The expectation ledger

The 1936 season, against expectation

Every game of 1936scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19351937→
Games
55
Model Brier
0.1655
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
25.1%
Chicago Cardinals

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1936.

1
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
10.5
exp 7.39
2
Boston Redskins
Boston
7
exp 5.69
3
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh
6
exp 4.93
4
Chicago Bears
Chicago
9
exp 8.26
5
Detroit Lions
Detroit
8
exp 7.69
6
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
3.5
exp 4.37
7
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
3.5
exp 4.91
8
New York Giants
New York
5.5
exp 7.13
9
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
1
exp 3.64

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1936 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1936-09-13Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers67.9%7-10
1936-09-13Boston RedskinsatPittsburgh Pirates53.3%0-10
1936-09-13New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock33.6%7-10
1936-09-20Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers56.5%30-3
1936-09-20Boston RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles59.8%26-3
1936-09-23Pittsburgh PiratesatBrooklyn Dodgersshock62.2%10-6
1936-09-27Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles23.8%17-0
1936-09-27Boston RedskinsatBrooklyn Dodgers54.1%14-3
1936-09-27New York GiantsatPittsburgh Pirates41.4%7-10
1936-09-28Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions72.8%0-39
1936-10-04Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Pirates30.9%27-9
1936-10-04Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers67.5%0-24
1936-10-04New York GiantsatBoston Redskins49.9%7-0
1936-10-04Philadelphia EaglesatBrooklyn Dodgers62.4%0-18
1936-10-11Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears82.8%3-7
1936-10-11Boston RedskinsatGreen Bay Packers73.2%2-31
1936-10-11Detroit LionsatPhiladelphia Eagles22.0%23-0
1936-10-11Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants78.1%10-10
1936-10-14Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Pirates72.6%0-17
1936-10-14Detroit LionsatBrooklyn Dodgers28.6%14-7
1936-10-18Pittsburgh PiratesatChicago Bears84.5%7-26
1936-10-18Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants71.6%6-14
1936-10-18Philadelphia EaglesatBoston Redskins74.9%7-17
1936-10-18Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers49.5%18-20
1936-10-25Detroit LionsatChicago Bears65.4%10-12
1936-10-25Chicago CardinalsatBrooklyn Dodgers53.2%0-9
1936-10-25Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants86.9%17-21
1936-10-25Pittsburgh PiratesatGreen Bay Packers77.9%10-42
1936-11-01Green Bay PackersatChicago Bearsshock70.3%21-10
1936-11-01Chicago CardinalsatBoston Redskins62.6%10-13
1936-11-01Detroit LionsatNew York Giants50.4%7-14
1936-11-01Brooklyn DodgersatPittsburgh Pirates59.2%7-10
1936-11-05Pittsburgh PiratesatPhiladelphia Eagles39.7%6-0
1936-11-08Chicago BearsatNew York Giants50.1%25-7
1936-11-08Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals75.6%0-13
1936-11-08Green Bay PackersatBoston Redskins33.4%7-3
1936-11-08Pittsburgh PiratesatDetroit Lions78.5%3-28
1936-11-15Chicago BearsatBoston Redskins27.4%26-0
1936-11-15Pittsburgh PiratesatChicago Cardinals57.7%6-14
1936-11-15New York GiantsatDetroit Lions67.7%0-38
1936-11-15Green Bay PackersatBrooklyn Dodgers26.7%38-7
1936-11-22Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles11.0%28-7
1936-11-22Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals31.4%14-7
1936-11-22Brooklyn DodgersatBoston Redskins64.1%6-30
1936-11-22Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants40.3%26-14
1936-11-26Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions52.4%7-13
1936-11-26New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers39.0%14-0
1936-11-29Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinalsshock25.1%7-14
1936-11-29Pittsburgh PiratesatBoston Redskins64.0%0-30
1936-11-29Brooklyn DodgersatPhiladelphia Eagles46.6%13-7
1936-11-29Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions57.1%26-17
1936-12-06Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals25.5%0-0
1936-12-06Boston RedskinsatNew York Giantsshock67.3%14-0
1936-12-06Brooklyn DodgersatDetroit Lions87.8%6-14
1936-12-13Boston RedskinsvsGreen Bay Packers75.3%6-21

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.