The expectation ledger

The 1997 season, against expectation

Every game of 1997scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

Games
251
Model Brier
0.2190
Market Brier
0.2121
Longest odds beaten
12.8%
Indianapolis Colts

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1997.

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1997 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1997-08-31San Francisco 49ersatTampa Bay Buccaneers40.6%6-13
1997-08-31Arizona CardinalsatCincinnati Bengals68.8%21-24
1997-08-31Minnesota VikingsatBuffalo Bills62.5%34-13
1997-08-31Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos66.6%3-19
1997-08-31San Diego ChargersatNew England Patriots69.8%7-41
1997-08-31Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins58.7%10-16
1997-08-31Washington RedskinsatCarolina Panthers67.7%24-10
1997-08-31Dallas CowboysatPittsburgh Steelers53.2%37-7
1997-08-31Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants50.4%17-31
1997-08-31Atlanta FalconsatDetroit Lions65.8%17-28
1997-08-31Jacksonville JaguarsatBaltimore Ravens48.1%28-27
1997-08-31New York JetsatSeattle Seahawksshock80.1%41-3
1997-08-31Oakland RaidersatTennessee Oilers54.2%21-24
1997-08-31New Orleans SaintsatSt. Louis Rams65.5%24-38
1997-09-01Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers81.8%24-38
1997-09-07San Francisco 49ersatSt. Louis Rams40.3%15-12
1997-09-07Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears50.8%27-24
1997-09-07Cincinnati BengalsatBaltimore Ravens43.4%10-23
1997-09-07Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets46.8%28-22
1997-09-07Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks38.1%35-14
1997-09-07Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions53.1%24-17
1997-09-07Dallas CowboysatArizona Cardinals32.9%22-25
1997-09-07San Diego ChargersatNew Orleans Saints43.9%20-6
1997-09-07New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts42.9%31-6
1997-09-07Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers50.3%13-14
1997-09-07Tennessee OilersatMiami Dolphins61.3%13-16
1997-09-07Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles31.6%9-10
1997-09-07Carolina PanthersatAtlanta Falcons35.4%9-6
1997-09-07New York GiantsatJacksonville Jaguars60.2%13-40
1997-09-08Kansas City ChiefsatOakland Raiders59.4%28-27
1997-09-14Detroit LionsatChicago Bears63.7%32-7
1997-09-14Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs60.2%16-22
1997-09-14St. Louis RamsatDenver Broncos80.3%14-35
1997-09-14Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings63.7%28-14
1997-09-14Arizona CardinalsatWashington Redskins73.0%13-19
1997-09-14Carolina PanthersatSan Diego Chargers50.8%26-7
1997-09-14Seattle SeahawksatIndianapolis Colts63.5%31-3
1997-09-14Miami DolphinsatGreen Bay Packers79.4%18-23
1997-09-14Oakland RaidersatAtlanta Falcons41.3%36-31
1997-09-14Baltimore RavensatNew York Giants63.1%24-23
1997-09-14New York JetsatNew England Patriots85.4%24-27
1997-09-14New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers86.0%7-33
1997-09-15Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys70.7%20-21
1997-09-21Chicago BearsatNew England Patriots82.1%3-31
1997-09-21Cincinnati BengalsatDenver Broncos76.7%20-38
1997-09-21Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills69.9%35-37
1997-09-21Miami DolphinsatTampa Bay Buccaneers65.9%21-31
1997-09-21San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks59.2%22-26
1997-09-21Kansas City ChiefsatCarolina Panthers67.4%35-14
1997-09-21New York GiantsatSt. Louis Rams55.3%3-13
1997-09-21Oakland RaidersatNew York Jets40.4%22-23
1997-09-21Detroit LionsatNew Orleans Saints38.7%17-35
1997-09-21Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers79.8%32-38
1997-09-21Baltimore RavensatTennessee Oilers64.4%36-10
1997-09-21Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers85.7%7-34
1997-09-22Pittsburgh SteelersatJacksonville Jaguars61.5%21-30
1997-09-28Chicago BearsatDallas Cowboys80.8%3-27
1997-09-28New York JetsatCincinnati Bengals70.6%31-14
1997-09-28Denver BroncosatAtlanta Falcons21.1%29-21
