The expectation ledger
The 2021 season, against expectation
Every game of 2021scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
285
Model Brier
0.2344
Market Brier
0.2172
Longest odds beaten
10.3%
Houston Texans
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 2021.
Show all 32 rows
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 2021 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-09 | Dallas CowboysatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 82.5% | 29-31 |
| 2021-09-12 | San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions | 45.0% | 41-33 |
| 2021-09-12 | Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams | 69.2% | 14-34 |
| 2021-09-12 | Minnesota VikingsatCincinnati Bengals | 47.5% | 24-27 |
| 2021-09-12 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBuffalo Bills | 73.0% | 23-16 |
| 2021-09-12 | Denver BroncosatNew York Giants | 55.8% | 27-13 |
| 2021-09-12 | Cleveland BrownsatKansas City Chiefs | 73.4% | 29-33 |
| 2021-09-12 | Arizona CardinalsatTennessee Titans | 68.1% | 38-13 |
| 2021-09-12 | Los Angeles ChargersatWashington Football Team | 54.5% | 20-16 |
| 2021-09-12 | Seattle SeahawksatIndianapolis Colts | 58.7% | 28-16 |
| 2021-09-12 | Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots | 54.9% | 17-16 |
| 2021-09-12 | Philadelphia EaglesatAtlanta Falcons | 67.0% | 32-6 |
| 2021-09-12 | Jacksonville JaguarsatHouston Texans | 71.4% | 21-37 |
| 2021-09-12 | New York JetsatCarolina Panthers | 66.6% | 14-19 |
| 2021-09-12 | Green Bay PackersatNew Orleans Saints | 47.9% | 3-38 |
| 2021-09-13 | Baltimore RavensatLas Vegas Raiders | 40.4% | 27-33 |
| 2021-09-16 | New York GiantsatWashington Football Team | 66.1% | 29-30 |
| 2021-09-19 | San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 54.0% | 17-11 |
| 2021-09-19 | Cincinnati BengalsatChicago Bears | 66.2% | 17-20 |
| 2021-09-19 | Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins | 50.6% | 35-0 |
| 2021-09-19 | Denver BroncosatJacksonville Jaguars | 37.1% | 23-13 |
| 2021-09-19 | Houston TexansatCleveland Browns | 69.2% | 21-31 |
| 2021-09-19 | Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 83.9% | 25-48 |
| 2021-09-19 | Minnesota VikingsatArizona Cardinals | 66.5% | 33-34 |
| 2021-09-19 | Dallas CowboysatLos Angeles Chargers | 68.0% | 20-17 |
| 2021-09-19 | Kansas City ChiefsatBaltimore Ravens | 49.4% | 35-36 |
| 2021-09-19 | Los Angeles RamsatIndianapolis Colts | 50.9% | 27-24 |
| 2021-09-19 | New England PatriotsatNew York Jets | 41.8% | 25-6 |
| 2021-09-19 | New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthers | 30.9% | 7-26 |
| 2021-09-19 | Las Vegas RaidersatPittsburgh Steelers | 67.5% | 26-17 |
| 2021-09-19 | Tennessee TitansatSeattle Seahawks | 71.0% | 33-30 |
| 2021-09-20 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 83.8% | 17-35 |
| 2021-09-23 | Carolina PanthersatHouston Texans | 51.0% | 24-9 |
| 2021-09-26 | Chicago BearsatCleveland Browns | 66.0% | 6-26 |
| 2021-09-26 | Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 73.1% | 24-10 |
| 2021-09-26 | Washington Football TeamatBuffalo Bills | 81.0% | 21-43 |
| 2021-09-26 | New York JetsatDenver Broncos | 77.7% | 0-26 |
| 2021-09-26 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatLos Angeles Rams | 50.0% | 24-34 |
| 2021-09-26 | Arizona CardinalsatJacksonville Jaguars | 27.8% | 31-19 |
| 2021-09-26 | Los Angeles ChargersatKansas City Chiefs | 77.5% | 30-24 |
| 2021-09-26 | Indianapolis ColtsatTennessee Titans | 60.8% | 16-25 |
| 2021-09-26 | Miami DolphinsatLas Vegas Raiders | 62.9% | 28-31 |
| 2021-09-26 | Atlanta FalconsatNew York Giants | 53.8% | 17-14 |
| 2021-09-26 | Baltimore RavensatDetroit Lions | 28.3% | 19-17 |
| 2021-09-26 | New Orleans SaintsatNew England Patriots | 46.3% | 28-13 |
