The expectation ledger
The 1955 season, against expectation
Every game of 1955scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.
Games
73
Model Brier
0.2260
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
15.9%
Washington Redskins
Teams against expectation
Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1955.
The game log
Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1955 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.
| Date | Game | Home chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1955-09-24 | New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 61.3% | 17-27 |
| 1955-09-25 | Chicago BearsatBaltimore Colts | 38.0% | 17-23 |
| 1955-09-25 | Washington RedskinsatCleveland Brownsshock | 84.1% | 27-17 |
| 1955-09-25 | Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers | 38.1% | 17-20 |
| 1955-09-25 | Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers | 62.1% | 23-14 |
| 1955-09-26 | Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers | 71.0% | 7-14 |
| 1955-10-01 | Detroit LionsatBaltimore Colts | 34.0% | 13-28 |
| 1955-10-01 | Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock | 72.8% | 31-30 |
| 1955-10-02 | Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers | 54.7% | 3-24 |
| 1955-10-02 | New York GiantsatChicago Cardinals | 37.3% | 17-28 |
| 1955-10-02 | Pittsburgh SteelersatLos Angeles Rams | 71.9% | 26-27 |
| 1955-10-02 | Cleveland BrownsatSan Francisco 49ers | 51.0% | 38-3 |
| 1955-10-08 | Baltimore ColtsatGreen Bay Packers | 66.8% | 24-20 |
| 1955-10-09 | San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears | 57.1% | 20-19 |
| 1955-10-09 | Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Browns | 68.8% | 17-21 |
| 1955-10-09 | Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskinsshock | 69.5% | 24-10 |
| 1955-10-09 | New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers | 57.4% | 23-30 |
| 1955-10-09 | Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions | 55.8% | 17-10 |
| 1955-10-15 | Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers | 50.9% | 7-13 |
| 1955-10-16 | San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions | 62.4% | 27-24 |
| 1955-10-16 | Baltimore ColtsatChicago Bears | 59.6% | 10-38 |
| 1955-10-16 | Cleveland BrownsatWashington Redskins | 30.6% | 24-14 |
| 1955-10-16 | Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants | 63.7% | 0-10 |
| 1955-10-16 | Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers | 42.5% | 28-30 |
| 1955-10-23 | Green Bay PackersatCleveland Browns | 78.2% | 10-41 |
| 1955-10-23 | Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals | 43.5% | 24-24 |
| 1955-10-23 | Washington RedskinsatBaltimore Colts | 63.1% | 14-13 |
| 1955-10-23 | Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants | 55.9% | 19-17 |
| 1955-10-23 | Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams | 69.3% | 13-24 |
| 1955-10-23 | Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers | 62.4% | 34-23 |
| 1955-10-29 | Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Colts | 52.8% | 10-14 |
| 1955-10-30 | Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Ramsshock | 68.3% | 31-20 |
| 1955-10-30 | Cleveland BrownsatChicago Cardinals | 26.0% | 26-20 |
| 1955-10-30 | Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants | 65.2% | 7-35 |
| 1955-10-30 | Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles | 60.1% | 0-24 |
| 1955-10-30 | Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers | 58.6% | 21-38 |
| 1955-11-05 | Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Cardinals | 47.1% | 13-27 |
| 1955-11-05 | Baltimore ColtsatDetroit Lions | 62.2% | 14-24 |
| 1955-11-06 | San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams | 66.1% | 14-27 |
| 1955-11-06 | Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears | 72.4% | 31-52 |
| 1955-11-06 | New York GiantsatCleveland Browns | 80.6% | 14-24 |
| 1955-11-06 | Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins | 38.5% | 21-34 |
| 1955-11-13 | San Francisco 49ersatWashington Redskins | 50.8% | 0-7 |
| 1955-11-13 | Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears | 59.6% | 3-24 |
| 1955-11-13 | Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 35.8% | 17-33 |
| 1955-11-13 | Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers | 60.9% | 14-31 |
| 1955-11-13 | Baltimore ColtsatNew York Giants | 66.1% | 7-17 |
| 1955-11-13 | Detroit LionsatPittsburgh Steelers | 55.8% | 31-28 |
| 1955-11-20 | San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers | 58.6% | 21-27 |
| 1955-11-20 | Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions | 44.5% | 24-14 |
| 1955-11-20 | Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns | 81.7% | 14-41 |
| 1955-11-20 | Washington RedskinsatChicago Cardinals | 53.4% | 31-0 |
| 1955-11-20 | Los Angeles RamsatBaltimore Colts | 39.4% | 17-17 |
| 1955-11-20 | Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants | 51.4% | 7-31 |
| 1955-11-24 | Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions | 58.8% | 10-24 |
| 1955-11-27 | San Francisco 49ersatBaltimore Colts | 53.6% | 14-26 |
| 1955-11-27 | Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinalsshock | 25.6% | 14-53 |
| 1955-11-27 | Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants | 41.4% | 35-35 |
| 1955-11-27 | Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers | 51.2% | 23-14 |
| 1955-11-27 | Los Angeles RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 54.9% | 23-21 |
| 1955-12-04 | Detroit LionsatChicago Bears | 67.7% | 20-21 |
| 1955-12-04 | Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers | 27.0% | 30-7 |
| 1955-12-04 | Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles | 68.8% | 3-27 |
| 1955-12-04 | Baltimore ColtsatLos Angeles Rams | 74.6% | 14-20 |
| 1955-12-04 | New York GiantsatWashington Redskins | 57.3% | 27-20 |
| 1955-12-04 | Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers | 55.2% | 28-7 |
| 1955-12-11 | Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Bears | 65.2% | 10-17 |
| 1955-12-11 | Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Browns | 85.9% | 24-35 |
| 1955-12-11 | Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins | 71.6% | 17-28 |
| 1955-12-11 | New York GiantsatDetroit Lions | 51.4% | 24-19 |
| 1955-12-11 | Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams | 69.1% | 17-31 |
| 1955-12-11 | Baltimore ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers | 54.6% | 24-35 |
| 1955-12-26 | Cleveland BrownsatLos Angeles Rams | 47.3% | 38-14 |
Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.