1997-09-28Arizona CardinalsatTampa Bay Buccaneers76.4%18-19
1997-09-28Baltimore RavensatSan Diego Chargers54.3%17-21
1997-09-28Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs71.1%17-20
1997-09-28Jacksonville JaguarsatWashington Redskins62.7%12-24
1997-09-28Philadelphia EaglesatMinnesota Vikings60.6%19-28
1997-09-28New Orleans SaintsatNew York Giants67.4%9-14
1997-09-28Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions24.7%15-26
1997-09-28St. Louis RamsatOakland Raiders66.4%17-35
1997-09-28Tennessee OilersatPittsburgh Steelers66.1%24-37
1997-09-29San Francisco 49ersatCarolina Panthers49.8%34-21
1997-10-05New Orleans SaintsatChicago Bears65.0%20-17
1997-10-05Cincinnati BengalsatJacksonville Jaguars71.1%13-21
1997-10-05Detroit LionsatBuffalo Bills60.9%13-22
1997-10-05Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers69.9%16-21
1997-10-05Minnesota VikingsatArizona Cardinals45.3%20-19
1997-10-05San Diego ChargersatOakland Raiders66.1%25-10
1997-10-05Kansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins47.6%14-17
1997-10-05New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts55.4%16-12
1997-10-05Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles45.6%10-24
1997-10-05Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants35.8%17-20
1997-10-05Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Ravens54.9%42-34
1997-10-05Tennessee OilersatSeattle Seahawks66.0%13-16
1997-10-06New England PatriotsatDenver Broncos60.8%13-34
1997-10-12Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears22.0%24-23
1997-10-12Cincinnati BengalsatTennessee Oilers58.5%7-30
1997-10-12Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots72.2%6-33
1997-10-12Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers72.4%27-9
1997-10-12New York GiantsatArizona Cardinals54.2%27-13
1997-10-12Indianapolis ColtsatPittsburgh Steelers77.1%22-24
1997-10-12Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets50.3%31-20
1997-10-12Philadelphia EaglesatJacksonville Jaguars61.4%21-38
1997-10-12Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints65.0%23-17
1997-10-12Carolina PanthersatMinnesota Vikings62.1%14-21
1997-10-12St. Louis RamsatSan Francisco 49ers82.7%10-30
1997-10-13Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins53.7%16-21
1997-10-16San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs66.7%3-31
1997-10-19San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons22.4%35-28
1997-10-19Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals38.9%26-10
1997-10-19Denver BroncosatOakland Raiders32.7%25-28
1997-10-19Arizona CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles71.8%10-13
1997-10-19Washington RedskinsatTennessee Oilers40.5%14-28
1997-10-19Jacksonville JaguarsatDallas Cowboys62.2%22-26
1997-10-19Miami DolphinsatBaltimore Ravens47.1%24-13
1997-10-19New York GiantsatDetroit Lions61.9%26-20
1997-10-19New England PatriotsatNew York Jets30.5%19-24
1997-10-19Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints38.3%13-0
1997-10-19Seattle SeahawksatSt. Louis Rams50.6%17-9
1997-10-20Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts42.7%9-6
1997-10-26San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints18.8%23-0
1997-10-26Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Giants77.3%27-29
1997-10-26Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills38.7%23-20
1997-10-26Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers55.0%10-6
1997-10-26Tennessee OilersatArizona Cardinals47.8%41-14
1997-10-26Indianapolis ColtsatSan Diego Chargers74.2%19-35
1997-10-26Kansas City ChiefsatSt. Louis Rams33.1%28-20
1997-10-26Baltimore RavensatWashington Redskins73.2%20-17
1997-10-26Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles47.1%12-13
1997-10-26Atlanta FalconsatCarolina Panthers79.0%12-21
1997-10-26Jacksonville JaguarsatPittsburgh Steelers61.1%17-23
1997-10-26Oakland RaidersatSeattle Seahawks59.5%34-45
1997-10-27Chicago BearsatMiami Dolphinsshock80.0%36-33
1997-10-27Green Bay PackersatNew England Patriots49.4%28-10
1997-11-02Washington RedskinsatChicago Bears44.0%31-8
1997-11-02San Diego ChargersatCincinnati Bengals40.2%31-38
