The expectation ledger
The 1962 season, against expectation
Every game of 1962scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
157
Model Brier
0.1969
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
13.8%
Oakland Raiders
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1962.
Show all 22 rows
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1962 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1962-09-07 | San Diego ChargersatDenver Broncos | 33.0% | 21-30 |
| 1962-09-08 | Boston PatriotsatDallas Texans | 48.7% | 28-42 |
| 1962-09-09 | Houston OilersatBuffalo Bills | 34.5% | 28-23 |
| 1962-09-09 | New York TitansatOakland Raiders | 45.6% | 28-17 |
| 1962-09-15 | Denver BroncosatBuffalo Bills | 65.6% | 23-20 |
| 1962-09-16 | New York GiantsatCleveland Browns | 54.4% | 7-17 |
| 1962-09-16 | St. Louis CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 70.7% | 27-21 |
| 1962-09-16 | New York TitansatSan Diego Chargers | 65.0% | 14-40 |
| 1962-09-16 | Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Colts | 69.7% | 27-30 |
| 1962-09-16 | Washington RedskinsatDallas Cowboys | 59.5% | 35-35 |
| 1962-09-16 | Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions | 65.2% | 7-45 |
| 1962-09-16 | Minnesota VikingsatGreen Bay Packers | 87.5% | 7-34 |
| 1962-09-16 | Houston OilersatBoston Patriots | 41.6% | 21-34 |
| 1962-09-16 | Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers | 56.8% | 30-14 |
| 1962-09-21 | Denver BroncosatBoston Patriots | 76.1% | 16-41 |
| 1962-09-22 | New York TitansatBuffalo Bills | 55.0% | 17-6 |
| 1962-09-23 | San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions | 69.0% | 24-45 |
| 1962-09-23 | Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams | 40.7% | 27-23 |
| 1962-09-23 | Washington RedskinsatCleveland Brownsshock | 84.7% | 17-16 |
| 1962-09-23 | St. Louis CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers | 74.9% | 0-17 |
| 1962-09-23 | Houston OilersatSan Diego Chargers | 49.1% | 42-17 |
| 1962-09-23 | Dallas TexansatOakland Raiders | 36.0% | 26-16 |
| 1962-09-23 | Baltimore ColtsatMinnesota Vikings | 35.9% | 34-7 |
| 1962-09-23 | Pittsburgh SteelersatDallas Cowboys | 43.0% | 30-28 |
| 1962-09-23 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 56.4% | 29-13 |
| 1962-09-30 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers | 70.7% | 0-49 |
| 1962-09-30 | Buffalo BillsatDallas Texans | 74.5% | 21-41 |
| 1962-09-30 | Denver BroncosatNew York Titans | 69.9% | 32-10 |
| 1962-09-30 | Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 52.3% | 7-35 |
| 1962-09-30 | St. Louis CardinalsatWashington Redskins | 38.4% | 14-24 |
| 1962-09-30 | San Diego ChargersatOakland Raiders | 32.9% | 42-33 |
| 1962-09-30 | Detroit LionsatBaltimore Colts | 56.3% | 29-20 |
| 1962-09-30 | Dallas CowboysatLos Angeles Rams | 69.9% | 27-17 |
| 1962-09-30 | New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers | 39.9% | 31-27 |
| 1962-09-30 | Minnesota VikingsatSan Francisco 49ers | 74.6% | 7-21 |
| 1962-10-05 | Oakland RaidersatDenver Broncos | 76.7% | 7-44 |
| 1962-10-06 | Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers | 45.7% | 7-13 |
| 1962-10-06 | Boston PatriotsatNew York Titans | 40.7% | 43-14 |
| 1962-10-07 | San Francisco 49ersatBaltimore Colts | 65.9% | 21-13 |
| 1962-10-07 | Chicago BearsatMinnesota Vikings | 28.2% | 13-0 |
| 1962-10-07 | Buffalo BillsatHouston Oilers | 86.8% | 14-17 |
| 1962-10-07 | Dallas CowboysatCleveland Browns | 78.9% | 10-19 |
| 1962-10-07 | New York GiantsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 39.6% | 31-14 |
| 1962-10-07 | Dallas TexansatSan Diego Chargers | 58.0% | 28-32 |
| 1962-10-07 | Los Angeles RamsatWashington Redskins | 60.8% | 14-20 |
| 1962-10-07 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 70.5% | 7-9 |
| 1962-10-12 | Dallas TexansatBoston Patriots | 69.0% | 27-7 |
| 1962-10-13 | San Diego ChargersatBuffalo Bills | 37.0% | 10-35 |
| 1962-10-14 | San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears | 67.7% | 34-27 |
