The expectation ledger

The 1967 season, against expectation

Every game of 1967scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19661968→
Games
181
Model Brier
0.1875
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
8.2%
Pittsburgh Steelers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1967.

1
Oakland Raiders
San Francisco-San Jose
13
exp 9.27
2
Houston Oilers
Houston
9.5
exp 6.41
3
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
12
exp 9.05
4
Baltimore Colts
Washington-Baltimore
12
exp 9.81
5
New York Giants
New York
7
exp 5.36
6
New York Jets
New York
8.5
exp 7.64
7
Chicago Bears
Chicago
7.5
exp 6.96
8
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
9
exp 8.73
9
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
7
exp 6.74
10
Miami Dolphins
Miami
4
exp 3.89
11
Detroit Lions
Detroit
6
exp 5.92
12
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
9
exp 9.08
Show all 25 rows
13
San Diego Chargers
San Diego
8.5
exp 8.59
14
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans
3
exp 3.17
15
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City
9
exp 9.42
16
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis
6.5
exp 7.17
17
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
6.5
exp 7.33
18
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
6.5
exp 7.33
19
Denver Broncos
Denver
3
exp 3.94
20
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
9.5
exp 10.51
21
Minnesota Vikings
Minneapolis
4.5
exp 5.62
22
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
4.5
exp 5.81
23
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta
1.5
exp 3.42
24
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo
4
exp 7.10
25
Boston Patriots
Boston
3.5
exp 6.73

