The expectation ledger
The 2022 season, against expectation
Every game of 2022scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
284
Model Brier
0.2218
Market Brier
0.2118
Longest odds beaten
16.6%
Houston Texans
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 2022.
Show all 32 rows
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 2022 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-08 | Buffalo BillsatLos Angeles Rams | 59.3% | 31-10 |
| 2022-09-11 | San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears | 40.5% | 10-19 |
| 2022-09-11 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals | 65.7% | 23-20 |
| 2022-09-11 | Cleveland BrownsatCarolina Panthers | 46.3% | 26-24 |
| 2022-09-11 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDallas Cowboys | 52.4% | 19-3 |
| 2022-09-11 | Kansas City ChiefsatArizona Cardinals | 41.2% | 44-21 |
| 2022-09-11 | Las Vegas RaidersatLos Angeles Chargers | 60.9% | 19-24 |
| 2022-09-11 | Indianapolis ColtsatHouston Texans | 40.3% | 20-20 |
| 2022-09-11 | Jacksonville JaguarsatWashington Commanders | 73.7% | 22-28 |
| 2022-09-11 | New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins | 59.7% | 7-20 |
| 2022-09-11 | Philadelphia EaglesatDetroit Lions | 45.5% | 38-35 |
| 2022-09-11 | New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons | 44.0% | 27-26 |
| 2022-09-11 | New York GiantsatTennessee Titansshock | 79.5% | 21-20 |
| 2022-09-11 | Baltimore RavensatNew York Jets | 38.8% | 24-9 |
| 2022-09-11 | Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings | 48.4% | 7-23 |
| 2022-09-12 | Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks | 69.7% | 16-17 |
| 2022-09-15 | Los Angeles ChargersatKansas City Chiefs | 76.0% | 24-27 |
| 2022-09-18 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers | 70.6% | 10-27 |
| 2022-09-18 | Cincinnati BengalsatDallas Cowboys | 58.3% | 17-20 |
| 2022-09-18 | Houston TexansatDenver Broncos | 63.4% | 9-16 |
| 2022-09-18 | New York JetsatCleveland Brownsshock | 79.3% | 31-30 |
| 2022-09-18 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints | 46.4% | 20-10 |
| 2022-09-18 | Arizona CardinalsatLas Vegas Raiders | 59.7% | 29-23 |
| 2022-09-18 | Indianapolis ColtsatJacksonville Jaguars | 31.8% | 0-24 |
| 2022-09-18 | Washington CommandersatDetroit Lions | 47.7% | 27-36 |
| 2022-09-18 | Miami DolphinsatBaltimore Ravens | 54.9% | 42-38 |
| 2022-09-18 | Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams | 77.1% | 27-31 |
| 2022-09-18 | Carolina PanthersatNew York Giants | 58.8% | 16-19 |
| 2022-09-18 | New England PatriotsatPittsburgh Steelers | 61.0% | 17-14 |
| 2022-09-18 | Seattle SeahawksatSan Francisco 49ers | 61.6% | 7-27 |
| 2022-09-19 | Tennessee TitansatBuffalo Bills | 73.1% | 7-41 |
| 2022-09-19 | Minnesota VikingsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 55.3% | 7-24 |
| 2022-09-22 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 57.6% | 17-29 |
| 2022-09-25 | San Francisco 49ersatDenver Broncos | 43.2% | 10-11 |
| 2022-09-25 | Houston TexansatChicago Bears | 67.1% | 20-23 |
| 2022-09-25 | Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Jets | 35.2% | 27-12 |
| 2022-09-25 | Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins | 46.2% | 19-21 |
| 2022-09-25 | Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 70.5% | 14-12 |
| 2022-09-25 | Los Angeles RamsatArizona Cardinals | 47.3% | 20-12 |
| 2022-09-25 | Jacksonville JaguarsatLos Angeles Chargers | 74.8% | 38-10 |
| 2022-09-25 | Kansas City ChiefsatIndianapolis Colts | 35.7% | 17-20 |
| 2022-09-25 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Commanders | 46.5% | 24-8 |
| 2022-09-25 | Atlanta FalconsatSeattle Seahawks | 70.3% | 27-23 |
