The expectation ledger

The 1935 season, against expectation

Every game of 1935scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19341936→
Games
54
Model Brier
0.2052
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
25.3%
Pittsburgh Pirates

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1935.

1
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
7
exp 5.47
2
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
8
exp 6.91
3
New York Giants
New York
9
exp 8.02
4
Detroit Lions
Detroit
8
exp 7.08
5
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
5.5
exp 4.88
6
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh
4
exp 3.70
7
Chicago Bears
Chicago
7
exp 8.08
8
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
2
exp 3.90
9
Boston Redskins
Boston
2.5
exp 4.96

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1935 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1935-09-13Pittsburgh PiratesatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock73.5%17-7
1935-09-15Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers63.0%7-6
1935-09-20Philadelphia EaglesatDetroit Lions79.8%0-35
1935-09-22Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers38.9%0-7
1935-09-22New York GiantsatPittsburgh Pirates29.8%42-7
1935-09-29Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Pirates22.9%23-7
1935-09-29Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions71.2%10-10
1935-09-29Brooklyn DodgersatBoston Redskins69.8%3-7
1935-09-29New York GiantsatGreen Bay Packers49.5%7-16
1935-10-06New York GiantsatBoston Redskins47.2%20-12
1935-10-06Detroit LionsatBrooklyn Dodgers32.9%10-12
1935-10-06Pittsburgh PiratesatGreen Bay Packers83.8%0-27
1935-10-09Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Pirates50.2%17-6
1935-10-13Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles29.0%39-0
1935-10-13Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers67.5%3-0
1935-10-13Detroit LionsatBoston Redskins45.7%17-7
1935-10-13Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants81.2%7-10
1935-10-20Brooklyn DodgersatChicago Bears86.0%14-24
1935-10-20Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Pirates29.5%13-17
1935-10-20Boston RedskinsatNew York Giants77.7%6-17
1935-10-20Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers54.0%9-13
1935-10-27Green Bay PackersatChicago Bearsshock71.5%17-14
1935-10-27Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giantsshock74.4%14-13
1935-10-27Boston RedskinsatPittsburgh Pirates42.7%0-6
1935-10-27Philadelphia EaglesatBrooklyn Dodgers59.9%6-17
1935-10-30Boston RedskinsatDetroit Lions78.1%0-14
1935-11-03Chicago BearsatNew York Giants53.9%20-3
1935-11-03Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals47.7%7-6
1935-11-03Philadelphia EaglesatBoston Redskins63.6%7-6
1935-11-03Brooklyn DodgersatPittsburgh Pirates49.2%13-7
1935-11-05Brooklyn DodgersatPhiladelphia Eagles51.7%3-0
1935-11-10Chicago BearsatBoston Redskins23.2%30-14
1935-11-10Philadelphia EaglesatChicago Cardinals75.2%3-12
1935-11-10Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers58.7%7-31
1935-11-10Pittsburgh PiratesatBrooklyn Dodgersshock74.7%16-7
1935-11-17New York GiantsatChicago Bearsshock73.6%3-0
1935-11-17Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions52.5%10-20
1935-11-19Chicago CardinalsatBrooklyn Dodgers45.9%12-14
1935-11-24Detroit LionsatChicago Bears68.8%20-20
1935-11-24Chicago CardinalsatBoston Redskins43.6%6-0
1935-11-24Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants84.8%0-10
1935-11-24Green Bay PackersatPittsburgh Pirates28.5%34-14
1935-11-28Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions50.6%2-14
1935-11-28Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals45.8%7-9
1935-11-28New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers35.0%21-0
1935-12-01Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears72.7%7-7
1935-12-01Pittsburgh PiratesatBoston Redskins61.9%3-13
1935-12-01New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles23.9%21-14
1935-12-01Brooklyn DodgersatDetroit Lions83.3%0-28
1935-12-08Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals46.2%13-0
1935-12-08Boston RedskinsatBrooklyn Dodgers60.5%0-0
1935-12-08Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles25.5%13-6
1935-12-08Pittsburgh PiratesatNew York Giants88.9%0-13
1935-12-15New York GiantsatDetroit Lions58.7%7-26

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.