The expectation ledger

The 1992 season, against expectation

Every game of 1992scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19911993→
Games
235
Model Brier
0.2083
Market Brier
0.2081
Longest odds beaten
12.0%
Los Angeles Rams

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1992.

1
San Diego Chargers
San Diego
11
exp 7.88
2
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis
9
exp 5.95
3
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
13
exp 10.39
4
Minnesota Vikings
Minneapolis
11
exp 8.43
5
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
14
exp 11.63
6
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
9
exp 6.80
7
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans
12
exp 10.15
8
Miami Dolphins
Miami
11
exp 9.30
9
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
11
exp 9.52
10
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
11
exp 9.67
11
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
6
exp 5.48
12
Houston Oilers
Houston
10
exp 9.58
Show all 28 rows
13
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo
11
exp 10.75
14
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City
10
exp 9.95
15
Los Angeles Raiders
Los Angeles
7
exp 7.18
16
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
7
exp 7.65
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa
5
exp 5.76
18
Phoenix Cardinals
Phoenix
4
exp 4.88
19
Denver Broncos
Denver
8
exp 9.06
20
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
9
exp 10.30
21
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati
5
exp 6.56
22
New York Giants
New York
6
exp 7.62
23
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta
6
exp 7.64
24
New York Jets
New York
4
exp 6.35
25
New England Patriots
Boston
2
exp 4.66
26
Chicago Bears
Chicago
5
exp 7.79
27
Detroit Lions
Detroit
5
exp 7.82
28
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle
2
exp 5.21

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1992 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1992-09-06San Francisco 49ersatNew York Giants46.1%31-14
1992-09-06Detroit LionsatChicago Bears52.7%24-27
1992-09-06Cincinnati BengalsatSeattle Seahawks69.3%21-3
1992-09-06Los Angeles RamsatBuffalo Bills84.6%7-40
1992-09-06Los Angeles RaidersatDenver Broncos66.2%13-17
1992-09-06Cleveland BrownsatIndianapolis Colts43.1%3-14
1992-09-06Phoenix CardinalsatTampa Bay Buccaneers59.1%7-23
1992-09-06Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers42.5%24-10
1992-09-06New Orleans SaintsatPhiladelphia Eagles60.9%13-15
1992-09-06New York JetsatAtlanta Falcons68.5%17-20
1992-09-06Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers55.8%23-20
1992-09-06Pittsburgh SteelersatHouston Oilers68.3%29-24
1992-09-07Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys41.5%10-23
1992-09-13Chicago BearsatNew Orleans Saints58.7%6-28
1992-09-13Los Angeles RaidersatCincinnati Bengals52.5%21-24
1992-09-13San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos77.9%13-21
1992-09-13Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers57.1%3-31
1992-09-13Philadelphia EaglesatPhoenix Cardinals30.0%31-14
1992-09-13Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs76.4%7-26
1992-09-13Houston OilersatIndianapolis Colts34.4%20-10
1992-09-13Atlanta FalconsatWashington Redskins71.8%17-24
1992-09-13Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants48.0%34-28
1992-09-13New York JetsatPittsburgh Steelers66.1%10-27
1992-09-13Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions71.3%17-31
1992-09-13New England PatriotsatLos Angeles Rams57.6%0-14
1992-09-13Buffalo BillsatSan Francisco 49ers62.9%34-31
1992-09-14Miami DolphinsatCleveland Browns47.2%27-23
1992-09-20San Francisco 49ersatNew York Jets32.9%31-14
1992-09-20Cincinnati BengalsatGreen Bay Packers47.5%23-24
1992-09-20Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills89.4%0-38
1992-09-20Denver BroncosatPhiladelphia Eagles59.1%0-30
1992-09-20Cleveland BrownsatLos Angeles Raiders72.0%28-16
1992-09-20Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings63.1%20-26
1992-09-20Phoenix CardinalsatDallas Cowboys86.9%20-31
1992-09-20Pittsburgh SteelersatSan Diego Chargers42.4%23-6
1992-09-20Kansas City ChiefsatHouston Oilers51.7%20-23
1992-09-20Detroit LionsatWashington Redskins69.5%10-13
1992-09-20Los Angeles RamsatMiami Dolphins73.3%10-26
