The expectation ledger

The 1984 season, against expectation

Every game of 1984scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19831985→
Games
233
Model Brier
0.2029
Market Brier
0.2055
Longest odds beaten
13.2%
Houston Oilers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1984.

1
Denver Broncos
Denver
13
exp 8.82
2
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
15
exp 11.93
3
Miami Dolphins
Miami
14
exp 11.87
4
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle
12
exp 10.18
5
New York Giants
New York
9
exp 7.57
6
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
10
exp 8.68
7
Chicago Bears
Chicago
10
exp 8.84
8
New England Patriots
Boston
9
exp 8.45
9
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City
8
exp 7.48
10
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis
9
exp 8.49
11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa
6
exp 5.58
12
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
8
exp 7.74
Show all 28 rows
13
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans
7
exp 6.80
14
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati
8
exp 7.82
15
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
9
exp 8.91
16
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
9
exp 9.06
17
Los Angeles Raiders
Los Angeles
11
exp 11.09
18
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
11
exp 11.12
19
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
6.5
exp 6.62
20
San Diego Chargers
San Diego
7
exp 7.20
21
Houston Oilers
Houston
3
exp 3.82
22
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis
4
exp 5.18
23
New York Jets
New York
7
exp 8.39
24
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
5
exp 7.50
25
Minnesota Vikings
Minneapolis
3
exp 5.61
26
Detroit Lions
Detroit
4.5
exp 7.12
27
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta
4
exp 6.90
28
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo
2
exp 5.26

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1984 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1984-09-02San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions51.6%30-27
1984-09-02Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears73.4%14-34
1984-09-02Cincinnati BengalsatDenver Broncos52.7%17-20
1984-09-02New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills53.7%21-17
1984-09-02St. Louis CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers52.1%23-24
1984-09-02San Diego ChargersatMinnesota Vikings57.8%42-13
1984-09-02Kansas City ChiefsatPittsburgh Steelers62.8%37-27
1984-09-02New York JetsatIndianapolis Colts47.5%23-14
1984-09-02Miami DolphinsatWashington Redskins69.4%35-17
1984-09-02Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants59.2%27-28
1984-09-02Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints56.6%36-28
1984-09-02Los Angeles RaidersatHouston Oilers21.5%24-14
1984-09-03Cleveland BrownsatSeattle Seahawks66.9%0-33
1984-09-03Dallas CowboysatLos Angeles Rams50.3%20-13
1984-09-06Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Jets63.7%23-17
1984-09-09Denver BroncosatChicago Bears61.7%0-27
1984-09-09Kansas City ChiefsatCincinnati Bengals56.8%27-22
1984-09-09Buffalo BillsatSt. Louis Cardinals70.0%7-37
1984-09-09Cleveland BrownsatLos Angeles Rams61.5%17-20
1984-09-09Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew Orleans Saints70.5%13-17
1984-09-09San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks67.2%17-31
1984-09-09Indianapolis ColtsatHouston Oilers53.5%35-21
1984-09-09Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants37.6%7-28
1984-09-09New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins73.5%7-28
1984-09-09Minnesota VikingsatPhiladelphia Eagles60.1%17-19
1984-09-09Detroit LionsatAtlanta Falcons60.4%27-24
1984-09-09Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Raiders79.3%7-28
1984-09-10Washington RedskinsatSan Francisco 49ers54.8%31-37
1984-09-16Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers52.7%9-7
1984-09-16Cincinnati BengalsatNew York Jets60.4%23-43
1984-09-16Denver BroncosatCleveland Browns59.9%24-14
1984-09-16Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers34.8%17-21
1984-09-16St. Louis CardinalsatIndianapolis Colts41.2%34-33
1984-09-16Houston OilersatSan Diego Chargers80.1%14-31
