The expectation ledger
The 2025 season, against expectation
Every game of 2025scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
285
Model Brier
0.2243
Market Brier
0.2081
Longest odds beaten
13.8%
New England Patriots
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 2025.
Show all 32 rows
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 2025 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-04 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles | 82.7% | 20-24 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Chargers | 35.9% | 21-27 |
| 2025-09-07 | San Francisco 49ersatSeattle Seahawks | 65.8% | 17-13 |
| 2025-09-07 | Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns | 38.1% | 17-16 |
| 2025-09-07 | Baltimore RavensatBuffalo Bills | 58.7% | 40-41 |
| 2025-09-07 | Tennessee TitansatDenver Broncos | 80.3% | 12-20 |
| 2025-09-07 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons | 45.2% | 23-20 |
| 2025-09-07 | Arizona CardinalsatNew Orleans Saints | 53.0% | 20-13 |
| 2025-09-07 | Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts | 52.7% | 8-33 |
| 2025-09-07 | New York GiantsatWashington Commanders | 80.4% | 6-21 |
| 2025-09-07 | Carolina PanthersatJacksonville Jaguars | 63.2% | 10-26 |
| 2025-09-07 | Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Jets | 48.9% | 34-32 |
| 2025-09-07 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 51.4% | 13-27 |
| 2025-09-07 | Las Vegas RaidersatNew England Patriots | 58.5% | 20-13 |
| 2025-09-07 | Houston TexansatLos Angeles Rams | 62.2% | 9-14 |
| 2025-09-08 | Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears | 39.7% | 27-24 |
| 2025-09-11 | Washington CommandersatGreen Bay Packers | 62.9% | 18-27 |
| 2025-09-14 | San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints | 44.3% | 26-21 |
| 2025-09-14 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 81.1% | 21-52 |
| 2025-09-14 | Jacksonville JaguarsatCincinnati Bengals | 73.9% | 27-31 |
| 2025-09-14 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets | 31.5% | 30-10 |
| 2025-09-14 | Denver BroncosatIndianapolis Colts | 48.2% | 28-29 |
| 2025-09-14 | Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Ravens | 85.4% | 17-41 |
| 2025-09-14 | Carolina PanthersatArizona Cardinals | 74.3% | 22-27 |
| 2025-09-14 | Philadelphia EaglesatKansas City Chiefs | 47.9% | 20-17 |
| 2025-09-14 | New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys | 71.3% | 37-40 |
| 2025-09-14 | New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins | 70.8% | 33-27 |
| 2025-09-14 | Atlanta FalconsatMinnesota Vikings | 76.9% | 22-6 |
| 2025-09-14 | Los Angeles RamsatTennessee Titans | 31.7% | 33-19 |
| 2025-09-14 | Seattle SeahawksatPittsburgh Steelers | 63.1% | 31-17 |
| 2025-09-15 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatHouston Texans | 54.4% | 20-19 |
| 2025-09-15 | Los Angeles ChargersatLas Vegas Raiders | 42.2% | 20-9 |
| 2025-09-18 | Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills | 83.8% | 21-31 |
| 2025-09-21 | Dallas CowboysatChicago Bears | 49.1% | 14-31 |
| 2025-09-21 | Cincinnati BengalsatMinnesota Vikings | 54.4% | 10-48 |
| 2025-09-21 | Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Chargers | 62.1% | 20-23 |
| 2025-09-21 | Green Bay PackersatCleveland Browns | 27.6% | 10-13 |
| 2025-09-21 | New York JetsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 76.1% | 27-29 |
| 2025-09-21 | Kansas City ChiefsatNew York Giants | 28.6% | 22-9 |
| 2025-09-21 | Indianapolis ColtsatTennessee Titans | 39.3% | 41-20 |
| 2025-09-21 | Las Vegas RaidersatWashington Commanders | 76.7% | 24-41 |
| 2025-09-21 | Los Angeles RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 73.8% | 26-33 |
