The expectation ledger

The 1945 season, against expectation

Every game of 1945scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19441946→
Games
51
Model Brier
0.1873
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
11.2%
Pittsburgh Steelers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1945.

1
Cleveland Rams
Cleveland
9
exp 5.36
2
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
8
exp 6.47
3
Detroit Lions
Detroit
7
exp 5.68
4
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
7
exp 6.68
5
Boston Yanks
Boston
3.5
exp 3.19
6
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
6
exp 6.62
7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
2
exp 3.05
8
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
1
exp 2.44
9
New York Giants
New York
3.5
exp 5.33
10
Chicago Bears
Chicago
3
exp 5.16

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1945 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1945-09-23Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals34.8%10-0
1945-09-25Pittsburgh SteelersatBoston Yanks58.6%7-28
1945-09-30Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers60.6%21-31
1945-09-30Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Rams72.1%0-21
1945-10-07Chicago BearsatCleveland Rams40.7%0-17
1945-10-07Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles85.3%6-21
1945-10-07Washington RedskinsatBoston Yanksshock38.9%20-28
1945-10-07New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers25.7%34-6
1945-10-07Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers70.6%21-57
1945-10-14Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bearsshock84.9%16-7
1945-10-14Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers34.5%14-0
1945-10-14Philadelphia EaglesatDetroit Lions52.8%24-28
1945-10-14New York GiantsatBoston Yanks32.4%13-13
1945-10-14Cleveland RamsatGreen Bay Packersshock78.6%27-14
1945-10-21Cleveland RamsatChicago Bears54.8%41-21
1945-10-21Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions80.3%0-26
1945-10-21Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins52.5%14-24
1945-10-21Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giantsshock88.8%21-7
1945-10-21Boston YanksatGreen Bay Packers81.9%14-38
1945-10-28Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions69.8%10-16
1945-10-28Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers87.1%14-33
1945-10-28Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants59.5%24-14
1945-10-28Cleveland RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles53.9%14-28
1945-10-28Boston YanksatPittsburgh Steelers53.0%10-6
1945-11-04Green Bay PackersatChicago Bearsshock36.3%24-28
1945-11-04Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins83.6%21-24
1945-11-04Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers28.9%45-3
1945-11-04Cleveland RamsatNew York Giants53.3%21-17
1945-11-04Detroit LionsatBoston Yanks38.3%10-9
1945-11-11Detroit LionsatChicago Bears46.9%35-28
1945-11-11Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers56.1%0-23
1945-11-11Boston YanksatWashington Redskins78.0%7-34
1945-11-11New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles71.1%17-38
1945-11-11Green Bay PackersatCleveland Rams53.9%7-20
1945-11-18Chicago BearsatWashington Redskins73.9%21-28
1945-11-18Cleveland RamsatChicago Cardinals22.9%35-21
1945-11-18Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles86.1%6-30
1945-11-18Detroit LionsatNew York Giants42.5%14-35
1945-11-18Green Bay PackersatBoston Yanks34.0%28-0
1945-11-22Cleveland RamsatDetroit Lions52.5%28-21
1945-11-25Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Bears74.0%7-28
1945-11-25Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles61.3%0-16
1945-11-25Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants46.0%23-14
1945-12-02Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals35.7%28-20
1945-12-02Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins85.7%0-24
1945-12-02Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants39.6%21-28
1945-12-02Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions46.3%3-14
1945-12-02Boston YanksatCleveland Rams85.7%7-20
1945-12-09New York GiantsatWashington Redskins67.7%0-17
1945-12-09Boston YanksatPhiladelphia Eagles84.5%7-35
1945-12-16Washington RedskinsatCleveland Rams64.0%14-15

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.