The expectation ledger
The 1980 season, against expectation
Every game of 1980scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
233
Model Brier
0.2264
Market Brier
0.2270
Longest odds beaten
13.6%
Cincinnati Bengals
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1980.
Show all 28 rows
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1980 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980-09-07 | San Francisco 49ersatNew Orleans Saintsshock | 76.5% | 26-23 |
| 1980-09-07 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers | 46.7% | 6-12 |
| 1980-09-07 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatCincinnati Bengals | 60.6% | 17-12 |
| 1980-09-07 | Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills | 47.7% | 7-17 |
| 1980-09-07 | Denver BroncosatPhiladelphia Eagles | 59.8% | 6-27 |
| 1980-09-07 | Cleveland BrownsatNew England Patriots | 61.0% | 17-34 |
| 1980-09-07 | New York GiantsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 64.0% | 41-35 |
| 1980-09-07 | San Diego ChargersatSeattle Seahawks | 48.4% | 34-13 |
| 1980-09-07 | Oakland RaidersatKansas City Chiefs | 48.5% | 27-14 |
| 1980-09-07 | Baltimore ColtsatNew York Jets | 68.1% | 17-14 |
| 1980-09-07 | Atlanta FalconsatMinnesota Vikings | 62.7% | 23-24 |
| 1980-09-07 | Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Ramsshock | 78.1% | 41-20 |
| 1980-09-07 | Houston OilersatPittsburgh Steelers | 70.0% | 17-31 |
| 1980-09-08 | Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins | 54.8% | 17-3 |
| 1980-09-11 | Los Angeles RamsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 59.3% | 9-10 |
| 1980-09-14 | New Orleans SaintsatChicago Bears | 61.2% | 3-22 |
| 1980-09-14 | Cincinnati BengalsatMiami Dolphins | 68.9% | 16-17 |
| 1980-09-14 | New York JetsatBuffalo Bills | 60.7% | 10-20 |
| 1980-09-14 | Dallas CowboysatDenver Broncos | 47.9% | 20-41 |
| 1980-09-14 | Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers | 68.1% | 24-30 |
| 1980-09-14 | Seattle SeahawksatKansas City Chiefs | 51.1% | 17-16 |
| 1980-09-14 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Colts | 28.7% | 20-17 |
| 1980-09-14 | Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants | 50.0% | 23-21 |
| 1980-09-14 | Philadelphia EaglesatMinnesota Vikings | 42.0% | 42-7 |
| 1980-09-14 | Atlanta FalconsatNew England Patriots | 76.0% | 37-21 |
| 1980-09-14 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 61.3% | 29-7 |
| 1980-09-14 | St. Louis CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ers | 53.1% | 21-24 |
| 1980-09-15 | Houston OilersatCleveland Browns | 50.3% | 16-7 |
| 1980-09-21 | San Francisco 49ersatNew York Jets | 67.4% | 37-27 |
| 1980-09-21 | Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears | 70.9% | 34-14 |
| 1980-09-21 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCincinnati Bengals | 26.7% | 28-30 |
| 1980-09-21 | Buffalo BillsatNew Orleans Saints | 52.2% | 35-26 |
| 1980-09-21 | San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos | 46.2% | 30-13 |
| 1980-09-21 | Kansas City ChiefsatCleveland Browns | 64.6% | 13-20 |
| 1980-09-21 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDallas Cowboys | 70.3% | 17-28 |
| 1980-09-21 | St. Louis CardinalsatDetroit Lions | 66.6% | 7-20 |
| 1980-09-21 | Baltimore ColtsatHouston Oilers | 76.6% | 16-21 |
| 1980-09-21 | Washington RedskinsatOakland Raiders | 64.0% | 21-24 |
| 1980-09-21 | Miami DolphinsatAtlanta Falcons | 51.3% | 20-17 |
| 1980-09-21 | Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams | 68.3% | 21-51 |
| 1980-09-21 | New England PatriotsatSeattle Seahawks | 59.2% | 37-31 |
| 1980-09-22 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 79.4% | 3-35 |
