Season simulation · 30 Oct 2026
Who will win the Super Bowl?
1%Houston Texans' chance
From 20,000 simulated seasons, updated daily. The frozen, scored forecast names the leading sides only.
Houston Texans
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Founded: 2002 · Metro Area: Houston · AFC · AFC South · Home: NRG Stadium
Rating through time
Where Houston Texans sat against the rest of the league at the end of every season it played, from 2002 to 2026. Above average in 14 of 25 seasons.
One point per season, at the rating it finished on, with a rule at every decade. Tap or drag any year for what it started on, where it peaked and where it finished. 1500 is the league average by construction, not a chosen line. The week-by-week detail for any season is on its own season page.
Title chances
This side's chance in each title race we forecast, frozen and scored like every forecast here.
Full odds: NFL · every title race
RivalriesTexans–Titans rivalryvs Tennessee Titanstwo-wayTexans–Colts rivalryvs Indianapolis Coltstwo-wayTexans–Jaguars rivalryvs Jacksonville Jaguarstwo-way
The Heartbreak Index10.1 · #173
The Blessed · Never won it, waiting since 2002
The Heartbreak Index10.1 · #173
The Blessed · Never won it, waiting since 2002
10.1
Heartbreak
#173
of 1,138 clubs
#18
in NFL
9.4
agony · 0.7 despair
The clocks
- First NFL title since 20023.9
- First NFL final appearance since 20021.9
Heaviest wounds
playoff run died early, 2025 · playoff run died early, 2024 · playoff run died early, 2023 · playoff run died early, 2019
One formula, every club the site covers. See the whole board →
Who controls the club
The entity that holds control today, one per franchise; co-controllers and minority holders are listed, never summed.
How this is measured
Exactly one control entity is recorded per franchise, so a portfolio can never count a club twice. Co-controllers and minority holders are shown as published and carry no weight in any total.
The chip names the evidence. Sourced: a primary source is linked (league, club, filing or tier-one outlet). Cross-checked: matched against the ownership-change sweep. Contested: disputed or mid-sale. Rows are reviewed weekly.
Stakes are as published, often only “majority”, and are not pro-rated. A record of control is not a claim about anyone’s intent or conduct.
Who controls the clubCal McNair
YouTube
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subscribers gained since 23 Oct 2026
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Calculated by Citizen of Nowhere from YouTube channel statistics, as of 2 Nov 2026. Not part of the Fan Attention Index. Not ranked.
Data from YouTube API Services · YouTube Terms of Service · How we use YouTube data
0
League titles
0 pre-SB · 0 SB era
8
Division titles
9
Playoff appearances
Postseason 7-9
0.449
All-time win pct
25
Seasons
since 2002
Championships
Pre-Super Bowl titles in slate; Super Bowl era titles in gold.
No league championships yet.
Championship appearances
Every championship game appearance, win or loss. Solid chip = won; outlined chip = lost. Same pre-Super Bowl / Super Bowl color split as titles.
No championship game appearances.
All-time record
| Regular-season W-L-T | 174-214-1 |
| Win pct | 0.449 |
| Playoff record | 7-9-0 (0.438) |
| Championship appearances | 0 (0 wins) |
| Conference final appearances | 0 (0 wins) |
| Total seasons | 25 |
| .500 or better seasons | 13 |
| Most recent championship | — |
Stadium history
Grouped by physical building. Naming-rights eras nested.
NRG Stadium
2002-presentHouston, Texas
- Reliant Stadium 2002-2014
- NRG Stadium 2015-2026
Season-by-season2002 to 2026 · 25 seasons · click to expandShow tableHide table
Season-by-season
2002 to 2026 · 25 seasons · click to expand
2026Houston Texans
LiveRecord
2-5-0
Win%
0.286
Finish
—
PF
165
PA
170
Division
AFC South
In-progress 2026 row pulled from ESPN public standings, refreshed hourly. Replaced by the canonical workbook row after the season concludes.
Top 12 games
Highest-rated games in franchise history by the site's Game Score (ELO) metric, which combines hype, quality, stakes, and matchup rank. Losses can outrank routine wins because the formula scores game quality, not franchise spin.
#1 · 2026-01-181.482
L2025 Div. Playoff · Wk 20
Gillette Stadium· Foxboro, MA
#2 · 2013-01-131.287
L2012 Div. Playoff · Wk 19
Gillette Stadium· Foxboro, MA
#3 · 2019-12-011.274
W2019 Reg. Season · Wk 13
NRG Stadium· Houston, TX
#4 · 2012-12-101.242
L2012 Reg. Season · Wk 14
Gillette Stadium· Foxboro, MA
#5 · 2012-01-151.118
L2011 Div. Playoff · Wk 19
M&T Bank Stadium· Baltimore, MD
#6 · 2012-11-111.018
W2012 Reg. Season · Wk 10
Soldier Field· Chicago, IL
#7 · 2020-01-120.979
L2019 Div. Playoff · Wk 19
Arrowhead Stadium· Kansas City, MO
#8 · 2019-10-130.971
W2019 Reg. Season · Wk 6
Arrowhead Stadium· Kansas City, MO
#9 · 2012-12-230.969
L2012 Reg. Season · Wk 16
Reliant Stadium· Houston, TX
#10 · 2025-12-070.946
W2025 Reg. Season · Wk 14
Arrowhead Stadium· Kansas City, MO
#11 · 2013-09-290.944
L · OT2013 Reg. Season · Wk 4
Reliant Stadium· Houston, TX
#12 · 2025-12-270.934
W2025 Reg. Season · Wk 17
SoFi Stadium· Inglewood, CA
Award winners
League-wide awards held by Houston Texans players or coaches. Pulled from the AP, Bert Bell, Walter Payton, and Super Bowl MVP rolls. Plus 68 Pro Bowl selections all-time.
AP Defensive Player
- 2012J.J. Watt · DE
- 2014J.J. Watt · DE
- 2015J.J. Watt · DE
Bert Bell Award
- 2014J.J. Watt · DE
Walter Payton MOY
- 2017J.J. Watt · DE
AP Offensive Rookie
- 2023C.J. Stroud · QB
AP Defensive Rookie
- 2006DeMeco Ryans · MLB
- 2009Brian Cushing · LLB
- 2023Will Anderson Jr. · DE