The expectation ledger

The 1946 season, against expectation

Every game of 1946scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19451947→
Games
113
Model Brier
0.2154
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
22.9%
Chicago Cardinals

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1946.

1
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
12
exp 9.19
2
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
6
exp 3.83
3
New York Yankees
New York
10.5
exp 8.34
4
Chicago Bears
Chicago
8.5
exp 6.43
5
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco-San Jose
9
exp 7.54
6
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
5.5
exp 4.48
7
New York Giants
New York
7.5
exp 6.50
8
Los Angeles Dons
Los Angeles
8
exp 7.16
9
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
6.5
exp 6.47
10
Chicago Rockets
Chicago
6.5
exp 6.55
11
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
6
exp 6.14
12
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
6
exp 6.35
Show all 18 rows
13
Boston Yanks
Boston
2.5
exp 3.48
14
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
5.5
exp 6.66
15
Buffalo Bisons
Buffalo
3.5
exp 5.48
16
Miami Seahawks
Miami
3
exp 5.24
17
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
3.5
exp 6.50
18
Detroit Lions
Detroit
1
exp 4.66

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1946 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1946-09-06Miami SeahawksatCleveland Browns59.3%0-44
1946-09-08Brooklyn DodgersatBuffalo Bisons59.3%27-14
1946-09-08New York YankeesatSan Francisco 49ers59.3%21-7
1946-09-13Cleveland BrownsatChicago Rockets55.0%20-6
1946-09-13Brooklyn DodgersatLos Angeles Dons54.7%14-20
1946-09-14Buffalo BisonsatNew York Yankees67.9%10-21
1946-09-15Miami SeahawksatSan Francisco 49ers58.8%14-21
1946-09-20Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers61.8%7-14
1946-09-20Miami SeahawksatLos Angeles Dons67.8%14-30
1946-09-20New York YankeesatChicago Rockets48.1%17-17
1946-09-22Cleveland BrownsatBuffalo Bisons43.9%28-0
1946-09-22Brooklyn DodgersatSan Francisco 49ers54.8%13-32
1946-09-25Buffalo BisonsatChicago Rockets65.5%35-38
1946-09-29San Francisco 49ersatChicago Rockets54.9%7-24
1946-09-29Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers69.0%30-7
1946-09-29Los Angeles DonsatBuffalo Bisons42.1%21-21
1946-09-29New York YankeesatCleveland Browns64.9%7-24
1946-09-29Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins79.3%14-14
1946-09-29Philadelphia EaglesatLos Angeles Rams61.6%25-14
1946-09-30Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals32.0%14-34
1946-10-01New York GiantsatBoston Yanks46.5%17-0
1946-10-04New York YankeesatBuffalo Bisons43.4%21-13
1946-10-05Los Angeles DonsatChicago Rockets55.4%21-9
1946-10-06Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals38.1%34-17
1946-10-06Brooklyn DodgersatCleveland Browns74.4%7-26
1946-10-06Detroit LionsatWashington Redskins66.8%16-17
1946-10-06Boston YanksatPhiladelphia Eagles84.0%25-49
1946-10-06New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers41.8%17-14
1946-10-06Los Angeles RamsatGreen Bay Packers53.4%21-17
1946-10-08San Francisco 49ersatMiami Seahawks52.4%34-7
1946-10-11Miami SeahawksatBuffalo Bisons58.9%17-14
1946-10-11Chicago RocketsatBrooklyn Dodgers59.0%21-21
1946-10-12San Francisco 49ersatLos Angeles Dons64.9%23-14
1946-10-12Cleveland BrownsatNew York Yankees48.4%7-0
1946-10-13Los Angeles RamsatChicago Bears56.8%28-28
1946-10-13Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lionsshock74.9%36-14
1946-10-13New York GiantsatWashington Redskins62.0%14-24
1946-10-13Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles73.8%19-7
1946-10-13Boston YanksatPittsburgh Steelers61.7%7-16
1946-10-18Miami SeahawksatChicago Rockets67.4%7-28
1946-10-19San Francisco 49ersatBuffalo Bisons35.4%14-17
1946-10-19Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Yankees66.7%10-21
1946-10-20Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Bears56.9%14-21
1946-10-20Los Angeles DonsatCleveland Browns73.6%14-31
1946-10-20Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants72.2%24-28