| 2021-09-26 | Seattle SeahawksatMinnesota Vikings | 45.0% | 17-30 |
| 2021-09-26 | Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers | 49.5% | 30-28 |
| 2021-09-27 | Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys | 61.6% | 21-41 |
| 2021-09-30 | Jacksonville JaguarsatCincinnati Bengals | 79.2% | 21-24 |
| 2021-10-03 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 73.3% | 14-24 |
| 2021-10-03 | Houston TexansatBuffalo Bills | 85.4% | 0-40 |
| 2021-10-03 | Baltimore RavensatDenver Broncos | 47.3% | 23-7 |
| 2021-10-03 | Cleveland BrownsatMinnesota Vikings | 51.8% | 14-7 |
| 2021-10-03 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew England Patriots | 37.7% | 19-17 |
| 2021-10-03 | Arizona CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams | 69.3% | 37-20 |
| 2021-10-03 | Kansas City ChiefsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 33.8% | 42-30 |
| 2021-10-03 | Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins | 58.5% | 27-17 |
| 2021-10-03 | Washington Football TeamatAtlanta Falcons | 59.9% | 34-30 |
| 2021-10-03 | Carolina PanthersatDallas Cowboys | 55.2% | 28-36 |
| 2021-10-03 | New York GiantsatNew Orleans Saintsshock | 86.6% | 27-21 |
| 2021-10-03 | Tennessee TitansatNew York Jets | 30.0% | 24-27 |
| 2021-10-03 | Pittsburgh SteelersatGreen Bay Packers | 75.2% | 17-27 |
| 2021-10-03 | Seattle SeahawksatSan Francisco 49ers | 55.7% | 28-21 |
| 2021-10-04 | Las Vegas RaidersatLos Angeles Chargers | 57.6% | 14-28 |
| 2021-10-07 | Los Angeles RamsatSeattle Seahawks | 57.1% | 26-17 |
| 2021-10-10 | San Francisco 49ersatArizona Cardinals | 71.8% | 10-17 |
| 2021-10-10 | Chicago BearsatLas Vegas Raiders | 64.4% | 20-9 |
| 2021-10-10 | Green Bay PackersatCincinnati Bengals | 37.2% | 25-22 |
| 2021-10-10 | Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs | 55.0% | 38-20 |
| 2021-10-10 | Denver BroncosatPittsburgh Steelers | 57.6% | 19-27 |
| 2021-10-10 | Cleveland BrownsatLos Angeles Chargers | 55.2% | 42-47 |
| 2021-10-10 | Miami DolphinsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 81.1% | 17-45 |
| 2021-10-10 | New Orleans SaintsatWashington Football Team | 40.1% | 33-22 |
| 2021-10-10 | New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys | 71.7% | 20-44 |
| 2021-10-10 | Philadelphia EaglesatCarolina Panthers | 70.7% | 21-18 |
| 2021-10-10 | New York JetsatAtlanta Falcons | 60.0% | 20-27 |
| 2021-10-10 | Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguars | 27.2% | 37-19 |
| 2021-10-10 | Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings | 76.3% | 17-19 |
| 2021-10-10 | New England PatriotsatHouston Texans | 46.7% | 25-22 |
| 2021-10-11 | Indianapolis ColtsatBaltimore Ravens | 71.4% | 25-31 |
| 2021-10-14 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 27.9% | 28-22 |
| 2021-10-17 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 42.3% | 24-14 |
| 2021-10-17 | Cincinnati BengalsatDetroit Lions | 42.7% | 34-11 |
| 2021-10-17 | Las Vegas RaidersatDenver Broncos | 56.8% | 34-24 |
| 2021-10-17 | Arizona CardinalsatCleveland Browns | 53.3% | 37-14 |
| 2021-10-17 | Los Angeles ChargersatBaltimore Ravens | 67.9% | 6-34 |
| 2021-10-17 | Kansas City ChiefsatWashington Football Team | 37.4% | 31-13 |
| 2021-10-17 | Houston TexansatIndianapolis Colts | 75.9% | 3-31 |
| 2021-10-17 | Dallas CowboysatNew England Patriots | 54.9% | 35-29 |
| 2021-10-17 | Miami DolphinsatJacksonville Jaguars | 26.2% | 20-23 |
| 2021-10-17 | Los Angeles RamsatNew York Giants | 29.8% | 38-11 |
| 2021-10-17 | Minnesota VikingsatCarolina Panthers | 58.1% | 34-28 |
| 2021-10-17 | Seattle SeahawksatPittsburgh Steelers | 51.9% | 20-23 |
| 2021-10-18 | Buffalo BillsatTennessee Titans | 37.8% | 31-34 |
| 2021-10-21 | Denver BroncosatCleveland Browns | 71.0% | 14-17 |
