The expectation ledger

The 1999 season, against expectation

Every game of 1999scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

Games
259
Model Brier
0.2248
Market Brier
0.2135
Longest odds beaten
11.3%
Cleveland Browns

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1999.

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1999 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1999-09-12San Francisco 49ersatJacksonville Jaguars55.4%3-41
1999-09-12Kansas City ChiefsatChicago Bears44.3%17-20
1999-09-12Cincinnati BengalsatTennessee Titans77.0%35-36
1999-09-12Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts38.3%14-31
1999-09-12Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns32.7%43-0
1999-09-12New York GiantsatTampa Bay Buccaneers59.6%17-13
1999-09-12Arizona CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles43.7%25-24
1999-09-12Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins54.7%41-35
1999-09-12Minnesota VikingsatAtlanta Falcons54.2%17-14
1999-09-12New England PatriotsatNew York Jets71.6%30-28
1999-09-12Detroit LionsatSeattle Seahawks66.9%28-20
1999-09-12Oakland RaidersatGreen Bay Packers77.1%24-28
1999-09-12Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints58.5%10-19
1999-09-12Baltimore RavensatSt. Louis Rams53.3%10-27
1999-09-13Miami DolphinsatDenver Broncos76.4%38-21
1999-09-19Seattle SeahawksatChicago Bears50.5%14-13
1999-09-19San Diego ChargersatCincinnati Bengals57.3%34-7
1999-09-19New York JetsatBuffalo Bills43.8%3-17
1999-09-19Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs39.3%10-26
1999-09-19Cleveland BrownsatTennessee Titans85.9%9-26
1999-09-19Tampa Bay BuccaneersatPhiladelphia Eagles39.3%19-5
1999-09-19Arizona CardinalsatMiami Dolphins73.9%16-19
1999-09-19Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots74.4%28-31
1999-09-19Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants70.2%50-21
1999-09-19Jacksonville JaguarsatCarolina Panthers34.0%22-20
1999-09-19Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions43.1%15-23
1999-09-19Oakland RaidersatMinnesota Vikingsshock84.4%22-17
1999-09-19Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravens46.4%23-20
1999-09-19New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers73.4%21-28
1999-09-20Atlanta FalconsatDallas Cowboys48.3%7-24
1999-09-26Chicago BearsatOakland Raiders67.5%17-24
1999-09-26Cincinnati BengalsatCarolina Panthers70.0%3-27
1999-09-26Philadelphia EaglesatBuffalo Bills80.1%0-26
1999-09-26Denver BroncosatTampa Bay Buccaneers47.6%10-13
1999-09-26Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Ravens76.6%10-17
1999-09-26Indianapolis ColtsatSan Diego Chargers62.1%27-19
1999-09-26Detroit LionsatKansas City Chiefs61.6%21-31
1999-09-26Washington RedskinsatNew York Jets66.9%27-20
1999-09-26Atlanta FalconsatSt. Louis Rams39.0%7-35
1999-09-26New York GiantsatNew England Patriots66.2%14-16
1999-09-26Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguars69.6%20-19
1999-09-26Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers50.9%20-23
1999-09-26Seattle SeahawksatPittsburgh Steelers63.6%29-10
1999-09-27San Francisco 49ersatArizona Cardinals44.6%24-10
1999-10-03New Orleans SaintsatChicago Bears53.6%10-14
1999-10-03St. Louis RamsatCincinnati Bengals36.6%38-10
1999-10-03New York JetsatDenver Broncos66.7%21-13
1999-10-03New England PatriotsatCleveland Browns21.9%19-7
1999-10-03Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings70.8%14-21
1999-10-03Arizona CardinalsatDallas Cowboys73.1%7-35
1999-10-03Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers37.5%14-21
1999-10-03Carolina PanthersatWashington Redskins72.2%36-38
1999-10-03Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants77.7%15-16
1999-10-03Baltimore RavensatAtlanta Falcons73.9%19-13
1999-10-03Jacksonville JaguarsatPittsburgh Steelers42.9%17-3
1999-10-03Oakland RaidersatSeattle Seahawks64.7%21-22
1999-10-03Tennessee TitansatSan Francisco 49ers67.1%22-24
1999-10-04Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins69.2%23-18
1999-10-10San Francisco 49ersatSt. Louis Rams43.9%20-42
1999-10-10Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikingsshock83.4%24-22
1999-10-10Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns53.1%18-17