1984-09-16Los Angeles RaidersatKansas City Chiefs40.9%22-20
1984-09-16New York GiantsatWashington Redskins74.8%14-30
1984-09-16Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys73.8%17-23
1984-09-16Atlanta FalconsatMinnesota Vikings47.5%20-27
1984-09-16Seattle SeahawksatNew England Patriots46.9%23-38
1984-09-16Los Angeles RamsatPittsburgh Steelers60.7%14-24
1984-09-16New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers77.8%20-30
1984-09-17Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills28.9%21-17
1984-09-23San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles33.0%21-9
1984-09-23Chicago BearsatSeattle Seahawks62.6%9-38
1984-09-23Los Angeles RamsatCincinnati Bengals56.1%24-14
1984-09-23New York JetsatBuffalo Bills45.5%28-26
1984-09-23Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos52.8%0-21
1984-09-23Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns45.7%10-20
1984-09-23Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew York Giants71.5%14-17
1984-09-23St. Louis CardinalsatNew Orleans Saints43.9%24-34
1984-09-23Indianapolis ColtsatMiami Dolphins85.4%7-44
1984-09-23Washington RedskinsatNew England Patriots47.3%26-10
1984-09-23Green Bay PackersatDallas Cowboys71.6%6-20
1984-09-23Houston OilersatAtlanta Falcons79.0%10-42
1984-09-23Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions67.9%29-28
1984-09-24San Diego ChargersatLos Angeles Raiders79.5%30-33
1984-09-30Dallas CowboysatChicago Bears50.0%23-14
1984-09-30Buffalo BillsatIndianapolis Colts58.9%17-31
1984-09-30Los Angeles RaidersatDenver Broncos35.6%13-16
1984-09-30Cleveland BrownsatKansas City Chiefs65.3%6-10
1984-09-30Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers46.8%27-30
1984-09-30Miami DolphinsatSt. Louis Cardinals39.3%36-28
1984-09-30Detroit LionsatSan Diego Chargers60.8%24-27
1984-09-30Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins84.6%0-20
1984-09-30New York GiantsatLos Angeles Rams63.8%12-33
1984-09-30New England PatriotsatNew York Jets61.4%28-21
1984-09-30New Orleans SaintsatHouston Oilers34.7%27-10
1984-09-30Seattle SeahawksatMinnesota Vikings39.6%20-12
1984-09-30Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers76.9%5-14
1984-10-01Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelers68.5%17-38
1984-10-07New Orleans SaintsatChicago Bears59.0%7-20
1984-10-07Houston OilersatCincinnati Bengals75.9%3-13
1984-10-07Philadelphia EaglesatBuffalo Bills56.6%27-17
1984-10-07Denver BroncosatDetroit Lions51.7%28-7
1984-10-07New England PatriotsatCleveland Browns47.0%17-16
1984-10-07Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers52.1%31-35
1984-10-07St. Louis CardinalsatDallas Cowboys71.2%31-20
1984-10-07San Diego ChargersatGreen Bay Packers48.4%34-28
1984-10-07New York JetsatKansas City Chiefs61.6%17-16
1984-10-07Washington RedskinsatIndianapolis Colts28.4%35-7
1984-10-07Miami DolphinsatPittsburgh Steelers36.4%31-7
1984-10-07Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams66.0%30-28
1984-10-07Seattle SeahawksatLos Angeles Raiders67.6%14-28
1984-10-08San Francisco 49ersatNew York Giants32.9%31-10
1984-10-14Chicago BearsatSt. Louis Cardinals64.1%21-38
1984-10-14Cincinnati BengalsatNew England Patriots74.1%14-20
1984-10-14Buffalo BillsatSeattle Seahawks84.4%28-31
1984-10-14New York JetsatCleveland Browns50.2%24-20
1984-10-14Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions66.5%7-13
1984-10-14San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs55.4%13-31
1984-10-14Indianapolis ColtsatPhiladelphia Eagles62.5%7-16
1984-10-14Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins73.0%14-34
1984-10-14Houston OilersatMiami Dolphins94.7%10-28
1984-10-14New York GiantsatAtlanta Falcons67.3%19-7
1984-10-14Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Raiders87.1%20-23
1984-10-14Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints53.0%28-10
1984-10-14Pittsburgh SteelersatSan Francisco 49ersshock78.9%20-17
1984-10-15Green Bay PackersatDenver Broncos77.3%14-17
1984-10-21San Francisco 49ersatHouston Oilers14.5%34-21
1984-10-21Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers43.9%44-9
1984-10-21Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals57.6%9-12
1984-10-21Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills29.2%37-7
