The expectation ledger

The 1994 season, against expectation

Every game of 1994scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19931995→
Games
235
Model Brier
0.2295
Market Brier
0.2186
Longest odds beaten
13.7%
Los Angeles Rams

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1994.

1
New England Patriots
Boston
10
exp 6.48
2
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
12
exp 9.09
3
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
11
exp 8.91
4
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
13
exp 11.07
5
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis
8
exp 6.19
6
Detroit Lions
Detroit
9
exp 7.62
7
Chicago Bears
Chicago
9
exp 7.77
8
San Diego Chargers
San Diego
11
exp 9.84
9
Los Angeles Raiders
Los Angeles
9
exp 8.00
10
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans
7
exp 6.12
11
Miami Dolphins
Miami
10
exp 9.19
12
Minnesota Vikings
Minneapolis
10
exp 9.19
Show all 28 rows
13
New York Giants
New York
9
exp 8.38
14
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta
7
exp 6.70
15
Arizona Cardinals
Phoenix
8
exp 7.86
16
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
9
exp 8.89
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa
6
exp 6.27
18
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
12
exp 12.28
19
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City
9
exp 9.34
20
Denver Broncos
Denver
7
exp 7.56
21
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati
3
exp 4.33
22
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle
6
exp 7.34
23
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
7
exp 8.88
24
New York Jets
New York
6
exp 7.93
25
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
4
exp 6.15
26
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo
7
exp 9.28
27
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
3
exp 5.90
28
Houston Oilers
Houston
2
exp 7.45

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1994 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1994-09-04Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears63.7%9-21
1994-09-04Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals48.3%28-20
1994-09-04New York JetsatBuffalo Bills73.4%23-3
1994-09-04San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos56.8%37-34
1994-09-04Arizona CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams43.8%12-14
1994-09-04Kansas City ChiefsatNew Orleans Saints47.9%30-17
1994-09-04Houston OilersatIndianapolis Colts29.1%21-45
1994-09-04Seattle SeahawksatWashington Redskins63.0%28-7
1994-09-04Dallas CowboysatPittsburgh Steelers33.1%26-9
1994-09-04New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins70.0%35-39
1994-09-04Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants62.3%23-28
1994-09-04Atlanta FalconsatDetroit Lions65.6%28-31
1994-09-04Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers59.8%10-16
1994-09-05Los Angeles RaidersatSan Francisco 49ers71.6%14-44
1994-09-11San Francisco 49ersatKansas City Chiefs55.2%17-24
1994-09-11Cincinnati BengalsatSan Diego Chargers81.5%10-27
1994-09-11Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots38.7%38-35
1994-09-11Denver BroncosatNew York Jets63.8%22-25
1994-09-11Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns58.6%17-10
1994-09-11Indianapolis ColtsatTampa Bay Buccaneers56.8%10-24
1994-09-11New York GiantsatArizona Cardinals50.0%20-17
1994-09-11Washington RedskinsatNew Orleans Saints66.0%38-24
1994-09-11Houston OilersatDallas Cowboys79.0%17-20
1994-09-11Miami DolphinsatGreen Bay Packers65.0%24-14
1994-09-11Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons62.3%13-31
1994-09-11Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings60.3%3-10
1994-09-11Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Raiders62.4%38-9
1994-09-12Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles65.7%22-30
1994-09-18San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams30.4%34-19
1994-09-18Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears48.8%42-14
1994-09-18New England PatriotsatCincinnati Bengals52.8%31-28
1994-09-18Buffalo BillsatHouston Oilers55.9%15-7
1994-09-18Los Angeles RaidersatDenver Broncos65.3%48-16
1994-09-18Arizona CardinalsatCleveland Browns54.4%0-32
1994-09-18New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneers58.9%9-7
1994-09-18San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks52.4%24-10