| 2022-09-25 | Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings | 72.1% | 24-28 |
| 2022-09-25 | New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthers | 39.7% | 14-22 |
| 2022-09-25 | Baltimore RavensatNew England Patriots | 62.3% | 37-26 |
| 2022-09-25 | Las Vegas RaidersatTennessee Titans | 68.6% | 22-24 |
| 2022-09-26 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants | 40.2% | 23-16 |
| 2022-09-29 | Miami DolphinsatCincinnati Bengals | 53.0% | 15-27 |
| 2022-10-02 | Chicago BearsatNew York Giants | 48.9% | 12-20 |
| 2022-10-02 | Buffalo BillsatBaltimore Ravens | 43.0% | 23-20 |
| 2022-10-02 | Denver BroncosatLas Vegas Raiders | 56.9% | 23-32 |
| 2022-10-02 | Cleveland BrownsatAtlanta Falcons | 48.9% | 20-23 |
| 2022-10-02 | Kansas City ChiefsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 59.8% | 41-31 |
| 2022-10-02 | Arizona CardinalsatCarolina Panthers | 50.4% | 26-16 |
| 2022-10-02 | Los Angeles ChargersatHouston Texans | 49.5% | 34-24 |
| 2022-10-02 | Tennessee TitansatIndianapolis Colts | 56.4% | 24-17 |
| 2022-10-02 | Washington CommandersatDallas Cowboys | 76.0% | 10-25 |
| 2022-10-02 | Jacksonville JaguarsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.6% | 21-29 |
| 2022-10-02 | New York JetsatPittsburgh Steelers | 77.8% | 24-20 |
| 2022-10-02 | Seattle SeahawksatDetroit Lions | 48.6% | 48-45 |
| 2022-10-02 | New England PatriotsatGreen Bay Packers | 71.0% | 24-27 |
| 2022-10-02 | Minnesota VikingsatNew Orleans Saints | 46.3% | 28-25 |
| 2022-10-03 | Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers | 53.3% | 9-24 |
| 2022-10-06 | Indianapolis ColtsatDenver Broncos | 53.4% | 12-9 |
| 2022-10-09 | San Francisco 49ersatCarolina Panthers | 32.2% | 37-15 |
| 2022-10-09 | Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings | 71.6% | 22-29 |
| 2022-10-09 | Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravens | 53.9% | 17-19 |
| 2022-10-09 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBuffalo Bills | 82.7% | 3-38 |
| 2022-10-09 | Los Angeles ChargersatCleveland Browns | 62.7% | 30-28 |
| 2022-10-09 | Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 77.8% | 15-21 |
| 2022-10-09 | Philadelphia EaglesatArizona Cardinals | 48.9% | 20-17 |
| 2022-10-09 | Tennessee TitansatWashington Commanders | 38.8% | 21-17 |
| 2022-10-09 | Dallas CowboysatLos Angeles Rams | 60.2% | 22-10 |
| 2022-10-09 | Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets | 31.4% | 17-40 |
| 2022-10-09 | New York GiantsatGreen Bay Packers | 74.3% | 27-22 |
| 2022-10-09 | Houston TexansatJacksonville Jaguars | 68.2% | 13-6 |
| 2022-10-09 | Detroit LionsatNew England Patriots | 71.9% | 0-29 |
| 2022-10-09 | Seattle SeahawksatNew Orleans Saints | 57.9% | 32-39 |
| 2022-10-10 | Las Vegas RaidersatKansas City Chiefs | 82.4% | 29-30 |
| 2022-10-13 | Washington CommandersatChicago Bears | 63.6% | 12-7 |
| 2022-10-16 | San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons | 37.7% | 14-28 |
| 2022-10-16 | Cincinnati BengalsatNew Orleans Saints | 51.4% | 30-26 |
| 2022-10-16 | Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs | 58.2% | 24-20 |
| 2022-10-16 | New England PatriotsatCleveland Browns | 56.5% | 38-15 |
| 2022-10-16 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatPittsburgh Steelers | 35.1% | 18-20 |
| 2022-10-16 | Arizona CardinalsatSeattle Seahawks | 57.9% | 9-19 |
| 2022-10-16 | Jacksonville JaguarsatIndianapolis Colts | 72.0% | 27-34 |
| 2022-10-16 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles | 57.4% | 17-26 |
| 2022-10-16 | Minnesota VikingsatMiami Dolphins | 55.1% | 24-16 |
| 2022-10-16 | Baltimore RavensatNew York Giants | 45.3% | 20-24 |
| 2022-10-16 | New York JetsatGreen Bay Packers | 78.4% | 27-10 |
