The expectation ledger

The 1959 season, against expectation

Every game of 1959scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19581960→
Games
73
Model Brier
0.2263
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
22.6%
Detroit Lions

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1959.

1
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
7
exp 3.92
2
New York Giants
New York
10
exp 7.77
3
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
7
exp 5.32
4
Chicago Bears
Chicago
8
exp 6.73
5
Baltimore Colts
Washington-Baltimore
9
exp 8.11
6
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
7
exp 6.76
7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
6.5
exp 6.52
8
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
7
exp 7.28
9
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
3
exp 4.63
10
Detroit Lions
Detroit
3.5
exp 5.18
11
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
2
exp 4.00
12
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
2
exp 5.78

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1959 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1959-09-26Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers57.4%7-17
1959-09-26New York GiantsatLos Angeles Rams58.7%23-21
1959-09-27Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers32.6%6-9
1959-09-27Washington RedskinsatChicago Cardinals49.4%21-49
1959-09-27Detroit LionsatBaltimore Colts70.6%9-21
1959-09-27Philadelphia EaglesatSan Francisco 49ers72.1%14-24
1959-10-03Chicago BearsatBaltimore Coltsshock70.5%26-21
1959-10-04Cleveland BrownsatChicago Cardinals44.0%34-7
1959-10-04Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelersshock75.7%23-17
1959-10-04New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles33.5%21-49
1959-10-04Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers41.7%10-28
1959-10-04Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers55.2%0-34
1959-10-11San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers40.7%20-21
1959-10-11Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears65.7%28-21
1959-10-11New York GiantsatCleveland Browns65.0%10-6
1959-10-11Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins67.5%14-23
1959-10-11Baltimore ColtsatDetroit Lions41.7%31-24
1959-10-11Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles45.3%24-28
1959-10-18San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions47.0%34-13
1959-10-18Baltimore ColtsatChicago Bears48.1%21-7
1959-10-18Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Browns78.1%7-17
1959-10-18Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins54.2%27-6
1959-10-18Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants71.3%7-24
1959-10-18Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers42.7%45-6
1959-10-25Washington RedskinsatCleveland Browns73.2%7-34
1959-10-25Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals51.0%28-24
1959-10-25Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Colts85.4%21-38
1959-10-25New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers57.4%21-16
1959-10-25Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Ramsshock77.4%17-7
1959-10-25Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers67.4%17-20
1959-11-01Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams63.9%26-21
1959-11-01Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Colts68.4%38-31
1959-11-01Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Cardinals36.0%24-45
1959-11-01Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles62.7%23-30
1959-11-01Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants82.0%3-20
1959-11-01Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers73.4%7-33
1959-11-08San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams47.2%24-16
1959-11-08Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears76.8%17-28
1959-11-08Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Browns75.7%7-28
1959-11-08Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants81.1%3-9
1959-11-08Baltimore ColtsatWashington Redskins31.9%24-27
1959-11-08Detroit LionsatPittsburgh Steelers64.7%10-10
1959-11-15San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears47.7%3-14
1959-11-15Cleveland BrownsatWashington Redskins33.8%31-17
1959-11-15Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles66.9%17-27
1959-11-15Baltimore ColtsatGreen Bay Packers28.4%28-24
1959-11-15Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giantsshock74.0%14-9
1959-11-15Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions54.5%17-23
1959-11-22San Francisco 49ersatBaltimore Colts61.3%14-45
1959-11-22Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions46.8%24-14
1959-11-22Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Brownsshock74.6%21-20
1959-11-22New York GiantsatChicago Cardinals33.1%30-20
1959-11-22Washington RedskinsatGreen Bay Packers50.7%0-21
1959-11-22Los Angeles RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles59.7%20-23
1959-11-26Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions67.1%24-17
1959-11-29San Francisco 49ersatCleveland Browns67.7%21-20
1959-11-29Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals30.3%31-7
1959-11-29Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Colts79.3%21-35
1959-11-29Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants82.0%14-45
1959-11-29Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers64.8%0-31
1959-12-05Baltimore ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers49.8%34-14
1959-12-06Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Bears66.0%21-27
1959-12-06Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants57.1%7-48
1959-12-06Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions68.1%21-45
1959-12-06Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins47.4%34-14
1959-12-06Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams63.3%38-20
1959-12-12Baltimore ColtsatLos Angeles Rams24.8%45-26
1959-12-13Detroit LionsatChicago Bears79.7%14-25
1959-12-13Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles45.9%28-21
1959-12-13Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers82.4%20-35
1959-12-13New York GiantsatWashington Redskins22.4%24-10
1959-12-13Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers70.0%36-14
1959-12-27New York GiantsatBaltimore Colts64.7%16-31

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.