1994-09-18Kansas City ChiefsatAtlanta Falcons37.8%30-10
1994-09-18Indianapolis ColtsatPittsburgh Steelers73.4%21-31
1994-09-18Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants75.2%23-31
1994-09-18New York JetsatMiami Dolphins58.3%14-28
1994-09-18Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles61.6%7-13
1994-09-19Detroit LionsatDallas Cowboysshock83.8%20-17
1994-09-25Chicago BearsatNew York Jets72.1%19-7
1994-09-25Cincinnati BengalsatHouston Oilers80.1%13-20
1994-09-25Cleveland BrownsatIndianapolis Colts45.1%21-14
1994-09-25Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers70.8%3-30
1994-09-25San Diego ChargersatLos Angeles Raiders45.9%26-24
1994-09-25Los Angeles RamsatKansas City Chiefsshock86.3%16-0
1994-09-25Atlanta FalconsatWashington Redskins59.6%27-20
1994-09-25Miami DolphinsatMinnesota Vikings59.6%35-38
1994-09-25New England PatriotsatDetroit Lions73.0%23-17
1994-09-25Pittsburgh SteelersatSeattle Seahawks54.2%13-30
1994-09-25New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers80.4%13-24
1994-09-26Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills76.6%20-27
1994-10-02Buffalo BillsatChicago Bears40.6%13-20
1994-10-02Miami DolphinsatCincinnati Bengals28.8%23-7
1994-10-02New York JetsatCleveland Browns62.0%7-27
1994-10-02Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers46.0%14-24
1994-10-02Minnesota VikingsatArizona Cardinals42.5%7-17
1994-10-02Seattle SeahawksatIndianapolis Colts38.8%15-17
1994-10-02Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins23.7%34-7
1994-10-02Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams55.4%8-5
1994-10-02New York GiantsatNew Orleans Saints36.9%22-27
1994-10-02Green Bay PackersatNew England Patriots48.0%16-17
1994-10-02Philadelphia EaglesatSan Francisco 49ers70.1%40-8
1994-10-03Houston OilersatPittsburgh Steelers55.8%14-30
1994-10-09San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions42.5%27-21
1994-10-09New Orleans SaintsatChicago Bears63.7%7-17
1994-10-09Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills59.8%11-21
1994-10-09Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks67.4%16-9
1994-10-09Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons67.4%13-34
1994-10-09Arizona CardinalsatDallas Cowboys83.4%3-38
1994-10-09Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers62.1%6-20
1994-10-09Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets69.8%6-16
1994-10-09Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles81.9%17-21
1994-10-09Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers70.8%17-24
1994-10-09Los Angeles RaidersatNew England Patriots53.8%21-17
1994-10-10Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants62.2%27-10
1994-10-13Cleveland BrownsatHouston Oilers54.8%11-8
1994-10-16San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons45.9%42-3
1994-10-16Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers82.7%10-14
1994-10-16Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Billsshock83.8%27-17
1994-10-16Arizona CardinalsatWashington Redskins48.4%19-16
1994-10-16San Diego ChargersatNew Orleans Saints34.0%36-22
1994-10-16Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys72.7%13-24
1994-10-16Los Angeles RaidersatMiami Dolphins65.0%17-20
1994-10-16New York GiantsatLos Angeles Rams42.4%10-17
1994-10-16New England PatriotsatNew York Jets65.3%17-24
1994-10-17Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos45.9%31-28
1994-10-20Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings67.2%10-13
1994-10-23Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions50.5%16-21
1994-10-23Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns84.8%13-37
1994-10-23Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers80.8%20-15
1994-10-23Dallas CowboysatArizona Cardinals27.3%28-21
1994-10-23Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs72.6%23-38
1994-10-23Washington RedskinsatIndianapolis Colts63.2%41-27
1994-10-23Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Raiders63.0%17-30
1994-10-23Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants56.6%10-6
1994-10-23Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints57.2%34-37
1994-10-23Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSan Francisco 49ers84.3%16-41
1994-10-24Houston OilersatPhiladelphia Eagles73.7%6-21
1994-10-30Dallas CowboysatCincinnati Bengals10.6%23-20