| 2022-10-16 | Carolina PanthersatLos Angeles Rams | 79.7% | 10-24 |
| 2022-10-17 | Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Chargers | 67.8% | 16-19 |
| 2022-10-20 | New Orleans SaintsatArizona Cardinals | 56.8% | 34-42 |
| 2022-10-23 | Atlanta FalconsatCincinnati Bengals | 70.6% | 17-35 |
| 2022-10-23 | New York JetsatDenver Broncos | 53.6% | 16-9 |
| 2022-10-23 | Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Ravens | 68.3% | 20-23 |
| 2022-10-23 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCarolina Panthers | 26.3% | 3-21 |
| 2022-10-23 | Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Chargers | 59.8% | 37-23 |
| 2022-10-23 | Indianapolis ColtsatTennessee Titans | 66.6% | 10-19 |
| 2022-10-23 | Green Bay PackersatWashington Commanders | 45.5% | 21-23 |
| 2022-10-23 | Detroit LionsatDallas Cowboys | 82.6% | 6-24 |
| 2022-10-23 | Pittsburgh SteelersatMiami Dolphins | 63.2% | 10-16 |
| 2022-10-23 | New York GiantsatJacksonville Jaguars | 49.3% | 23-17 |
| 2022-10-23 | Houston TexansatLas Vegas Raiders | 68.5% | 20-38 |
| 2022-10-23 | Kansas City ChiefsatSan Francisco 49ers | 47.5% | 44-23 |
| 2022-10-24 | Chicago BearsatNew England Patriots | 76.5% | 33-14 |
| 2022-10-27 | Baltimore RavensatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 63.1% | 27-22 |
| 2022-10-30 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 61.2% | 31-14 |
| 2022-10-30 | Chicago BearsatDallas Cowboys | 75.9% | 29-49 |
| 2022-10-30 | Green Bay PackersatBuffalo Bills | 81.4% | 17-27 |
| 2022-10-30 | Denver BroncosatJacksonville Jaguars | 46.1% | 21-17 |
| 2022-10-30 | Arizona CardinalsatMinnesota Vikings | 70.3% | 26-34 |
| 2022-10-30 | Washington CommandersatIndianapolis Colts | 67.6% | 17-16 |
| 2022-10-30 | Miami DolphinsatDetroit Lions | 39.4% | 31-27 |
| 2022-10-30 | Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 78.1% | 13-35 |
| 2022-10-30 | Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falcons | 67.5% | 34-37 |
| 2022-10-30 | New York GiantsatSeattle Seahawks | 66.2% | 13-27 |
| 2022-10-30 | New England PatriotsatNew York Jets | 57.4% | 22-17 |
| 2022-10-30 | Las Vegas RaidersatNew Orleans Saints | 57.3% | 0-24 |
| 2022-10-30 | Tennessee TitansatHouston Texans | 30.9% | 17-10 |
| 2022-10-31 | Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns | 38.6% | 13-32 |
| 2022-11-03 | Philadelphia EaglesatHouston Texans | 25.1% | 29-17 |
| 2022-11-06 | Miami DolphinsatChicago Bears | 48.4% | 35-32 |
| 2022-11-06 | Carolina PanthersatCincinnati Bengals | 77.7% | 21-42 |
| 2022-11-06 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets | 26.3% | 17-20 |
| 2022-11-06 | Los Angeles RamsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 61.7% | 13-16 |
| 2022-11-06 | Seattle SeahawksatArizona Cardinals | 48.7% | 31-21 |
| 2022-11-06 | Los Angeles ChargersatAtlanta Falcons | 60.8% | 20-17 |
| 2022-11-06 | Tennessee TitansatKansas City Chiefs | 70.7% | 17-20 |
| 2022-11-06 | Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots | 63.3% | 3-26 |
| 2022-11-06 | Minnesota VikingsatWashington Commanders | 39.3% | 20-17 |
| 2022-11-06 | Las Vegas RaidersatJacksonville Jaguars | 45.3% | 20-27 |
| 2022-11-06 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions | 38.9% | 9-15 |
| 2022-11-07 | Baltimore RavensatNew Orleans Saints | 50.7% | 27-13 |
| 2022-11-10 | Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers | 48.7% | 15-25 |
| 2022-11-13 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 66.0% | 31-30 |
| 2022-11-13 | Minnesota VikingsatBuffalo Bills | 70.8% | 33-30 |
| 2022-11-13 | Denver BroncosatTennessee Titans | 79.7% | 10-17 |
| 2022-11-13 | Cleveland BrownsatMiami Dolphins | 65.9% | 17-39 |