1984-10-21Washington RedskinsatSt. Louis Cardinals42.2%24-26
1984-10-21Los Angeles RaidersatSan Diego Chargers34.2%44-37
1984-10-21Kansas City ChiefsatNew York Jets58.0%7-28
1984-10-21Pittsburgh SteelersatIndianapolis Colts40.8%16-17
1984-10-21New Orleans SaintsatDallas Cowboys73.0%27-30
1984-10-21Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots37.1%44-24
1984-10-21New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles56.2%10-24
1984-10-21Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings52.1%16-14
1984-10-21Seattle SeahawksatGreen Bay Packers34.5%30-24
1984-10-22Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons46.7%24-10
1984-10-28San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams48.8%33-0
1984-10-28Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears74.5%7-16
1984-10-28Cincinnati BengalsatHouston Oilers35.7%31-13
1984-10-28Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins93.3%7-38
1984-10-28Denver BroncosatLos Angeles Raiders72.9%22-19
1984-10-28New Orleans SaintsatCleveland Browns56.8%16-14
1984-10-28Tampa Bay BuccaneersatKansas City Chiefs77.9%20-24
1984-10-28St. Louis CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles44.0%34-14
1984-10-28Indianapolis ColtsatDallas Cowboys77.8%3-22
1984-10-28Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants28.5%13-37
1984-10-28Atlanta FalconsatPittsburgh Steelers69.8%10-35
1984-10-28New York JetsatNew England Patriots56.6%20-30
1984-10-28Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers48.8%9-41
1984-10-29Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers43.6%24-0
1984-11-04Los Angeles RaidersatChicago Bears38.7%6-17
1984-11-04Cleveland BrownsatBuffalo Bills49.3%13-10
1984-11-04New England PatriotsatDenver Broncos67.9%19-26
1984-11-04Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings65.2%24-27
1984-11-04Los Angeles RamsatSt. Louis Cardinals68.3%16-13
1984-11-04San Diego ChargersatIndianapolis Colts30.6%38-10
1984-11-04Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks74.1%0-45
1984-11-04New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys68.3%19-7
1984-11-04Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets30.8%31-17
1984-11-04Philadelphia EaglesatDetroit Lions58.1%23-23
1984-11-04Green Bay PackersatNew Orleans Saints41.9%23-13
1984-11-04Houston OilersatPittsburgh Steelers88.7%7-35
1984-11-04Cincinnati BengalsatSan Francisco 49ers84.7%17-23
1984-11-05Atlanta FalconsatWashington Redskins82.8%14-27
1984-11-11San Francisco 49ersatCleveland Browns23.7%41-7
1984-11-11Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams58.3%13-29
1984-11-11Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals45.3%20-22
1984-11-11Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots83.6%10-38
1984-11-11Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers41.0%16-13
1984-11-11New York GiantsatTampa Bay Buccaneers31.7%17-20
1984-11-11Dallas CowboysatSt. Louis Cardinals66.8%24-17
1984-11-11Houston OilersatKansas City Chiefsshock86.8%17-16
1984-11-11Indianapolis ColtsatNew York Jetsshock78.0%9-5
1984-11-11Detroit LionsatWashington Redskins81.8%14-28
1984-11-11Philadelphia EaglesatMiami Dolphins89.1%23-24
1984-11-11New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons58.1%17-13
1984-11-11Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers68.2%17-45
1984-11-12Los Angeles RaidersatSeattle Seahawks59.7%14-17
1984-11-18Detroit LionsatChicago Bears73.7%14-16
1984-11-18Seattle SeahawksatCincinnati Bengals30.7%26-6
1984-11-18Dallas CowboysatBuffalo Bills25.7%3-14
1984-11-18Minnesota VikingsatDenver Broncos86.6%21-42
1984-11-18Cleveland BrownsatAtlanta Falcons57.5%23-7
1984-11-18St. Louis CardinalsatNew York Giants53.4%10-16
1984-11-18Miami DolphinsatSan Diego Chargers24.3%28-34
1984-11-18Kansas City ChiefsatLos Angeles Raiders78.0%7-17
1984-11-18New England PatriotsatIndianapolis Colts36.4%50-17
1984-11-18Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles32.4%10-16
1984-11-18New York JetsatHouston Oilers27.0%20-31
1984-11-18Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers45.9%6-31
1984-11-18Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSan Francisco 49ers91.3%17-24
1984-11-19Pittsburgh SteelersatNew Orleans Saints46.1%24-27
