The expectation ledger

The 1937 season, against expectation

Every game of 1937scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19361938→
Games
56
Model Brier
0.1932
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
15.0%
Philadelphia Eagles

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1937.

1
Chicago Bears
Chicago
9.5
exp 7.39
2
Washington Redskins
Washington-Baltimore
8
exp 6.49
3
New York Giants
New York
7
exp 6.39
4
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
5.5
exp 4.97
5
Detroit Lions
Detroit
7
exp 6.91
6
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
7
exp 7.44
7
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
2.5
exp 3.17
8
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
3.5
exp 4.21
9
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh
4
exp 5.34
10
Cleveland Rams
Cleveland
1
exp 2.69

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1937 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1937-09-05Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Pirates72.0%14-27
1937-09-10Brooklyn DodgersatPhiladelphia Eagles45.9%13-7
1937-09-10Detroit LionsatCleveland Rams27.4%28-0
1937-09-12Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packersshock79.4%14-7
1937-09-16New York GiantsatWashington Redskins59.3%3-13
1937-09-19Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers61.0%14-2
1937-09-19Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions72.1%7-16
1937-09-19Pittsburgh PiratesatBrooklyn Dodgers57.1%21-0
1937-09-21Cleveland RamsatPhiladelphia Eagles52.1%21-3
1937-09-24Chicago CardinalsatWashington Redskins60.8%21-14
1937-09-26Chicago CardinalsatPhiladelphia Eagles24.1%6-6
1937-09-26New York GiantsatPittsburgh Pirates59.2%10-7
1937-09-26Cleveland RamsatBrooklyn Dodgers60.8%7-9
1937-10-03Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Rams37.6%6-0
1937-10-03Brooklyn DodgersatWashington Redskins71.1%7-11
1937-10-03New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles29.0%16-7
1937-10-03Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers52.3%6-26
1937-10-04Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Pirates35.2%7-0
1937-10-10Chicago BearsatCleveland Rams21.6%20-2
1937-10-10Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers68.6%13-34
1937-10-10Philadelphia EaglesatWashington Redskinsshock85.0%14-0
1937-10-10Pittsburgh PiratesatDetroit Lions77.8%3-7
1937-10-17Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears76.3%7-16
1937-10-17Pittsburgh PiratesatWashington Redskins59.9%20-34
1937-10-17Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants81.4%0-21
1937-10-17Brooklyn DodgersatDetroit Lions83.5%0-30
1937-10-17Cleveland RamsatGreen Bay Packers88.0%10-35
1937-10-24Detroit LionsatChicago Bears66.1%20-28
1937-10-24Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Pirates46.5%13-7
1937-10-24Washington RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles36.5%10-7
1937-10-24Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants76.2%0-21
1937-10-24Cleveland RamsatGreen Bay Packers89.5%7-35
1937-10-31Chicago BearsatNew York Giants37.9%3-3
1937-10-31Cleveland RamsatChicago Cardinals82.2%7-13
1937-10-31Washington RedskinsatBrooklyn Dodgers43.6%21-0
1937-10-31Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Pirates72.8%7-16
1937-10-31Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions53.1%14-13
1937-11-07Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears62.6%24-14
1937-11-07Philadelphia EaglesatBrooklyn Dodgersshock66.8%14-10
1937-11-07Pittsburgh PiratesatNew York Giants74.5%0-17
1937-11-07Cleveland RamsatDetroit Lions87.6%7-27
1937-11-14Brooklyn DodgersatChicago Bears90.6%7-29
1937-11-14Washington RedskinsatPittsburgh Pirates44.6%13-21
1937-11-14Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers92.8%7-37
1937-11-14Detroit LionsatNew York Giants51.7%17-0
1937-11-21Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals45.2%16-7
1937-11-21Washington RedskinsatCleveland Rams36.1%16-7
1937-11-21Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants35.3%0-10
1937-11-21Brooklyn DodgersatPittsburgh Piratesshock73.5%23-0
1937-11-25Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions59.3%13-0
1937-11-25New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers33.1%13-13
1937-11-28Cleveland RamsatChicago Bears93.1%7-15
1937-11-28Green Bay PackersatWashington Redskins36.3%6-14
1937-12-05Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals34.8%42-28
1937-12-05Washington RedskinsatNew York Giants62.4%49-14
1937-12-12Washington RedskinsatChicago Bearsshock76.0%28-21

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.