| 2022-11-13 | Seattle SeahawksatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 46.2% | 16-21 |
| 2022-11-13 | Arizona CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams | 66.8% | 27-17 |
| 2022-11-13 | Jacksonville JaguarsatKansas City Chiefs | 89.6% | 17-27 |
| 2022-11-13 | Indianapolis ColtsatLas Vegas Raiders | 54.6% | 25-20 |
| 2022-11-13 | Dallas CowboysatGreen Bay Packers | 40.6% | 28-31 |
| 2022-11-13 | Houston TexansatNew York Giants | 73.2% | 16-24 |
| 2022-11-13 | New Orleans SaintsatPittsburgh Steelers | 55.2% | 10-20 |
| 2022-11-13 | Los Angeles ChargersatSan Francisco 49ers | 71.1% | 16-22 |
| 2022-11-14 | Washington CommandersatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock | 82.0% | 32-21 |
| 2022-11-17 | Tennessee TitansatGreen Bay Packers | 44.6% | 27-17 |
| 2022-11-20 | Chicago BearsatAtlanta Falcons | 61.7% | 24-27 |
| 2022-11-20 | Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 44.2% | 37-30 |
| 2022-11-20 | Cleveland BrownsatBuffalo Bills | 82.1% | 23-31 |
| 2022-11-20 | Las Vegas RaidersatDenver Broncos | 58.4% | 22-16 |
| 2022-11-20 | Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Chargers | 29.4% | 30-27 |
| 2022-11-20 | Philadelphia EaglesatIndianapolis Colts | 44.9% | 17-16 |
| 2022-11-20 | Washington CommandersatHouston Texans | 39.6% | 23-10 |
| 2022-11-20 | Dallas CowboysatMinnesota Vikings | 63.1% | 40-3 |
| 2022-11-20 | Detroit LionsatNew York Giants | 70.2% | 31-18 |
| 2022-11-20 | New York JetsatNew England Patriots | 66.6% | 3-10 |
| 2022-11-20 | Carolina PanthersatBaltimore Ravens | 79.3% | 3-13 |
| 2022-11-20 | Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints | 55.3% | 20-27 |
| 2022-11-21 | San Francisco 49ersatArizona Cardinals | 35.7% | 38-10 |
| 2022-11-24 | Buffalo BillsatDetroit Lions | 26.7% | 28-25 |
| 2022-11-24 | New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys | 82.3% | 20-28 |
| 2022-11-24 | New England PatriotsatMinnesota Vikings | 61.4% | 26-33 |
| 2022-11-27 | Chicago BearsatNew York Jets | 67.4% | 10-31 |
| 2022-11-27 | Cincinnati BengalsatTennessee Titans | 63.4% | 20-16 |
| 2022-11-27 | Denver BroncosatCarolina Panthers | 62.3% | 10-23 |
| 2022-11-27 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCleveland Browns | 43.7% | 17-23 |
| 2022-11-27 | Los Angeles ChargersatArizona Cardinals | 58.5% | 25-24 |
| 2022-11-27 | Los Angeles RamsatKansas City Chiefs | 85.6% | 10-26 |
| 2022-11-27 | Atlanta FalconsatWashington Commanders | 66.2% | 13-19 |
| 2022-11-27 | Houston TexansatMiami Dolphins | 84.7% | 15-30 |
| 2022-11-27 | Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.5% | 33-40 |
| 2022-11-27 | Baltimore RavensatJacksonville Jaguars | 29.6% | 27-28 |
| 2022-11-27 | Las Vegas RaidersatSeattle Seahawks | 74.1% | 40-34 |
| 2022-11-27 | New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers | 77.2% | 0-13 |
| 2022-11-28 | Pittsburgh SteelersatIndianapolis Colts | 64.3% | 24-17 |
| 2022-12-01 | Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots | 39.5% | 24-10 |
| 2022-12-04 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 49.4% | 28-19 |
| 2022-12-04 | Kansas City ChiefsatCincinnati Bengals | 44.6% | 24-27 |
| 2022-12-04 | Denver BroncosatBaltimore Ravens | 83.6% | 9-10 |
| 2022-12-04 | Cleveland BrownsatHouston Texans | 36.0% | 27-14 |
| 2022-12-04 | Los Angeles ChargersatLas Vegas Raiders | 57.9% | 20-27 |
| 2022-12-04 | Indianapolis ColtsatDallas Cowboys | 81.5% | 19-54 |
| 2022-12-04 | Washington CommandersatNew York Giants | 47.0% | 20-20 |
| 2022-12-04 | Tennessee TitansatPhiladelphia Eagles | 60.4% | 10-35 |
| 2022-12-04 | Pittsburgh SteelersatAtlanta Falcons | 54.5% | 19-16 |
| 2022-12-04 | Jacksonville JaguarsatDetroit Lions | 64.2% | 14-40 |
