Trafford, Manchester · England · Premier League

League titles
20
last 2013
Major cups
46
last 2024
Top-2 finishes
37
Top-4 finishes
54

Power-ranking history

Rank (1 = best)1139Score (per-season normalised)0.00.51.059/6069/7079/8089/9099/0009/1019/20

Against expectation

Every English top-flight match this club has played, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 101 seasons from 1892-93 to 2025-26 it has beaten them by +58.3 match points.

1892-93 to 2025-26one bar per season · height in match points

Best season against expectation
2025-26 +18.1 league pts
71 points on 52.9 expected as Manchester United
Worst season against expectation
1988-89 −14.1 league pts
51 points on 65.0 expected as Manchester United

Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1981-82 and three after; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable. Played as Newton Heath, then Manchester United. The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.

Manchester against expectation →How this is measured →

Title chances

This side's chance in each title race we forecast, frozen and scored like every forecast here.

Season simulation · 30 Oct 2026

Who will win the Premier League?

<1%Manchester United's chance

From 20,000 simulated seasons, updated daily. The frozen, scored forecast names the leading sides only.

Full odds tableTrack record

Season simulation · 30 Oct 2026

Who will win the Champions League?

1%Manchester United's chance

From 10,000 simulated seasons, updated daily. The frozen, scored forecast names the leading sides only.

Full odds tableTrack record

Full odds: Premier League · Champions League · every title race

What the squad was worth

Total market value of the squad, EUR millions, by month; the player count beside it is the size of the priced squad.

How this is measured

Drawn as a step, not a curve: Transfermarkt reprices every squad in December and June (marked with a small tick on the axis) and revalues continuously between, so the line only moves when a real valuation changed, never by interpolation.

A month renders no value at all once the priced squad falls below 15 players, so a thin squad is never shown as a cheap one. The series is floored at July 2012 on purpose: earlier Transfermarkt totals reflect which players happened to be priced yet rather than the squad’s real worth, and are excluded rather than shown misleadingly low.

Upstream (dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets) has been paused since July 2026, so the series ends where the source ends rather than where the season does.

Player valuations from Transfermarkt via github.com/dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets (CC0).

What the squad was worth€756m
05061.0b12-1314-1516-1718-1920-2122-2324-25

Peak
€938m in Sep 2019 · 36 players valued
Most recent
€756m in Jun 2026 · 26 players valued

Manchester on the rankings →

Who controls the club

The entity that holds control today, one per franchise; co-controllers and minority holders are listed, never summed.

How this is measured

Exactly one control entity is recorded per franchise, so a portfolio can never count a club twice. Co-controllers and minority holders are shown as published and carry no weight in any total.

The chip names the evidence. Sourced: a primary source is linked (league, club, filing or tier-one outlet). Cross-checked: matched against the ownership-change sweep. Contested: disputed or mid-sale. Rows are reviewed weekly.

Stakes are as published, often only “majority”, and are not pro-rated. A record of control is not a claim about anyone’s intent or conduct.

Who controls the clubGlazer family
Glazer familyfamily· ~69% equity, ~97% of votes
Sourcedas of 1 Jun 2025

Shared control with: Sir Jim Ratcliffe / INEOS (~28.94%, runs football operations)

Ratcliffe's tender completed 20 Feb 2024 and was topped up to about 28.94%. He controls football operations, but the Glazers retain voting control through super-voting Class B shares. The Glazers also control the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Also linked to

Glazer family on the owners board →

The money ledger

Fees paid and received each season, and what the squad was worth once the trading is netted out.

How this is measured

Spent is the fees paid for players arriving, received the fees for players leaving, both in EUR millions by the July-to-June season of the move. A move with no fee on record (a free, a loan, an undisclosed sum) is counted, never priced: the small figure beside each total is the moves with a fee, plus those without (so 4+3 is four priced arrivals and three unpriced), and a quiet window is not mistaken for a cheap one. Wages are not here: they are estimates nobody licenses, and fees are documented.

Appreciation is the season’s change in squad value with the net spend taken out: buy 100m of players and finish 100m higher is zero; finish 120m higher and the club made 20m of players better, or the market repriced them. It needs a priced squad at both ends of the season (the same 15-player floor as the value chart), so it is blank rather than guessed for a season that lacks one.

The source has been paused since 6 July 2026, so the final row holds only the opening days of its window.

Transfer fees and player valuations from Transfermarkt via github.com/dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets (CC0).

The money ledger−€1.62b
Spent
€2.27b
54 arrivals with a fee
Received
€655m
42 departures with a fee
Net
−€1.62b
254 moves with no fee
Appreciation
−€1.33b
14 seasons with a priced squad

Grown or bought: in 2026-27, trading +€44m and appreciation —. Over the last 5 seasons (2022-23–2026-27), trading −€632m and appreciation unpriced.

The director’s ledger: 73 arrivals graded since 2022-23, 80% EV-positive. €938m deployed for a 0.7× multiplier.

2026-27 spent — received €44mto 6 July 2026
out: Rasmus Højlund €44m
—
unpriced
2025-26 spent €251m received €68m
in: Benjamin Sesko €77m
−€87m
squad gain
2024-25 spent €246m received €111m
in: Leny Yoro €62m
−€212m
squad gain
2023-24 spent €203m received €61m
in: Rasmus Højlund €80m
−€235m
squad gain
2022-23 spent €238m received €22m
in: Antony €95m
−€113m
squad gain
2021-22 spent €142m received €29m
in: Jadon Sancho €85m
−€86m
squad gain
2020-21 spent €90m received €17m
in: Donny van de Beek €39m
−€77m
squad gain
2019-20 spent €225m received €78m
in: Harry Maguire €87m
−€282m
squad gain

Money against football

Every priced club-season in the six leagues: points against expectation across, squad value gained beyond the net spend up. This club’s seasons are joined.