| 2021-10-24 | Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 80.5% | 3-38 |
| 2021-10-24 | Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravens | 79.4% | 41-17 |
| 2021-10-24 | Houston TexansatArizona Cardinals | 87.4% | 5-31 |
| 2021-10-24 | Kansas City ChiefsatTennessee Titans | 50.9% | 3-27 |
| 2021-10-24 | Washington Football TeamatGreen Bay Packers | 84.8% | 10-24 |
| 2021-10-24 | Atlanta FalconsatMiami Dolphins | 58.0% | 30-28 |
| 2021-10-24 | Philadelphia EaglesatLas Vegas Raiders | 70.7% | 22-33 |
| 2021-10-24 | Carolina PanthersatNew York Giants | 48.2% | 3-25 |
| 2021-10-24 | New York JetsatNew England Patriots | 76.3% | 13-54 |
| 2021-10-24 | Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams | 90.0% | 19-28 |
| 2021-10-24 | Indianapolis ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers | 52.7% | 30-18 |
| 2021-10-25 | New Orleans SaintsatSeattle Seahawks | 47.3% | 13-10 |
| 2021-10-28 | Green Bay PackersatArizona Cardinals | 57.5% | 24-21 |
| 2021-10-31 | San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears | 62.3% | 33-22 |
| 2021-10-31 | Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Jets | 29.2% | 31-34 |
| 2021-10-31 | Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills | 86.3% | 11-26 |
| 2021-10-31 | Washington Football TeamatDenver Broncos | 61.9% | 10-17 |
| 2021-10-31 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 63.7% | 15-10 |
| 2021-10-31 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints | 50.7% | 27-36 |
| 2021-10-31 | New England PatriotsatLos Angeles Chargers | 66.5% | 27-24 |
| 2021-10-31 | Tennessee TitansatIndianapolis Colts | 55.2% | 34-31 |
| 2021-10-31 | Dallas CowboysatMinnesota Vikings | 53.8% | 20-16 |
| 2021-10-31 | Philadelphia EaglesatDetroit Lions | 44.9% | 44-6 |
| 2021-10-31 | Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falcons | 63.2% | 19-13 |
| 2021-10-31 | Jacksonville JaguarsatSeattle Seahawks | 83.8% | 7-31 |
| 2021-10-31 | Los Angeles RamsatHouston Texans | 23.2% | 38-22 |
| 2021-11-01 | New York GiantsatKansas City Chiefs | 79.7% | 17-20 |
| 2021-11-04 | New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts | 82.3% | 30-45 |
| 2021-11-07 | Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals | 60.1% | 41-16 |
| 2021-11-07 | Buffalo BillsatJacksonville Jaguarsshock | 13.2% | 6-9 |
| 2021-11-07 | Denver BroncosatDallas Cowboys | 74.5% | 30-16 |
| 2021-11-07 | Los Angeles ChargersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 47.3% | 27-24 |
| 2021-11-07 | Green Bay PackersatKansas City Chiefs | 47.0% | 7-13 |
| 2021-11-07 | Houston TexansatMiami Dolphins | 67.5% | 9-17 |
| 2021-11-07 | Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints | 83.9% | 27-25 |
| 2021-11-07 | Las Vegas RaidersatNew York Giants | 42.3% | 16-23 |
| 2021-11-07 | New England PatriotsatCarolina Panthers | 50.5% | 24-6 |
| 2021-11-07 | Tennessee TitansatLos Angeles Rams | 65.0% | 28-16 |
| 2021-11-07 | Minnesota VikingsatBaltimore Ravens | 72.2% | 31-34 |
| 2021-11-07 | Arizona CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ers | 39.5% | 31-17 |
| 2021-11-08 | Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Steelers | 69.6% | 27-29 |
| 2021-11-11 | Baltimore RavensatMiami Dolphins | 34.4% | 10-22 |
| 2021-11-14 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets | 18.9% | 45-17 |
| 2021-11-14 | Philadelphia EaglesatDenver Broncos | 67.3% | 30-13 |
| 2021-11-14 | Cleveland BrownsatNew England Patriots | 57.6% | 7-45 |
| 2021-11-14 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatWashington Football Team | 23.7% | 19-29 |
| 2021-11-14 | Carolina PanthersatArizona Cardinals | 84.6% | 34-10 |
| 2021-11-14 | Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Chargers | 66.3% | 27-20 |
