The expectation ledger

The 1941 season, against expectation

Every game of 1941scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19401942→
Games
57
Model Brier
0.1519
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
19.4%
Chicago Cardinals

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1941.

1
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
10
exp 7.23
2
Chicago Bears
Chicago
10
exp 8.47
3
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
7
exp 6.40
4
New York Giants
New York
8
exp 7.76
5
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
3.5
exp 3.48
6
Detroit Lions
Detroit
4.5
exp 4.62
7
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
6
exp 6.44
8
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
2.5
exp 3.37
9
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh
1.5
exp 2.86
10
Cleveland Rams
Cleveland
2
exp 4.38

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1941 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1941-09-07Pittsburgh SteelersatCleveland Rams73.5%14-17
1941-09-13New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles36.0%24-0
1941-09-14Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers70.0%0-23
1941-09-16Cleveland RamsatChicago Cardinals47.3%10-6
1941-09-21Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Steelers63.1%10-7
1941-09-21Detroit LionsatBrooklyn Dodgers67.3%7-14
1941-09-21Cleveland RamsatGreen Bay Packers70.0%7-24
1941-09-27Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals49.9%14-14
1941-09-27Brooklyn DodgersatPhiladelphia Eagles32.9%24-13
1941-09-28Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers55.2%25-17
1941-09-28New York GiantsatWashington Redskins60.0%17-10
1941-10-05Chicago BearsatCleveland Rams35.5%48-21
1941-10-05Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers81.1%13-14
1941-10-05Brooklyn DodgersatWashington Redskins54.5%0-3
1941-10-05New York GiantsatPittsburgh Steelers28.4%37-10
1941-10-12Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears88.6%7-53
1941-10-12Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Steelers30.3%24-20
1941-10-12Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants86.0%0-16
1941-10-12Cleveland RamsatDetroit Lions57.9%7-17
1941-10-12Brooklyn DodgersatGreen Bay Packers64.0%7-30
1941-10-19Detroit LionsatChicago Bears83.0%0-49
1941-10-19Chicago CardinalsatBrooklyn Dodgersshock76.8%20-6
1941-10-19Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles29.7%21-17
1941-10-19Pittsburgh SteelersatNew York Giants87.7%7-28
1941-10-19Green Bay PackersatCleveland Rams37.1%17-14
1941-10-26Pittsburgh SteelersatChicago Bears93.1%7-34
1941-10-26Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles44.4%14-21
1941-10-26Cleveland RamsatWashington Redskins74.3%13-17
1941-10-26New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers41.6%13-16
1941-10-26Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions38.2%24-7
1941-11-02Green Bay PackersatChicago Bearsshock68.3%16-14
1941-11-02Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giantsshock80.6%10-7
1941-11-02Pittsburgh SteelersatWashington Redskins86.3%3-23
1941-11-02Philadelphia EaglesatBrooklyn Dodgers77.3%6-15
1941-11-02Detroit LionsatCleveland Rams57.2%14-0
1941-11-09Cleveland RamsatChicago Bears88.5%13-31
1941-11-09Washington RedskinsatBrooklyn Dodgers49.8%7-13
1941-11-09Pittsburgh SteelersatPhiladelphia Eagles64.1%7-7
1941-11-09Detroit LionsatNew York Giants70.4%13-20
1941-11-16Washington RedskinsatChicago Bears76.7%21-35
1941-11-16Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers83.9%9-17
1941-11-16Philadelphia EaglesatDetroit Lions75.5%17-21
1941-11-16Cleveland RamsatNew York Giants80.4%14-49
1941-11-16Brooklyn DodgersatPittsburgh Steelersshock29.3%7-14
1941-11-23Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions27.5%24-7
1941-11-23Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Rams53.1%7-0
1941-11-23Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants65.3%13-20
1941-11-23Green Bay PackersatPittsburgh Steelers18.8%54-7
1941-11-30Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles13.1%49-14
1941-11-30Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions60.8%3-21
1941-11-30Green Bay PackersatWashington Redskins38.8%22-17
1941-11-30Pittsburgh SteelersatBrooklyn Dodgers79.3%7-35
1941-12-07Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals20.1%34-24
1941-12-07Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskins81.7%14-20
1941-12-07Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giantsshock71.3%21-7
1941-12-14Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears66.3%14-33
1941-12-21New York GiantsatChicago Bears82.0%9-37

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.