1984-11-22New England PatriotsatDallas Cowboys51.8%17-20
1984-11-22Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions44.8%28-31
1984-11-25San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saints25.3%35-3
1984-11-25Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings34.7%34-3
1984-11-25Atlanta FalconsatCincinnati Bengals69.9%14-35
1984-11-25Buffalo BillsatWashington Redskins86.9%14-41
1984-11-25Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos54.7%27-24
1984-11-25Houston OilersatCleveland Browns77.3%10-27
1984-11-25Los Angeles RamsatTampa Bay Buccaneers32.7%34-33
1984-11-25Philadelphia EaglesatSt. Louis Cardinals67.6%16-17
1984-11-25San Diego ChargersatPittsburgh Steelers58.1%24-52
1984-11-25Kansas City ChiefsatNew York Giants67.5%27-28
1984-11-25Indianapolis ColtsatLos Angeles Raiders88.2%7-21
1984-11-26New York JetsatMiami Dolphins87.5%17-28
1984-11-29Washington RedskinsatMinnesota Vikings23.4%31-17
1984-12-02San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons13.9%35-17
1984-12-02Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns58.2%20-17
1984-12-02Indianapolis ColtsatBuffalo Bills57.4%15-21
1984-12-02Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs36.3%13-16
1984-12-02Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers78.3%14-27
1984-12-02St. Louis CardinalsatNew England Patriots61.3%33-10
1984-12-02Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles50.7%26-10
1984-12-02Los Angeles RaidersatMiami Dolphins68.8%45-34
1984-12-02New York GiantsatNew York Jets45.3%20-10
1984-12-02Detroit LionsatSeattle Seahawks86.4%17-38
1984-12-02New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Rams73.9%21-34
1984-12-02Pittsburgh SteelersatHouston Oilers24.0%20-23
1984-12-03Chicago BearsatSan Diego Chargers48.3%7-20
1984-12-08Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets67.3%17-21
1984-12-08Minnesota VikingsatSan Francisco 49ers93.2%7-51
1984-12-09Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears62.6%20-14
1984-12-09Cincinnati BengalsatNew Orleans Saints52.3%24-21
1984-12-09San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos71.1%13-16
1984-12-09Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers70.5%20-23
1984-12-09Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers60.6%6-23
1984-12-09New York GiantsatSt. Louis Cardinals62.6%21-31
1984-12-09Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs29.7%7-34
1984-12-09Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts16.4%35-17
1984-12-09Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys49.1%30-28
1984-12-09New England PatriotsatPhiladelphia Eagles48.6%17-27
1984-12-09Houston OilersatLos Angeles Rams87.0%16-27
1984-12-10Los Angeles RaidersatDetroit Lions24.9%24-3
1984-12-14Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers78.8%16-19
1984-12-15Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks63.5%31-14
1984-12-15New Orleans SaintsatNew York Giantsshock76.0%10-3
1984-12-16Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions44.8%30-13
1984-12-16Buffalo BillsatCincinnati Bengals76.1%21-52
1984-12-16Cleveland BrownsatHouston Oilers40.7%27-20
1984-12-16New York JetsatTampa Bay Buccaneers49.8%21-41
1984-12-16St. Louis CardinalsatWashington Redskins64.9%27-29
1984-12-16Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers56.0%42-21
1984-12-16Indianapolis ColtsatNew England Patriots78.8%10-16
1984-12-16Philadelphia EaglesatAtlanta Falcons36.7%10-26
1984-12-16Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings30.3%38-14
1984-12-16Pittsburgh SteelersatLos Angeles Raidersshock80.1%13-7
1984-12-17Dallas CowboysatMiami Dolphins77.0%21-28
1984-12-22Los Angeles RaidersatSeattle Seahawks51.5%7-13
1984-12-23New York GiantsatLos Angeles Rams66.7%16-13
1984-12-29Seattle SeahawksatMiami Dolphins68.9%10-31
1984-12-29New York GiantsatSan Francisco 49ers82.9%10-21
1984-12-30Chicago BearsatWashington Redskins73.0%23-19
1984-12-30Pittsburgh SteelersatDenver Broncos71.9%24-17
1985-01-06Pittsburgh SteelersatMiami Dolphins75.5%28-45
1985-01-06Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers80.0%0-23
1985-01-20Miami DolphinsvsSan Francisco 49ers52.9%16-38

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.