1992-09-20New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons55.4%10-7
1992-09-20Seattle SeahawksatNew England Patriots49.2%10-6
1992-09-21New York GiantsatChicago Bears63.5%27-14
1992-09-27San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints49.3%16-10
1992-09-27Atlanta FalconsatChicago Bears53.8%31-41
1992-09-27Minnesota VikingsatCincinnati Bengals58.1%42-7
1992-09-27Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots20.4%41-7
1992-09-27Denver BroncosatCleveland Browns41.3%12-0
1992-09-27Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions78.1%27-23
1992-09-27San Diego ChargersatHouston Oilers79.3%0-27
1992-09-27Miami DolphinsatSeattle Seahawks49.0%19-17
1992-09-27New York JetsatLos Angeles Rams53.1%10-18
1992-09-27Pittsburgh SteelersatGreen Bay Packers36.5%3-17
1992-09-28Los Angeles RaidersatKansas City Chiefs75.8%7-27
1992-10-04Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings60.3%20-21
1992-10-04Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills75.5%37-10
1992-10-04Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos56.6%19-20
1992-10-04Indianapolis ColtsatTampa Bay Buccaneers73.6%24-14
1992-10-04Washington RedskinsatPhoenix Cardinalsshock17.8%24-27
1992-10-04Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers50.6%6-17
1992-10-04Green Bay PackersatAtlanta Falcons68.5%10-24
1992-10-04New York GiantsatLos Angeles Raiders47.1%10-13
1992-10-04New England PatriotsatNew York Jets68.7%21-30
1992-10-04New Orleans SaintsatDetroit Lions56.6%13-7
1992-10-04Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers87.2%24-27
1992-10-05Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles59.6%7-31
1992-10-11San Francisco 49ersatNew England Patriots16.0%24-12
1992-10-11Houston OilersatCincinnati Bengals37.9%38-24
1992-10-11Buffalo BillsatLos Angeles Raiders37.4%3-20
1992-10-11Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns43.8%9-17
1992-10-11Phoenix CardinalsatNew York Giants77.3%21-31
1992-10-11Philadelphia EaglesatKansas City Chiefs52.8%17-24
1992-10-11New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts52.1%3-6
1992-10-11Seattle SeahawksatDallas Cowboys79.5%0-27
1992-10-11Atlanta FalconsatMiami Dolphins68.5%17-21
1992-10-11Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints80.8%10-13
1992-10-12Denver BroncosatWashington Redskins66.5%3-34
1992-10-15Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings59.0%14-31
1992-10-18Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears71.6%14-31
1992-10-18Houston OilersatDenver Broncos55.4%21-27
1992-10-18Green Bay PackersatCleveland Browns62.3%6-17
1992-10-18New Orleans SaintsatPhoenix Cardinals27.0%30-21
1992-10-18San Diego ChargersatIndianapolis Colts56.4%34-14
1992-10-18Kansas City ChiefsatDallas Cowboys57.1%10-17
1992-10-18Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins65.1%12-16
1992-10-18New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins88.1%17-38
1992-10-18New York GiantsatLos Angeles Rams41.7%17-38
1992-10-18Los Angeles RaidersatSeattle Seahawks46.6%19-0
1992-10-18Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers79.8%17-56
1992-10-19Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers71.5%0-20
1992-10-25Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers42.3%30-10
1992-10-25Cincinnati BengalsatHouston Oilers81.2%10-26
1992-10-25Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers39.0%21-24
1992-10-25Cleveland BrownsatNew England Patriots38.3%19-17
1992-10-25Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers43.8%38-7
1992-10-25Phoenix CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles87.2%3-7
1992-10-25Pittsburgh SteelersatKansas City Chiefs70.1%27-3
1992-10-25Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphinsshock86.4%31-20
1992-10-25Washington RedskinsatMinnesota Vikings40.7%15-13
1992-10-25Dallas CowboysatLos Angeles Raiders45.5%28-13
1992-10-25Seattle SeahawksatNew York Giants72.9%10-23
1992-10-26Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets36.2%24-20
1992-11-01San Francisco 49ersatPhoenix Cardinalsshock15.6%14-24
1992-11-01Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals46.6%10-30
1992-11-01New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills88.0%7-16
1992-11-01Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints85.3%21-23