| 2025-09-21 | Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers | 42.4% | 0-30 |
| 2025-09-21 | Houston TexansatJacksonville Jaguars | 47.6% | 10-17 |
| 2025-09-21 | Pittsburgh SteelersatNew England Patriots | 46.4% | 21-14 |
| 2025-09-21 | New Orleans SaintsatSeattle Seahawks | 78.5% | 13-44 |
| 2025-09-21 | Arizona CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ers | 62.4% | 15-16 |
| 2025-09-22 | Detroit LionsatBaltimore Ravens | 63.1% | 38-30 |
| 2025-09-25 | Seattle SeahawksatArizona Cardinals | 49.9% | 23-20 |
| 2025-09-28 | Chicago BearsatLas Vegas Raiders | 55.0% | 25-24 |
| 2025-09-28 | New Orleans SaintsatBuffalo Bills | 88.9% | 19-31 |
| 2025-09-28 | Cleveland BrownsatDetroit Lions | 85.1% | 10-34 |
| 2025-09-28 | Philadelphia EaglesatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 39.2% | 31-25 |
| 2025-09-28 | Los Angeles ChargersatNew York Giants | 27.6% | 18-21 |
| 2025-09-28 | Baltimore RavensatKansas City Chiefs | 57.9% | 20-37 |
| 2025-09-28 | Indianapolis ColtsatLos Angeles Rams | 66.9% | 20-27 |
| 2025-09-28 | Washington CommandersatAtlanta Falcons | 40.4% | 27-34 |
| 2025-09-28 | Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys | 38.0% | 40-40 |
| 2025-09-28 | Carolina PanthersatNew England Patriots | 58.0% | 13-42 |
| 2025-09-28 | Minnesota VikingsatPittsburgh Steelers | 44.3% | 21-24 |
| 2025-09-28 | Tennessee TitansatHouston Texans | 78.6% | 0-26 |
| 2025-09-28 | Jacksonville JaguarsatSan Francisco 49ers | 68.9% | 26-21 |
| 2025-09-29 | Cincinnati BengalsatDenver Broncos | 61.7% | 3-28 |
| 2025-09-29 | New York JetsatMiami Dolphins | 61.1% | 21-27 |
| 2025-10-02 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 70.6% | 26-23 |
| 2025-10-05 | Detroit LionsatCincinnati Bengals | 38.1% | 37-24 |
| 2025-10-05 | New England PatriotsatBuffalo Billsshock | 86.2% | 23-20 |
| 2025-10-05 | Denver BroncosatPhiladelphia Eagles | 77.8% | 21-17 |
| 2025-10-05 | Minnesota VikingsatCleveland Browns | 30.3% | 21-17 |
| 2025-10-05 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSeattle Seahawks | 62.0% | 38-35 |
| 2025-10-05 | Tennessee TitansatArizona Cardinals | 78.8% | 22-21 |
| 2025-10-05 | Washington CommandersatLos Angeles Chargers | 62.0% | 27-10 |
| 2025-10-05 | Las Vegas RaidersatIndianapolis Colts | 72.9% | 6-40 |
| 2025-10-05 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Jets | 53.0% | 37-22 |
| 2025-10-05 | Miami DolphinsatCarolina Panthers | 48.6% | 24-27 |
| 2025-10-05 | New York GiantsatNew Orleans Saints | 57.9% | 14-26 |
| 2025-10-05 | Houston TexansatBaltimore Ravens | 70.8% | 44-10 |
| 2025-10-06 | Kansas City ChiefsatJacksonville Jaguars | 37.9% | 28-31 |
| 2025-10-09 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giantsshock | 17.0% | 17-34 |
| 2025-10-12 | San Francisco 49ersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 65.9% | 19-30 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cincinnati BengalsatGreen Bay Packers | 73.0% | 18-27 |
| 2025-10-12 | Denver BroncosatNew York Jets | 21.8% | 13-11 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 77.1% | 9-23 |
| 2025-10-12 | Arizona CardinalsatIndianapolis Colts | 66.6% | 27-31 |
| 2025-10-12 | Los Angeles ChargersatMiami Dolphins | 45.9% | 29-27 |
| 2025-10-12 | Detroit LionsatKansas City Chiefs | 50.5% | 17-30 |
| 2025-10-12 | Dallas CowboysatCarolina Panthers | 46.1% | 27-30 |
| 2025-10-12 | Seattle SeahawksatJacksonville Jaguars | 51.1% | 20-12 |
| 2025-10-12 | New England PatriotsatNew Orleans Saints | 50.6% | 25-19 |
| 2025-10-12 | Tennessee TitansatLas Vegas Raiders | 66.0% | 10-20 |
| 2025-10-12 | Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Ravens | 55.4% | 17-3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Chicago BearsatWashington Commanders | 76.6% | 25-24 |
