The expectation ledger
The 2003 season, against expectation
Every game of 2003scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
267
Model Brier
0.2209
Market Brier
0.2117
Longest odds beaten
15.8%
Carolina Panthers
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 2003.
Show all 32 rows
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 2003 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-09-04 | New York JetsatWashington Redskins | 45.8% | 13-16 |
| 2003-09-07 | Denver BroncosatCincinnati Bengals | 34.7% | 30-10 |
| 2003-09-07 | New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills | 52.1% | 0-31 |
| 2003-09-07 | Indianapolis ColtsatCleveland Browns | 57.2% | 9-6 |
| 2003-09-07 | Arizona CardinalsatDetroit Lions | 54.9% | 24-42 |
| 2003-09-07 | San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs | 67.4% | 14-27 |
| 2003-09-07 | Atlanta FalconsatDallas Cowboys | 41.9% | 27-13 |
| 2003-09-07 | Houston TexansatMiami Dolphins | 80.0% | 21-20 |
| 2003-09-07 | St. Louis RamsatNew York Giants | 61.7% | 13-23 |
| 2003-09-07 | Jacksonville JaguarsatCarolina Panthers | 58.0% | 23-24 |
| 2003-09-07 | Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers | 71.3% | 30-25 |
| 2003-09-07 | Oakland RaidersatTennessee Titans | 54.1% | 20-25 |
| 2003-09-07 | Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers | 69.0% | 15-34 |
| 2003-09-07 | New Orleans SaintsatSeattle Seahawks | 60.5% | 10-27 |
| 2003-09-07 | Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers | 71.4% | 7-49 |
| 2003-09-08 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 52.1% | 17-0 |
| 2003-09-14 | San Francisco 49ersatSt. Louis Rams | 54.1% | 24-27 |
| 2003-09-14 | Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings | 69.0% | 13-24 |
| 2003-09-14 | Cincinnati BengalsatOakland Raiders | 86.8% | 20-23 |
| 2003-09-14 | Buffalo BillsatJacksonville Jaguars | 50.0% | 38-17 |
| 2003-09-14 | Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers | 42.9% | 37-13 |
| 2003-09-14 | Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Ravens | 58.6% | 13-33 |
| 2003-09-14 | Carolina PanthersatTampa Bay Buccaneersshock | 84.2% | 12-9 |
| 2003-09-14 | Seattle SeahawksatArizona Cardinals | 36.9% | 38-0 |
| 2003-09-14 | Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs | 52.2% | 20-41 |
| 2003-09-14 | Tennessee TitansatIndianapolis Colts | 49.0% | 7-33 |
| 2003-09-14 | Washington RedskinsatAtlanta Falcons | 67.5% | 33-31 |
| 2003-09-14 | Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets | 64.5% | 21-10 |
| 2003-09-14 | New England PatriotsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 68.3% | 31-10 |
| 2003-09-14 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 75.5% | 6-31 |
| 2003-09-14 | Houston TexansatNew Orleans Saints | 73.2% | 10-31 |
| 2003-09-15 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants | 79.9% | 35-32 |
| 2003-09-21 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals | 29.4% | 17-10 |
| 2003-09-21 | Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins | 59.0% | 7-17 |
| 2003-09-21 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons | 42.1% | 31-10 |
| 2003-09-21 | Green Bay PackersatArizona Cardinals | 32.4% | 13-20 |
| 2003-09-21 | Baltimore RavensatSan Diego Chargers | 47.1% | 24-10 |
| 2003-09-21 | Kansas City ChiefsatHouston Texans | 30.5% | 42-14 |
| 2003-09-21 | Jacksonville JaguarsatIndianapolis Colts | 75.4% | 13-23 |
| 2003-09-21 | New York GiantsatWashington Redskins | 55.0% | 24-21 |