| 1980-09-28 | Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Steelers | 81.7% | 3-38 |
| 1980-09-28 | Houston OilersatCincinnati Bengals | 40.3% | 13-10 |
| 1980-09-28 | Oakland RaidersatBuffalo Bills | 54.1% | 7-24 |
| 1980-09-28 | Cleveland BrownsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 56.8% | 34-27 |
| 1980-09-28 | Philadelphia EaglesatSt. Louis Cardinals | 29.2% | 14-24 |
| 1980-09-28 | San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs | 25.4% | 24-7 |
| 1980-09-28 | New York JetsatBaltimore Colts | 60.7% | 21-35 |
| 1980-09-28 | Seattle SeahawksatWashington Redskins | 63.3% | 14-0 |
| 1980-09-28 | Dallas CowboysatGreen Bay Packers | 31.7% | 28-7 |
| 1980-09-28 | New Orleans SaintsatMiami Dolphins | 72.6% | 16-21 |
| 1980-09-28 | Los Angeles RamsatNew York Giants | 48.9% | 28-7 |
| 1980-09-28 | Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions | 61.5% | 7-27 |
| 1980-09-28 | Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers | 56.5% | 20-17 |
| 1980-09-29 | Denver BroncosatNew England Patriots | 59.5% | 14-23 |
| 1980-10-05 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 73.1% | 26-48 |
| 1980-10-05 | Cincinnati BengalsatGreen Bay Packers | 47.8% | 9-14 |
| 1980-10-05 | Buffalo BillsatSan Diego Chargers | 75.6% | 26-24 |
| 1980-10-05 | Denver BroncosatCleveland Browns | 59.5% | 19-16 |
| 1980-10-05 | St. Louis CardinalsatNew Orleans Saints | 57.4% | 40-7 |
| 1980-10-05 | Kansas City ChiefsatOakland Raiders | 75.7% | 31-17 |
| 1980-10-05 | Baltimore ColtsatMiami Dolphins | 70.9% | 30-17 |
| 1980-10-05 | Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 72.6% | 14-24 |
| 1980-10-05 | New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys | 83.0% | 3-24 |
| 1980-10-05 | Detroit LionsatAtlanta Falcons | 53.3% | 28-43 |
| 1980-10-05 | New England PatriotsatNew York Jets | 38.7% | 21-11 |
| 1980-10-05 | Seattle SeahawksatHouston Oilers | 70.2% | 26-7 |
| 1980-10-05 | Pittsburgh SteelersatMinnesota Vikings | 28.3% | 23-17 |
| 1980-10-06 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatChicago Bears | 60.5% | 0-23 |
| 1980-10-12 | San Francisco 49ersatDallas Cowboys | 83.1% | 14-59 |
| 1980-10-12 | Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings | 53.2% | 7-13 |
| 1980-10-12 | Cincinnati BengalsatPittsburgh Steelersshock | 86.4% | 17-16 |
| 1980-10-12 | Baltimore ColtsatBuffalo Bills | 69.5% | 17-12 |
| 1980-10-12 | Cleveland BrownsatSeattle Seahawks | 68.2% | 27-3 |
| 1980-10-12 | Green Bay PackersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 64.3% | 14-14 |
| 1980-10-12 | Los Angeles RamsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 50.2% | 21-13 |
| 1980-10-12 | San Diego ChargersatOakland Raiders | 34.8% | 24-38 |
| 1980-10-12 | Houston OilersatKansas City Chiefs | 44.3% | 20-21 |
| 1980-10-12 | Miami DolphinsatNew England Patriots | 67.5% | 0-34 |
| 1980-10-12 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants | 30.2% | 31-16 |
| 1980-10-12 | New York JetsatAtlanta Falcons | 73.0% | 14-7 |
| 1980-10-12 | New Orleans SaintsatDetroit Lions | 72.5% | 13-24 |
| 1980-10-13 | Washington RedskinsatDenver Broncos | 67.7% | 17-20 |
| 1980-10-19 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 54.4% | 7-24 |
| 1980-10-19 | Minnesota VikingsatCincinnati Bengals | 57.3% | 0-14 |
| 1980-10-19 | Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins | 50.1% | 14-17 |
| 1980-10-19 | Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos | 69.2% | 23-17 |
| 1980-10-19 | Green Bay PackersatCleveland Browns | 77.8% | 21-26 |
| 1980-10-19 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatHouston Oilers | 75.5% | 14-20 |
