The expectation ledger

The 1989 season, against expectation

Every game of 1989scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19881990→
Games
233
Model Brier
0.2194
Market Brier
0.2155
Longest odds beaten
10.3%
Green Bay Packers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1989.

1
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
10
exp 7.46
2
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
14
exp 11.87
3
New York Giants
New York
12
exp 9.89
4
Detroit Lions
Detroit
7
exp 5.12
5
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
9
exp 7.17
6
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City
8.5
exp 6.80
7
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
11
exp 9.45
8
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
10
exp 8.46
9
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
11
exp 9.51
10
Denver Broncos
Denver
11
exp 10.09
11
Miami Dolphins
Miami
8
exp 7.57
12
Los Angeles Raiders
Los Angeles
8
exp 7.63
Show all 28 rows
13
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans
9
exp 8.90
14
Minnesota Vikings
Minneapolis
10
exp 9.96
15
Houston Oilers
Houston
9
exp 9.09
16
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis
8
exp 8.10
17
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
9.5
exp 9.63
18
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle
7
exp 7.30
19
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo
9
exp 9.35
20
San Diego Chargers
San Diego
6
exp 6.47
21
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa
5
exp 5.66
22
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati
8
exp 9.32
23
Phoenix Cardinals
Phoenix
5
exp 6.98
24
New England Patriots
Boston
5
exp 7.01
25
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta
3
exp 5.03
26
New York Jets
New York
4
exp 6.55
27
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
1
exp 4.30
28
Chicago Bears
Chicago
6
exp 9.36

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1989 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1989-09-10San Francisco 49ersatIndianapolis Colts45.9%30-24
1989-09-10Cincinnati BengalsatChicago Bears56.9%14-17
1989-09-10Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins45.6%27-24
1989-09-10Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos71.0%20-34
1989-09-10Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers47.1%51-0
1989-09-10Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers64.1%23-21
1989-09-10Phoenix CardinalsatDetroit Lions51.0%16-13
1989-09-10San Diego ChargersatLos Angeles Raiders60.5%14-40
1989-09-10Dallas CowboysatNew Orleans Saints76.6%0-28
1989-09-10Seattle SeahawksatPhiladelphia Eagles62.1%7-31
1989-09-10Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons41.1%31-21
1989-09-10New England PatriotsatNew York Jets58.6%27-24
1989-09-10Houston OilersatMinnesota Vikings61.1%7-38
1989-09-11New York GiantsatWashington Redskins54.8%27-24
1989-09-17San Francisco 49ersatTampa Bay Buccaneers28.0%20-16
1989-09-17Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears56.0%7-38
1989-09-17Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals76.1%10-41
1989-09-17New York JetsatCleveland Browns69.8%24-38
1989-09-17Phoenix CardinalsatSeattle Seahawks64.0%34-24
1989-09-17Houston OilersatSan Diego Chargers45.0%34-27
1989-09-17Los Angeles RaidersatKansas City Chiefs48.9%19-24
1989-09-17Indianapolis ColtsatLos Angeles Rams66.2%17-31
1989-09-17Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins47.2%42-37
1989-09-17Dallas CowboysatAtlanta Falcons59.4%21-27
1989-09-17Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots71.8%24-10
1989-09-17Detroit LionsatNew York Giants79.2%14-24
1989-09-17New Orleans SaintsatGreen Bay Packers38.2%34-35
1989-09-18Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills63.7%28-14
1989-09-24San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles49.9%38-28
1989-09-24Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions28.2%47-27
1989-09-24Buffalo BillsatHouston Oilers61.4%47-41
1989-09-24Los Angeles RaidersatDenver Broncos72.3%21-31
1989-09-24New Orleans SaintsatTampa Bay Buccaneers37.5%10-20
1989-09-24Phoenix CardinalsatNew York Giants66.9%7-35
1989-09-24Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers55.9%6-21
1989-09-24Atlanta FalconsatIndianapolis Colts69.9%9-13