| 2003-09-21 | New York JetsatNew England Patriots | 63.2% | 16-23 |
| 2003-09-21 | Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions | 41.9% | 23-13 |
| 2003-09-21 | St. Louis RamsatSeattle Seahawks | 63.8% | 23-24 |
| 2003-09-21 | New Orleans SaintsatTennessee Titans | 68.4% | 12-27 |
| 2003-09-21 | Cleveland BrownsatSan Francisco 49ers | 70.0% | 13-12 |
| 2003-09-22 | Oakland RaidersatDenver Broncos | 56.0% | 10-31 |
| 2003-09-28 | San Francisco 49ersatMinnesota Vikings | 58.8% | 7-35 |
| 2003-09-28 | Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns | 76.4% | 21-14 |
| 2003-09-28 | Philadelphia EaglesatBuffalo Bills | 59.9% | 23-13 |
| 2003-09-28 | Detroit LionsatDenver Broncos | 85.8% | 16-20 |
| 2003-09-28 | Arizona CardinalsatSt. Louis Rams | 76.7% | 13-37 |
| 2003-09-28 | San Diego ChargersatOakland Raiders | 81.3% | 31-34 |
| 2003-09-28 | Kansas City ChiefsatBaltimore Ravens | 50.9% | 17-10 |
| 2003-09-28 | Indianapolis ColtsatNew Orleans Saints | 46.1% | 55-21 |
| 2003-09-28 | New England PatriotsatWashington Redskins | 48.7% | 17-20 |
| 2003-09-28 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Jets | 71.5% | 17-6 |
| 2003-09-28 | Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers | 55.6% | 3-23 |
| 2003-09-28 | Jacksonville JaguarsatHouston Texans | 47.4% | 20-24 |
| 2003-09-28 | Tennessee TitansatPittsburgh Steelers | 57.2% | 30-13 |
| 2003-09-29 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 43.4% | 38-23 |
| 2003-10-05 | Oakland RaidersatChicago Bears | 30.8% | 21-24 |
| 2003-10-05 | Cincinnati BengalsatBuffalo Bills | 77.2% | 16-22 |
| 2003-10-05 | Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs | 58.0% | 23-24 |
| 2003-10-05 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 72.4% | 33-13 |
| 2003-10-05 | Arizona CardinalsatDallas Cowboys | 70.9% | 7-24 |
| 2003-10-05 | San Diego ChargersatJacksonville Jaguars | 61.8% | 21-27 |
| 2003-10-05 | Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 66.3% | 25-27 |
| 2003-10-05 | Miami DolphinsatNew York Giants | 56.9% | 23-10 |
| 2003-10-05 | Minnesota VikingsatAtlanta Falcons | 50.6% | 39-26 |
| 2003-10-05 | Seattle SeahawksatGreen Bay Packers | 55.2% | 13-35 |
| 2003-10-05 | New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthers | 68.6% | 13-19 |
| 2003-10-05 | Tennessee TitansatNew England Patriots | 50.8% | 30-38 |
| 2003-10-05 | Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers | 76.6% | 17-24 |
| 2003-10-06 | Indianapolis ColtsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 70.3% | 38-35 |
| 2003-10-12 | San Francisco 49ersatSeattle Seahawks | 63.1% | 19-20 |
| 2003-10-12 | Chicago BearsatNew Orleans Saints | 64.3% | 13-20 |
| 2003-10-12 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets | 53.1% | 3-30 |
| 2003-10-12 | Pittsburgh SteelersatDenver Broncos | 74.7% | 14-17 |
| 2003-10-12 | Oakland RaidersatCleveland Browns | 47.1% | 7-13 |
| 2003-10-12 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatWashington Redskins | 36.2% | 35-13 |
| 2003-10-12 | Baltimore RavensatArizona Cardinals | 37.5% | 26-18 |
| 2003-10-12 | Kansas City ChiefsatGreen Bay Packers | 52.6% | 40-34 |
| 2003-10-12 | Carolina PanthersatIndianapolis Colts | 71.6% | 23-20 |
| 2003-10-12 | Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys | 45.0% | 21-23 |
| 2003-10-12 | Miami DolphinsatJacksonville Jaguars | 33.0% | 24-10 |
| 2003-10-12 | New York GiantsatNew England Patriots | 66.0% | 6-17 |