| 2025-10-13 | Buffalo BillsatAtlanta Falcons | 33.9% | 14-24 |
| 2025-10-16 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals | 48.7% | 31-33 |
| 2025-10-19 | New Orleans SaintsatChicago Bears | 70.5% | 14-26 |
| 2025-10-19 | New York GiantsatDenver Broncos | 81.5% | 32-33 |
| 2025-10-19 | Miami DolphinsatCleveland Browns | 52.8% | 6-31 |
| 2025-10-19 | Green Bay PackersatArizona Cardinals | 38.2% | 27-23 |
| 2025-10-19 | Indianapolis ColtsatLos Angeles Chargers | 60.2% | 38-24 |
| 2025-10-19 | Las Vegas RaidersatKansas City Chiefs | 85.5% | 0-31 |
| 2025-10-19 | Washington CommandersatDallas Cowboys | 44.1% | 22-44 |
| 2025-10-19 | Philadelphia EaglesatMinnesota Vikings | 46.9% | 28-22 |
| 2025-10-19 | Los Angeles RamsatJacksonville Jaguars | 33.2% | 35-7 |
| 2025-10-19 | Carolina PanthersatNew York Jets | 54.9% | 13-6 |
| 2025-10-19 | New England PatriotsatTennessee Titans | 37.3% | 31-13 |
| 2025-10-19 | Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers | 60.1% | 10-20 |
| 2025-10-20 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions | 67.4% | 9-24 |
| 2025-10-20 | Houston TexansatSeattle Seahawks | 62.0% | 19-27 |
| 2025-10-23 | Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Chargers | 54.9% | 10-37 |
| 2025-10-26 | San Francisco 49ersatHouston Texans | 61.8% | 15-26 |
| 2025-10-26 | Chicago BearsatBaltimore Ravens | 64.6% | 16-30 |
| 2025-10-26 | New York JetsatCincinnati Bengals | 76.1% | 39-38 |
| 2025-10-26 | Buffalo BillsatCarolina Panthers | 33.3% | 40-9 |
| 2025-10-26 | Dallas CowboysatDenver Broncos | 72.6% | 24-44 |
| 2025-10-26 | Cleveland BrownsatNew England Patriots | 69.7% | 13-32 |
| 2025-10-26 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints | 29.6% | 23-3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Tennessee TitansatIndianapolis Colts | 87.5% | 14-38 |
| 2025-10-26 | Miami DolphinsatAtlanta Falcons | 70.4% | 34-10 |
| 2025-10-26 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 86.0% | 20-38 |
| 2025-10-26 | Green Bay PackersatPittsburgh Steelers | 47.8% | 35-25 |
| 2025-10-27 | Washington CommandersatKansas City Chiefs | 73.4% | 7-28 |
| 2025-10-30 | Baltimore RavensatMiami Dolphins | 47.4% | 28-6 |
| 2025-11-02 | San Francisco 49ersatNew York Giants | 44.4% | 34-24 |
| 2025-11-02 | Chicago BearsatCincinnati Bengals | 62.5% | 47-42 |
| 2025-11-02 | Kansas City ChiefsatBuffalo Bills | 55.3% | 21-28 |
| 2025-11-02 | Denver BroncosatHouston Texans | 50.6% | 18-15 |
| 2025-11-02 | Los Angeles ChargersatTennessee Titans | 25.7% | 27-20 |
| 2025-11-02 | Indianapolis ColtsatPittsburgh Steelers | 50.9% | 20-27 |
| 2025-11-02 | Seattle SeahawksatWashington Commanders | 48.9% | 38-14 |
| 2025-11-02 | Atlanta FalconsatNew England Patriots | 69.2% | 23-24 |
| 2025-11-02 | Jacksonville JaguarsatLas Vegas Raiders | 49.6% | 30-29 |
| 2025-11-02 | Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions | 78.3% | 27-24 |
| 2025-11-02 | Carolina PanthersatGreen Bay Packersshock | 84.9% | 16-13 |
| 2025-11-02 | New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Rams | 87.9% | 10-34 |
| 2025-11-03 | Arizona CardinalsatDallas Cowboys | 64.8% | 27-17 |
| 2025-11-06 | Las Vegas RaidersatDenver Broncos | 86.4% | 7-10 |
| 2025-11-09 | New York GiantsatChicago Bears | 71.4% | 20-24 |
| 2025-11-09 | Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins | 26.9% | 13-30 |
| 2025-11-09 | Cleveland BrownsatNew York Jets | 54.7% | 20-27 |
| 2025-11-09 | New England PatriotsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 69.2% | 28-23 |
| 2025-11-09 | Arizona CardinalsatSeattle Seahawks | 77.2% | 22-44 |
| 2025-11-09 | Pittsburgh SteelersatLos Angeles Chargers | 60.7% | 10-25 |
| 2025-11-09 | Atlanta FalconsatIndianapolis Colts | 67.2% | 25-31 |