| 1980-10-19 | St. Louis CardinalsatWashington Redskins | 59.4% | 0-23 |
| 1980-10-19 | New York GiantsatSan Diego Chargers | 87.0% | 7-44 |
| 1980-10-19 | New England PatriotsatBaltimore Colts | 49.9% | 37-21 |
| 1980-10-19 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles | 57.2% | 10-17 |
| 1980-10-19 | Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints | 46.1% | 41-14 |
| 1980-10-19 | Seattle SeahawksatNew York Jets | 45.2% | 27-17 |
| 1980-10-19 | Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers | 34.8% | 31-17 |
| 1980-10-20 | Oakland RaidersatPittsburgh Steelers | 76.4% | 45-34 |
| 1980-10-26 | Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 76.2% | 14-17 |
| 1980-10-26 | Cincinnati BengalsatHouston Oilers | 71.3% | 3-23 |
| 1980-10-26 | New England PatriotsatBuffalo Bills | 47.4% | 13-31 |
| 1980-10-26 | Denver BroncosatNew York Giants | 38.1% | 14-9 |
| 1980-10-26 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 47.9% | 26-27 |
| 1980-10-26 | St. Louis CardinalsatBaltimore Colts | 67.8% | 17-10 |
| 1980-10-26 | San Diego ChargersatDallas Cowboys | 54.5% | 31-42 |
| 1980-10-26 | Detroit LionsatKansas City Chiefs | 61.7% | 17-20 |
| 1980-10-26 | New Orleans SaintsatWashington Redskins | 76.8% | 14-22 |
| 1980-10-26 | Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons | 46.5% | 10-13 |
| 1980-10-26 | Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers | 52.0% | 3-16 |
| 1980-10-26 | Seattle SeahawksatOakland Raiders | 64.1% | 14-33 |
| 1980-10-26 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatSan Francisco 49ers | 53.7% | 24-23 |
| 1980-10-27 | Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets | 45.1% | 14-17 |
| 1980-11-02 | San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions | 71.8% | 13-17 |
| 1980-11-02 | San Diego ChargersatCincinnati Bengals | 35.5% | 31-14 |
| 1980-11-02 | Atlanta FalconsatBuffalo Bills | 67.1% | 30-14 |
| 1980-11-02 | Houston OilersatDenver Broncos | 51.6% | 20-16 |
| 1980-11-02 | New York GiantsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 68.8% | 13-30 |
| 1980-11-02 | Dallas CowboysatSt. Louis Cardinals | 35.5% | 27-24 |
| 1980-11-02 | Baltimore ColtsatKansas City Chiefs | 64.0% | 31-24 |
| 1980-11-02 | Minnesota VikingsatWashington Redskins | 69.9% | 39-14 |
| 1980-11-02 | Miami DolphinsatOakland Raiders | 73.6% | 10-16 |
| 1980-11-02 | Philadelphia EaglesatSeattle Seahawks | 42.9% | 27-20 |
| 1980-11-02 | New York JetsatNew England Patriots | 79.7% | 21-34 |
| 1980-11-02 | Green Bay PackersatPittsburgh Steelers | 83.3% | 20-22 |
| 1980-11-02 | New Orleans SaintsatLos Angeles Rams | 85.0% | 31-45 |
| 1980-11-03 | Chicago BearsatCleveland Browns | 69.1% | 21-27 |
| 1980-11-09 | San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers | 66.0% | 16-23 |
| 1980-11-09 | Washington RedskinsatChicago Bears | 63.3% | 21-35 |
| 1980-11-09 | Cincinnati BengalsatOakland Raiders | 79.9% | 17-28 |
| 1980-11-09 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets | 42.0% | 31-24 |
| 1980-11-09 | Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers | 75.8% | 20-13 |
| 1980-11-09 | Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Colts | 48.4% | 28-27 |
| 1980-11-09 | Pittsburgh SteelersatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 32.6% | 24-21 |
| 1980-11-09 | Atlanta FalconsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 45.6% | 33-27 |
| 1980-11-09 | Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks | 63.2% | 31-30 |
| 1980-11-09 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Giantsshock | 19.7% | 35-38 |
| 1980-11-09 | Miami DolphinsatLos Angeles Rams | 72.2% | 35-14 |