1997-11-02Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills54.0%6-9
1997-11-02Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos76.5%27-30
1997-11-02Tampa Bay BuccaneersatIndianapolis Colts37.9%31-28
1997-11-02Philadelphia EaglesatArizona Cardinals37.9%21-31
1997-11-02St. Louis RamsatAtlanta Falcons54.1%31-34
1997-11-02Jacksonville JaguarsatTennessee Oilers55.7%30-24
1997-11-02Baltimore RavensatNew York Jets59.3%16-19
1997-11-02Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers83.4%10-20
1997-11-02Oakland RaidersatCarolina Panthers65.8%14-38
1997-11-02New England PatriotsatMinnesota Vikings58.7%18-23
1997-11-02Dallas CowboysatSan Francisco 49ers70.2%10-17
1997-11-03Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs63.0%10-13
1997-11-09Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings82.6%22-29
1997-11-09Cincinnati BengalsatIndianapolis Colts52.5%28-13
1997-11-09New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills52.0%31-10
1997-11-09Carolina PanthersatDenver Broncos74.1%0-34
1997-11-09Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons37.3%31-10
1997-11-09Arizona CardinalsatDallas Cowboys80.2%6-24
1997-11-09Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers53.3%37-31
1997-11-09Kansas City ChiefsatJacksonville Jaguars51.0%10-24
1997-11-09Detroit LionsatWashington Redskins67.4%7-30
1997-11-09New York JetsatMiami Dolphins67.4%17-24
1997-11-09New York GiantsatTennessee Oilers53.3%6-10
1997-11-09St. Louis RamsatGreen Bay Packers91.1%7-17
1997-11-09New Orleans SaintsatOakland Raiders76.2%13-10
1997-11-09Baltimore RavensatPittsburgh Steelers74.7%0-37
1997-11-10San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles31.9%24-12
1997-11-16New York JetsatChicago Bears48.7%23-15
1997-11-16Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers78.2%3-20
1997-11-16Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs44.5%22-24
1997-11-16New England PatriotsatTampa Bay Buccaneers51.3%7-27
1997-11-16Arizona CardinalsatNew York Giants75.3%10-19
1997-11-16Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers61.4%38-13
1997-11-16Green Bay PackersatIndianapolis Coltsshock12.8%38-41
1997-11-16Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys61.7%14-17
1997-11-16Philadelphia EaglesatBaltimore Ravens53.2%10-10
1997-11-16Atlanta FalconsatSt. Louis Rams63.3%27-21
1997-11-16Tennessee OilersatJacksonville Jaguars69.8%9-17
1997-11-16Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions40.6%15-38
1997-11-16Seattle SeahawksatNew Orleans Saints32.7%17-20
1997-11-16Carolina PanthersatSan Francisco 49ers78.3%19-27
1997-11-17Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins66.9%13-30
1997-11-23Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears29.7%7-13
1997-11-23Jacksonville JaguarsatCincinnati Bengals34.1%26-31
1997-11-23Buffalo BillsatTennessee Oilers62.5%14-31
1997-11-23Arizona CardinalsatBaltimore Ravens66.1%16-13
1997-11-23Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks48.4%19-14
1997-11-23Indianapolis ColtsatDetroit Lions78.1%10-32
1997-11-23New York GiantsatWashington Redskins63.7%7-7
1997-11-23Dallas CowboysatGreen Bay Packers71.5%17-45
1997-11-23Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots60.8%24-27
1997-11-23Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles41.5%20-23
1997-11-23New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons58.8%3-20
1997-11-23Minnesota VikingsatNew York Jets47.3%21-23
1997-11-23Carolina PanthersatSt. Louis Rams33.6%16-10
1997-11-23San Diego ChargersatSan Francisco 49ers88.4%10-17
1997-11-24Oakland RaidersatDenver Broncos81.6%3-31
1997-11-27Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions75.5%20-55
1997-11-27Tennessee OilersatDallas Cowboys68.2%27-14
1997-11-30San Francisco 49ersatKansas City Chiefs46.0%9-44
1997-11-30Cincinnati BengalsatPhiladelphia Eagles65.6%42-44
1997-11-30New York JetsatBuffalo Bills53.3%10-20
1997-11-30Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers22.8%38-28
1997-11-30Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew York Giants57.2%20-8