1992-11-01Indianapolis ColtsatSan Diego Chargers67.0%0-26
1992-11-01New York GiantsatWashington Redskins81.0%24-7
1992-11-01Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys63.1%10-20
1992-11-01Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets37.0%14-26
1992-11-01Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons67.5%28-30
1992-11-01Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions78.1%27-13
1992-11-01Houston OilersatPittsburgh Steelers55.9%20-21
1992-11-02Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears60.3%38-10
1992-11-08Cincinnati BengalsatChicago Bears71.1%31-28
1992-11-08Pittsburgh SteelersatBuffalo Bills62.0%20-28
1992-11-08New York JetsatDenver Broncos75.9%16-27
1992-11-08Cleveland BrownsatHouston Oilers77.2%24-14
1992-11-08Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers29.2%35-7
1992-11-08Phoenix CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams65.0%20-14
1992-11-08San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs68.6%14-16
1992-11-08Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts39.0%28-0
1992-11-08Washington RedskinsatSeattle Seahawks23.8%16-3
1992-11-08Dallas CowboysatDetroit Lions34.6%37-3
1992-11-08Los Angeles RaidersatPhiladelphia Eagles72.2%10-31
1992-11-08Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants75.3%7-27
1992-11-08New Orleans SaintsatNew England Patriots19.7%31-14
1992-11-09San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons38.4%41-3
1992-11-15Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers39.5%17-20
1992-11-15Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Jets57.7%14-17
1992-11-15New York GiantsatDenver Broncos61.0%13-27
1992-11-15San Diego ChargersatCleveland Browns59.6%14-13
1992-11-15Phoenix CardinalsatAtlanta Falcons67.8%17-20
1992-11-15Washington RedskinsatKansas City Chiefs46.8%16-35
1992-11-15New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts68.2%37-34
1992-11-15Los Angeles RamsatDallas Cowboysshock88.0%27-23
1992-11-15Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers30.9%24-27
1992-11-15Detroit LionsatPittsburgh Steelers71.2%14-17
1992-11-15Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Raiders75.2%3-20
1992-11-15Houston OilersatMinnesota Vikings67.0%17-13
1992-11-15New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers67.3%20-21
1992-11-16Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins51.1%26-20
1992-11-22San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams26.0%27-10
1992-11-22Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears64.0%17-3
1992-11-22Detroit LionsatCincinnati Bengals54.7%19-13
1992-11-22Atlanta FalconsatBuffalo Bills76.4%14-41
1992-11-22Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Raiders44.5%0-24
1992-11-22Cleveland BrownsatMinnesota Vikings73.0%13-17
1992-11-22Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSan Diego Chargers74.5%14-29
1992-11-22Dallas CowboysatPhoenix Cardinals26.2%16-10
1992-11-22Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks25.8%24-14
1992-11-22Indianapolis ColtsatPittsburgh Steelers84.2%14-30
1992-11-22Houston OilersatMiami Dolphins54.4%16-19
1992-11-22Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants52.3%47-34
1992-11-22New York JetsatNew England Patriots41.4%3-24
1992-11-23Washington RedskinsatNew Orleans Saints59.5%3-20
1992-11-26New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys76.7%3-30
1992-11-26Houston OilersatDetroit Lions48.5%24-21
1992-11-29Chicago BearsatCleveland Browns63.4%14-27
1992-11-29Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals35.4%21-9
1992-11-29Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts19.4%13-16
1992-11-29Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers74.2%14-19
1992-11-29Phoenix CardinalsatWashington Redskins81.6%3-41
1992-11-29Los Angeles RaidersatSan Diego Chargers54.1%3-27
1992-11-29Kansas City ChiefsatNew York Jets31.0%23-7
1992-11-29Miami DolphinsatNew Orleans Saints71.6%13-24
1992-11-29New England PatriotsatAtlanta Falcons75.0%0-34
1992-11-29Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Rams36.6%31-17
1992-11-29Philadelphia EaglesatSan Francisco 49ers69.2%14-20
1992-11-30Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks27.6%13-16
1992-12-03Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints78.6%14-22