| 2025-11-09 | Detroit LionsatWashington Commanders | 37.8% | 44-22 |
| 2025-11-09 | Jacksonville JaguarsatHouston Texans | 70.4% | 29-36 |
| 2025-11-09 | New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthers | 72.3% | 17-7 |
| 2025-11-09 | Baltimore RavensatMinnesota Vikings | 55.7% | 27-19 |
| 2025-11-09 | Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers | 45.2% | 42-26 |
| 2025-11-10 | Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers | 51.6% | 10-7 |
| 2025-11-13 | New York JetsatNew England Patriots | 78.3% | 14-27 |
| 2025-11-16 | San Francisco 49ersatArizona Cardinals | 54.2% | 41-22 |
| 2025-11-16 | Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings | 62.5% | 19-17 |
| 2025-11-16 | Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 67.6% | 12-34 |
| 2025-11-16 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatBuffalo Bills | 65.6% | 32-44 |
| 2025-11-16 | Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos | 58.4% | 19-22 |
| 2025-11-16 | Baltimore RavensatCleveland Browns | 30.7% | 23-16 |
| 2025-11-16 | Los Angeles ChargersatJacksonville Jaguars | 42.6% | 6-35 |
| 2025-11-16 | Washington CommandersatMiami Dolphins | 49.0% | 13-16 |
| 2025-11-16 | Detroit LionsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 61.6% | 9-16 |
| 2025-11-16 | Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falcons | 62.1% | 30-27 |
| 2025-11-16 | Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants | 28.3% | 27-20 |
| 2025-11-16 | Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Rams | 60.8% | 19-21 |
| 2025-11-16 | Houston TexansatTennessee Titans | 22.3% | 16-13 |
| 2025-11-17 | Dallas CowboysatLas Vegas Raiders | 48.2% | 33-16 |
| 2025-11-20 | Buffalo BillsatHouston Texans | 50.6% | 19-23 |
| 2025-11-23 | Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Bears | 54.2% | 28-31 |
| 2025-11-23 | New England PatriotsatCincinnati Bengals | 42.7% | 26-20 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cleveland BrownsatLas Vegas Raiders | 57.2% | 24-10 |
| 2025-11-23 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatLos Angeles Rams | 73.8% | 7-34 |
| 2025-11-23 | Jacksonville JaguarsatArizona Cardinals | 51.1% | 27-24 |
| 2025-11-23 | Indianapolis ColtsatKansas City Chiefs | 68.4% | 20-23 |
| 2025-11-23 | Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys | 29.6% | 21-24 |
| 2025-11-23 | Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints | 55.1% | 24-10 |
| 2025-11-23 | New York GiantsatDetroit Lions | 88.4% | 27-34 |
| 2025-11-23 | New York JetsatBaltimore Ravens | 84.0% | 10-23 |
| 2025-11-23 | Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers | 74.1% | 6-23 |
| 2025-11-23 | Seattle SeahawksatTennessee Titans | 15.5% | 30-24 |
| 2025-11-24 | Carolina PanthersatSan Francisco 49ers | 74.5% | 9-20 |
| 2025-11-27 | Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravensshock | 80.8% | 32-14 |
| 2025-11-27 | Kansas City ChiefsatDallas Cowboys | 39.4% | 28-31 |
| 2025-11-27 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions | 63.2% | 31-24 |
| 2025-11-28 | Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 79.1% | 24-15 |
| 2025-11-30 | San Francisco 49ersatCleveland Browns | 37.9% | 26-8 |
| 2025-11-30 | Buffalo BillsatPittsburgh Steelers | 46.7% | 26-7 |
| 2025-11-30 | Denver BroncosatWashington Commanders | 31.9% | 27-26 |
| 2025-11-30 | Arizona CardinalsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 73.2% | 17-20 |
| 2025-11-30 | Las Vegas RaidersatLos Angeles Chargers | 82.9% | 14-31 |
| 2025-11-30 | Houston TexansatIndianapolis Colts | 56.0% | 20-16 |
| 2025-11-30 | New Orleans SaintsatMiami Dolphins | 76.1% | 17-21 |
| 2025-11-30 | Atlanta FalconsatNew York Jets | 49.9% | 24-27 |
