The expectation ledger

The 1993 season, against expectation

Every game of 1993scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19921994→
Games
235
Model Brier
0.2297
Market Brier
0.2193
Longest odds beaten
13.8%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1993.

1
Houston Oilers
Houston
12
exp 9.70
2
New York Giants
New York
11
exp 8.89
3
Detroit Lions
Detroit
10
exp 8.38
4
Los Angeles Raiders
Los Angeles
10
exp 8.43
5
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo
12
exp 10.56
6
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City
11
exp 9.68
7
Phoenix Cardinals
Phoenix
7
exp 6.06
8
Minnesota Vikings
Minneapolis
9
exp 8.10
9
New York Jets
New York
8
exp 7.23
10
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
12
exp 11.24
11
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
9
exp 8.48
12
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
9
exp 8.69
Show all 28 rows
13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa
5
exp 4.72
14
New England Patriots
Boston
5
exp 4.78
15
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle
6
exp 6.06
16
Denver Broncos
Denver
9
exp 9.11
17
San Diego Chargers
San Diego
8
exp 8.37
18
Miami Dolphins
Miami
9
exp 9.37
19
Chicago Bears
Chicago
7
exp 7.51
20
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
8
exp 8.58
21
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
7
exp 7.60
22
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta
6
exp 6.82
23
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
10
exp 11.22
24
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
5
exp 6.32
25
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans
8
exp 9.72
26
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati
3
exp 4.83
27
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis
4
exp 5.98
28
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
4
exp 7.56

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1993 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1993-09-05San Francisco 49ersatPittsburgh Steelers39.6%24-13
1993-09-05New York GiantsatChicago Bears54.7%26-20
1993-09-05Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns67.1%14-27
1993-09-05New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills85.0%14-38
1993-09-05Denver BroncosatNew York Jets48.2%26-20
1993-09-05Kansas City ChiefsatTampa Bay Buccaneers37.5%27-3
1993-09-05Phoenix CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles82.2%17-23
1993-09-05Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers80.0%12-18
1993-09-05Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts47.1%24-20
1993-09-05Atlanta FalconsatDetroit Lions60.9%13-30
1993-09-05Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers67.5%6-36
1993-09-05Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Raiders51.7%7-24
1993-09-05Houston OilersatNew Orleans Saints62.7%21-33
1993-09-06Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins45.7%16-35
1993-09-12Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings71.7%7-10
1993-09-12Indianapolis ColtsatCincinnati Bengals52.3%9-6
1993-09-12Buffalo BillsatDallas Cowboys66.7%13-10
1993-09-12San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos52.6%17-34
1993-09-12Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew York Giants76.7%7-23
1993-09-12Phoenix CardinalsatWashington Redskinsshock83.8%17-10
1993-09-12Kansas City ChiefsatHouston Oilers57.0%0-30
1993-09-12New York JetsatMiami Dolphins77.5%24-14
1993-09-12Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers46.5%20-17
1993-09-12New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons37.2%34-31
1993-09-12Detroit LionsatNew England Patriots36.9%19-16
1993-09-12Los Angeles RaidersatSeattle Seahawks38.1%17-13
1993-09-12Pittsburgh SteelersatLos Angeles Rams50.0%0-27
1993-09-13San Francisco 49ersatCleveland Browns33.1%13-23
1993-09-19Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers70.2%7-34
1993-09-19Cleveland BrownsatLos Angeles Raiders62.3%19-16
1993-09-19Dallas CowboysatPhoenix Cardinals32.8%17-10
1993-09-19Houston OilersatSan Diego Chargers54.3%17-18
1993-09-19Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles65.3%31-34
1993-09-19Los Angeles RamsatNew York Giants66.6%10-20
1993-09-19Detroit LionsatNew Orleans Saints72.2%3-14
1993-09-19Seattle SeahawksatNew England Patriots55.6%17-14
