The expectation ledger

The 1957 season, against expectation

Every game of 1957scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19561958→
Games
74
Model Brier
0.2431
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
20.7%
Washington Redskins

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1957.

1
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
8
exp 5.72
2
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
9.5
exp 7.25
3
Detroit Lions
Detroit
8
exp 6.90
4
Baltimore Colts
Washington-Baltimore
7
exp 6.28
5
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
6
exp 5.66
6
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
6
exp 5.82
7
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
5.5
exp 5.35
8
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
4
exp 4.82
9
New York Giants
New York
7
exp 7.84
10
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
3
exp 4.15
11
Chicago Bears
Chicago
5
exp 6.79
12
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
3
exp 5.42

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1957 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1957-09-29Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers40.5%17-21
1957-09-29New York GiantsatCleveland Browns50.1%3-6
1957-09-29Detroit LionsatBaltimore Colts42.8%14-34
1957-09-29Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers60.3%7-28
1957-09-29Philadelphia EaglesatLos Angeles Rams64.9%13-17
1957-09-29Chicago CardinalsatSan Francisco 49ers51.7%20-10
1957-10-05Chicago BearsatBaltimore Colts49.6%10-21
1957-10-05Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers56.5%23-12
1957-10-05New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles39.0%24-20
1957-10-06Washington RedskinsatChicago Cardinals71.0%37-14
1957-10-06Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers49.4%24-14
1957-10-06Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers52.9%20-23
1957-10-13San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears68.4%21-17
1957-10-13Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Browns77.2%7-24
1957-10-13Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers57.1%20-29
1957-10-13Baltimore ColtsatGreen Bay Packers48.8%45-17
1957-10-13New York GiantsatWashington Redskins48.6%24-20
1957-10-13Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions69.2%7-10
1957-10-20San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers48.1%24-14
1957-10-20Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears64.0%26-34
1957-10-20Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles35.2%7-17
1957-10-20Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins60.7%44-14
1957-10-20Baltimore ColtsatDetroit Lions61.7%27-31
1957-10-20Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants71.3%0-35
1957-10-27Cleveland BrownsatChicago Cardinals56.9%17-7
1957-10-27Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Coltsshock77.5%24-21
1957-10-27Washington RedskinsatNew York Giantsshock79.3%31-14
1957-10-27Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers65.9%0-6
1957-10-27Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams42.4%17-35
1957-10-27Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers57.2%17-21
1957-11-03Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams56.9%16-10
1957-11-03Washington RedskinsatCleveland Browns68.4%17-21
1957-11-03Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals69.0%38-21
1957-11-03Pittsburgh SteelersatBaltimore Colts60.6%19-13
1957-11-03New York GiantsatGreen Bay Packers36.6%31-17
1957-11-03Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers56.5%31-35
1957-11-10San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams49.9%24-37
1957-11-10Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears76.8%14-21
1957-11-10Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns66.8%0-24
1957-11-10Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants75.5%14-27
1957-11-10Baltimore ColtsatWashington Redskins60.3%21-17
1957-11-10Detroit LionsatPhiladelphia Eagles50.9%27-16
1957-11-17San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions65.2%10-31
1957-11-17Baltimore ColtsatChicago Bears64.0%29-14
1957-11-17Cleveland BrownsatWashington Redskins40.9%30-30
1957-11-17Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants78.1%0-13
1957-11-17Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers42.7%31-27
1957-11-24San Francisco 49ersatBaltimore Colts66.6%21-27
1957-11-24Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions68.5%27-7
1957-11-24Los Angeles RamsatCleveland Browns70.9%31-45
1957-11-24New York GiantsatChicago Cardinals36.0%28-21
1957-11-24Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles53.1%12-21
1957-11-24Green Bay PackersatPittsburgh Steelersshock76.3%27-10
1957-11-28Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions73.7%6-18
1957-12-01San Francisco 49ersatNew York Giantsshock77.3%27-17
1957-12-01Washington RedskinsatChicago Bearsshock71.3%14-3
1957-12-01Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Browns80.7%0-31
1957-12-01Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Colts67.3%14-31
1957-12-01Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles58.9%6-7
1957-12-07New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers40.4%10-21
1957-12-08Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals46.3%14-6
1957-12-08Cleveland BrownsatDetroit Lions47.2%7-20
1957-12-08Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins63.8%7-42
1957-12-08Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams69.0%17-42
1957-12-08Baltimore ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers51.3%13-17
1957-12-14Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles64.1%31-27
1957-12-15Detroit LionsatChicago Bears53.6%21-13
1957-12-15Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants52.8%34-28
1957-12-15Baltimore ColtsatLos Angeles Rams50.5%21-37
1957-12-15Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins64.2%3-10
1957-12-15Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers77.4%20-27
1957-12-22Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Cardinals52.6%27-2
1957-12-22Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers51.9%31-27
1957-12-29Cleveland BrownsatDetroit Lions58.1%14-59

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.