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1967 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1967-09-03Boston PatriotsatDenver Broncos38.4%21-26
1967-09-09Boston PatriotsatSan Diego Chargers58.9%14-28
1967-09-09Kansas City ChiefsatHouston Oilers28.8%25-20
1967-09-10New York JetsatBuffalo Bills71.3%17-20
1967-09-10Denver BroncosatOakland Raiders75.3%0-51
1967-09-17San Francisco 49ersatMinnesota Vikings54.0%27-21
1967-09-17Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Steelers50.7%13-41
1967-09-17Houston OilersatBuffalo Billsshock82.3%20-3
1967-09-17Denver BroncosatMiami Dolphins53.2%21-35
1967-09-17Dallas CowboysatCleveland Browns58.3%21-14
1967-09-17New York GiantsatSt. Louis Cardinals75.4%37-20
1967-09-17Atlanta FalconsatBaltimore Colts83.5%31-38
1967-09-17Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles63.2%24-35
1967-09-17Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers86.6%17-17
1967-09-17Boston PatriotsatOakland Raiders68.0%7-35
1967-09-17Los Angeles RamsatNew Orleans Saints26.9%27-13
1967-09-22Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Rams72.0%3-39
1967-09-24Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers82.1%10-13
1967-09-24Boston PatriotsatBuffalo Bills66.1%23-0
1967-09-24New York JetsatDenver Broncos45.0%38-24
1967-09-24Cleveland BrownsatDetroit Lions46.5%14-31
1967-09-24St. Louis CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers68.7%28-14
1967-09-24Houston OilersatSan Diego Chargers72.6%3-13
1967-09-24Kansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins26.8%24-0
1967-09-24Baltimore ColtsatPhiladelphia Eagles52.2%38-6
1967-09-24Washington RedskinsatNew Orleans Saints34.0%30-10
1967-09-24New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys82.9%24-38
1967-09-24Atlanta FalconsatSan Francisco 49ers80.5%7-38
1967-10-01San Francisco 49ersatBaltimore Colts68.8%7-41
1967-10-01Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings54.0%17-7
1967-10-01San Diego ChargersatBuffalo Bills49.7%37-17
1967-10-01Denver BroncosatHouston Oilers68.7%6-10
1967-10-01Cleveland BrownsatNew Orleans Saints27.9%42-7
1967-10-01Detroit LionsatSt. Louis Cardinals56.4%28-38
1967-10-01Kansas City ChiefsatOakland Raiders51.7%21-23
1967-10-01New York GiantsatWashington Redskins74.3%34-38
1967-10-01Los Angeles RamsatDallas Cowboys62.2%35-13
1967-10-01Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets75.7%7-29
1967-10-01Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles66.3%24-34
1967-10-01Atlanta FalconsatGreen Bay Packers91.2%0-23
1967-10-07Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns70.8%10-21
1967-10-07Oakland RaidersatNew York Jets47.5%14-27
1967-10-08San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams70.7%27-24
1967-10-08Baltimore ColtsatChicago Bears39.2%24-3
1967-10-08Buffalo BillsatDenver Broncos43.2%17-16
1967-10-08St. Louis CardinalsatMinnesota Vikings50.5%34-24
1967-10-08Boston PatriotsatSan Diego Chargers67.2%31-31
1967-10-08Miami DolphinsatKansas City Chiefs87.6%0-41
1967-10-08Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins51.0%17-14
1967-10-08Philadelphia EaglesatAtlanta Falcons34.7%38-7
1967-10-08New Orleans SaintsatNew York Giants73.4%21-27
1967-10-08Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions27.3%27-17
1967-10-15San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles57.5%28-27
1967-10-15Detroit LionsatChicago Bears64.2%3-14
1967-10-15Oakland RaidersatBuffalo Bills43.9%24-20
1967-10-15St. Louis CardinalsatCleveland Browns64.0%16-20
1967-10-15Kansas City ChiefsatSan Diego Chargers50.8%31-45
1967-10-15Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Colts68.6%24-24
1967-10-15Washington RedskinsatAtlanta Falcons35.5%20-20
1967-10-15New Orleans SaintsatDallas Cowboys90.5%10-14
1967-10-15Miami DolphinsatBoston Patriots80.6%10-41
1967-10-15New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers65.2%27-24
1967-10-15Houston OilersatNew York Jets73.2%28-28
1967-10-15Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packersshock89.8%10-7
1967-10-22Chicago BearsatCleveland Browns65.8%0-24
1967-10-22San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos23.8%38-21
1967-10-22Philadelphia EaglesatSt. Louis Cardinals53.4%14-48
1967-10-22Houston OilersatKansas City Chiefs79.5%24-19
1967-10-22Baltimore ColtsatMinnesota Vikings26.5%20-20
1967-10-22Washington RedskinsatLos Angeles Rams74.5%28-28
1967-10-22Dallas CowboysatPittsburgh Steelers34.7%24-21
1967-10-22New York JetsatMiami Dolphins31.3%33-14
1967-10-22Atlanta FalconsatDetroit Lions72.6%3-24
1967-10-22Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants22.7%48-21
1967-10-22Oakland RaidersatBoston Patriots53.3%48-14
1967-10-22New Orleans SaintsatSan Francisco 49ers90.0%13-27
1967-10-29Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears42.3%28-17
1967-10-29Buffalo BillsatHouston Oilers62.6%3-10
1967-10-29Denver BroncosatKansas City Chiefs86.2%9-52
1967-10-29Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants33.2%34-38
1967-10-29San Diego ChargersatOakland Raiders59.8%10-51
1967-10-29Baltimore ColtsatWashington Redskins35.9%17-13
1967-10-29Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles46.9%14-21
1967-10-29Minnesota VikingsatAtlanta Falcons42.0%20-21
1967-10-29Boston PatriotsatNew York Jets66.0%23-30
1967-10-29Pittsburgh SteelersatNew Orleans Saints37.5%14-10
1967-10-29Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers74.6%45-3
1967-10-30Green Bay PackersatSt. Louis Cardinals36.1%31-23
1967-11-05Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions65.7%27-13
1967-11-05Miami DolphinsatBuffalo Bills73.9%13-35