| 2022-12-04 | New York JetsatMinnesota Vikings | 71.3% | 22-27 |
| 2022-12-04 | Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Rams | 48.9% | 27-23 |
| 2022-12-04 | Miami DolphinsatSan Francisco 49ers | 67.4% | 17-33 |
| 2022-12-05 | New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 70.9% | 16-17 |
| 2022-12-08 | Las Vegas RaidersatLos Angeles Rams | 52.0% | 16-17 |
| 2022-12-11 | Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals | 74.8% | 10-23 |
| 2022-12-11 | New York JetsatBuffalo Bills | 83.5% | 12-20 |
| 2022-12-11 | Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos | 17.8% | 34-28 |
| 2022-12-11 | Miami DolphinsatLos Angeles Chargers | 47.3% | 17-23 |
| 2022-12-11 | Houston TexansatDallas Cowboys | 92.0% | 23-27 |
| 2022-12-11 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants | 31.7% | 48-22 |
| 2022-12-11 | Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titansshock | 82.5% | 36-22 |
| 2022-12-11 | Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions | 38.2% | 23-34 |
| 2022-12-11 | Carolina PanthersatSeattle Seahawks | 73.6% | 30-24 |
| 2022-12-11 | Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers | 45.3% | 16-14 |
| 2022-12-11 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSan Francisco 49ers | 71.2% | 7-35 |
| 2022-12-12 | New England PatriotsatArizona Cardinals | 50.4% | 27-13 |
| 2022-12-15 | San Francisco 49ersatSeattle Seahawks | 37.8% | 21-13 |
| 2022-12-17 | Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills | 80.5% | 29-32 |
| 2022-12-17 | Baltimore RavensatCleveland Browns | 43.9% | 3-13 |
| 2022-12-17 | Indianapolis ColtsatMinnesota Vikings | 74.7% | 36-39 |
| 2022-12-18 | Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Bears | 22.7% | 25-20 |
| 2022-12-18 | Cincinnati BengalsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 44.4% | 34-23 |
| 2022-12-18 | Arizona CardinalsatDenver Broncos | 49.0% | 15-24 |
| 2022-12-18 | Tennessee TitansatLos Angeles Chargers | 54.0% | 14-17 |
| 2022-12-18 | Kansas City ChiefsatHouston Texans | 12.4% | 30-24 |
| 2022-12-18 | New York GiantsatWashington Commanders | 72.6% | 20-12 |
| 2022-12-18 | Dallas CowboysatJacksonville Jaguars | 26.5% | 34-40 |
| 2022-12-18 | Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints | 63.2% | 18-21 |
| 2022-12-18 | Detroit LionsatNew York Jets | 58.9% | 20-17 |
| 2022-12-18 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCarolina Panthers | 56.4% | 24-16 |
| 2022-12-18 | New England PatriotsatLas Vegas Raiders | 49.8% | 24-30 |
| 2022-12-19 | Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers | 65.1% | 12-24 |
| 2022-12-22 | Jacksonville JaguarsatNew York Jets | 60.9% | 19-3 |
| 2022-12-24 | Buffalo BillsatChicago Bears | 16.4% | 35-13 |
| 2022-12-24 | Cincinnati BengalsatNew England Patriots | 40.7% | 22-18 |
| 2022-12-24 | New Orleans SaintsatCleveland Browns | 66.3% | 17-10 |
| 2022-12-24 | Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs | 83.2% | 10-24 |
| 2022-12-24 | Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys | 55.4% | 34-40 |
| 2022-12-24 | Atlanta FalconsatBaltimore Ravens | 77.9% | 9-17 |
| 2022-12-24 | New York GiantsatMinnesota Vikings | 75.0% | 24-27 |
| 2022-12-24 | Detroit LionsatCarolina Panthers | 50.1% | 23-37 |
| 2022-12-24 | Las Vegas RaidersatPittsburgh Steelers | 59.8% | 10-13 |
| 2022-12-24 | Houston TexansatTennessee Titansshock | 83.4% | 19-14 |
| 2022-12-24 | Washington CommandersatSan Francisco 49ers | 81.8% | 20-37 |
| 2022-12-25 | Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Rams | 65.2% | 14-51 |
| 2022-12-25 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatArizona Cardinals | 44.5% | 19-16 |
| 2022-12-25 | Green Bay PackersatMiami Dolphins | 61.7% | 26-20 |