1993-09-19Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers81.5%30-37
1993-09-20Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs57.3%7-15
1993-09-26San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints57.7%13-16
1993-09-26Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears68.7%17-47
1993-09-26Seattle SeahawksatCincinnati Bengals55.9%19-10
1993-09-26Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills73.1%22-13
1993-09-26Cleveland BrownsatIndianapolis Colts47.8%10-23
1993-09-26Phoenix CardinalsatDetroit Lions68.3%20-26
1993-09-26New England PatriotsatNew York Jets74.6%7-45
1993-09-26Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings61.0%13-15
1993-09-26Los Angeles RamsatHouston Oilers74.6%28-13
1993-09-27Pittsburgh SteelersatAtlanta Falcons53.2%45-17
1993-10-03Atlanta FalconsatChicago Bears65.0%0-6
1993-10-03New York GiantsatBuffalo Bills66.5%14-17
1993-10-03Indianapolis ColtsatDenver Broncos65.6%13-35
1993-10-03Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers33.2%10-27
1993-10-03San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks39.6%14-31
1993-10-03Los Angeles RaidersatKansas City Chiefs63.4%9-24
1993-10-03Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys76.6%14-36
1993-10-03Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Jets34.0%35-30
1993-10-03New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Rams37.9%37-6
1993-10-03Minnesota VikingsatSan Francisco 49ers71.0%19-38
1993-10-04Washington RedskinsatMiami Dolphins54.9%10-17
1993-10-10Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock82.2%17-6
1993-10-10Cincinnati BengalsatKansas City Chiefs85.3%15-17
1993-10-10Denver BroncosatGreen Bay Packers51.9%27-30
1993-10-10Miami DolphinsatCleveland Browns50.4%24-14
1993-10-10Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings77.9%0-15
1993-10-10New England PatriotsatPhoenix Cardinals74.1%23-21
1993-10-10San Diego ChargersatPittsburgh Steelers59.9%3-16
1993-10-10Dallas CowboysatIndianapolis Colts31.0%27-3
1993-10-10New York GiantsatWashington Redskins64.6%41-7
1993-10-10New York JetsatLos Angeles Raiders65.9%20-24
1993-10-11Houston OilersatBuffalo Bills68.7%7-35
1993-10-14Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons47.9%24-30
1993-10-17San Francisco 49ersatDallas Cowboys64.3%17-26
1993-10-17Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals37.5%28-17
1993-10-17Washington RedskinsatPhoenix Cardinals44.0%6-36
1993-10-17Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers47.2%17-14
1993-10-17Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants53.9%10-21
1993-10-17Seattle SeahawksatDetroit Lions63.6%10-30
1993-10-17Houston OilersatNew England Patriots34.2%28-14
1993-10-17New Orleans SaintsatPittsburgh Steelers40.4%14-37
1993-10-18Los Angeles RaidersatDenver Broncos62.6%23-20
1993-10-24Cincinnati BengalsatHouston Oilers83.0%12-28
1993-10-24Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets34.9%19-10
1993-10-24Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns48.8%23-28
1993-10-24Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers37.8%37-14
1993-10-24Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins77.5%27-41
1993-10-24Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saintsshock83.9%26-15
1993-10-24Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams52.0%16-13
1993-10-24New England PatriotsatSeattle Seahawks73.8%9-10
1993-10-24Phoenix CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ers80.8%14-28
1993-10-25Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears54.4%19-12
1993-10-31Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers66.8%3-17
1993-10-31Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos71.2%17-28
1993-10-31Tampa Bay BuccaneersatAtlanta Falcons74.2%31-24
1993-10-31New Orleans SaintsatPhoenix Cardinals38.9%20-17
1993-10-31San Diego ChargersatLos Angeles Raiders66.4%30-23
1993-10-31Kansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins61.6%10-30
1993-10-31New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts75.2%6-9
1993-10-31Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles43.0%23-10
1993-10-31New York JetsatNew York Giants79.2%10-6
1993-10-31Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings65.6%30-27
1993-10-31Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers82.9%17-40
