The expectation ledger

The 1956 season, against expectation

Every game of 1956scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19551957→
Games
73
Model Brier
0.2423
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
19.4%
Green Bay Packers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1956.

1
Detroit Lions
Detroit
9
exp 7.13
2
Chicago Bears
Chicago
9.5
exp 7.78
3
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
7
exp 5.81
4
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
5.5
exp 4.40
5
New York Giants
New York
8.5
exp 7.41
6
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
5
exp 4.30
7
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
6
exp 5.60
8
Baltimore Colts
Washington-Baltimore
5
exp 5.25
9
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
4
exp 5.46
10
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
4
exp 5.94
11
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
3.5
exp 5.53
12
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
5
exp 7.42

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1956 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1956-09-30Chicago BearsatBaltimore Colts42.7%21-28
1956-09-30Cleveland BrownsatChicago Cardinals32.2%7-9
1956-09-30Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers47.7%13-30
1956-09-30Philadelphia EaglesatLos Angeles Rams63.3%7-27
1956-09-30Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers59.4%20-16
1956-09-30New York GiantsatSan Francisco 49ers44.9%38-21
1956-10-06Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers35.8%14-10
1956-10-06Detroit LionsatBaltimore Colts53.3%31-14
1956-10-06Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles61.3%9-13
1956-10-07Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers50.2%37-21
1956-10-07New York GiantsatChicago Cardinals42.4%27-35
1956-10-07Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers39.7%30-33
1956-10-14San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears74.5%7-31
1956-10-14New York GiantsatCleveland Browns69.9%21-9
1956-10-14Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins56.2%31-3
1956-10-14Baltimore ColtsatGreen Bay Packers60.1%33-38
1956-10-14Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers51.0%35-21
1956-10-14Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions58.5%21-24
1956-10-21San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions74.9%17-20
1956-10-21Baltimore ColtsatChicago Bears78.1%27-58
1956-10-21Cleveland BrownsatWashington Redskins35.4%9-20
1956-10-21Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles60.1%20-6
1956-10-21Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants79.7%10-38
1956-10-21Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers48.1%17-42
1956-10-28Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Brownsshock78.2%24-16
1956-10-28Washington RedskinsatChicago Cardinals72.0%17-14
1956-10-28Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Colts47.6%21-28
1956-10-28Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants72.8%3-20
1956-10-28Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams51.0%16-7
1956-10-28Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers35.2%38-21
1956-11-04Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams40.1%35-24
1956-11-04Cleveland BrownsatGreen Bay Packers51.6%24-7
1956-11-04Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals66.5%17-28
1956-11-04New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers34.8%17-14
1956-11-04Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers34.0%17-13
1956-11-11San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams68.1%6-30
1956-11-11Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears81.5%14-38
1956-11-11Baltimore ColtsatCleveland Brownsshock74.6%21-7
1956-11-11Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants69.0%10-23
1956-11-11Detroit LionsatWashington Redskins43.3%17-18
1956-11-11Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles63.7%7-14
1956-11-18San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers66.8%17-16
1956-11-18Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears79.0%21-30
1956-11-18Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles55.3%16-0
1956-11-18Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers42.5%7-14
1956-11-18Baltimore ColtsatDetroit Lions73.2%3-27
1956-11-18New York GiantsatWashington Redskins37.6%7-33
1956-11-22Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lionsshock80.6%24-20
1956-11-25San Francisco 49ersatPhiladelphia Eagles68.1%10-10
1956-11-25Chicago BearsatNew York Giants51.8%17-17
1956-11-25Washington RedskinsatCleveland Browns60.5%20-17
1956-11-25Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Cardinals68.3%27-38
1956-11-25Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Colts57.9%21-56
1956-12-02San Francisco 49ersatBaltimore Coltsshock72.2%20-17
1956-12-02Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions47.9%10-42
1956-12-02Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Browns69.7%14-17
1956-12-02Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals69.7%24-21
1956-12-02Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants65.9%14-28
1956-12-02Los Angeles RamsatPittsburgh Steelers57.8%13-30
1956-12-08Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers50.8%20-38
1956-12-09Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears73.1%3-10
1956-12-09Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants70.3%24-7
1956-12-09Baltimore ColtsatLos Angeles Rams51.9%7-31
1956-12-09Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins71.6%17-19
1956-12-09Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions78.1%7-45
1956-12-15New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles39.0%21-7
1956-12-16Detroit LionsatChicago Bears59.6%21-38
1956-12-16Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Browns69.6%24-7
1956-12-16Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskinsshock72.0%23-0
1956-12-16Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams60.2%21-49
1956-12-16Baltimore ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers59.5%17-30
1956-12-23Washington RedskinsatBaltimore Colts49.0%17-19
1956-12-30Chicago BearsatNew York Giants51.4%7-47

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.