| 1962-10-14 | Denver BroncosatOakland Raiders | 34.9% | 23-6 |
| 1962-10-14 | Baltimore ColtsatCleveland Browns | 66.4% | 36-14 |
| 1962-10-14 | Washington RedskinsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 65.8% | 17-17 |
| 1962-10-14 | Philadelphia EaglesatDallas Cowboys | 35.8% | 19-41 |
| 1962-10-14 | Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giantsshock | 78.7% | 20-17 |
| 1962-10-14 | New York TitansatHouston Oilers | 85.2% | 17-56 |
| 1962-10-14 | Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions | 84.0% | 10-13 |
| 1962-10-14 | Green Bay PackersatMinnesota Vikings | 14.2% | 48-21 |
| 1962-10-19 | San Diego ChargersatBoston Patriots | 66.5% | 20-24 |
| 1962-10-20 | Oakland RaidersatBuffalo Bills | 77.6% | 6-14 |
| 1962-10-21 | San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers | 78.9% | 13-31 |
| 1962-10-21 | Baltimore ColtsatChicago Bears | 59.3% | 15-35 |
| 1962-10-21 | Houston OilersatDenver Broncos | 34.8% | 10-20 |
| 1962-10-21 | Cleveland BrownsatSt. Louis Cardinals | 52.3% | 34-7 |
| 1962-10-21 | New York TitansatDallas Texans | 79.0% | 17-20 |
| 1962-10-21 | Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 69.1% | 27-21 |
| 1962-10-21 | Dallas CowboysatPittsburgh Steelersshock | 71.7% | 42-27 |
| 1962-10-21 | Detroit LionsatNew York Giants | 62.1% | 14-17 |
| 1962-10-21 | Minnesota VikingsatLos Angeles Rams | 67.3% | 38-14 |
| 1962-10-26 | Oakland RaidersatBoston Patriots | 88.9% | 16-26 |
| 1962-10-28 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 62.5% | 3-11 |
| 1962-10-28 | Buffalo BillsatDenver Broncos | 70.3% | 45-38 |
| 1962-10-28 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 48.3% | 41-14 |
| 1962-10-28 | St. Louis CardinalsatDallas Cowboys | 63.5% | 28-24 |
| 1962-10-28 | San Diego ChargersatNew York Titans | 46.4% | 3-23 |
| 1962-10-28 | Dallas TexansatHouston Oilers | 66.6% | 31-7 |
| 1962-10-28 | Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Colts | 31.9% | 17-6 |
| 1962-10-28 | Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants | 80.7% | 34-49 |
| 1962-10-28 | Philadelphia EaglesatMinnesota Vikings | 43.5% | 21-31 |
| 1962-10-28 | Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ersshock | 82.5% | 28-14 |
| 1962-11-03 | Boston PatriotsatBuffalo Bills | 44.9% | 28-28 |
| 1962-11-04 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 34.2% | 38-7 |
| 1962-11-04 | Denver BroncosatSan Diego Chargers | 54.5% | 23-20 |
| 1962-11-04 | Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Browns | 76.2% | 14-14 |
| 1962-11-04 | St. Louis CardinalsatNew York Giants | 81.8% | 28-31 |
| 1962-11-04 | Houston OilersatDallas Texans | 64.1% | 14-6 |
| 1962-11-04 | Dallas CowboysatWashington Redskins | 60.0% | 38-10 |
| 1962-11-04 | Oakland RaidersatNew York Titans | 79.4% | 21-31 |
| 1962-11-04 | Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams | 27.7% | 12-3 |
| 1962-11-04 | Minnesota VikingsatPittsburgh Steelers | 66.0% | 31-39 |
| 1962-11-04 | Baltimore ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers | 55.6% | 22-3 |
| 1962-11-11 | Minnesota VikingsatChicago Bears | 78.5% | 30-31 |
| 1962-11-11 | Buffalo BillsatSan Diego Chargers | 55.2% | 40-20 |
| 1962-11-11 | Boston PatriotsatDenver Broncos | 50.5% | 33-29 |
| 1962-11-11 | Cleveland BrownsatWashington Redskins | 35.4% | 9-17 |
| 1962-11-11 | Pittsburgh SteelersatSt. Louis Cardinals | 58.2% | 26-17 |
| 1962-11-11 | Dallas TexansatNew York Titans | 38.1% | 52-31 |
| 1962-11-11 | Baltimore ColtsatLos Angeles Rams | 34.8% | 14-2 |
| 1962-11-11 | New York GiantsatDallas Cowboys | 35.2% | 41-10 |
| 1962-11-11 | Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 19.9% | 49-0 |
| 1962-11-11 | Houston OilersatOakland Raiders | 15.5% | 28-20 |
| 1962-11-11 | Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers | 34.7% | 38-24 |
| 1962-11-18 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 47.9% | 24-17 |
| 1962-11-18 | Chicago BearsatDallas Cowboys | 47.9% | 34-33 |