| 1980-11-09 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew Orleans Saints | 18.0% | 34-21 |
| 1980-11-09 | Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings | 57.6% | 0-34 |
| 1980-11-10 | New England PatriotsatHouston Oilers | 58.7% | 34-38 |
| 1980-11-16 | San Francisco 49ersatMiami Dolphins | 80.3% | 13-17 |
| 1980-11-16 | Houston OilersatChicago Bears | 43.0% | 10-6 |
| 1980-11-16 | Buffalo BillsatCincinnati Bengals | 42.0% | 14-0 |
| 1980-11-16 | New York JetsatDenver Broncos | 77.8% | 24-31 |
| 1980-11-16 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 67.1% | 13-16 |
| 1980-11-16 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatMinnesota Vikings | 67.4% | 30-38 |
| 1980-11-16 | St. Louis CardinalsatDallas Cowboys | 80.4% | 21-31 |
| 1980-11-16 | Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers | 74.6% | 7-20 |
| 1980-11-16 | Baltimore ColtsatDetroit Lions | 52.8% | 10-9 |
| 1980-11-16 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins | 27.2% | 24-0 |
| 1980-11-16 | New Orleans SaintsatAtlanta Falcons | 86.0% | 13-31 |
| 1980-11-16 | Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants | 50.0% | 21-27 |
| 1980-11-16 | Los Angeles RamsatNew England Patriots | 67.0% | 17-14 |
| 1980-11-17 | Oakland RaidersatSeattle Seahawks | 41.9% | 19-17 |
| 1980-11-20 | San Diego ChargersatMiami Dolphins | 46.6% | 27-24 |
| 1980-11-23 | Chicago BearsatAtlanta Falcons | 71.4% | 17-28 |
| 1980-11-23 | Cincinnati BengalsatCleveland Browns | 79.3% | 7-31 |
| 1980-11-23 | Pittsburgh SteelersatBuffalo Bills | 48.0% | 13-28 |
| 1980-11-23 | Seattle SeahawksatDenver Broncos | 67.9% | 20-36 |
| 1980-11-23 | Detroit LionsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 56.4% | 24-10 |
| 1980-11-23 | Kansas City ChiefsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 53.0% | 21-13 |
| 1980-11-23 | Baltimore ColtsatNew England Patriots | 68.5% | 21-47 |
| 1980-11-23 | Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys | 83.4% | 10-14 |
| 1980-11-23 | Oakland RaidersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 66.3% | 7-10 |
| 1980-11-23 | Houston OilersatNew York Jets | 26.8% | 28-31 |
| 1980-11-23 | Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings | 72.3% | 25-13 |
| 1980-11-23 | New York GiantsatSan Francisco 49ers | 54.0% | 0-12 |
| 1980-11-24 | Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints | 27.0% | 27-7 |
| 1980-11-27 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 59.3% | 23-17 |
| 1980-11-27 | Seattle SeahawksatDallas Cowboys | 78.6% | 7-51 |
| 1980-11-30 | Cincinnati BengalsatKansas City Chiefs | 72.8% | 20-6 |
| 1980-11-30 | Buffalo BillsatBaltimore Colts | 42.3% | 24-28 |
| 1980-11-30 | Cleveland BrownsatHouston Oilers | 61.6% | 17-14 |
| 1980-11-30 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatGreen Bay Packers | 67.0% | 20-17 |
| 1980-11-30 | St. Louis CardinalsatNew York Giants | 52.0% | 23-7 |
| 1980-11-30 | Philadelphia EaglesatSan Diego Chargers | 51.3% | 21-22 |
| 1980-11-30 | Washington RedskinsatAtlanta Falcons | 80.6% | 6-10 |
| 1980-11-30 | Miami DolphinsatPittsburgh Steelers | 72.2% | 10-23 |
| 1980-11-30 | New York JetsatLos Angeles Rams | 78.4% | 13-38 |
| 1980-11-30 | Minnesota VikingsatNew Orleans Saints | 35.4% | 23-20 |
| 1980-11-30 | New England PatriotsatSan Francisco 49ers | 28.7% | 17-21 |
| 1980-12-01 | Denver BroncosatOakland Raiders | 65.8% | 3-9 |
| 1980-12-04 | Pittsburgh SteelersatHouston Oilers | 52.2% | 0-6 |
| 1980-12-07 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 68.3% | 7-61 |
| 1980-12-07 | Baltimore ColtsatCincinnati Bengals | 50.2% | 33-34 |
| 1980-12-07 | Los Angeles RamsatBuffalo Bills | 59.5% | 7-10 |