| 2003-10-12 | Houston TexansatTennessee Titans | 85.3% | 17-38 |
| 2003-10-13 | Atlanta FalconsatSt. Louis Rams | 68.7% | 0-36 |
| 2003-10-19 | Chicago BearsatSeattle Seahawks | 78.3% | 17-24 |
| 2003-10-19 | Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals | 35.8% | 26-34 |
| 2003-10-19 | Washington RedskinsatBuffalo Bills | 59.8% | 7-24 |
| 2003-10-19 | Denver BroncosatMinnesota Vikings | 54.0% | 20-28 |
| 2003-10-19 | San Diego ChargersatCleveland Browns | 75.3% | 26-20 |
| 2003-10-19 | Dallas CowboysatDetroit Lions | 40.3% | 38-7 |
| 2003-10-19 | New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins | 63.1% | 19-13 |
| 2003-10-19 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants | 52.5% | 14-10 |
| 2003-10-19 | New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons | 58.2% | 45-17 |
| 2003-10-19 | New York JetsatHouston Texans | 36.8% | 19-14 |
| 2003-10-19 | Green Bay PackersatSt. Louis Rams | 61.1% | 24-34 |
| 2003-10-19 | Tennessee TitansatCarolina Panthers | 52.0% | 37-17 |
| 2003-10-19 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSan Francisco 49ers | 33.4% | 7-24 |
| 2003-10-20 | Kansas City ChiefsatOakland Raiders | 46.6% | 17-10 |
| 2003-10-26 | San Francisco 49ersatArizona Cardinals | 30.2% | 13-16 |
| 2003-10-26 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 66.4% | 16-24 |
| 2003-10-26 | Seattle SeahawksatCincinnati Bengals | 35.7% | 24-27 |
| 2003-10-26 | Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs | 76.7% | 5-38 |
| 2003-10-26 | Denver BroncosatBaltimore Ravens | 44.3% | 6-26 |
| 2003-10-26 | Cleveland BrownsatNew England Patriots | 77.8% | 3-9 |
| 2003-10-26 | Dallas CowboysatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 76.3% | 0-16 |
| 2003-10-26 | Houston TexansatIndianapolis Colts | 87.3% | 21-30 |
| 2003-10-26 | New York JetsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 67.0% | 17-24 |
| 2003-10-26 | New York GiantsatMinnesota Vikings | 72.5% | 29-17 |
| 2003-10-26 | Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguars | 27.5% | 30-17 |
| 2003-10-26 | Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints | 55.2% | 23-20 |
| 2003-10-26 | St. Louis RamsatPittsburgh Steelers | 45.6% | 33-21 |
| 2003-10-27 | Miami DolphinsatSan Diego Chargers | 24.6% | 26-10 |
| 2003-11-02 | San Diego ChargersatChicago Bears | 59.3% | 7-20 |
| 2003-11-02 | Cincinnati BengalsatArizona Cardinals | 52.6% | 14-17 |
| 2003-11-02 | New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneersshock | 80.9% | 17-14 |
| 2003-11-02 | Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins | 59.4% | 23-17 |
| 2003-11-02 | Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys | 64.5% | 14-21 |
| 2003-11-02 | Philadelphia EaglesatAtlanta Falcons | 33.2% | 23-16 |
| 2003-11-02 | New York GiantsatNew York Jets | 55.0% | 31-28 |
| 2003-11-02 | Jacksonville JaguarsatBaltimore Ravens | 76.3% | 17-24 |
| 2003-11-02 | Oakland RaidersatDetroit Lions | 29.7% | 13-23 |
| 2003-11-02 | Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings | 63.6% | 30-27 |
| 2003-11-02 | Carolina PanthersatHouston Texans | 30.7% | 10-14 |
| 2003-11-02 | Pittsburgh SteelersatSeattle Seahawks | 69.2% | 16-23 |
| 2003-11-02 | St. Louis RamsatSan Francisco 49ers | 48.8% | 10-30 |
| 2003-11-03 | New England PatriotsatDenver Broncos | 49.7% | 30-26 |
| 2003-11-09 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 49.9% | 10-12 |
| 2003-11-09 | Houston TexansatCincinnati Bengals | 64.2% | 27-34 |