| 2021-11-14 | Kansas City ChiefsatLas Vegas Raiders | 43.7% | 41-14 |
| 2021-11-14 | Jacksonville JaguarsatIndianapolis Colts | 85.1% | 17-23 |
| 2021-11-14 | Atlanta FalconsatDallas Cowboys | 69.1% | 3-43 |
| 2021-11-14 | Detroit LionsatPittsburgh Steelers | 86.4% | 16-16 |
| 2021-11-14 | Seattle SeahawksatGreen Bay Packers | 75.3% | 0-17 |
| 2021-11-14 | New Orleans SaintsatTennessee Titans | 60.8% | 21-23 |
| 2021-11-15 | Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers | 39.3% | 10-31 |
| 2021-11-18 | New England PatriotsatAtlanta Falcons | 38.8% | 25-0 |
| 2021-11-21 | San Francisco 49ersatJacksonville Jaguars | 31.6% | 30-10 |
| 2021-11-21 | Baltimore RavensatChicago Bears | 41.5% | 16-13 |
| 2021-11-21 | Cincinnati BengalsatLas Vegas Raiders | 58.4% | 32-13 |
| 2021-11-21 | Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills | 72.6% | 41-15 |
| 2021-11-21 | Detroit LionsatCleveland Browns | 84.8% | 10-13 |
| 2021-11-21 | Arizona CardinalsatSeattle Seahawks | 48.5% | 23-13 |
| 2021-11-21 | Pittsburgh SteelersatLos Angeles Chargers | 57.5% | 37-41 |
| 2021-11-21 | Dallas CowboysatKansas City Chiefs | 71.4% | 9-19 |
| 2021-11-21 | Washington Football TeamatCarolina Panthers | 65.5% | 27-21 |
| 2021-11-21 | Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets | 39.6% | 24-17 |
| 2021-11-21 | New Orleans SaintsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 38.2% | 29-40 |
| 2021-11-21 | Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings | 37.8% | 31-34 |
| 2021-11-21 | Houston TexansatTennessee Titansshock | 89.7% | 22-13 |
| 2021-11-22 | New York GiantsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 81.5% | 10-30 |
| 2021-11-25 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 38.5% | 16-14 |
| 2021-11-25 | Buffalo BillsatNew Orleans Saints | 56.0% | 31-6 |
| 2021-11-25 | Las Vegas RaidersatDallas Cowboys | 71.6% | 36-33 |
| 2021-11-28 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals | 59.9% | 10-41 |
| 2021-11-28 | Los Angeles ChargersatDenver Broncos | 48.6% | 13-28 |
| 2021-11-28 | Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Ravens | 66.1% | 10-16 |
| 2021-11-28 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatIndianapolis Colts | 55.8% | 38-31 |
| 2021-11-28 | Carolina PanthersatMiami Dolphins | 62.0% | 10-33 |
| 2021-11-28 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants | 47.6% | 7-13 |
| 2021-11-28 | Atlanta FalconsatJacksonville Jaguars | 43.4% | 21-14 |
| 2021-11-28 | New York JetsatHouston Texans | 69.7% | 21-14 |
| 2021-11-28 | Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers | 69.4% | 28-36 |
| 2021-11-28 | Tennessee TitansatNew England Patriots | 59.0% | 13-36 |
| 2021-11-28 | Minnesota VikingsatSan Francisco 49ers | 58.4% | 26-34 |
| 2021-11-29 | Seattle SeahawksatWashington Football Team | 55.6% | 15-17 |
| 2021-12-02 | Dallas CowboysatNew Orleans Saints | 64.7% | 27-17 |
| 2021-12-05 | San Francisco 49ersatSeattle Seahawks | 50.0% | 23-30 |
| 2021-12-05 | Arizona CardinalsatChicago Bears | 35.1% | 33-22 |
| 2021-12-05 | Los Angeles ChargersatCincinnati Bengals | 65.5% | 41-22 |
| 2021-12-05 | Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs | 79.8% | 9-22 |
| 2021-12-05 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons | 27.1% | 30-17 |
| 2021-12-05 | Indianapolis ColtsatHouston Texans | 27.7% | 31-0 |
| 2021-12-05 | Washington Football TeamatLas Vegas Raiders | 57.1% | 17-15 |
| 2021-12-05 | New York GiantsatMiami Dolphins | 67.0% | 9-20 |
| 2021-12-05 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Jets | 38.6% | 33-18 |
| 2021-12-05 | Jacksonville JaguarsatLos Angeles Rams | 88.3% | 7-37 |
| 2021-12-05 | Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions | 26.8% | 27-29 |