1946-10-20Washington RedskinsatBoston Yanks29.3%14-6
1946-10-20Detroit LionsatLos Angeles Rams76.3%14-35
1946-10-20Pittsburgh SteelersatGreen Bay Packers75.8%7-17
1946-10-25Miami SeahawksatBrooklyn Dodgers66.9%7-30
1946-10-27San Francisco 49ersatCleveland Brownsshock74.9%34-20
1946-10-27Chicago BearsatNew York Giants52.6%0-14
1946-10-27Chicago RocketsatBuffalo Bisons45.3%17-49
1946-10-27Los Angeles RamsatChicago Cardinals33.8%10-34
1946-10-27Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins63.3%28-24
1946-10-27New York YankeesatLos Angeles Dons55.5%31-17
1946-10-27Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers75.0%7-10
1946-10-27Pittsburgh SteelersatBoston Yanks51.7%33-7
1946-11-02Brooklyn DodgersatChicago Rockets56.9%21-14
1946-11-02Buffalo BisonsatSan Francisco 49ers76.2%14-27
1946-11-03Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears57.9%7-10
1946-11-03Cleveland BrownsatLos Angeles Dons41.1%16-17
1946-11-03Chicago CardinalsatBoston Yanks38.7%28-14
1946-11-03Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers40.3%7-14
1946-11-03New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles62.6%14-24
1946-11-03Los Angeles RamsatDetroit Lions41.3%41-20
1946-11-03Miami SeahawksatNew York Yankees81.7%21-24
1946-11-10Chicago BearsatLos Angeles Rams60.8%27-21
1946-11-10Buffalo BisonsatBrooklyn Dodgers68.8%17-14
1946-11-10Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals49.0%19-7
1946-11-10Boston YanksatWashington Redskins86.0%14-17
1946-11-10Los Angeles DonsatNew York Yankees70.2%12-17
1946-11-10Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants50.8%17-45
1946-11-10Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions50.5%7-17
1946-11-10Cleveland BrownsatSan Francisco 49ers57.0%14-7
1946-11-11Chicago RocketsatMiami Seahawks50.6%20-7
1946-11-17San Francisco 49ersatNew York Yankees62.5%9-10
1946-11-17Washington RedskinsatChicago Bears64.9%20-24
1946-11-17Chicago RocketsatCleveland Browns79.2%14-51
1946-11-17Chicago CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams71.8%14-17
1946-11-17Los Angeles DonsatBrooklyn Dodgers58.7%19-14
1946-11-17Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers41.0%7-10
1946-11-17Boston YanksatNew York Giants88.1%28-28
1946-11-17Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions37.6%9-0
1946-11-18Buffalo BisonsatMiami Seahawks44.9%14-21
1946-11-24San Francisco 49ersatBrooklyn Dodgers44.8%30-14
1946-11-24Detroit LionsatChicago Bears81.5%6-42
1946-11-24Buffalo BisonsatCleveland Browns83.6%17-42
1946-11-24Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packersshock77.1%24-6
1946-11-24Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles61.0%27-10
1946-11-24Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants72.9%0-7
1946-11-24Chicago RocketsatNew York Yankeesshock77.0%38-28
1946-11-24Los Angeles RamsatBoston Yanksshock24.9%21-40
1946-11-25Los Angeles DonsatMiami Seahawks40.1%34-21
1946-11-28New York YankeesatBrooklyn Dodgers42.3%21-7
1946-11-28Boston YanksatDetroit Lions65.1%34-10
1946-11-30Chicago RocketsatSan Francisco 49ers71.5%0-14
1946-12-01Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears73.7%35-28
1946-12-01Buffalo BisonsatLos Angeles Dons73.3%14-62
1946-12-01Green Bay PackersatWashington Redskins63.3%20-7
1946-12-01Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles68.3%7-10
1946-12-01Los Angeles RamsatNew York Giants67.5%31-21
1946-12-03Cleveland BrownsatMiami Seahawks20.4%34-0
1946-12-08Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions28.2%45-24
1946-12-08Cleveland BrownsatBrooklyn Dodgers25.2%66-14
1946-12-08Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants59.2%0-31
1946-12-08Philadelphia EaglesatBoston Yanks41.4%40-14
1946-12-08Green Bay PackersatLos Angeles Rams54.4%17-38
1946-12-08Los Angeles DonsatSan Francisco 49ers66.4%7-48
1946-12-09New York YankeesatMiami Seahawks27.1%31-0
1946-12-13Brooklyn DodgersatMiami Seahawks48.9%20-31
1946-12-15Chicago BearsatNew York Giants55.0%24-14
1946-12-15Chicago RocketsatLos Angeles Dons65.5%17-17
1946-12-22New York YankeesatCleveland Browns71.1%9-14

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.