| 2003-11-09 | Buffalo BillsatDallas Cowboys | 61.8% | 6-10 |
| 2003-11-09 | Cleveland BrownsatKansas City Chiefs | 82.7% | 20-41 |
| 2003-11-09 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCarolina Panthers | 41.5% | 24-27 |
| 2003-11-09 | Arizona CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 69.2% | 15-28 |
| 2003-11-09 | Minnesota VikingsatSan Diego Chargers | 35.3% | 28-42 |
| 2003-11-09 | Indianapolis ColtsatJacksonville Jaguars | 25.2% | 23-28 |
| 2003-11-09 | Seattle SeahawksatWashington Redskins | 45.3% | 20-27 |
| 2003-11-09 | Miami DolphinsatTennessee Titans | 67.4% | 7-31 |
| 2003-11-09 | Atlanta FalconsatNew York Giants | 78.6% | 27-7 |
| 2003-11-09 | New York JetsatOakland Raiders | 59.1% | 27-24 |
| 2003-11-09 | Baltimore RavensatSt. Louis Rams | 63.7% | 22-33 |
| 2003-11-10 | Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers | 51.0% | 17-14 |
| 2003-11-16 | St. Louis RamsatChicago Bears | 33.6% | 23-21 |
| 2003-11-16 | Kansas City ChiefsatCincinnati Bengals | 23.3% | 19-24 |
| 2003-11-16 | Houston TexansatBuffalo Bills | 76.9% | 12-10 |
| 2003-11-16 | San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos | 76.4% | 8-37 |
| 2003-11-16 | Arizona CardinalsatCleveland Browns | 71.7% | 6-44 |
| 2003-11-16 | Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 70.9% | 20-13 |
| 2003-11-16 | New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts | 71.8% | 31-38 |
| 2003-11-16 | Washington RedskinsatCarolina Panthers | 67.1% | 17-20 |
| 2003-11-16 | Dallas CowboysatNew England Patriots | 74.3% | 0-12 |
| 2003-11-16 | Baltimore RavensatMiami Dolphins | 65.9% | 6-9 |
| 2003-11-16 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.3% | 10-28 |
| 2003-11-16 | Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints | 66.9% | 20-23 |
| 2003-11-16 | Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titans | 86.6% | 3-10 |
| 2003-11-16 | Detroit LionsatSeattle Seahawks | 78.9% | 14-35 |
| 2003-11-16 | Minnesota VikingsatOakland Raiders | 54.8% | 18-28 |
| 2003-11-17 | Pittsburgh SteelersatSan Francisco 49ers | 71.7% | 14-30 |
| 2003-11-23 | San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers | 57.9% | 10-20 |
| 2003-11-23 | Chicago BearsatDenver Broncos | 79.1% | 19-10 |
| 2003-11-23 | Cincinnati BengalsatSan Diego Chargers | 53.2% | 34-27 |
| 2003-11-23 | Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills | 37.9% | 17-14 |
| 2003-11-23 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 62.7% | 13-6 |
| 2003-11-23 | St. Louis RamsatArizona Cardinals | 24.9% | 30-27 |
| 2003-11-23 | Oakland RaidersatKansas City Chiefs | 77.8% | 24-27 |
| 2003-11-23 | Washington RedskinsatMiami Dolphins | 73.8% | 23-24 |
| 2003-11-23 | Carolina PanthersatDallas Cowboys | 55.9% | 20-24 |
| 2003-11-23 | New Orleans SaintsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.5% | 20-33 |
| 2003-11-23 | Tennessee TitansatAtlanta Falcons | 27.0% | 38-31 |
| 2003-11-23 | Jacksonville JaguarsatNew York Jets | 71.2% | 10-13 |
| 2003-11-23 | Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings | 76.1% | 14-24 |
| 2003-11-23 | New England PatriotsatHouston Texans | 20.6% | 23-20 |
| 2003-11-23 | Seattle SeahawksatBaltimore Ravens | 55.8% | 41-44 |
| 2003-11-24 | New York GiantsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 72.6% | 13-19 |
| 2003-11-27 | Miami DolphinsatDallas Cowboys | 51.8% | 40-21 |
| 2003-11-27 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions | 26.0% | 14-22 |