1997-11-30Pittsburgh SteelersatArizona Cardinals33.5%26-20
1997-11-30Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots85.5%17-20
1997-11-30St. Louis RamsatWashington Redskinsshock83.6%23-20
1997-11-30Miami DolphinsatOakland Raiders48.7%34-16
1997-11-30Atlanta FalconsatSeattle Seahawks73.7%24-17
1997-11-30Baltimore RavensatJacksonville Jaguars78.8%27-29
1997-11-30New Orleans SaintsatCarolina Panthersshock81.6%16-13
1997-12-01Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings36.5%27-11
1997-12-04Tennessee OilersatCincinnati Bengals42.9%14-41
1997-12-07Buffalo BillsatChicago Bears45.7%3-20
1997-12-07Denver BroncosatPittsburgh Steelers43.7%24-35
1997-12-07Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers37.3%17-6
1997-12-07Washington RedskinsatArizona Cardinals38.8%38-28
1997-12-07Atlanta FalconsatSan Diego Chargers56.1%14-3
1997-12-07Oakland RaidersatKansas City Chiefs83.1%0-30
1997-12-07Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets75.6%22-14
1997-12-07Detroit LionsatMiami Dolphins64.9%30-33
1997-12-07New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles58.7%31-21
1997-12-07New England PatriotsatJacksonville Jaguars57.9%26-20
1997-12-07St. Louis RamsatNew Orleans Saints61.1%34-27
1997-12-07Seattle SeahawksatBaltimore Ravens49.2%24-31
1997-12-07Minnesota VikingsatSan Francisco 49ers76.9%17-28
1997-12-08Carolina PanthersatDallas Cowboys62.2%23-13
1997-12-13Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants56.9%10-30
1997-12-13Pittsburgh SteelersatNew England Patriots57.4%24-21
1997-12-14Chicago BearsatSt. Louis Rams57.1%13-10
1997-12-14Dallas CowboysatCincinnati Bengals54.2%24-31
1997-12-14Jacksonville JaguarsatBuffalo Bills42.6%20-14
1997-12-14Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew York Jets41.1%0-31
1997-12-14Arizona CardinalsatNew Orleans Saints57.1%10-27
1997-12-14Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers21.3%29-7
1997-12-14Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts29.6%0-41
1997-12-14Philadelphia EaglesatAtlanta Falcons57.7%17-20
1997-12-14Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings58.1%14-13
1997-12-14Green Bay PackersatCarolina Panthers31.9%31-10
1997-12-14Seattle SeahawksatOakland Raiders56.9%22-21
1997-12-14Tennessee OilersatBaltimore Ravens47.0%19-21
1997-12-15Denver BroncosatSan Francisco 49ers60.6%17-34
1997-12-20Buffalo BillsatGreen Bay Packers91.4%21-31
1997-12-20St. Louis RamsatCarolina Panthers78.3%30-18
1997-12-21San Francisco 49ersatSeattle Seahawks26.3%9-38
1997-12-21Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers71.4%15-31
1997-12-21Baltimore RavensatCincinnati Bengals66.7%14-16
1997-12-21San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos88.3%3-38
1997-12-21Atlanta FalconsatArizona Cardinals41.4%26-29
1997-12-21New Orleans SaintsatKansas City Chiefs89.4%13-25
1997-12-21Indianapolis ColtsatMinnesota Vikings70.0%28-39
1997-12-21Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins67.8%32-35
1997-12-21New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys50.2%20-7
1997-12-21Jacksonville JaguarsatOakland Raiders39.3%20-9
1997-12-21New York JetsatDetroit Lions67.7%10-13
1997-12-21Pittsburgh SteelersatTennessee Oilers39.6%6-16
1997-12-22New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins50.5%14-12
1997-12-27Jacksonville JaguarsatDenver Broncos68.6%17-42
1997-12-27Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants66.9%23-22
1997-12-28Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers57.4%10-20
1997-12-28Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots70.2%3-17
1998-01-03New England PatriotsatPittsburgh Steelers57.8%6-7
1998-01-03Minnesota VikingsatSan Francisco 49ers74.0%22-38
1998-01-04Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs60.3%14-10
1998-01-04Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers83.7%7-21
1998-01-11Denver BroncosatPittsburgh Steelers47.2%24-21
1998-01-11Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers43.1%23-10
1998-01-25Green Bay PackersvsDenver Broncos37.4%24-31

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.