The expectation ledger

The 2001 season, against expectation

Every game of 2001scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

Games
259
Model Brier
0.2290
Market Brier
0.2243
Longest odds beaten
9.0%
Arizona Cardinals

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 2001.

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 2001 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
2001-09-09Chicago BearsatBaltimore Ravens84.7%6-17
2001-09-09New England PatriotsatCincinnati Bengals48.9%17-23
2001-09-09New Orleans SaintsatBuffalo Bills62.4%24-6
2001-09-09Seattle SeahawksatCleveland Browns40.8%9-6
2001-09-09Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDallas Cowboys42.1%10-6
2001-09-09Washington RedskinsatSan Diego Chargers38.3%3-30
2001-09-09Oakland RaidersatKansas City Chiefs43.2%27-24
2001-09-09Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets53.0%45-24
2001-09-09Miami DolphinsatTennessee Titans64.1%31-23
2001-09-09St. Louis RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles58.6%20-17
2001-09-09Pittsburgh SteelersatJacksonville Jaguars56.8%3-21
2001-09-09Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers65.5%6-28
2001-09-09Carolina PanthersatMinnesota Vikings66.1%24-13
2001-09-09Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers66.3%13-16
2001-09-10New York GiantsatDenver Broncos57.6%20-31
2001-09-23Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears45.3%10-17
2001-09-23Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals24.7%10-21
2001-09-23Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts75.8%26-42
2001-09-23Denver BroncosatArizona Cardinals26.6%38-17
2001-09-23Detroit LionsatCleveland Browns35.6%14-24
2001-09-23San Diego ChargersatDallas Cowboys63.6%32-21
2001-09-23New York GiantsatKansas City Chiefs48.4%13-3
2001-09-23Oakland RaidersatMiami Dolphins58.0%15-18
2001-09-23Philadelphia EaglesatSeattle Seahawks51.2%27-3
2001-09-23Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falcons40.2%16-24
2001-09-23Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguars52.6%6-13
2001-09-23New York JetsatNew England Patriots49.0%10-3
2001-09-23St. Louis RamsatSan Francisco 49ers44.7%30-26
2001-09-24Washington RedskinsatGreen Bay Packers73.2%0-37
2001-09-30Cincinnati BengalsatSan Diego Chargers58.8%14-28
2001-09-30Pittsburgh SteelersatBuffalo Bills55.8%20-3
2001-09-30Baltimore RavensatDenver Broncos55.6%20-13
2001-09-30Cleveland BrownsatJacksonville Jaguars81.6%23-14
2001-09-30Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings45.7%16-20
2001-09-30Atlanta FalconsatArizona Cardinals44.6%34-14
2001-09-30Kansas City ChiefsatWashington Redskins59.5%45-13
2001-09-30Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots29.6%13-44
2001-09-30Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles78.4%18-40
2001-09-30Miami DolphinsatSt. Louis Rams55.4%10-42
2001-09-30New Orleans SaintsatNew York Giants63.8%13-21
2001-09-30Green Bay PackersatCarolina Panthers46.0%28-7
2001-09-30Seattle SeahawksatOakland Raiders78.1%14-38
2001-10-01San Francisco 49ersatNew York Jets69.1%19-17
2001-10-07Chicago BearsatAtlanta Falcons61.1%31-3
2001-10-07Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers73.1%7-16
2001-10-07New York JetsatBuffalo Bills49.0%42-36
2001-10-07Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos69.5%6-20
2001-10-07San Diego ChargersatCleveland Browns50.2%16-20
2001-10-07Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers51.1%10-14
2001-10-07Arizona CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock88.0%21-20
2001-10-07Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants80.3%9-23
2001-10-07Dallas CowboysatOakland Raiders83.5%21-28
2001-10-07New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins73.6%10-30
2001-10-07Jacksonville JaguarsatSeattle Seahawks48.2%15-24
2001-10-07Tennessee TitansatBaltimore Ravens70.5%7-26
2001-10-07Minnesota VikingsatNew Orleans Saints61.4%15-28
2001-10-07Carolina PanthersatSan Francisco 49ers58.3%14-24
2001-10-08St. Louis RamsatDetroit Lions37.2%35-0
2001-10-14San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons47.8%37-31
2001-10-14Arizona CardinalsatChicago Bears79.6%13-20
2001-10-14Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals58.7%14-24