| 2021-12-05 | Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers | 43.9% | 19-20 |
| 2021-12-06 | New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills | 62.9% | 14-10 |
| 2021-12-09 | Pittsburgh SteelersatMinnesota Vikings | 60.3% | 28-36 |
| 2021-12-12 | San Francisco 49ersatCincinnati Bengals | 55.8% | 26-23 |
| 2021-12-12 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers | 85.2% | 30-45 |
| 2021-12-12 | Buffalo BillsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 65.2% | 27-33 |
| 2021-12-12 | Detroit LionsatDenver Broncos | 79.8% | 10-38 |
| 2021-12-12 | Baltimore RavensatCleveland Browns | 49.5% | 22-24 |
| 2021-12-12 | New York GiantsatLos Angeles Chargers | 73.3% | 21-37 |
| 2021-12-12 | Las Vegas RaidersatKansas City Chiefs | 83.5% | 9-48 |
| 2021-12-12 | Dallas CowboysatWashington Football Team | 51.1% | 27-20 |
| 2021-12-12 | Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers | 62.8% | 29-21 |
| 2021-12-12 | Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titans | 89.4% | 0-20 |
| 2021-12-12 | New Orleans SaintsatNew York Jets | 31.3% | 30-9 |
| 2021-12-12 | Seattle SeahawksatHouston Texans | 36.1% | 33-13 |
| 2021-12-13 | Los Angeles RamsatArizona Cardinals | 67.4% | 30-23 |
| 2021-12-16 | Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Chargers | 41.9% | 34-28 |
| 2021-12-18 | New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts | 53.8% | 17-27 |
| 2021-12-19 | Cincinnati BengalsatDenver Broncos | 58.7% | 15-10 |
| 2021-12-19 | Carolina PanthersatBuffalo Bills | 82.9% | 14-31 |
| 2021-12-19 | New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 77.3% | 9-0 |
| 2021-12-19 | Arizona CardinalsatDetroit Lions | 19.1% | 12-30 |
| 2021-12-19 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants | 37.7% | 21-6 |
| 2021-12-19 | New York JetsatMiami Dolphins | 83.5% | 24-31 |
| 2021-12-19 | Houston TexansatJacksonville Jaguars | 51.5% | 30-16 |
| 2021-12-19 | Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Ravens | 45.2% | 31-30 |
| 2021-12-19 | Tennessee TitansatPittsburgh Steelers | 44.4% | 13-19 |
| 2021-12-19 | Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers | 72.6% | 13-31 |
| 2021-12-20 | Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears | 45.0% | 17-9 |
| 2021-12-20 | Las Vegas RaidersatCleveland Browns | 71.0% | 16-14 |
| 2021-12-21 | Washington Football TeamatPhiladelphia Eagles | 64.5% | 17-27 |
| 2021-12-21 | Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Rams | 69.1% | 10-20 |
| 2021-12-23 | San Francisco 49ersatTennessee Titans | 59.3% | 17-20 |
| 2021-12-25 | Cleveland BrownsatGreen Bay Packers | 79.2% | 22-24 |
| 2021-12-25 | Indianapolis ColtsatArizona Cardinals | 47.6% | 22-16 |
| 2021-12-26 | Chicago BearsatSeattle Seahawks | 73.5% | 25-24 |
| 2021-12-26 | Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals | 50.8% | 21-41 |
| 2021-12-26 | Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots | 59.0% | 33-21 |
| 2021-12-26 | Denver BroncosatLas Vegas Raiders | 58.2% | 13-17 |
| 2021-12-26 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCarolina Panthers | 25.7% | 32-6 |
| 2021-12-26 | Los Angeles ChargersatHouston Texans | 32.7% | 29-41 |
| 2021-12-26 | Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs | 81.5% | 10-36 |
| 2021-12-26 | Washington Football TeamatDallas Cowboys | 76.1% | 14-56 |
| 2021-12-26 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 75.1% | 10-34 |
| 2021-12-26 | Detroit LionsatAtlanta Falcons | 70.3% | 16-20 |
| 2021-12-26 | Jacksonville JaguarsatNew York Jets | 67.1% | 21-26 |
| 2021-12-26 | Los Angeles RamsatMinnesota Vikings | 48.5% | 30-23 |
| 2021-12-27 | Miami DolphinsatNew Orleans Saints | 66.5% | 20-3 |
| 2022-01-02 | New York GiantsatChicago Bearsstarters rested | 63.3% | 3-29 |