| 2022-12-26 | Los Angeles ChargersatIndianapolis Colts | 50.7% | 20-3 |
| 2022-12-29 | Dallas CowboysatTennessee Titans | 35.0% | 27-13 |
| 2023-01-01 | San Francisco 49ersatLas Vegas Raidersstarters rested | 31.9% | 37-34 |
| 2023-01-01 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 73.8% | 10-41 |
| 2023-01-01 | Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs | 91.9% | 24-27 |
| 2023-01-01 | Cleveland BrownsatWashington Commandersstarters rested | 57.1% | 24-10 |
| 2023-01-01 | Carolina PanthersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 67.6% | 24-30 |
| 2023-01-01 | Arizona CardinalsatAtlanta Falconsstarters rested | 60.7% | 19-20 |
| 2023-01-01 | Los Angeles RamsatLos Angeles Chargers | 69.2% | 10-31 |
| 2023-01-01 | Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Giants | 63.7% | 10-38 |
| 2023-01-01 | Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots | 61.8% | 21-23 |
| 2023-01-01 | New Orleans SaintsatPhiladelphia Eaglesstarters rested | 77.3% | 20-10 |
| 2023-01-01 | Jacksonville JaguarsatHouston Texans | 37.0% | 31-3 |
| 2023-01-01 | New York JetsatSeattle Seahawks | 67.3% | 6-23 |
| 2023-01-01 | Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers | 52.2% | 17-41 |
| 2023-01-01 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravensstarters rested | 67.6% | 16-13 |
| 2023-01-07 | Kansas City ChiefsatLas Vegas Raiders | 27.3% | 31-13 |
| 2023-01-07 | Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguars | 66.4% | 16-20 |
| 2023-01-08 | Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears | 30.4% | 29-13 |
| 2023-01-08 | Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals | 73.6% | 16-27 |
| 2023-01-08 | New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills | 82.0% | 23-35 |
| 2023-01-08 | Los Angeles ChargersatDenver Broncos | 33.1% | 28-31 |
| 2023-01-08 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 61.5% | 14-28 |
| 2023-01-08 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons | 41.6% | 17-30 |
| 2023-01-08 | Houston TexansatIndianapolis Coltsstarters rested | 69.7% | 32-31 |
| 2023-01-08 | Dallas CowboysatWashington Commanders | 28.5% | 6-26 |
| 2023-01-08 | New York JetsatMiami Dolphinsstarters rested | 69.8% | 6-11 |
| 2023-01-08 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 76.1% | 16-22 |
| 2023-01-08 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 68.7% | 20-16 |
| 2023-01-08 | Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints | 70.3% | 10-7 |
| 2023-01-08 | Los Angeles RamsatSeattle Seahawks | 68.6% | 16-19 |
| 2023-01-08 | Arizona CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ersstarters rested | 89.4% | 13-38 |
| 2023-01-14 | Los Angeles ChargersatJacksonville Jaguars | 58.6% | 30-31 |
| 2023-01-14 | Seattle SeahawksatSan Francisco 49ers | 81.2% | 23-41 |
| 2023-01-15 | Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals | 76.3% | 17-24 |
| 2023-01-15 | Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills | 84.6% | 31-34 |
| 2023-01-15 | New York GiantsatMinnesota Vikings | 73.2% | 31-24 |
| 2023-01-16 | Dallas CowboysatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 42.9% | 31-14 |
| 2023-01-21 | Jacksonville JaguarsatKansas City Chiefs | 82.7% | 20-27 |
| 2023-01-21 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.3% | 7-38 |
| 2023-01-22 | Cincinnati BengalsatBuffalo Bills | 64.8% | 27-10 |
| 2023-01-22 | Dallas CowboysatSan Francisco 49ers | 68.4% | 12-19 |
| 2023-01-29 | San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 45.1% | 7-31 |
| 2023-01-29 | Cincinnati BengalsatKansas City Chiefs | 60.1% | 20-23 |
| 2023-02-12 | Philadelphia EaglesvsKansas City Chiefs | 62.5% | 35-38 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.