| 2025-11-30 | Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titans | 26.9% | 25-3 |
| 2025-11-30 | Los Angeles RamsatCarolina Panthers | 23.2% | 28-31 |
| 2025-11-30 | Minnesota VikingsatSeattle Seahawks | 78.2% | 0-26 |
| 2025-12-01 | New York GiantsatNew England Patriots | 82.8% | 15-33 |
| 2025-12-04 | Dallas CowboysatDetroit Lions | 72.8% | 30-44 |
| 2025-12-07 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers | 72.2% | 21-28 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cincinnati BengalsatBuffalo Bills | 79.1% | 34-39 |
| 2025-12-07 | Denver BroncosatLas Vegas Raiders | 16.6% | 24-17 |
| 2025-12-07 | Tennessee TitansatCleveland Browns | 74.8% | 31-29 |
| 2025-12-07 | New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneersshock | 82.4% | 24-20 |
| 2025-12-07 | Los Angeles RamsatArizona Cardinals | 26.8% | 45-17 |
| 2025-12-07 | Houston TexansatKansas City Chiefs | 62.9% | 20-10 |
| 2025-12-07 | Indianapolis ColtsatJacksonville Jaguars | 56.6% | 19-36 |
| 2025-12-07 | Washington CommandersatMinnesota Vikings | 61.5% | 0-31 |
| 2025-12-07 | Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets | 44.2% | 34-10 |
| 2025-12-07 | Seattle SeahawksatAtlanta Falcons | 27.4% | 37-9 |
| 2025-12-07 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravens | 66.5% | 27-22 |
| 2025-12-08 | Philadelphia EaglesatLos Angeles Chargers | 45.0% | 19-22 |
| 2025-12-11 | Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 72.9% | 29-28 |
| 2025-12-14 | Cleveland BrownsatChicago Bears | 80.8% | 3-31 |
| 2025-12-14 | Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals | 50.8% | 24-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots | 49.4% | 35-31 |
| 2025-12-14 | Green Bay PackersatDenver Broncos | 59.0% | 26-34 |
| 2025-12-14 | Arizona CardinalsatHouston Texans | 84.9% | 20-40 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Angeles ChargersatKansas City Chiefs | 65.0% | 16-13 |
| 2025-12-14 | Indianapolis ColtsatSeattle Seahawks | 77.7% | 16-18 |
| 2025-12-14 | Washington CommandersatNew York Giants | 48.5% | 29-21 |
| 2025-12-14 | Minnesota VikingsatDallas Cowboys | 61.3% | 34-26 |
| 2025-12-14 | Las Vegas RaidersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 90.0% | 0-31 |
| 2025-12-14 | New York JetsatJacksonville Jaguars | 81.8% | 20-48 |
| 2025-12-14 | Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams | 63.1% | 34-41 |
| 2025-12-14 | Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints | 50.2% | 17-20 |
| 2025-12-14 | Tennessee TitansatSan Francisco 49ers | 89.1% | 24-37 |
| 2025-12-15 | Miami DolphinsatPittsburgh Steelers | 60.5% | 15-28 |
| 2025-12-18 | Los Angeles RamsatSeattle Seahawks | 57.5% | 37-38 |
| 2025-12-20 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 46.0% | 16-22 |
| 2025-12-20 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Commanders | 33.9% | 29-18 |
| 2025-12-21 | Cincinnati BengalsatMiami Dolphins | 67.2% | 45-21 |
| 2025-12-21 | Buffalo BillsatCleveland Browns | 19.2% | 23-20 |
| 2025-12-21 | Jacksonville JaguarsatDenver Broncos | 74.7% | 34-20 |
| 2025-12-21 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCarolina Panthers | 47.6% | 20-23 |
| 2025-12-21 | Atlanta FalconsatArizona Cardinals | 56.2% | 26-19 |
| 2025-12-21 | Los Angeles ChargersatDallas Cowboys | 46.2% | 34-17 |
| 2025-12-21 | Kansas City ChiefsatTennessee Titans | 19.5% | 9-26 |
| 2025-12-21 | Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants | 32.5% | 16-13 |
| 2025-12-21 | New York JetsatNew Orleans Saints | 64.4% | 6-29 |
| 2025-12-21 | Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions | 70.5% | 29-24 |
| 2025-12-21 | New England PatriotsatBaltimore Ravens | 58.8% | 28-24 |
| 2025-12-21 | Las Vegas RaidersatHouston Texans | 91.2% | 21-23 |