| 1980-12-07 | Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs | 44.6% | 14-31 |
| 1980-12-07 | New York JetsatCleveland Browns | 82.9% | 14-17 |
| 1980-12-07 | Minnesota VikingsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 49.5% | 21-10 |
| 1980-12-07 | Detroit LionsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 57.9% | 23-24 |
| 1980-12-07 | San Diego ChargersatWashington Redskins | 26.9% | 17-40 |
| 1980-12-07 | Dallas CowboysatOakland Raiders | 57.2% | 19-13 |
| 1980-12-07 | Atlanta FalconsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 70.6% | 20-17 |
| 1980-12-07 | New York GiantsatSeattle Seahawks | 75.5% | 27-21 |
| 1980-12-07 | New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers | 72.4% | 35-38 |
| 1980-12-08 | New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins | 51.0% | 13-16 |
| 1980-12-13 | Seattle SeahawksatSan Diego Chargers | 79.1% | 14-21 |
| 1980-12-13 | New York GiantsatWashington Redskins | 71.4% | 13-16 |
| 1980-12-14 | San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons | 83.8% | 10-35 |
| 1980-12-14 | Cincinnati BengalsatChicago Bears | 69.2% | 17-14 |
| 1980-12-14 | Buffalo BillsatNew England Patriots | 53.5% | 2-24 |
| 1980-12-14 | Oakland RaidersatDenver Broncos | 47.3% | 24-21 |
| 1980-12-14 | Cleveland BrownsatMinnesota Vikings | 44.1% | 23-28 |
| 1980-12-14 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions | 67.0% | 14-27 |
| 1980-12-14 | St. Louis CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 83.7% | 3-17 |
| 1980-12-14 | Kansas City ChiefsatPittsburgh Steelers | 75.1% | 16-21 |
| 1980-12-14 | Miami DolphinsatBaltimore Colts | 55.4% | 24-14 |
| 1980-12-14 | New Orleans SaintsatNew York Jets | 73.1% | 21-20 |
| 1980-12-14 | Houston OilersatGreen Bay Packers | 31.4% | 22-3 |
| 1980-12-15 | Dallas CowboysatLos Angeles Rams | 44.6% | 14-38 |
| 1980-12-20 | Chicago BearsatTampa Bay Buccaneers | 40.6% | 14-13 |
| 1980-12-20 | New York JetsatMiami Dolphinsshock | 79.3% | 24-17 |
| 1980-12-21 | Cleveland BrownsatCincinnati Bengals | 41.6% | 27-24 |
| 1980-12-21 | Denver BroncosatSeattle Seahawks | 45.6% | 25-17 |
| 1980-12-21 | Washington RedskinsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 55.7% | 31-7 |
| 1980-12-21 | Kansas City ChiefsatBaltimore Colts | 57.1% | 38-28 |
| 1980-12-21 | Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys | 54.1% | 27-35 |
| 1980-12-21 | Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams | 56.0% | 17-20 |
| 1980-12-21 | Oakland RaidersatNew York Giants | 23.4% | 33-17 |
| 1980-12-21 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions | 68.9% | 3-24 |
| 1980-12-21 | New England PatriotsatNew Orleans Saints | 21.7% | 38-27 |
| 1980-12-21 | Minnesota VikingsatHouston Oilers | 72.0% | 16-20 |
| 1980-12-21 | Buffalo BillsatSan Francisco 49ers | 34.8% | 18-13 |
| 1980-12-22 | Pittsburgh SteelersatSan Diego Chargers | 55.7% | 17-26 |
| 1980-12-28 | Los Angeles RamsatDallas Cowboys | 64.4% | 13-34 |
| 1980-12-28 | Houston OilersatOakland Raiders | 60.1% | 7-27 |
| 1981-01-03 | Buffalo BillsatSan Diego Chargers | 65.2% | 14-20 |
| 1981-01-03 | Minnesota VikingsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 76.2% | 16-31 |
| 1981-01-04 | Oakland RaidersatCleveland Browns | 50.7% | 14-12 |
| 1981-01-04 | Dallas CowboysatAtlanta Falcons | 50.7% | 30-27 |
| 1981-01-11 | Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers | 53.9% | 34-27 |
| 1981-01-11 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles | 55.5% | 7-20 |
| 1981-01-25 | Philadelphia EaglesvsOakland Raiders | 51.0% | 10-27 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.