1989-09-24Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys47.2%30-7
1989-09-24New York JetsatMiami Dolphins59.0%40-33
1989-09-24Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams77.9%38-41
1989-09-24Seattle SeahawksatNew England Patriots63.3%24-3
1989-09-24Minnesota VikingsatPittsburgh Steelers37.8%14-27
1989-09-25Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals56.1%14-21
1989-10-01Cincinnati BengalsatKansas City Chiefs33.0%21-17
1989-10-01New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills71.5%10-31
1989-10-01Denver BroncosatCleveland Browns59.3%13-16
1989-10-01Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings70.9%3-17
1989-10-01San Diego ChargersatPhoenix Cardinals65.5%24-13
1989-10-01Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jets60.3%17-10
1989-10-01Washington RedskinsatNew Orleans Saints63.5%16-14
1989-10-01New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys28.7%30-13
1989-10-01Miami DolphinsatHouston Oilers67.1%7-39
1989-10-01Atlanta FalconsatGreen Bay Packers61.6%21-23
1989-10-01Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions46.5%23-3
1989-10-01Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Raiders51.3%24-20
1989-10-01Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers70.5%13-12
1989-10-02Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Bears66.3%13-27
1989-10-08San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints37.9%24-20
1989-10-08Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers30.4%35-42
1989-10-08Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers40.4%26-16
1989-10-08Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts53.8%14-37
1989-10-08San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos72.6%10-16
1989-10-08Cleveland BrownsatMiami Dolphins37.6%10-13
1989-10-08Phoenix CardinalsatWashington Redskins68.4%28-30
1989-10-08Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks75.5%20-16
1989-10-08Dallas CowboysatGreen Bay Packers71.4%13-31
1989-10-08New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles52.5%19-21
1989-10-08Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams82.2%14-26
1989-10-08Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings83.4%17-24
1989-10-08Houston OilersatNew England Patriots45.1%13-23
1989-10-09Los Angeles RaidersatNew York Jets65.9%14-7
1989-10-15San Francisco 49ersatDallas Cowboys15.9%31-14
1989-10-15Houston OilersatChicago Bears70.5%33-28
1989-10-15Miami DolphinsatCincinnati Bengalsshock79.1%20-13
1989-10-15Indianapolis ColtsatDenver Broncos61.9%3-14
1989-10-15Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns74.5%17-7
1989-10-15Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers75.8%17-16
1989-10-15Philadelphia EaglesatPhoenix Cardinals42.4%17-5
1989-10-15Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers52.9%17-16
1989-10-15Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Raiders65.1%14-20
1989-10-15Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants67.7%17-20
1989-10-15New England PatriotsatAtlanta Falcons48.0%15-16
1989-10-15New York JetsatNew Orleans Saints65.2%14-29
1989-10-15Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings72.2%14-26
1989-10-16Los Angeles RamsatBuffalo Bills49.8%20-23
1989-10-22Indianapolis ColtsatCincinnati Bengals65.2%23-12
1989-10-22New York JetsatBuffalo Bills73.8%3-34
1989-10-22Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks46.4%24-21
1989-10-22Tampa Bay BuccaneersatWashington Redskins68.3%28-32
1989-10-22Atlanta FalconsatPhoenix Cardinals61.7%20-34
1989-10-22New York GiantsatSan Diego Chargers39.1%20-13
1989-10-22Dallas CowboysatKansas City Chiefs71.6%28-36
1989-10-22Green Bay PackersatMiami Dolphins67.2%20-23
1989-10-22Los Angeles RaidersatPhiladelphia Eagles71.7%7-10
1989-10-22Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions28.0%20-7
1989-10-22New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Rams68.8%40-21
1989-10-22Pittsburgh SteelersatHouston Oilers65.9%0-27
1989-10-22New England PatriotsatSan Francisco 49ers84.0%20-37
1989-10-23Chicago BearsatCleveland Browns53.8%7-27
1989-10-29San Francisco 49ersatNew York Jets23.5%23-10
1989-10-29Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears58.7%10-20
1989-10-29Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCincinnati Bengals74.4%23-56