2001-10-14Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks40.3%21-34
2001-10-14Tampa Bay BuccaneersatTennessee Titans53.2%28-31
2001-10-14San Diego ChargersatNew England Patriots60.2%26-29
2001-10-14Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs50.1%20-17
2001-10-14Oakland RaidersatIndianapolis Colts53.9%23-18
2001-10-14Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets50.1%17-21
2001-10-14New York GiantsatSt. Louis Rams65.0%14-15
2001-10-14Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings66.6%26-31
2001-10-14Baltimore RavensatGreen Bay Packers52.1%23-31
2001-10-14New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthers46.9%27-25
2001-10-15Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys57.6%7-9
2001-10-18Buffalo BillsatJacksonville Jaguars67.5%13-10
2001-10-21Chicago BearsatCincinnati Bengals50.9%24-0
2001-10-21Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers42.4%10-27
2001-10-21Baltimore RavensatCleveland Browns26.3%14-24
2001-10-21Pittsburgh SteelersatTampa Bay Buccaneers61.3%17-10
2001-10-21Kansas City ChiefsatArizona Cardinals36.5%16-24
2001-10-21New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts71.6%38-17
2001-10-21Carolina PanthersatWashington Redskins51.2%14-17
2001-10-21Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints78.8%20-13
2001-10-21St. Louis RamsatNew York Jets45.3%34-14
2001-10-21Tennessee TitansatDetroit Lions40.5%27-24
2001-10-21Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings40.6%13-35
2001-10-22Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants63.4%10-9
2001-10-25Indianapolis ColtsatKansas City Chiefs48.3%35-28
2001-10-28San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears61.2%31-37
2001-10-28Cincinnati BengalsatDetroit Lions61.2%31-27
2001-10-28Buffalo BillsatSan Diego Chargers63.2%24-27
2001-10-28New England PatriotsatDenver Broncos60.4%20-31
2001-10-28Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers60.1%14-41
2001-10-28Arizona CardinalsatDallas Cowboys67.9%3-17
2001-10-28New York GiantsatWashington Redskins34.0%21-35
2001-10-28Miami DolphinsatSeattle Seahawks45.9%24-20
2001-10-28Oakland RaidersatPhiladelphia Eagles50.1%20-10
2001-10-28Jacksonville JaguarsatBaltimore Ravens76.3%17-18
2001-10-28New York JetsatCarolina Panthers46.9%13-12
2001-10-28New Orleans SaintsatSt. Louis Rams78.0%34-31
2001-10-29Tennessee TitansatPittsburgh Steelers61.7%7-34
2001-11-04Cleveland BrownsatChicago Bears72.4%21-27
2001-11-04Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills44.9%30-14
2001-11-04Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers62.3%20-21
2001-11-04Philadelphia EaglesatArizona Cardinals27.6%21-7
2001-11-04Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers67.8%25-20
2001-11-04Seattle SeahawksatWashington Redskins55.0%14-27
2001-11-04Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants75.8%24-27
2001-11-04Carolina PanthersatMiami Dolphins79.2%6-23
2001-11-04New England PatriotsatAtlanta Falcons50.0%24-10
2001-11-04Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titans69.7%24-28
2001-11-04New York JetsatNew Orleans Saints61.3%16-9
2001-11-04Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers59.7%13-10
2001-11-04Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers72.4%13-21
2001-11-05Denver BroncosatOakland Raiders74.5%28-38
2001-11-11Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears52.0%20-12
2001-11-11Cincinnati BengalsatJacksonville Jaguars63.8%13-30
2001-11-11Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots73.6%11-21
2001-11-11San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos69.0%16-26
2001-11-11Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns35.9%15-12
2001-11-11Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions33.3%20-17
2001-11-11New York GiantsatArizona Cardinals25.5%17-10
2001-11-11Kansas City ChiefsatNew York Jets73.5%7-27
2001-11-11Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts52.4%27-24
2001-11-11Dallas CowboysatAtlanta Falcons58.3%13-20
2001-11-11Minnesota VikingsatPhiladelphia Eagles65.9%17-48
2001-11-11Carolina PanthersatSt. Louis Rams84.7%14-48
2001-11-11Oakland RaidersatSeattle Seahawks28.6%27-34
2001-11-11New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers57.8%27-28
