The expectation ledger

The 1952 season, against expectation

Every game of 1952scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19511953→
Games
74
Model Brier
0.2346
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
14.5%
Green Bay Packers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1952.

1
Detroit Lions
Detroit
9
exp 7.42
2
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
9
exp 7.68
3
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
6
exp 4.70
4
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
7
exp 6.28
5
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
5
exp 4.63
6
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
7
exp 7.41
7
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
4
exp 4.53
8
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
8
exp 8.56
9
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
4
exp 4.84
10
Chicago Bears
Chicago
5
exp 5.85
11
Dallas Texans
Dallas
1
exp 2.03
12
New York Giants
New York
7
exp 8.07

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1952 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1952-09-28Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers40.3%24-14
1952-09-28Los Angeles RamsatCleveland Browns68.1%7-37
1952-09-28Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers57.6%31-25
1952-09-28New York GiantsatDallas Texans19.5%24-6
1952-09-28Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers59.2%3-17
1952-09-29Washington RedskinsatChicago Cardinals61.6%23-7
1952-10-03Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams67.0%17-14
1952-10-04Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers28.8%21-20
1952-10-04New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles44.5%31-7
1952-10-05San Francisco 49ersatDallas Texans23.4%37-14
1952-10-05Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals45.5%10-21
1952-10-05Washington RedskinsatGreen Bay Packers40.8%20-35
1952-10-12San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions54.1%28-0
1952-10-12Dallas TexansatChicago Bears84.5%20-38
1952-10-12New York GiantsatCleveland Browns64.3%17-9
1952-10-12Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins58.4%17-6
1952-10-12Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles63.8%21-26
1952-10-12Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers36.7%30-28
1952-10-18Green Bay PackersatDallas Texans42.1%24-14
1952-10-19San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears45.4%40-16
1952-10-19Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles37.4%49-7
1952-10-19Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giantsshock80.9%24-23
1952-10-19Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers61.5%28-24
1952-10-19Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions50.3%16-24
1952-10-26Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams66.8%7-31
1952-10-26Washington RedskinsatCleveland Browns84.9%15-19
1952-10-26Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Cardinals70.0%34-28
1952-10-26Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giantsshock81.4%14-10
1952-10-26Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers43.0%52-17
1952-10-26Dallas TexansatSan Francisco 49ers93.3%21-48
1952-11-02Cleveland BrownsatDetroit Lions39.8%6-17
1952-11-02New York GiantsatChicago Cardinals36.7%28-6
1952-11-02Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins58.0%24-23
1952-11-02Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers41.1%10-12
1952-11-02Dallas TexansatLos Angeles Rams90.0%20-42
1952-11-02Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ersshock80.3%20-17
1952-11-09San Francisco 49ersatNew York Giants64.8%14-23
1952-11-09Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears71.9%41-28
1952-11-09Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Browns82.3%13-28
1952-11-09Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles66.7%20-38
1952-11-09Detroit LionsatPittsburgh Steelers41.9%31-6
1952-11-09Los Angeles RamsatDallas Texans18.1%27-6
1952-11-16San Francisco 49ersatWashington Redskins33.4%23-17
1952-11-16Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears41.0%40-24
1952-11-16Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns84.7%28-29
1952-11-16Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles67.8%7-10
1952-11-16Green Bay PackersatNew York Giantsshock85.5%17-3
1952-11-16Dallas TexansatDetroit Lions92.8%13-43
1952-11-23San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams57.1%9-35
1952-11-23Detroit LionsatChicago Bears33.0%23-24
1952-11-23Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Browns77.4%28-20
1952-11-23Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers58.5%14-17
1952-11-23New York GiantsatWashington Redskins29.6%14-10
1952-11-23Dallas TexansatGreen Bay Packers86.7%14-42
1952-11-27Chicago BearsatDallas Texans29.2%23-27
1952-11-27Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions73.3%24-48
1952-11-30Cleveland BrownsatWashington Redskins27.4%48-24
1952-11-30Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals40.8%22-28
1952-11-30New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers33.3%7-63
1952-11-30Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers53.6%34-21
1952-12-07Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions82.8%21-45
1952-12-07Cleveland BrownsatChicago Cardinals31.9%10-0
1952-12-07Washington RedskinsatNew York Giantsshock81.5%27-17
1952-12-07Dallas TexansatPhiladelphia Eagles88.6%21-38
1952-12-07Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams80.2%27-45
1952-12-07Pittsburgh SteelersatSan Francisco 49ers66.9%24-7
1952-12-13Dallas TexansatDetroit Lions93.3%6-41
1952-12-14Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears54.4%7-10
1952-12-14Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants40.3%34-37
1952-12-14Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins42.9%21-27
1952-12-14Pittsburgh SteelersatLos Angeles Rams74.8%14-28
1952-12-14Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers66.0%14-24
1952-12-21Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions52.8%21-31
1952-12-28Detroit LionsatCleveland Browns57.6%17-7

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.