| 2025-12-22 | San Francisco 49ersatIndianapolis Colts | 50.3% | 48-27 |
| 2025-12-25 | Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs | 43.3% | 20-13 |
| 2025-12-25 | Dallas CowboysatWashington Commandersstarters rested | 56.0% | 30-23 |
| 2025-12-25 | Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings | 49.3% | 10-23 |
| 2025-12-27 | Houston TexansatLos Angeles Chargers | 53.1% | 20-16 |
| 2025-12-27 | Baltimore RavensatGreen Bay Packersstarters rested | 70.7% | 41-24 |
| 2025-12-28 | Arizona CardinalsatCincinnati Bengals | 73.6% | 14-37 |
| 2025-12-28 | Philadelphia EaglesatBuffalo Bills | 62.3% | 13-12 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 28.3% | 6-13 |
| 2025-12-28 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMiami Dolphinsstarters rested | 54.3% | 17-20 |
| 2025-12-28 | Jacksonville JaguarsatIndianapolis Colts | 42.0% | 23-17 |
| 2025-12-28 | New York GiantsatLas Vegas Raiders | 55.9% | 34-10 |
| 2025-12-28 | New England PatriotsatNew York Jets | 24.4% | 42-10 |
| 2025-12-28 | Seattle SeahawksatCarolina Panthers | 25.6% | 27-10 |
| 2025-12-28 | New Orleans SaintsatTennessee Titans | 47.6% | 34-26 |
| 2025-12-28 | Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers | 63.4% | 38-42 |
| 2025-12-29 | Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons | 26.2% | 24-27 |
| 2026-01-03 | Carolina PanthersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 66.5% | 14-16 |
| 2026-01-03 | Seattle SeahawksatSan Francisco 49ers | 48.6% | 13-3 |
| 2026-01-04 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 58.0% | 19-16 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals | 74.4% | 20-18 |
| 2026-01-04 | New York JetsatBuffalo Billsstarters rested | 91.8% | 8-35 |
| 2026-01-04 | Los Angeles ChargersatDenver Broncos | 68.8% | 3-19 |
| 2026-01-04 | Arizona CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams | 89.5% | 20-37 |
| 2026-01-04 | Kansas City ChiefsatLas Vegas Raidersstarters rested | 26.1% | 12-14 |
| 2026-01-04 | Indianapolis ColtsatHouston Texans | 81.6% | 30-38 |
| 2026-01-04 | Washington CommandersatPhiladelphia Eaglesstarters rested | 85.7% | 24-17 |
| 2026-01-04 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Giantsstarters rested | 42.1% | 17-34 |
| 2026-01-04 | Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots | 76.2% | 10-38 |
| 2026-01-04 | New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falconsstarters rested | 64.2% | 17-19 |
| 2026-01-04 | Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguars | 90.2% | 7-41 |
| 2026-01-04 | Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings | 55.8% | 3-16 |
| 2026-01-04 | Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers | 52.8% | 24-26 |
| 2026-01-10 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 57.7% | 27-31 |
| 2026-01-10 | Los Angeles RamsatCarolina Panthers | 25.2% | 34-31 |
| 2026-01-11 | San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 61.7% | 23-19 |
| 2026-01-11 | Buffalo BillsatJacksonville Jaguars | 53.9% | 27-24 |
| 2026-01-11 | Los Angeles ChargersatNew England Patriots | 65.4% | 3-16 |
| 2026-01-12 | Houston TexansatPittsburgh Steelers | 42.1% | 30-6 |
| 2026-01-17 | San Francisco 49ersatSeattle Seahawks | 72.2% | 6-41 |
| 2026-01-17 | Buffalo BillsatDenver Broncos | 58.4% | 30-33 |
| 2026-01-18 | Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears | 43.9% | 20-17 |
| 2026-01-18 | Houston TexansatNew England Patriots | 50.0% | 16-28 |
| 2026-01-25 | New England PatriotsatDenver Broncos | 63.1% | 10-7 |
| 2026-01-25 | Los Angeles RamsatSeattle Seahawks | 66.4% | 27-31 |
| 2026-02-08 | New England PatriotsvsSeattle Seahawks | 60.3% | 13-29 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.