1967-11-05Oakland RaidersatDenver Broncos17.5%21-17
1967-11-05Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers39.1%34-14
1967-11-05St. Louis CardinalsatWashington Redskins55.2%27-21
1967-11-05New York JetsatKansas City Chiefs62.2%18-42
1967-11-05Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Colts54.3%10-13
1967-11-05Atlanta FalconsatDallas Cowboys85.8%7-37
1967-11-05Philadelphia EaglesatNew Orleans Saints21.1%24-31
1967-11-05New York GiantsatMinnesota Vikings61.4%24-27
1967-11-05Houston OilersatBoston Patriots59.5%7-18
1967-11-05Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers43.2%17-7
1967-11-12San Francisco 49ersatWashington Redskins55.6%28-31
1967-11-12New York GiantsatChicago Bears72.1%7-34
1967-11-12Buffalo BillsatNew York Jets71.6%10-20
1967-11-12Houston OilersatDenver Broncos37.0%20-18
1967-11-12Cleveland BrownsatGreen Bay Packers74.6%7-55
1967-11-12Pittsburgh SteelersatSt. Louis Cardinals77.4%14-14
1967-11-12Miami DolphinsatSan Diego Chargers88.3%0-24
1967-11-12Kansas City ChiefsatBoston Patriots44.6%33-10
1967-11-12Baltimore ColtsatAtlanta Falcons14.5%49-7
1967-11-12Dallas CowboysatNew Orleans Saints19.8%27-10
1967-11-12Philadelphia EaglesatLos Angeles Rams77.8%17-33
1967-11-12Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings54.1%10-10
1967-11-19San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers85.0%0-13
1967-11-19St. Louis CardinalsatChicago Bears57.9%3-30
1967-11-19Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills75.7%21-20
1967-11-19Minnesota VikingsatCleveland Browns74.5%10-14
1967-11-19San Diego ChargersatKansas City Chiefs65.3%17-16
1967-11-19Detroit LionsatBaltimore Colts83.8%7-41
1967-11-19Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys73.5%27-20
1967-11-19Miami DolphinsatOakland Raiders92.0%17-31
1967-11-19New Orleans SaintsatPhiladelphia Eagles83.7%21-48
1967-11-19Los Angeles RamsatAtlanta Falcons16.2%31-3
1967-11-19Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants57.5%20-28
1967-11-19New York JetsatBoston Patriots48.6%29-24
1967-11-23Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers88.5%20-24
1967-11-23St. Louis CardinalsatDallas Cowboys66.6%21-46
1967-11-23Oakland RaidersatKansas City Chiefs55.1%44-22
1967-11-23Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions31.5%31-7
1967-11-26Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears34.5%17-13
1967-11-26Buffalo BillsatMiami Dolphins40.5%14-17
1967-11-26Washington RedskinsatCleveland Browns66.6%37-42
1967-11-26Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants46.8%7-44
1967-11-26Atlanta FalconsatNew Orleans Saints53.0%24-27
1967-11-26Boston PatriotsatHouston Oilers60.9%6-27
1967-11-26Minnesota VikingsatPittsburgh Steelers52.0%41-27
1967-11-26Baltimore ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers27.3%26-9
1967-12-03Buffalo BillsatKansas City Chiefs81.1%13-23
1967-12-03Denver BroncosatNew York Jetsshock86.8%33-24
1967-12-03New York GiantsatCleveland Browns76.0%14-24
1967-12-03New Orleans SaintsatSt. Louis Cardinals83.5%20-31
1967-12-03Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers46.8%41-21
1967-12-03Dallas CowboysatBaltimore Colts77.0%17-23
1967-12-03Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins65.7%35-35
1967-12-03Miami DolphinsatHouston Oilers81.3%14-17
1967-12-03Atlanta FalconsatLos Angeles Rams93.6%3-20
1967-12-03Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions71.7%24-14
1967-12-03Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings22.9%30-27
1967-12-03Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers48.1%28-14
1967-12-09Buffalo BillsatBoston Patriots64.9%44-16
1967-12-09Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams52.0%24-27
1967-12-10San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons37.7%34-28
1967-12-10Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears73.3%10-10
1967-12-10Cleveland BrownsatSt. Louis Cardinals45.1%20-16
1967-12-10San Diego ChargersatMiami Dolphins23.0%24-41
1967-12-10Kansas City ChiefsatNew York Jets48.4%21-7
1967-12-10New Orleans SaintsatBaltimore Colts95.7%10-30
1967-12-10Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers44.0%15-10
1967-12-10Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys73.6%17-38
1967-12-10Detroit LionsatNew York Giants62.2%30-7
1967-12-10Oakland RaidersatHouston Oilers29.2%19-7
1967-12-16San Diego ChargersatHouston Oilers53.6%17-24
1967-12-16Dallas CowboysatSan Francisco 49ers39.6%16-24
1967-12-17Chicago BearsatAtlanta Falcons21.6%23-14
1967-12-17Kansas City ChiefsatDenver Broncos23.4%38-24
1967-12-17Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles36.5%24-28
1967-12-17St. Louis CardinalsatNew York Giants47.3%14-37
1967-12-17Baltimore ColtsatLos Angeles Rams54.9%10-34
1967-12-17New Orleans SaintsatWashington Redskinsshock86.3%30-14
1967-12-17Boston PatriotsatMiami Dolphins53.4%32-41
1967-12-17New York JetsatOakland Raiders85.0%29-38
1967-12-17Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions58.1%3-14
1967-12-17Pittsburgh SteelersatGreen Bay Packersshock91.8%24-17
1967-12-23Houston OilersatMiami Dolphins40.1%41-10
1967-12-23Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers52.0%7-28
1967-12-24Buffalo BillsatOakland Raiders89.0%21-28
1967-12-24Cleveland BrownsatDallas Cowboys55.9%14-52
1967-12-24New York JetsatSan Diego Chargers61.5%42-31
1967-12-31Dallas CowboysatGreen Bay Packers74.4%17-21
1967-12-31Houston OilersatOakland Raiders83.0%7-40
1968-01-07Los Angeles RamsvsCleveland Browns29.4%30-6
1968-01-14Green Bay PackersvsOakland Raiders55.8%33-14

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.