1989-10-29Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills68.4%17-31
1989-10-29Philadelphia EaglesatDenver Broncos63.0%28-24
1989-10-29Houston OilersatCleveland Browns59.2%17-28
1989-10-29Phoenix CardinalsatDallas Cowboys40.4%19-10
1989-10-29San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks67.6%7-10
1989-10-29Kansas City ChiefsatPittsburgh Steelers65.8%17-23
1989-10-29New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts74.7%23-20
1989-10-29Washington RedskinsatLos Angeles Raiders52.5%24-37
1989-10-29Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints81.0%13-20
1989-10-29Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers72.9%20-23
1989-10-30Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants63.5%14-24
1989-11-05Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers40.4%13-14
1989-11-05Cincinnati BengalsatLos Angeles Raiders49.0%7-28
1989-11-05Buffalo BillsatAtlanta Falcons29.3%28-30
1989-11-05Pittsburgh SteelersatDenver Broncos72.8%7-34
1989-11-05Cleveland BrownsatTampa Bay Buccaneers35.7%42-31
1989-11-05New York GiantsatPhoenix Cardinals35.4%20-13
1989-11-05Philadelphia EaglesatSan Diego Chargers34.0%17-20
1989-11-05Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs45.8%10-20
1989-11-05Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins49.6%13-19
1989-11-05Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskinsshock83.0%13-3
1989-11-05New York JetsatNew England Patriots67.8%27-26
1989-11-05Detroit LionsatHouston Oilers84.7%31-35
1989-11-05Los Angeles RamsatMinnesota Vikings63.1%21-23
1989-11-06New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers75.7%13-31
1989-11-12Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Steelers46.4%20-0
1989-11-12Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills64.3%7-30
1989-11-12Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs35.3%16-13
1989-11-12Cleveland BrownsatSeattle Seahawks41.8%17-7
1989-11-12Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers35.7%24-10
1989-11-12Dallas CowboysatPhoenix Cardinals73.2%20-24
1989-11-12Los Angeles RaidersatSan Diego Chargers47.0%12-14
1989-11-12Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles76.0%10-3
1989-11-12Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets47.3%31-23
1989-11-12New York GiantsatLos Angeles Rams42.9%10-31
1989-11-12Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions40.2%22-31
1989-11-12New Orleans SaintsatNew England Patriots46.0%28-24
1989-11-12Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers90.7%3-45
1989-11-13Cincinnati BengalsatHouston Oilers60.7%24-26
1989-11-19Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bearsshock82.5%32-31
1989-11-19Detroit LionsatCincinnati Bengals81.6%7-42
1989-11-19Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots39.2%24-33
1989-11-19Kansas City ChiefsatCleveland Browns81.5%10-10
1989-11-19Phoenix CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams73.4%14-37
1989-11-19San Diego ChargersatPittsburgh Steelers56.9%17-20
1989-11-19New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts73.4%10-27
1989-11-19Miami DolphinsatDallas Cowboys31.0%17-14
1989-11-19Minnesota VikingsatPhiladelphia Eagles54.5%9-10
1989-11-19New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons32.5%26-17
1989-11-19Seattle SeahawksatNew York Giants76.8%3-15
1989-11-19Los Angeles RaidersatHouston Oilers64.5%7-23
1989-11-19Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ersshock89.7%21-17
1989-11-20Denver BroncosatWashington Redskins40.6%14-10
1989-11-23Cleveland BrownsatDetroit Lionsshock21.9%10-13
1989-11-23Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys26.5%27-0
1989-11-26Chicago BearsatWashington Redskins45.0%14-38
1989-11-26Cincinnati BengalsatBuffalo Bills62.4%7-24
1989-11-26Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos80.5%14-41
1989-11-26Tampa Bay BuccaneersatPhoenix Cardinals64.5%14-13
1989-11-26San Diego ChargersatIndianapolis Colts52.6%6-10
1989-11-26Houston OilersatKansas City Chiefs39.5%0-34
1989-11-26Pittsburgh SteelersatMiami Dolphins70.3%34-14
1989-11-26Atlanta FalconsatNew York Jets62.0%7-27
1989-11-26Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers40.6%19-20
1989-11-26New England PatriotsatLos Angeles Raiders61.7%21-24
1989-11-26Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints42.6%20-17