1993-11-01Washington RedskinsatBuffalo Bills78.0%10-24
1993-11-07Los Angeles RaidersatChicago Bears53.6%16-14
1993-11-07Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals25.2%24-16
1993-11-07Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots16.8%13-10
1993-11-07Denver BroncosatCleveland Browns57.5%29-14
1993-11-07Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions78.5%0-23
1993-11-07Philadelphia EaglesatPhoenix Cardinals39.7%3-16
1993-11-07San Diego ChargersatMinnesota Vikings63.8%30-17
1993-11-07Indianapolis ColtsatWashington Redskins62.8%24-30
1993-11-07New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys78.2%9-31
1993-11-07Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets35.1%10-27
1993-11-07Seattle SeahawksatHouston Oilers74.1%14-24
1993-11-08Green Bay PackersatKansas City Chiefs61.0%16-23
1993-11-14San Francisco 49ersatTampa Bay Buccaneers21.2%45-21
1993-11-14Chicago BearsatSan Diego Chargers71.1%16-13
1993-11-14Houston OilersatCincinnati Bengals25.7%38-3
1993-11-14Minnesota VikingsatDenver Broncos67.3%26-23
1993-11-14Cleveland BrownsatSeattle Seahawks47.1%5-22
1993-11-14Phoenix CardinalsatDallas Cowboys87.6%15-20
1993-11-14Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Raiders49.7%31-20
1993-11-14New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts49.3%31-17
1993-11-14Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants69.1%6-20
1993-11-14Miami DolphinsatPhiladelphia Eagles51.3%19-14
1993-11-14Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams59.3%13-0
1993-11-14Green Bay PackersatNew Orleans Saints66.7%19-17
1993-11-15Buffalo BillsatPittsburgh Steelers48.0%0-23
1993-11-21Chicago BearsatKansas City Chiefs75.9%19-17
1993-11-21Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Jets85.7%12-17
1993-11-21Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills83.3%9-23
1993-11-21Pittsburgh SteelersatDenver Broncos51.5%13-37
1993-11-21Houston OilersatCleveland Browns44.6%27-20
1993-11-21Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers34.2%10-23
1993-11-21Los Angeles RaidersatSan Diego Chargers63.5%12-7
1993-11-21Washington RedskinsatLos Angeles Rams48.9%6-10
1993-11-21Dallas CowboysatAtlanta Falcons21.9%14-27
1993-11-21New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins89.8%13-17
1993-11-21New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles51.3%7-3
1993-11-21Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers60.4%17-26
1993-11-22New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers70.6%7-42
1993-11-25Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions64.2%10-6
1993-11-25Miami DolphinsatDallas Cowboys70.3%16-14
1993-11-28San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams22.8%35-10
1993-11-28Los Angeles RaidersatCincinnati Bengals26.6%10-16
1993-11-28Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs54.5%7-23
1993-11-28Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks38.9%17-9
1993-11-28Cleveland BrownsatAtlanta Falcons67.5%14-17
1993-11-28Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers81.0%10-13
1993-11-28Phoenix CardinalsatNew York Giants75.4%17-19
1993-11-28Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins52.1%17-14
1993-11-28New York JetsatNew England Patriots27.4%6-0
1993-11-28New Orleans SaintsatMinnesota Vikings49.5%17-14
1993-11-28Pittsburgh SteelersatHouston Oilers60.4%3-23
1993-11-29San Diego ChargersatIndianapolis Colts44.1%31-0
1993-12-05Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears50.3%17-30
1993-12-05Los Angeles RaidersatBuffalo Bills73.6%25-24
1993-12-05Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers49.8%10-13
1993-12-05New Orleans SaintsatCleveland Browns39.2%13-17
1993-12-05Washington RedskinsatTampa Bay Buccaneers51.6%23-17
1993-12-05Los Angeles RamsatPhoenix Cardinals67.1%10-38
1993-12-05Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks32.0%31-16
1993-12-05Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets80.0%9-6
1993-12-05New York GiantsatMiami Dolphins64.0%19-14
1993-12-05Atlanta FalconsatHouston Oilers71.2%17-33
1993-12-05Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions63.3%13-0
1993-12-05New England PatriotsatPittsburgh Steelers86.9%14-17
1993-12-05Cincinnati BengalsatSan Francisco 49ers93.4%8-21
1993-12-06Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys79.0%17-23