1999-10-10Pittsburgh SteelersatBuffalo Bills71.2%21-24
1999-10-10Denver BroncosatOakland Raiders49.4%16-13
1999-10-10Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers68.3%23-26
1999-10-10New York GiantsatArizona Cardinals52.3%3-14
1999-10-10San Diego ChargersatDetroit Lions69.0%20-10
1999-10-10New England PatriotsatKansas City Chiefs54.8%14-16
1999-10-10Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts38.9%34-31
1999-10-10Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles25.5%10-13
1999-10-10Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints48.9%20-17
1999-10-10Baltimore RavensatTennessee Titans70.4%11-14
1999-10-11Jacksonville JaguarsatNew York Jets50.9%16-6
1999-10-17Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Bears71.3%20-16
1999-10-17Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals37.3%17-3
1999-10-17Oakland RaidersatBuffalo Bills70.7%20-14
1999-10-17Green Bay PackersatDenver Broncos55.0%10-31
1999-10-17Cleveland BrownsatJacksonville Jaguars93.8%7-24
1999-10-17Washington RedskinsatArizona Cardinals47.4%24-10
1999-10-17Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers48.2%10-13
1999-10-17Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets74.0%16-13
1999-10-17Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots53.4%31-30
1999-10-17St. Louis RamsatAtlanta Falcons56.5%41-13
1999-10-17Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions37.9%23-25
1999-10-17Tennessee TitansatNew Orleans Saints41.3%24-21
1999-10-17Carolina PanthersatSan Francisco 49ers76.8%31-29
1999-10-18Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants45.7%10-13
1999-10-21Kansas City ChiefsatBaltimore Ravens46.1%35-8
1999-10-24San Francisco 49ersatMinnesota Vikings65.7%16-40
1999-10-24Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers72.1%3-6
1999-10-24Cincinnati BengalsatIndianapolis Colts79.0%10-31
1999-10-24Buffalo BillsatSeattle Seahawks58.0%16-26
1999-10-24Denver BroncosatNew England Patriots50.7%23-24
1999-10-24Cleveland BrownsatSt. Louis Rams91.0%3-34
1999-10-24Green Bay PackersatSan Diego Chargers45.1%31-3
1999-10-24Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys55.4%20-38
1999-10-24Philadelphia EaglesatMiami Dolphins84.0%13-16
1999-10-24New Orleans SaintsatNew York Giants68.3%3-31
1999-10-24New York JetsatOakland Raiders57.4%23-24
1999-10-24Detroit LionsatCarolina Panthers54.9%24-9
1999-10-25Atlanta FalconsatPittsburgh Steelers58.9%9-13
1999-10-31Chicago BearsatWashington Redskins75.6%22-48
1999-10-31Jacksonville JaguarsatCincinnati Bengals13.9%41-10
1999-10-31Buffalo BillsatBaltimore Ravens44.8%13-10
1999-10-31Minnesota VikingsatDenver Broncos55.0%23-20
1999-10-31Cleveland BrownsatNew Orleans Saints77.7%21-16
1999-10-31Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions57.2%3-20
1999-10-31New England PatriotsatArizona Cardinals43.1%27-3
1999-10-31San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs74.3%0-34
1999-10-31Dallas CowboysatIndianapolis Colts44.0%24-34
1999-10-31Miami DolphinsatOakland Raiders46.5%16-9
1999-10-31New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles41.3%23-17
1999-10-31Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falcons65.7%20-27
1999-10-31St. Louis RamsatTennessee Titans55.6%21-24
1999-11-01Seattle SeahawksatGreen Bay Packers67.3%27-7
1999-11-07Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers79.1%14-13
1999-11-07Cincinnati BengalsatSeattle Seahawks90.5%20-37
1999-11-07Buffalo BillsatWashington Redskins63.3%34-17
1999-11-07Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers38.2%33-17
1999-11-07Baltimore RavensatCleveland Browns40.0%41-9
1999-11-07Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints38.7%31-16
1999-11-07Arizona CardinalsatNew York Jets72.9%7-12
1999-11-07Kansas City ChiefsatIndianapolis Colts45.5%17-25
1999-11-07Tennessee TitansatMiami Dolphins66.3%0-17
1999-11-07Philadelphia EaglesatCarolina Panthers66.0%7-33
1999-11-07Jacksonville JaguarsatAtlanta Falcons33.9%30-7
1999-11-07St. Louis RamsatDetroit Lions54.4%27-31
1999-11-07Pittsburgh SteelersatSan Francisco 49ers65.2%27-6
1999-11-08Dallas CowboysatMinnesota Vikings72.1%17-27
1999-11-14San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints37.2%6-24