2001-11-12Baltimore RavensatTennessee Titans49.0%16-10
2001-11-18San Francisco 49ersatCarolina Panthers44.4%25-22
2001-11-18Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers66.0%27-24
2001-11-18Tennessee TitansatCincinnati Bengals40.4%20-7
2001-11-18Seattle SeahawksatBuffalo Bills47.0%23-20
2001-11-18Washington RedskinsatDenver Broncos69.3%17-10
2001-11-18Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Ravensshock84.2%27-17
2001-11-18Detroit LionsatArizona Cardinals48.0%38-45
2001-11-18San Diego ChargersatOakland Raiders82.2%24-34
2001-11-18Indianapolis ColtsatNew Orleans Saints54.6%20-34
2001-11-18Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys32.2%36-3
2001-11-18New York JetsatMiami Dolphins66.2%24-0
2001-11-18Atlanta FalconsatGreen Bay Packers82.4%23-20
2001-11-18Jacksonville JaguarsatPittsburgh Steelers75.3%7-20
2001-11-18St. Louis RamsatNew England Patriots41.2%24-17
2001-11-19New York GiantsatMinnesota Vikings49.0%16-28
2001-11-22Denver BroncosatDallas Cowboys39.1%26-24
2001-11-22Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions26.1%29-27
2001-11-25San Francisco 49ersatIndianapolis Colts58.6%40-21
2001-11-25Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings55.5%13-6
2001-11-25Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns70.2%0-18
2001-11-25Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills32.3%34-27
2001-11-25Arizona CardinalsatSan Diego Chargers74.2%20-17
2001-11-25Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs49.7%7-19
2001-11-25Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles73.3%13-3
2001-11-25Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers52.3%10-7
2001-11-25Oakland RaidersatNew York Giants43.4%28-10
2001-11-25Baltimore RavensatJacksonville Jaguars40.1%24-21
2001-11-25New Orleans SaintsatNew England Patriots56.6%17-34
2001-11-25Pittsburgh SteelersatTennessee Titans50.6%34-24
2001-11-26Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSt. Louis Rams74.4%24-17
2001-11-29Philadelphia EaglesatKansas City Chiefs42.7%23-10
2001-12-02Detroit LionsatChicago Bears84.0%10-13
2001-12-02Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCincinnati Bengals28.1%16-13
2001-12-02Denver BroncosatMiami Dolphins68.3%10-21
2001-12-02Tennessee TitansatCleveland Browns52.3%31-15
2001-12-02Arizona CardinalsatOakland Raidersshock91.0%34-31
2001-12-02San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks66.9%10-13
2001-12-02Indianapolis ColtsatBaltimore Ravens74.7%27-39
2001-12-02Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins79.8%20-14
2001-12-02St. Louis RamsatAtlanta Falcons33.7%35-6
2001-12-02New England PatriotsatNew York Jets69.0%17-16
2001-12-02Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints75.3%23-27
2001-12-02Minnesota VikingsatPittsburgh Steelers76.8%16-21
2001-12-02Buffalo BillsatSan Francisco 49ers81.3%0-35
2001-12-03Green Bay PackersatJacksonville Jaguars37.8%28-21
2001-12-09San Francisco 49ersatSt. Louis Rams71.2%14-27
2001-12-09Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers65.3%7-17
2001-12-09Jacksonville JaguarsatCincinnati Bengals47.9%14-10
2001-12-09Carolina PanthersatBuffalo Bills57.0%24-25
2001-12-09Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos63.1%7-20
2001-12-09Cleveland BrownsatNew England Patriots72.3%16-27
2001-12-09Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers86.4%12-15
2001-12-09Washington RedskinsatArizona Cardinals40.4%20-10
2001-12-09San Diego ChargersatPhiladelphia Eagles81.2%14-24
2001-12-09Kansas City ChiefsatOakland Raiders83.1%26-28
2001-12-09New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys42.8%13-20
2001-12-09New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons47.8%28-10
2001-12-09New York JetsatPittsburgh Steelers64.8%7-18
2001-12-09Tennessee TitansatMinnesota Vikings49.1%24-42
2001-12-10Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins75.7%6-41
2001-12-15Arizona CardinalsatNew York Giants76.4%13-17
2001-12-15Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers25.4%13-6
2001-12-16Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears52.9%3-27
2001-12-16Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Jets85.8%14-15
2001-12-16New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills31.6%12-9
