The expectation ledger

The 1942 season, against expectation

Every game of 1942scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19411943→
Games
56
Model Brier
0.1679
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
16.1%
Pittsburgh Steelers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1942.

1
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
10
exp 7.47
2
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
7
exp 4.50
3
Chicago Bears
Chicago
11
exp 8.95
4
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
8.5
exp 7.37
5
Cleveland Rams
Cleveland
5
exp 3.99
6
New York Giants
New York
5.5
exp 6.16
7
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
3
exp 4.05
8
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
2
exp 3.23
9
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
3
exp 5.77
10
Detroit Lions
Detroit
0
exp 3.50

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1942 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1942-09-13Cleveland RamsatChicago Cardinals64.4%0-7
1942-09-13Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers59.3%24-14
1942-09-20Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals55.2%0-13
1942-09-20Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins79.2%14-28
1942-09-20Philadelphia EaglesatCleveland Rams57.4%14-24
1942-09-27Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers49.6%44-28
1942-09-27New York GiantsatWashington Redskins58.1%14-7
1942-09-27Brooklyn DodgersatPhiladelphia Eagles38.3%35-14
1942-09-27Cleveland RamsatDetroit Lions66.3%14-0
1942-10-04Chicago BearsatCleveland Rams24.9%21-7
1942-10-04Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals44.8%17-13
1942-10-04Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles39.7%14-10
1942-10-04New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelersshock29.0%10-13
1942-10-04Brooklyn DodgersatDetroit Lions40.8%28-7
1942-10-11Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears86.1%14-41
1942-10-11Cleveland RamsatWashington Redskins69.1%14-33
1942-10-11Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants80.9%17-35
1942-10-11Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers81.8%7-38
1942-10-11Pittsburgh SteelersatBrooklyn Dodgersshock83.9%7-0
1942-10-18New York GiantsatChicago Bears80.5%7-26
1942-10-18Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions49.4%7-0
1942-10-18Washington RedskinsatBrooklyn Dodgers60.7%21-10
1942-10-18Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles51.0%14-0
1942-10-18Cleveland RamsatGreen Bay Packers81.1%28-45
1942-10-25Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Bears94.4%14-45
1942-10-25Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Rams49.3%3-7
1942-10-25Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers40.1%14-0
1942-10-25New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers55.5%7-17
1942-10-25Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions25.8%28-7
1942-11-01Detroit LionsatChicago Bears93.1%0-16
1942-11-01Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers79.4%24-55
1942-11-01Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins87.5%27-30
1942-11-01Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giantsshock73.2%17-9
1942-11-01Cleveland RamsatBrooklyn Dodgersshock72.5%17-0
1942-11-08Chicago BearsatBrooklyn Dodgers24.5%35-0
1942-11-08Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins75.9%0-28
1942-11-08New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles34.8%14-0
1942-11-08Pittsburgh SteelersatDetroit Lions46.7%35-7
1942-11-08Green Bay PackersatCleveland Rams34.8%30-12
1942-11-15Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears71.5%7-38
1942-11-15Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants44.7%14-7
1942-11-15Philadelphia EaglesatBrooklyn Dodgersshock80.4%14-7
1942-11-15Detroit LionsatCleveland Rams75.6%7-27
1942-11-22Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions8.8%42-0
1942-11-22Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Steelers64.0%3-19
1942-11-22Brooklyn DodgersatWashington Redskins81.0%3-23
1942-11-22Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants35.6%21-21
1942-11-29Cleveland RamsatChicago Bears90.1%0-47
1942-11-29Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants68.2%7-21
1942-11-29Washington RedskinsatDetroit Lions18.1%15-3
1942-11-29Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles19.0%7-0
1942-11-29Brooklyn DodgersatPittsburgh Steelers68.5%0-13
1942-12-06Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals13.3%21-7
1942-12-06Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants71.6%0-10
1942-12-06Pittsburgh SteelersatGreen Bay Packers76.9%21-24
1942-12-13Chicago BearsatWashington Redskins36.5%6-14

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.