1989-11-27New York GiantsatSan Francisco 49ers69.3%24-34
1989-12-03San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons15.6%23-10
1989-12-03Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings63.9%16-27
1989-12-03Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns67.9%21-0
1989-12-03Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Raiders40.5%13-16
1989-12-03Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers51.7%17-16
1989-12-03Washington RedskinsatPhoenix Cardinals47.1%29-10
1989-12-03New York JetsatSan Diego Chargers62.7%20-17
1989-12-03Miami DolphinsatKansas City Chiefs58.1%21-26
1989-12-03Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots49.9%16-22
1989-12-03Los Angeles RamsatDallas Cowboys21.1%35-31
1989-12-03Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants62.7%24-17
1989-12-03New Orleans SaintsatDetroit Lions28.8%14-21
1989-12-03Houston OilersatPittsburgh Steelers54.4%23-16
1989-12-04Buffalo BillsatSeattle Seahawks38.0%16-17
1989-12-10Detroit LionsatChicago Bears76.3%27-17
1989-12-10Seattle SeahawksatCincinnati Bengals74.5%24-17
1989-12-10New Orleans SaintsatBuffalo Bills64.4%22-19
1989-12-10New York GiantsatDenver Broncos66.3%14-7
1989-12-10Cleveland BrownsatIndianapolis Colts55.8%17-23
1989-12-10Tampa Bay BuccaneersatHouston Oilers78.3%17-20
1989-12-10Phoenix CardinalsatLos Angeles Raiders75.5%14-16
1989-12-10San Diego ChargersatWashington Redskins74.3%21-26
1989-12-10Kansas City ChiefsatGreen Bay Packers54.7%21-3
1989-12-10Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles89.6%10-20
1989-12-10New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins57.1%10-31
1989-12-10Atlanta FalconsatMinnesota Vikings86.0%17-43
1989-12-10Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Jets52.8%13-0
1989-12-11San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams43.3%30-27
1989-12-16Denver BroncosatPhoenix Cardinals30.9%37-0
1989-12-16Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants89.8%0-15
1989-12-17Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears65.6%40-28
1989-12-17Houston OilersatCincinnati Bengals55.3%7-61
1989-12-17Minnesota VikingsatCleveland Browns49.1%17-23
1989-12-17Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions63.3%7-33
1989-12-17San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs74.4%20-13
1989-12-17Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts63.8%13-42
1989-12-17Washington RedskinsatAtlanta Falcons29.7%31-30
1989-12-17New York JetsatLos Angeles Rams81.0%14-38
1989-12-17New England PatriotsatPittsburgh Steelers64.3%10-28
1989-12-17Los Angeles RaidersatSeattle Seahawks51.8%17-23
1989-12-17Buffalo BillsatSan Francisco 49ers78.9%10-21
1989-12-18Philadelphia EaglesatNew Orleans Saints52.5%20-30
1989-12-23Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets36.8%37-0
1989-12-23Cleveland BrownsatHouston Oilers56.5%24-20
1989-12-23Washington RedskinsatSeattle Seahawks51.9%29-0
1989-12-24Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers34.9%16-19
1989-12-24Pittsburgh SteelersatTampa Bay Buccaneers37.4%31-22
1989-12-24Phoenix CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles83.3%14-31
1989-12-24Kansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins56.8%27-24
1989-12-24Indianapolis ColtsatNew Orleans Saints62.3%6-41
1989-12-24Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys33.6%20-10
1989-12-24Detroit LionsatAtlanta Falcons42.4%31-24
1989-12-24Los Angeles RaidersatNew York Giants71.3%17-34
1989-12-24Los Angeles RamsatNew England Patriots37.5%24-20
1989-12-24Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers88.4%0-26
1989-12-25Cincinnati BengalsatMinnesota Vikings60.5%21-29
1989-12-31Los Angeles RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles56.7%21-7
1989-12-31Houston OilersatPittsburgh Steelers63.7%23-26
1990-01-06Buffalo BillsatCleveland Browns57.7%30-34
1990-01-06Minnesota VikingsatSan Francisco 49ers77.1%13-41
1990-01-07Pittsburgh SteelersatDenver Broncos65.0%23-24
1990-01-07Los Angeles RamsatNew York Giants56.5%19-13
1990-01-14Cleveland BrownsatDenver Broncos62.7%21-37
1990-01-14Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers70.8%3-30
1990-01-28Denver BroncosvsSan Francisco 49ers70.2%10-55

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.