1999-11-14Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears26.4%27-24
1999-11-14Tennessee TitansatCincinnati Bengals21.3%24-14
1999-11-14Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills48.8%3-23
1999-11-14Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks58.4%17-20
1999-11-14Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelersshock88.7%16-15
1999-11-14Kansas City ChiefsatTampa Bay Buccaneers54.0%10-17
1999-11-14Detroit LionsatArizona Cardinals37.8%19-23
1999-11-14San Diego ChargersatOakland Raiders70.2%9-28
1999-11-14Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Giants59.4%27-19
1999-11-14Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles33.4%28-35
1999-11-14Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys56.0%13-27
1999-11-14Baltimore RavensatJacksonville Jaguars86.2%3-6
1999-11-14Carolina PanthersatSt. Louis Rams75.4%10-35
1999-11-15New York JetsatNew England Patriots66.2%24-17
1999-11-21Chicago BearsatSan Diego Chargers57.9%23-20
1999-11-21Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals34.4%34-31
1999-11-21Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets52.9%7-17
1999-11-21Carolina PanthersatCleveland Browns37.0%31-17
1999-11-21Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers69.9%10-19
1999-11-21Dallas CowboysatArizona Cardinals40.6%9-13
1999-11-21Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs50.1%31-19
1999-11-21Indianapolis ColtsatPhiladelphia Eagles34.7%44-17
1999-11-21New York GiantsatWashington Redskins59.8%13-23
1999-11-21New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins67.5%17-27
1999-11-21New Orleans SaintsatJacksonville Jaguars89.7%23-41
1999-11-21Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers58.9%17-26
1999-11-21Pittsburgh SteelersatTennessee Titans64.8%10-16
1999-11-21St. Louis RamsatSan Francisco 49ers42.5%23-7
1999-11-22Oakland RaidersatDenver Broncos69.6%21-27
1999-11-25Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions71.2%17-21
1999-11-25Miami DolphinsatDallas Cowboys46.2%0-20
1999-11-28Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelersshock87.0%27-20
1999-11-28New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills65.1%7-17
1999-11-28Tennessee TitansatCleveland Browns17.3%33-21
1999-11-28Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSeattle Seahawks69.3%16-3
1999-11-28Arizona CardinalsatNew York Giants63.1%34-24
1999-11-28San Diego ChargersatMinnesota Vikings88.1%27-35
1999-11-28Kansas City ChiefsatOakland Raiders57.0%37-34
1999-11-28New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts57.3%6-13
1999-11-28Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins79.2%17-20
1999-11-28Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers57.0%28-34
1999-11-28Jacksonville JaguarsatBaltimore Ravens25.0%30-23
1999-11-28New Orleans SaintsatSt. Louis Rams84.1%12-43
1999-11-29Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers42.8%20-3
1999-12-02Pittsburgh SteelersatJacksonville Jaguars85.1%6-20
1999-12-05San Francisco 49ersatCincinnati Bengals41.7%30-44
1999-12-05Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears36.7%35-19
1999-12-05Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos68.3%16-10
1999-12-05Cleveland BrownsatSan Diego Chargers77.0%10-23
1999-12-05Philadelphia EaglesatArizona Cardinals75.9%17-21
1999-12-05Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins60.8%37-34
1999-12-05Washington RedskinsatDetroit Lions60.1%17-33
1999-12-05Dallas CowboysatNew England Patriots52.3%6-13
1999-12-05New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons68.6%12-35
1999-12-05New York JetsatNew York Giants41.9%28-41
1999-12-05St. Louis RamsatCarolina Panthers37.1%34-21
1999-12-05Seattle SeahawksatOakland Raiders43.7%21-30
1999-12-05Tennessee TitansatBaltimore Ravens37.4%14-41
1999-12-06Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers49.3%17-24
1999-12-09Oakland RaidersatTennessee Titans63.0%14-21
1999-12-12Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals72.0%28-44
1999-12-12New York GiantsatBuffalo Bills74.8%19-17
1999-12-12Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers68.9%16-23
1999-12-12Arizona CardinalsatWashington Redskins61.2%3-28
1999-12-12San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawksshock80.6%19-16