1993-12-11San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons30.7%24-27
1993-12-11New York JetsatWashington Redskins50.9%3-0
1993-12-12Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers34.1%10-13
1993-12-12Cincinnati BengalsatNew England Patriots56.3%2-7
1993-12-12Buffalo BillsatPhiladelphia Eagles47.9%10-7
1993-12-12Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos52.1%21-27
1993-12-12Cleveland BrownsatHouston Oilers79.1%17-19
1993-12-12Detroit LionsatPhoenix Cardinals59.7%21-14
1993-12-12Green Bay PackersatSan Diego Chargers58.2%20-13
1993-12-12Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Giants84.5%6-20
1993-12-12Dallas CowboysatMinnesota Vikings34.6%37-20
1993-12-12Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Raiders71.3%23-27
1993-12-12Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saintsshock80.2%23-20
1993-12-13Pittsburgh SteelersatMiami Dolphins66.4%21-20
1993-12-18Denver BroncosatChicago Bears47.9%13-3
1993-12-18Dallas CowboysatNew York Jets34.3%28-7
1993-12-19San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions33.5%55-17
1993-12-19Los Angeles RamsatCincinnati Bengals43.1%3-15
1993-12-19Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins58.5%47-34
1993-12-19New England PatriotsatCleveland Browns77.7%20-17
1993-12-19Tampa Bay BuccaneersatLos Angeles Raiders74.8%20-27
1993-12-19Phoenix CardinalsatSeattle Seahawks51.3%30-27
1993-12-19San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs71.5%24-28
1993-12-19Philadelphia EaglesatIndianapolis Colts43.1%20-10
1993-12-19Atlanta FalconsatWashington Redskins48.5%17-30
1993-12-19Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers70.1%21-17
1993-12-19Houston OilersatPittsburgh Steelers50.5%26-17
1993-12-20New York GiantsatNew Orleans Saints45.4%24-14
1993-12-25Houston OilersatSan Francisco 49ers67.2%10-7
1993-12-26Detroit LionsatChicago Bears62.5%20-14
1993-12-26Atlanta FalconsatCincinnati Bengals35.0%17-21
1993-12-26New York JetsatBuffalo Bills74.8%14-16
1993-12-26Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDenver Broncosshock86.2%17-10
1993-12-26Cleveland BrownsatLos Angeles Rams51.5%42-14
1993-12-26New York GiantsatPhoenix Cardinals33.7%6-17
1993-12-26Kansas City ChiefsatMinnesota Vikings44.3%10-30
1993-12-26Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots53.6%0-38
1993-12-26Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys86.5%3-38
1993-12-26New Orleans SaintsatPhiladelphia Eagles60.3%26-37
1993-12-26Los Angeles RaidersatGreen Bay Packers64.4%0-28
1993-12-26Pittsburgh SteelersatSeattle Seahawks36.9%6-16
1993-12-27Miami DolphinsatSan Diego Chargers51.7%20-45
1993-12-31Minnesota VikingsatWashington Redskins46.1%14-9
1994-01-02Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams39.7%6-20
1994-01-02Cincinnati BengalsatNew Orleans Saints77.4%13-20
1994-01-02Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts19.6%30-10
1994-01-02Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Raiders46.4%30-33
1994-01-02Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers65.6%9-16
1994-01-02San Diego ChargersatTampa Bay Buccaneers40.9%32-17
1994-01-02Phoenix CardinalsatAtlanta Falcons54.8%27-10
1994-01-02Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs80.1%24-34
1994-01-02Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants41.7%16-13
1994-01-02Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots34.3%27-33
1994-01-02New York JetsatHouston Oilers78.8%0-24
1994-01-02Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions48.6%20-30
1994-01-03Philadelphia EaglesatSan Francisco 49ers77.8%37-34
1994-01-08Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs69.3%24-27
1994-01-08Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions55.7%28-24
1994-01-09Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Raiders50.7%24-42
1994-01-09Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants63.7%10-17
1994-01-15Los Angeles RaidersatBuffalo Bills73.6%23-29
1994-01-15New York GiantsatSan Francisco 49ers65.5%3-44
1994-01-16Kansas City ChiefsatHouston Oilers69.0%28-20
1994-01-16Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys80.2%17-27
1994-01-23San Francisco 49ersatDallas Cowboys68.3%21-38
1994-01-23Kansas City ChiefsatBuffalo Bills62.1%13-30
1994-01-30Buffalo BillsvsDallas Cowboys63.2%13-30

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.