Predictions
Forecasts across politics and sport, stated honestly: weighted averages, ranges from thousands of simulations, and the odds laid out so you can take the other side. Elections are live now; the league title-race hubs are on the way, modeled on the World Cup simulator.
Ranges first, probabilities second, humility throughout
Election Forecasts
LIVEThe 2026 US midterms (House, Senate and governors), the next UK general election, and the 2026 votes in Brazil, Israel and New Zealand, plus an early read on France 2027.
League Prediction Hubs
Each hub runs tens of thousands of simulated seasons and publishes every team's odds at each stage, with a Beat-the-Model card, exactly like the 2026 World Cup simulator below. The Premier League and NFL are live; College Football arrives with the preseason poll and the Champions League with the late-August draw.
NFL
Super Bowl LXI, conference, division and playoff odds from the real 272-game schedule, with weekly game picks graded all season.
College Football
Playoff and national-title odds across the twelve-team field, conference by conference. Arrives with the preseason AP poll.
Premier League
Title, top-five and relegation odds from 20,000 simulated seasons blending site data with market odds, plus fixture picks graded all season.
Champions League
Knockout-bracket odds from the league phase to the final. Arrives once the late-August draw sets the field.
The template: World Cup 2026
LIVEThe 2026 World Cup simulator is the working model the league hubs are built from: title odds for every nation, updated as the tournament plays out, and a Beat-the-Model card where you back the calls the simulator is least sure about.