1999-12-12Minnesota VikingsatKansas City Chiefs47.4%28-31
1999-12-12New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts67.3%15-20
1999-12-12Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys83.4%10-20
1999-12-12Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets52.7%20-28
1999-12-12Carolina PanthersatGreen Bay Packers78.6%33-31
1999-12-12St. Louis RamsatNew Orleans Saints22.3%30-14
1999-12-12Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers57.3%31-24
1999-12-12Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers48.4%7-26
1999-12-13Denver BroncosatJacksonville Jaguars76.1%24-27
1999-12-18San Francisco 49ersatCarolina Panthers65.1%24-41
1999-12-18Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs76.8%19-35
1999-12-19Detroit LionsatChicago Bears39.5%10-28
1999-12-19Buffalo BillsatArizona Cardinals42.2%31-21
1999-12-19Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos62.7%30-36
1999-12-19Jacksonville JaguarsatCleveland Browns7.1%24-14
1999-12-19Tampa Bay BuccaneersatOakland Raiders40.4%0-45
1999-12-19San Diego ChargersatMiami Dolphins76.8%9-12
1999-12-19Washington RedskinsatIndianapolis Colts71.0%21-24
1999-12-19New York JetsatDallas Cowboys60.0%22-21
1999-12-19New England PatriotsatPhiladelphia Eagles31.3%9-24
1999-12-19Atlanta FalconsatTennessee Titans75.8%17-30
1999-12-19New York GiantsatSt. Louis Rams77.5%10-31
1999-12-19New Orleans SaintsatBaltimore Ravens78.9%8-31
1999-12-20Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings66.9%20-24
1999-12-24Dallas CowboysatNew Orleans Saints28.4%24-31
1999-12-25Denver BroncosatDetroit Lions46.9%17-7
1999-12-26Chicago BearsatSt. Louis Rams83.8%12-34
1999-12-26Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravens80.0%0-22
1999-12-26Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots43.6%13-10
1999-12-26Indianapolis ColtsatCleveland Browns11.7%29-28
1999-12-26Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers61.9%10-29
1999-12-26Arizona CardinalsatAtlanta Falcons55.5%14-37
1999-12-26Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers39.5%20-23
1999-12-26Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks50.7%14-23
1999-12-26Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants35.9%34-17
1999-12-26Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Titans37.6%14-41
1999-12-26Carolina PanthersatPittsburgh Steelers52.4%20-30
1999-12-26Washington RedskinsatSan Francisco 49ers41.6%26-20
1999-12-27New York JetsatMiami Dolphins59.6%38-31
2000-01-02Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears33.5%20-6
2000-01-02Cincinnati BengalsatJacksonville Jaguars91.8%7-24
2000-01-02Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills57.7%6-31
2000-01-02San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos80.5%12-6
2000-01-02Arizona CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers75.7%24-49
2000-01-02Oakland RaidersatKansas City Chiefs64.6%41-38
2000-01-02Miami DolphinsatWashington Redskins58.3%10-21
2000-01-02New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys67.0%18-26
2000-01-02St. Louis RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles21.2%31-38
2000-01-02Seattle SeahawksatNew York Jets63.6%9-19
2000-01-02Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings81.0%17-24
2000-01-02New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthers71.5%13-45
2000-01-02Baltimore RavensatNew England Patriots52.8%3-20
2000-01-02Tennessee TitansatPittsburgh Steelers36.0%47-36
2000-01-03San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons67.9%29-34
2000-01-08Buffalo BillsatTennessee Titans58.2%16-22
2000-01-08Detroit LionsatWashington Redskins69.9%13-27
2000-01-09Dallas CowboysatMinnesota Vikings76.5%10-27
2000-01-09Miami DolphinsatSeattle Seahawks62.1%20-17
2000-01-15Washington RedskinsatTampa Bay Buccaneers67.1%13-14
2000-01-15Miami DolphinsatJacksonville Jaguars77.3%7-62
2000-01-16Tennessee TitansatIndianapolis Colts52.0%19-16
2000-01-16Minnesota VikingsatSt. Louis Rams51.1%37-49
2000-01-23Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSt. Louis Rams62.2%6-11
2000-01-23Tennessee TitansatJacksonville Jaguars64.6%33-14
2000-01-30Tennessee TitansvsSt. Louis Rams44.7%16-23

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.