● the frontier: no other club-season beat it on both axes · ● this club, season by season, the largest dot the latest

Every club’s return on the transfer window →

Greatest games

Manchester United's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play. H, A and N mark home, away and a neutral venue; a ★ is a curated all-time classic (tap it for the model's own score).All-time board.

1
1999-05-26 · Champions League · Final
94.5
game score
2
2008-05-21 · Champions League · Final
87.0
game score
3
1999-04-21 · Champions League · Semifinals · 2nd leg, agg 4-3
85.4
game score
4
2007-04-24 · Champions League · Semifinals · 1st leg
79.9
game score
5
2000-04-19 · Champions League · Quarterfinals · 2nd leg, agg 2-3
79.6
game score
6
2002-04-30 · Champions League · Semifinals · 2nd leg, agg 3-3
79.2
game score
7
2001-04-03 · Champions League · Quarterfinals · 1st leg
79.2
game score
8
2007-05-19 · FA Cup · Final
79.1
game score
9
2008-04-29 · Champions League · Semifinals · 2nd leg, agg 1-0
79.0
game score
10
2003-04-23 · Champions League · Quarterfinals · 2nd leg, agg 5-6
78.9
game score

Footprint

Tiers played
L1, L2
Top-flight (L1) seasons
102
Lower-tier league seasons
22
First season
1893
Most recent season
2026

The Heartbreak Index13.2 · #113

The Tortured · European Cup, 2008

13.2
Heartbreak
#113
of 1,138 clubs
#52
in Football
13.2
agony
The clocks
  • Champions-league since 20080.6
  • League title since 20130.1
  • Major trophy since 20240.0
Heaviest wounds

lost the European Cup final, 2011 · lost the European Cup final, 2009 · league runner-up, 2021 · league runner-up, 2018

One formula, every club the site covers. See the whole board →

YouTube

+11,580,190
views gained since 23 Oct 2026
0
subscribers gained since 23 Oct 2026

Open the official channel on YouTube

Calculated by Citizen of Nowhere from YouTube channel statistics, as of 2 Nov 2026. Not part of the Fan Attention Index. Not ranked.

Data from YouTube API Services · YouTube Terms of Service · How we use YouTube data

Season-by-season

Most recent season first. Covers Levels 1 through 5 of the English pyramid. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.

2027
Premier League (1) · P17● live
9 P · 1-4-4 · 10:15 · -5
7
pts
2026
Premier League (1) · P3
38 P · 20-11-7 · 69:50 · +19
71
pts
CL
2025
Premier League (1) · P15
38 P · 11-9-18 · 44:54 · -10
42
pts
EL
2024
Premier League (1) · P8
38 P · 18-6-14 · 57:58 · -1
60
pts
FACLEL
2023
Premier League (1) · P3
38 P · 23-6-9 · 58:43 · +15
75
pts
FALg CupELCL
2022
Premier League (1) · P6
38 P · 16-10-12 · 57:57 · 0
58
pts
CLEL
2021
Premier League (1) · P2
38 P · 21-11-6 · 73:44 · +29
74
pts
Lg Cup SFCLELCL
2020
Premier League (1) · P3
38 P · 18-12-8 · 66:36 · +30
66
pts
Lg Cup SFFA SFELCL
2019
Premier League (1) · P6
38 P · 19-9-10 · 65:54 · +11
66
pts
CLEL
2018
Premier League (1) · P2
38 P · 25-6-7 · 68:28 · +40
81
pts
FACLCL
2017
Premier League (1) · P6
38 P · 18-15-5 · 54:29 · +25
69
pts
Lg CupELCL
2016
Premier League (1) · P5
38 P · 19-9-10 · 49:35 · +14
66
pts
FACLELEL
Domestic Cup Finals

Most recent first. Every domestic cup final the club has played, including losses. Scheduled finals (date not yet passed) are flagged.

2024
FA Cup
Won
2024
Community Shield
Runner-up
2023
FA Cup
Runner-up
2023
League Cup
Won
2018
FA Cup
Runner-up
2017
League Cup
Won
2016
FA Cup
Won
2016
Community Shield
Won
2013
Community Shield
Won
2011
Community Shield
Won
2010
League Cup
Won
2010
Community Shield
Won
European competition appearances

Most recent first. One row per entry showing the deepest round reached. A Cup Winner badge marks tournaments the club won: gold for the European Cup / Champions League, silver for every other UEFA or Intercontinental trophy.

2024-25
Europa League(EL)
Final
2023-24
Champions League(CL)
Group stage
2022-23
Europa League(EL)
Quarter-final
2021-22
Champions League(CL)
Round of 16
2020-21
Champions League(CL)
Group stage
2020-21
Europa League(EL)
Final
2019-20
Europa League(EL)
Semi-final
2018-19
Champions League(CL)
Quarter-final
2017-18
Champions League(CL)
Round of 16
2017-18
UEFA Super Cup(USC)
Final
2016-17
Europa League(EL)
Cup Winner
2015-16
Champions League(CL)
Group stage