| 2022-01-02 | Kansas City ChiefsatCincinnati Bengals | 36.3% | 31-34 |
| 2022-01-02 | Atlanta FalconsatBuffalo Bills | 84.1% | 15-29 |
| 2022-01-02 | Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Chargers | 66.3% | 13-34 |
| 2022-01-02 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew York Jets | 15.7% | 28-24 |
| 2022-01-02 | Arizona CardinalsatDallas Cowboys | 69.1% | 25-22 |
| 2022-01-02 | Las Vegas RaidersatIndianapolis Colts | 80.4% | 23-20 |
| 2022-01-02 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Football Team | 44.7% | 20-16 |
| 2022-01-02 | Miami DolphinsatTennessee Titans | 59.9% | 3-34 |
| 2022-01-02 | Jacksonville JaguarsatNew England Patriots | 92.3% | 10-50 |
| 2022-01-02 | Detroit LionsatSeattle Seahawks | 79.5% | 29-51 |
| 2022-01-02 | Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers | 79.0% | 10-37 |
| 2022-01-02 | Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saintsstarters rested | 78.0% | 10-18 |
| 2022-01-02 | Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Ravens | 45.7% | 20-19 |
| 2022-01-02 | Houston TexansatSan Francisco 49ersstarters rested | 78.9% | 7-23 |
| 2022-01-03 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 56.5% | 14-26 |
| 2022-01-08 | Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos | 25.1% | 28-24 |
| 2022-01-08 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eaglesstarters rested | 54.7% | 51-26 |
| 2022-01-09 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 69.9% | 27-24 |
| 2022-01-09 | Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings | 68.7% | 17-31 |
| 2022-01-09 | Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Brownsstarters rested | 49.0% | 16-21 |
| 2022-01-09 | New York JetsatBuffalo Bills | 92.1% | 10-27 |
| 2022-01-09 | Carolina PanthersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 88.7% | 17-41 |
| 2022-01-09 | Seattle SeahawksatArizona Cardinals | 64.4% | 38-30 |
| 2022-01-09 | Los Angeles ChargersatLas Vegas Raiders | 55.2% | 32-35 |
| 2022-01-09 | Indianapolis ColtsatJacksonville Jaguarsshock | 12.6% | 11-26 |
| 2022-01-09 | Washington Football TeamatNew York Giantsstarters rested | 50.2% | 22-7 |
| 2022-01-09 | New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins | 50.9% | 24-33 |
| 2022-01-09 | New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falconsstarters rested | 41.9% | 30-20 |
| 2022-01-09 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lionsshock | 14.2% | 30-37 |
| 2022-01-09 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravensstarters rested | 62.3% | 16-13 |
| 2022-01-09 | Tennessee TitansatHouston Texans | 28.6% | 28-25 |
| 2022-01-15 | Las Vegas RaidersatCincinnati Bengals | 63.9% | 19-26 |
| 2022-01-15 | New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills | 71.4% | 17-47 |
| 2022-01-16 | San Francisco 49ersatDallas Cowboys | 64.8% | 23-17 |
| 2022-01-16 | Philadelphia EaglesatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 78.4% | 15-31 |
| 2022-01-16 | Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs | 78.8% | 21-42 |
| 2022-01-17 | Arizona CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams | 72.0% | 11-34 |
| 2022-01-22 | San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers | 65.8% | 13-10 |
| 2022-01-22 | Cincinnati BengalsatTennessee Titans | 66.1% | 19-16 |
| 2022-01-23 | Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs | 61.5% | 36-42 |
| 2022-01-23 | Los Angeles RamsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 65.9% | 30-27 |
| 2022-01-30 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 63.4% | 17-20 |
| 2022-01-30 | Cincinnati BengalsatKansas City Chiefs | 77.0% | 27-24 |
| 2022-02-13 | Cincinnati BengalsatLos Angeles Rams | 68.3% | 20-23 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.