| 2003-11-30 | San Francisco 49ersatBaltimore Ravens | 54.9% | 6-44 |
| 2003-11-30 | Arizona CardinalsatChicago Bears | 72.9% | 3-28 |
| 2003-11-30 | Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 61.4% | 24-20 |
| 2003-11-30 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Giants | 62.0% | 24-7 |
| 2003-11-30 | Denver BroncosatOakland Raiders | 54.7% | 22-8 |
| 2003-11-30 | Cleveland BrownsatSeattle Seahawks | 69.5% | 7-34 |
| 2003-11-30 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatJacksonville Jaguars | 31.3% | 10-17 |
| 2003-11-30 | Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers | 22.3% | 28-24 |
| 2003-11-30 | New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts | 54.1% | 38-34 |
| 2003-11-30 | New Orleans SaintsatWashington Redskins | 53.7% | 24-20 |
| 2003-11-30 | Philadelphia EaglesatCarolina Panthers | 42.1% | 25-16 |
| 2003-11-30 | Atlanta FalconsatHouston Texans | 49.0% | 13-17 |
| 2003-11-30 | Minnesota VikingsatSt. Louis Rams | 72.8% | 17-48 |
| 2003-12-01 | Tennessee TitansatNew York Jets | 34.0% | 17-24 |
| 2003-12-07 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers | 71.5% | 21-34 |
| 2003-12-07 | Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravens | 69.2% | 13-31 |
| 2003-12-07 | New York JetsatBuffalo Bills | 53.4% | 6-17 |
| 2003-12-07 | Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos | 43.8% | 27-45 |
| 2003-12-07 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints | 51.8% | 14-7 |
| 2003-12-07 | San Diego ChargersatDetroit Lions | 60.3% | 14-7 |
| 2003-12-07 | Indianapolis ColtsatTennessee Titans | 65.6% | 29-27 |
| 2003-12-07 | Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants | 58.7% | 20-7 |
| 2003-12-07 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles | 79.1% | 10-36 |
| 2003-12-07 | Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots | 68.4% | 0-12 |
| 2003-12-07 | Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falcons | 45.5% | 14-20 |
| 2003-12-07 | Houston TexansatJacksonville Jaguars | 67.0% | 0-27 |
| 2003-12-07 | Oakland RaidersatPittsburgh Steelers | 58.5% | 7-27 |
| 2003-12-07 | Seattle SeahawksatMinnesota Vikings | 49.9% | 7-34 |
| 2003-12-07 | Arizona CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ers | 82.8% | 14-50 |
| 2003-12-08 | St. Louis RamsatCleveland Browns | 32.5% | 26-20 |
| 2003-12-14 | San Francisco 49ersatCincinnati Bengals | 49.3% | 38-41 |
| 2003-12-14 | Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears | 49.1% | 10-13 |
| 2003-12-14 | Buffalo BillsatTennessee Titans | 74.9% | 26-28 |
| 2003-12-14 | Cleveland BrownsatDenver Broncos | 79.6% | 20-23 |
| 2003-12-14 | Houston TexansatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 85.3% | 3-16 |
| 2003-12-14 | Carolina PanthersatArizona Cardinals | 33.8% | 20-17 |
| 2003-12-14 | Green Bay PackersatSan Diego Chargers | 35.1% | 38-21 |
| 2003-12-14 | Detroit LionsatKansas City Chiefs | 87.9% | 17-45 |
| 2003-12-14 | Atlanta FalconsatIndianapolis Colts | 81.6% | 7-38 |
| 2003-12-14 | Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins | 57.7% | 27-0 |
| 2003-12-14 | New York GiantsatNew Orleans Saints | 70.8% | 7-45 |
| 2003-12-14 | Jacksonville JaguarsatNew England Patriots | 85.8% | 13-27 |
| 2003-12-14 | Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Jets | 63.7% | 0-6 |
| 2003-12-14 | Baltimore RavensatOakland Raiders | 39.7% | 12-20 |