1994-10-30Kansas City ChiefsatBuffalo Bills53.0%10-44
1994-10-30Cleveland BrownsatDenver Broncos50.1%14-26
1994-10-30Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers31.6%36-13
1994-10-30Pittsburgh SteelersatArizona Cardinals49.9%17-20
1994-10-30Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers77.7%15-35
1994-10-30New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts43.4%25-28
1994-10-30Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins33.3%31-29
1994-10-30Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots39.5%23-3
1994-10-30Detroit LionsatNew York Giants62.6%28-25
1994-10-30Houston OilersatLos Angeles Raiders65.7%14-17
1994-10-31Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears55.5%33-6
1994-11-06San Francisco 49ersatWashington Redskins28.6%37-22
1994-11-06Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers48.2%20-6
1994-11-06Cincinnati BengalsatSeattle Seahawks77.0%20-17
1994-11-06Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets44.7%17-22
1994-11-06Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Rams46.9%21-27
1994-11-06New England PatriotsatCleveland Browns75.5%6-13
1994-11-06Arizona CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles74.6%7-17
1994-11-06San Diego ChargersatAtlanta Falcons35.5%9-10
1994-11-06Los Angeles RaidersatKansas City Chiefs63.4%3-13
1994-11-06Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins80.8%21-22
1994-11-06Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers68.8%30-38
1994-11-06New Orleans SaintsatMinnesota Vikings80.1%20-21
1994-11-06Pittsburgh SteelersatHouston Oilers49.0%12-9
1994-11-07New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys87.1%10-38
1994-11-13Chicago BearsatMiami Dolphins72.7%17-14
1994-11-13Houston OilersatCincinnati Bengals41.7%31-34
1994-11-13Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos68.9%10-17
1994-11-13Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles71.0%26-7
1994-11-13Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions74.4%9-14
1994-11-13Arizona CardinalsatNew York Giants56.6%10-9
1994-11-13San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs53.9%14-13
1994-11-13Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints55.5%32-33
1994-11-13New York JetsatGreen Bay Packers68.8%10-17
1994-11-13Minnesota VikingsatNew England Patriots28.0%20-26
1994-11-13Los Angeles RaidersatLos Angeles Rams50.7%20-17
1994-11-13Dallas CowboysatSan Francisco 49ers46.1%14-21
1994-11-14Buffalo BillsatPittsburgh Steelers57.5%10-23
1994-11-20Detroit LionsatChicago Bears62.3%10-20
1994-11-20Indianapolis ColtsatCincinnati Bengals51.4%17-13
1994-11-20Green Bay PackersatBuffalo Bills52.9%20-29
1994-11-20Atlanta FalconsatDenver Broncos66.1%28-32
1994-11-20Cleveland BrownsatKansas City Chiefs56.8%13-20
1994-11-20Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSeattle Seahawks68.0%21-22
1994-11-20Philadelphia EaglesatArizona Cardinals46.3%6-12
1994-11-20San Diego ChargersatNew England Patriots31.4%17-23
1994-11-20Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys90.3%7-31
1994-11-20Miami DolphinsatPittsburgh Steelers59.9%13-16
1994-11-20New York JetsatMinnesota Vikings72.4%31-21
1994-11-20New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Raiders70.0%19-24
1994-11-20Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers85.5%27-31
1994-11-21New York GiantsatHouston Oilers55.5%13-10
1994-11-24Buffalo BillsatDetroit Lions45.6%21-35
1994-11-24Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys79.5%31-42
1994-11-27Chicago BearsatArizona Cardinals58.3%19-16
1994-11-27Cincinnati BengalsatDenver Broncos81.6%13-15
1994-11-27Houston OilersatCleveland Browns77.6%10-34
1994-11-27Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikingsshock83.0%20-17
1994-11-27Los Angeles RamsatSan Diego Chargers78.4%17-31
1994-11-27Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks35.3%9-10
1994-11-27New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts54.4%12-10
1994-11-27New York GiantsatWashington Redskins48.5%21-19
1994-11-27Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets54.9%28-24
1994-11-27Philadelphia EaglesatAtlanta Falcons42.7%21-28
1994-11-27Pittsburgh SteelersatLos Angeles Raiders52.9%21-3
1994-11-28San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints25.5%35-14
1994-12-01Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings57.4%27-33
