3% | 13-20 |
| 2025-01-05 | Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falconsstarters rested | 77.3% | 44-38 |
| 2025-01-05 | Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions | 67.5% | 9-31 |
| 2025-01-05 | Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Ramsstarters rested | 66.7% | 30-25 |
| 2025-01-05 | Houston TexansatTennessee Titans | 33.1% | 23-14 |
| 2025-01-11 | Los Angeles ChargersatHouston Texans | 53.0% | 12-32 |
| 2025-01-11 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravens | 78.6% | 14-28 |
| 2025-01-12 | Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills | 71.0% | 7-31 |
| 2025-01-12 | Washington CommandersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 63.7% | 23-20 |
| 2025-01-12 | Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 68.7% | 10-22 |
| 2025-01-13 | Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Rams | 47.5% | 9-27 |
| 2025-01-18 | Houston TexansatKansas City Chiefs | 77.1% | 14-23 |
| 2025-01-18 | Washington CommandersatDetroit Lionsshock | 80.2% | 45-31 |
| 2025-01-19 | Baltimore RavensatBuffalo Bills | 57.4% | 25-27 |
| 2025-01-19 | Los Angeles RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 75.0% | 22-28 |
| 2025-01-26 | Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs | 58.7% | 29-32 |
| 2025-01-26 | Washington CommandersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 73.2% | 23-55 |
| 2025-02-09 | Kansas City ChiefsvsPhiladelphia Eagles | 52.5% | 22-40 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.