| 1962-11-18 | Buffalo BillsatOakland Raiders | 25.0% | 10-6 |
| 1962-11-18 | Dallas TexansatDenver Broncos | 41.5% | 24-3 |
| 1962-11-18 | St. Louis CardinalsatCleveland Browns | 74.8% | 14-38 |
| 1962-11-18 | Baltimore ColtsatGreen Bay Packers | 83.2% | 13-17 |
| 1962-11-18 | Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers | 65.8% | 21-23 |
| 1962-11-18 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants | 85.1% | 14-19 |
| 1962-11-18 | Detroit LionsatMinnesota Vikings | 23.5% | 17-6 |
| 1962-11-18 | Boston PatriotsatHouston Oilers | 64.2% | 17-21 |
| 1962-11-22 | New York TitansatDenver Broncos | 65.4% | 46-45 |
| 1962-11-22 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions | 41.5% | 14-26 |
| 1962-11-23 | Buffalo BillsatBoston Patriots | 67.4% | 10-21 |
| 1962-11-25 | San Francisco 49ersatSt. Louis Cardinals | 52.5% | 24-17 |
| 1962-11-25 | Chicago BearsatBaltimore Colts | 60.8% | 57-0 |
| 1962-11-25 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 68.4% | 14-35 |
| 1962-11-25 | San Diego ChargersatHouston Oilers | 84.1% | 27-33 |
| 1962-11-25 | Oakland RaidersatDallas Texans | 93.5% | 7-35 |
| 1962-11-25 | New York GiantsatWashington Redskins | 25.1% | 42-24 |
| 1962-11-25 | Dallas CowboysatPhiladelphia Eagles | 56.7% | 14-28 |
| 1962-11-25 | Los Angeles RamsatMinnesota Vikings | 63.2% | 24-24 |
| 1962-11-30 | New York TitansatBoston Patriots | 78.4% | 17-24 |
| 1962-12-02 | San Francisco 49ersatMinnesota Vikings | 42.7% | 35-12 |
| 1962-12-02 | New York GiantsatChicago Bears | 45.2% | 26-24 |
| 1962-12-02 | Dallas TexansatBuffalo Bills | 38.5% | 14-23 |
| 1962-12-02 | Denver BroncosatHouston Oilers | 80.5% | 17-34 |
| 1962-12-02 | Cleveland BrownsatDallas Cowboys | 38.3% | 21-45 |
| 1962-12-02 | St. Louis CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 70.7% | 7-19 |
| 1962-12-02 | Oakland RaidersatSan Diego Chargers | 78.9% | 21-31 |
| 1962-12-02 | Baltimore ColtsatDetroit Lions | 80.3% | 14-21 |
| 1962-12-02 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins | 53.0% | 37-14 |
| 1962-12-02 | Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers | 93.9% | 10-41 |
| 1962-12-08 | Buffalo BillsatNew York Titans | 44.2% | 20-3 |
| 1962-12-08 | Washington RedskinsatBaltimore Colts | 74.3% | 21-34 |
| 1962-12-09 | Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears | 86.2% | 14-30 |
| 1962-12-09 | Denver BroncosatDallas Texans | 79.3% | 10-17 |
| 1962-12-09 | Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants | 79.3% | 13-17 |
| 1962-12-09 | Dallas CowboysatSt. Louis Cardinals | 44.7% | 20-52 |
| 1962-12-09 | Boston PatriotsatSan Diego Chargers | 33.4% | 20-14 |
| 1962-12-09 | Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 60.1% | 26-17 |
| 1962-12-09 | Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions | 92.0% | 23-37 |
| 1962-12-09 | Oakland RaidersatHouston Oilers | 94.2% | 17-32 |
| 1962-12-09 | Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers | 25.6% | 31-21 |
| 1962-12-15 | Houston OilersatNew York Titans | 25.2% | 44-10 |
| 1962-12-15 | Cleveland BrownsatSan Francisco 49ers | 53.5% | 13-10 |
| 1962-12-16 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 44.6% | 0-3 |
| 1962-12-16 | Philadelphia EaglesatSt. Louis Cardinals | 51.6% | 35-45 |
| 1962-12-16 | San Diego ChargersatDallas Texans | 83.9% | 17-26 |
| 1962-12-16 | Minnesota VikingsatBaltimore Colts | 80.6% | 17-42 |
| 1962-12-16 | Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins | 38.4% | 27-24 |
| 1962-12-16 | Dallas CowboysatNew York Giants | 87.9% | 31-41 |
| 1962-12-16 | Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams | 10.6% | 20-17 |
| 1962-12-16 | Boston PatriotsatOakland Raidersshock | 13.8% | 0-20 |
| 1962-12-23 | Dallas TexansatHouston Oilers | 64.5% | 20-17 |
| 1962-12-30 | Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants | 52.2% | 16-7 |
| 1963-01-06 | Pittsburgh SteelersvsDetroit Lions | 64.6% | 10-17 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.