1994-12-04Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals21.5%38-15
1994-12-04Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins65.0%42-31
1994-12-04Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs66.4%20-17
1994-12-04New York GiantsatCleveland Browns71.6%16-13
1994-12-04Washington RedskinsatTampa Bay Buccaneers56.2%21-26
1994-12-04Arizona CardinalsatHouston Oilers45.7%30-12
1994-12-04Indianapolis ColtsatSeattle Seahawks62.4%31-19
1994-12-04Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles31.2%31-19
1994-12-04New York JetsatNew England Patriots52.8%13-24
1994-12-04Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions50.9%31-34
1994-12-04New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Rams59.8%31-15
1994-12-04Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers84.3%14-50
1994-12-05Los Angeles RaidersatSan Diego Chargers72.0%24-17
1994-12-10Cleveland BrownsatDallas Cowboysshock81.9%19-14
1994-12-10Detroit LionsatNew York Jets55.7%18-7
1994-12-11San Francisco 49ersatSan Diego Chargers39.7%38-15
1994-12-11Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers61.6%3-40
1994-12-11Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Giants81.9%20-27
1994-12-11Minnesota VikingsatBuffalo Bills62.4%21-17
1994-12-11Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Raiders58.5%13-23
1994-12-11Los Angeles RamsatTampa Bay Buccaneers58.5%14-24
1994-12-11Washington RedskinsatArizona Cardinals77.7%15-17
1994-12-11Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots65.8%13-28
1994-12-11Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers72.2%3-14
1994-12-11New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons60.4%29-20
1994-12-11Seattle SeahawksatHouston Oilers57.2%16-14
1994-12-12Kansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins56.7%28-45
1994-12-17Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions55.6%19-41
1994-12-17Denver BroncosatSan Francisco 49ers83.0%19-42
1994-12-18Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears75.1%13-27
1994-12-18Cincinnati BengalsatArizona Cardinals84.3%7-28
1994-12-18New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills64.8%41-17
1994-12-18Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers65.3%7-17
1994-12-18Tampa Bay BuccaneersatWashington Redskins54.6%17-14
1994-12-18San Diego ChargersatNew York Jets46.1%21-6
1994-12-18Houston OilersatKansas City Chiefs79.3%9-31
1994-12-18Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts38.6%6-10
1994-12-18New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles58.9%16-13
1994-12-18Atlanta FalconsatGreen Bay Packers75.8%17-21
1994-12-18Los Angeles RaidersatSeattle Seahawks37.8%17-16
1994-12-19Dallas CowboysatNew Orleans Saints26.7%24-16
1994-12-24New England PatriotsatChicago Bears53.8%13-3
1994-12-24Philadelphia EaglesatCincinnati Bengals31.5%30-33
1994-12-24Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts50.5%9-10
1994-12-24New Orleans SaintsatDenver Broncos64.9%30-28
1994-12-24Seattle SeahawksatCleveland Browns80.2%9-35
1994-12-24Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers37.1%34-19
1994-12-24Arizona CardinalsatAtlanta Falcons43.3%6-10
1994-12-24Pittsburgh SteelersatSan Diego Chargers47.6%34-37
1994-12-24Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Raiders61.6%19-9
1994-12-24Washington RedskinsatLos Angeles Rams59.6%24-21
1994-12-24Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants31.0%10-15
1994-12-24New York JetsatHouston Oilers48.3%10-24
1994-12-25Detroit LionsatMiami Dolphins56.3%20-27
1994-12-26San Francisco 49ersatMinnesota Vikings30.5%14-21
1994-12-31Kansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins57.3%17-27
1994-12-31Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers65.7%12-16
1995-01-01Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings70.2%35-18
1995-01-01New England PatriotsatCleveland Browns61.5%13-20
1995-01-07Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers63.9%9-29
1995-01-07Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers81.0%15-44
1995-01-08Miami DolphinsatSan Diego Chargers60.1%21-22
1995-01-08Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys72.5%9-35
1995-01-15San Diego ChargersatPittsburgh Steelers68.2%17-13
1995-01-15Dallas CowboysatSan Francisco 49ers59.1%28-38
1995-01-29San Diego ChargersvsSan Francisco 49ers67.5%26-49

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.