The expectation ledger

The 1950 season, against expectation

Every game of 1950scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19491951→
Games
81
Model Brier
0.2017
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
12.8%
New York Yanks

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1950.

1
New York Giants
New York
10
exp 6.20
2
New York Yanks
New York
7
exp 4.71
3
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
9
exp 7.73
4
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
10
exp 8.78
5
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
6
exp 5.21
6
Chicago Bears
Chicago
9
exp 8.34
7
Detroit Lions
Detroit
6
exp 6.02
8
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
5
exp 5.46
9
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
3
exp 3.78
10
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
3
exp 4.35
11
Baltimore Colts
Washington-Baltimore
1
exp 2.94
12
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
6
exp 8.34
Show all 13 rows
13
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
3
exp 6.14

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1950 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1950-09-16Cleveland BrownsatPhiladelphia Eagles62.9%35-10
1950-09-17Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams50.1%24-20
1950-09-17Washington RedskinsatBaltimore Colts42.6%38-14
1950-09-17New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers62.5%18-7
1950-09-17Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers45.6%45-7
1950-09-17New York YanksatSan Francisco 49ersshock87.2%21-17
1950-09-22New York YanksatLos Angeles Rams81.6%28-45
1950-09-24Cleveland BrownsatBaltimore Colts14.1%31-0
1950-09-24Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals48.2%45-7
1950-09-24Washington RedskinsatGreen Bay Packers36.6%21-35
1950-09-24Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions63.2%7-10
1950-09-24Chicago BearsatSan Francisco 49ers46.7%32-20
1950-09-29Detroit LionsatNew York Yanks38.5%21-44
1950-10-01Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packersshock19.4%21-31
1950-10-01New York GiantsatCleveland Brownsshock82.5%6-0
1950-10-01Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins59.5%26-7
1950-10-01Los Angeles RamsatSan Francisco 49ers55.7%35-14
1950-10-02Baltimore ColtsatChicago Cardinals83.5%13-55
1950-10-07Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers33.8%30-17
1950-10-07Los Angeles RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles69.0%20-56
1950-10-08San Francisco 49ersatDetroit Lions52.6%7-24
1950-10-08Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears71.5%6-27
1950-10-08New York GiantsatWashington Redskins41.9%21-17
1950-10-08New York YanksatGreen Bay Packers61.2%44-31
1950-10-12San Francisco 49ersatNew York Yanks52.0%24-29
1950-10-15Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears87.6%14-28
1950-10-15Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Browns79.0%24-34
1950-10-15Philadelphia EaglesatBaltimore Colts12.9%24-14
1950-10-15Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants69.8%17-6
1950-10-15Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions45.9%30-28
1950-10-19Green Bay PackersatNew York Yanks69.2%17-35
1950-10-22Cleveland BrownsatNew York Giants33.9%13-17
1950-10-22Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins43.7%38-28
1950-10-22Baltimore ColtsatLos Angeles Rams88.9%27-70
1950-10-22Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers32.4%17-10
1950-10-22Detroit LionsatSan Francisco 49ers57.2%27-28
1950-10-29Chicago BearsatNew York Yanks32.3%27-38
1950-10-29Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Browns80.2%7-45
1950-10-29New York GiantsatChicago Cardinals58.7%3-17
1950-10-29Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles90.7%3-35
1950-10-29Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams75.1%24-65
1950-10-29Baltimore ColtsatSan Francisco 49ers80.5%14-17
1950-11-05San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Rams76.7%21-28
1950-11-05Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions35.9%35-21
1950-11-05Cleveland BrownsatChicago Cardinals40.5%10-7
1950-11-05Green Bay PackersatBaltimore Colts49.3%21-41
1950-11-05Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants76.3%21-24
1950-11-05Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock85.0%9-7
1950-11-12San Francisco 49ersatCleveland Browns84.8%14-34
1950-11-12New York YanksatChicago Bears76.6%20-28
1950-11-12Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants56.1%21-51
1950-11-12Baltimore ColtsatPittsburgh Steelers81.4%7-17
1950-11-12Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins18.2%33-0
1950-11-12Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers20.3%45-14
1950-11-19San Francisco 49ersatChicago Bears81.5%0-17
1950-11-19Washington RedskinsatCleveland Browns91.4%14-20
1950-11-19Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock81.7%14-10
1950-11-19New York GiantsatBaltimore Colts26.1%55-20
1950-11-19Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions75.1%21-24
1950-11-19Los Angeles RamsatNew York Yanks38.3%43-35
1950-11-23Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Cardinals63.6%28-17
1950-11-23New York YanksatDetroit Lions54.9%14-49
1950-11-26San Francisco 49ersatGreen Bay Packers38.8%21-25
1950-11-26Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears59.9%14-24
1950-11-26Baltimore ColtsatWashington Redskins68.5%28-38
1950-11-26Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants43.4%3-7
1950-12-03Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals36.0%10-20
1950-12-03Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Browns65.7%7-13
1950-12-03Detroit LionsatBaltimore Colts31.5%45-21
1950-12-03Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers79.8%24-7
1950-12-03New York YanksatNew York Giants77.2%7-51
1950-12-03Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams89.7%14-51
1950-12-10Detroit LionsatChicago Bears77.6%3-6
1950-12-10Cleveland BrownsatWashington Redskins20.7%45-21
1950-12-10Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers52.2%7-28
1950-12-10Baltimore ColtsatNew York Yanks79.5%14-51
1950-12-10New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles65.4%9-7
1950-12-10Green Bay PackersatSan Francisco 49ers73.2%14-30
1950-12-17Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams57.9%14-24
1950-12-17New York GiantsatCleveland Browns73.9%3-8
1950-12-24Los Angeles RamsatCleveland Browns70.0%28-30

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.