| 2003-12-14 | Seattle SeahawksatSt. Louis Rams | 74.4% | 22-27 |
| 2003-12-15 | Philadelphia EaglesatMiami Dolphins | 47.9% | 34-27 |
| 2003-12-20 | Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneersshock | 80.2% | 30-28 |
| 2003-12-20 | Kansas City ChiefsatMinnesota Vikings | 39.8% | 20-45 |
| 2003-12-20 | New England PatriotsatNew York Jets | 34.2% | 21-16 |
| 2003-12-21 | San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock | 80.2% | 31-28 |
| 2003-12-21 | Washington RedskinsatChicago Bearsstarters rested | 61.8% | 24-27 |
| 2003-12-21 | Cincinnati BengalsatSt. Louis Rams | 78.6% | 10-27 |
| 2003-12-21 | Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills | 49.8% | 20-3 |
| 2003-12-21 | Denver BroncosatIndianapolis Colts | 65.4% | 31-17 |
| 2003-12-21 | Baltimore RavensatCleveland Brownsstarters rested | 39.9% | 35-0 |
| 2003-12-21 | Arizona CardinalsatSeattle Seahawks | 82.7% | 10-28 |
| 2003-12-21 | San Diego ChargersatPittsburgh Steelers | 71.3% | 24-40 |
| 2003-12-21 | New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys | 76.3% | 3-19 |
| 2003-12-21 | New Orleans SaintsatJacksonville Jaguars | 48.9% | 19-20 |
| 2003-12-21 | Detroit LionsatCarolina Panthers | 77.9% | 14-20 |
| 2003-12-21 | Tennessee TitansatHouston Texans | 20.3% | 27-24 |
| 2003-12-22 | Green Bay PackersatOakland Raiders | 42.2% | 41-7 |
| 2003-12-27 | Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots | 84.7% | 0-31 |
| 2003-12-27 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins | 26.0% | 31-7 |
| 2003-12-27 | Seattle SeahawksatSan Francisco 49ers | 63.8% | 24-17 |
| 2003-12-28 | Chicago BearsatKansas City Chiefs | 75.3% | 3-31 |
| 2003-12-28 | Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals | 70.2% | 22-14 |
| 2003-12-28 | Denver BroncosatGreen Bay Packers | 56.9% | 3-31 |
| 2003-12-28 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatTennessee Titansstarters rested | 68.9% | 13-33 |
| 2003-12-28 | Minnesota VikingsatArizona Cardinals | 25.4% | 17-18 |
| 2003-12-28 | Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers | 48.4% | 14-21 |
| 2003-12-28 | Indianapolis ColtsatHouston Texans | 24.5% | 20-17 |
| 2003-12-28 | Dallas CowboysatNew Orleans Saints | 55.2% | 7-13 |
| 2003-12-28 | New York JetsatMiami Dolphins | 71.3% | 21-23 |
| 2003-12-28 | Jacksonville JaguarsatAtlanta Falconsstarters rested | 57.8% | 14-21 |
| 2003-12-28 | Carolina PanthersatNew York Giants | 41.2% | 37-24 |
| 2003-12-28 | St. Louis RamsatDetroit Lionsshock | 18.9% | 20-30 |
| 2003-12-28 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravensstarters rested | 71.2% | 10-13 |
| 2004-01-03 | Dallas CowboysatCarolina Panthers | 59.6% | 10-29 |
| 2004-01-03 | Tennessee TitansatBaltimore Ravens | 46.5% | 20-17 |
| 2004-01-04 | Denver BroncosatIndianapolis Colts | 60.0% | 10-41 |
| 2004-01-04 | Seattle SeahawksatGreen Bay Packers | 72.3% | 27-33 |
| 2004-01-10 | Carolina PanthersatSt. Louis Rams | 67.2% | 29-23 |
| 2004-01-10 | Tennessee TitansatNew England Patriots | 65.0% | 14-17 |
| 2004-01-11 | Indianapolis ColtsatKansas City Chiefs | 55.9% | 38-31 |
| 2004-01-11 | Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 64.3% | 17-20 |
| 2004-01-18 | Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots | 69.5% | 14-24 |
| 2004-01-18 | Carolina PanthersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 74.7% | 14-3 |
| 2004-02-01 | Carolina PanthersvsNew England Patriots | 68.3% | 29-32 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.