2001-12-16Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs45.5%23-26
2001-12-16Jacksonville JaguarsatCleveland Browns57.3%15-10
2001-12-16Atlanta FalconsatIndianapolis Colts65.4%27-41
2001-12-16Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins47.9%20-6
2001-12-16Dallas CowboysatSeattle Seahawks64.3%3-29
2001-12-16Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions34.2%24-27
2001-12-16Green Bay PackersatTennessee Titans44.4%20-26
2001-12-16Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravens53.0%26-21
2001-12-16Miami DolphinsatSan Francisco 49ers50.4%0-21
2001-12-17St. Louis RamsatNew Orleans Saints40.4%34-21
2001-12-22Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots56.8%13-20
2001-12-22Tennessee TitansatOakland Raiders72.8%13-10
2001-12-22Philadelphia EaglesatSan Francisco 49ers54.1%3-13
2001-12-23Chicago BearsatWashington Redskins46.1%20-15
2001-12-23Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravens86.7%0-16
2001-12-23Buffalo BillsatAtlanta Falcons64.1%30-33
2001-12-23Cleveland BrownsatGreen Bay Packers81.7%7-30
2001-12-23New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneers65.4%21-48
2001-12-23Dallas CowboysatArizona Cardinals51.3%10-17
2001-12-23San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs67.1%17-20
2001-12-23New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts42.7%29-28
2001-12-23Seattle SeahawksatNew York Giants61.2%24-27
2001-12-23Jacksonville JaguarsatMinnesota Vikings62.9%33-3
2001-12-23Detroit LionsatPittsburgh Steelers90.3%14-47
2001-12-23St. Louis RamsatCarolina Panthers17.8%38-32
2001-12-29Baltimore RavensatTampa Bay Buccaneers57.5%10-22
2001-12-30San Francisco 49ersatDallas Cowboys27.7%21-27
2001-12-30Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions25.6%24-0
2001-12-30Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengalsshock15.8%23-26
2001-12-30Buffalo BillsatNew York Jetsshock85.9%14-9
2001-12-30Oakland RaidersatDenver Broncos41.4%17-23
2001-12-30Cleveland BrownsatTennessee Titans79.2%41-38
2001-12-30Arizona CardinalsatCarolina Panthers59.2%30-7
2001-12-30Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers45.7%25-22
2001-12-30Kansas City ChiefsatJacksonville Jaguars67.8%30-26
2001-12-30Indianapolis ColtsatSt. Louis Rams85.1%17-42
2001-12-30Washington RedskinsatNew Orleans Saints62.7%40-10
2001-12-30Atlanta FalconsatMiami Dolphins79.5%14-21
2001-12-30New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles71.9%21-24
2001-12-30Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers79.3%13-24
2002-01-06San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints41.9%38-0
2002-01-06Jacksonville JaguarsatChicago Bears74.9%13-33
2002-01-06Cincinnati BengalsatTennessee Titans81.2%23-21
2002-01-06Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins81.9%7-34
2002-01-06Denver BroncosatIndianapolis Colts48.7%10-29
2002-01-06Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers84.5%7-28
2002-01-06Philadelphia EaglesatTampa Bay Buccaneers59.7%17-13
2002-01-06Arizona CardinalsatWashington Redskins74.5%17-20
2002-01-06Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks60.4%18-21
2002-01-06Dallas CowboysatDetroit Lions48.9%10-15
2002-01-06Atlanta FalconsatSt. Louis Rams90.2%13-31
2002-01-06Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants40.5%34-25
2002-01-06New York JetsatOakland Raiders66.2%24-22
2002-01-06New England PatriotsatCarolina Panthers23.9%38-6
2002-01-07Minnesota VikingsatBaltimore Ravens76.6%3-19
2002-01-12Tampa Bay BuccaneersatPhiladelphia Eagles64.2%9-31
2002-01-12New York JetsatOakland Raiders62.1%24-38
2002-01-13San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers64.4%15-25
2002-01-13Baltimore RavensatMiami Dolphins58.4%20-3
2002-01-19Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Bears56.4%33-19
2002-01-19Oakland RaidersatNew England Patriots57.8%13-16
2002-01-20Green Bay PackersatSt. Louis Rams66.5%17-45
2002-01-20Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers64.3%10-27
2002-01-27Philadelphia EaglesatSt. Louis Rams66.8%24-29
2002-01-27New England PatriotsatPittsburgh Steelers68.7%24-17
2002-02-03St. Louis RamsvsNew England Patriots35.4%17-20

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.