1992-12-06Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns71.5%21-37
1992-12-06New York JetsatBuffalo Billsshock84.9%24-17
1992-12-06Dallas CowboysatDenver Broncos40.3%31-27
1992-12-06Los Angeles RamsatTampa Bay Buccaneers50.0%31-27
1992-12-06San Diego ChargersatPhoenix Cardinals39.3%27-21
1992-12-06Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Raiders42.9%7-28
1992-12-06Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots56.0%6-0
1992-12-06Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants45.3%28-10
1992-12-06Minnesota VikingsatPhiladelphia Eagles60.4%17-28
1992-12-06Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers61.0%10-38
1992-12-06Seattle SeahawksatPittsburgh Steelers85.0%14-20
1992-12-06Miami DolphinsatSan Francisco 49ers80.4%3-27
1992-12-07Chicago BearsatHouston Oilers77.9%7-24
1992-12-12Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills65.5%17-27
1992-12-12New York GiantsatPhoenix Cardinals43.8%0-19
1992-12-13San Francisco 49ersatMinnesota Vikings39.9%20-17
1992-12-13Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Bears32.3%6-30
1992-12-13Cincinnati BengalsatSan Diego Chargers79.6%10-27
1992-12-13Cleveland BrownsatDetroit Lions51.3%14-24
1992-12-13Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers37.0%35-7
1992-12-13New England PatriotsatKansas City Chiefs87.5%20-27
1992-12-13Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets65.4%10-6
1992-12-13Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins50.9%17-20
1992-12-13Philadelphia EaglesatSeattle Seahawks22.1%20-17
1992-12-13Green Bay PackersatHouston Oilers69.2%16-14
1992-12-13New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Rams26.9%37-14
1992-12-14Los Angeles RaidersatMiami Dolphins56.2%7-20
1992-12-19Kansas City ChiefsatNew York Giants39.0%21-35
1992-12-19Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSan Francisco 49ers94.6%14-21
1992-12-20Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions61.4%3-16
1992-12-20New England PatriotsatCincinnati Bengals66.5%10-20
1992-12-20Buffalo BillsatNew Orleans Saints70.3%20-16
1992-12-20Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos79.6%6-10
1992-12-20Houston OilersatCleveland Browns46.4%17-14
1992-12-20Phoenix CardinalsatIndianapolis Colts58.4%13-16
1992-12-20San Diego ChargersatLos Angeles Raiders54.5%36-14
1992-12-20Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles58.4%13-17
1992-12-20New York JetsatMiami Dolphins76.6%17-19
1992-12-20Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers73.5%13-28
1992-12-20Minnesota VikingsatPittsburgh Steelers55.4%6-3
1992-12-21Dallas CowboysatAtlanta Falcons35.4%41-17
1992-12-26Los Angeles RaidersatWashington Redskins77.2%21-20
1992-12-26New Orleans SaintsatNew York Jets25.0%20-0
1992-12-27Chicago BearsatDallas Cowboys87.3%14-27
1992-12-27Indianapolis ColtsatCincinnati Bengals54.1%21-17
1992-12-27Buffalo BillsatHouston Oilers53.3%3-27
1992-12-27Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs63.8%20-42
1992-12-27Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers68.9%13-23
1992-12-27Tampa Bay BuccaneersatPhoenix Cardinals71.5%7-3
1992-12-27San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks25.7%31-14
1992-12-27Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots24.9%16-13
1992-12-27New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles79.6%10-20
1992-12-27Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams46.2%27-38
1992-12-27Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings67.1%7-27
1992-12-28Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers86.2%6-24
1993-01-02Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers62.7%0-17
1993-01-02Washington RedskinsatMinnesota Vikings58.0%24-7
1993-01-03Houston OilersatBuffalo Bills56.8%38-41
1993-01-03Philadelphia EaglesatNew Orleans Saints60.2%36-20
1993-01-09Buffalo BillsatPittsburgh Steelers51.8%24-3
1993-01-09Washington RedskinsatSan Francisco 49ers70.8%13-20
1993-01-10San Diego ChargersatMiami Dolphins49.5%0-31
1993-01-10Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys60.4%10-34
1993-01-17Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins53.2%29-10
1993-01-17Dallas CowboysatSan Francisco 49ers62.7%30-20
1993-01-31Buffalo BillsvsDallas Cowboys63.5%17-52

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.