The expectation ledger

The 1934 season, against expectation

Every game of 1934scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19331935→
Games
61
Model Brier
0.1626
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
22.5%
Green Bay Packers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1934.

1
Chicago Bears
Chicago
13
exp 9.61
2
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
5
exp 3.72
3
Detroit Lions
Detroit
10
exp 8.76
4
New York Giants
New York
8
exp 7.98
5
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
7
exp 7.19
6
Boston Redskins
Boston
6
exp 6.27
7
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
4
exp 4.49
8
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
4
exp 5.05
9
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh
2
exp 3.69
10
Cincy/St.Louis Reds/Gunners
Cincinnati/St.Louis
1
exp 3.24

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1934 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1934-09-09Cincinnati RedsatPittsburgh Pirates55.8%0-13
1934-09-16Boston RedskinsatPittsburgh Pirates42.5%7-0
1934-09-16Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers77.5%6-19
1934-09-23Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers48.7%24-10
1934-09-23Chicago CardinalsatCincinnati Reds50.2%9-0
1934-09-23New York GiantsatDetroit Lions52.9%0-9
1934-09-26Philadelphia EaglesatPittsburgh Pirates55.3%17-0
1934-09-30Chicago BearsatCincinnati Reds18.2%21-3
1934-09-30Chicago CardinalsatDetroit Lions75.9%0-6
1934-09-30Boston RedskinsatBrooklyn Dodgers52.5%6-10
1934-09-30New York GiantsatGreen Bay Packers52.9%6-20
1934-10-03New York GiantsatPittsburgh Pirates28.4%14-12
1934-10-07Chicago BearsatBrooklyn Dodgers32.8%21-7
1934-10-07Chicago CardinalsatCincinnati Reds43.5%16-0
1934-10-07New York GiantsatBoston Redskins50.4%16-13
1934-10-07Pittsburgh PiratesatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock72.0%9-7
1934-10-07Detroit LionsatGreen Bay Packers55.5%3-0
1934-10-10Chicago BearsatPittsburgh Pirates16.5%28-0
1934-10-14Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals27.0%20-0
1934-10-14Pittsburgh PiratesatBoston Redskins77.9%0-39
1934-10-14Detroit LionsatPhiladelphia Eagles31.9%10-0
1934-10-14Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants73.3%0-14
1934-10-14Cincinnati RedsatGreen Bay Packers85.5%0-41
1934-10-17Boston RedskinsatDetroit Lions74.1%0-24
1934-10-21Cincinnati RedsatChicago Bears94.3%7-41
1934-10-21Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers73.2%0-15
1934-10-21Philadelphia EaglesatBoston Redskins71.3%0-6
1934-10-21Pittsburgh PiratesatNew York Giants87.4%7-17
1934-10-22Brooklyn DodgersatDetroit Lions80.5%0-28
1934-10-28Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears77.3%14-27
1934-10-28Chicago CardinalsatBoston Redskins67.7%0-9
1934-10-28Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants83.2%0-17
1934-10-28Detroit LionsatCincinnati Reds15.8%38-0
1934-10-28Pittsburgh PiratesatBrooklyn Dodgers75.3%3-21
1934-11-04New York GiantsatChicago Bears74.9%7-27
1934-11-04Green Bay PackersatBoston Redskins52.4%10-0
1934-11-04Pittsburgh PiratesatDetroit Lions91.9%7-40
1934-11-06Chicago CardinalsatBrooklyn Dodgers64.1%21-0
1934-11-06Cincinnati RedsatPhiladelphia Eagles71.4%0-64
1934-11-11Chicago BearsatBoston Redskins24.8%21-0
1934-11-11Detroit LionsatChicago Cardinals31.4%17-13
1934-11-11Brooklyn DodgersatPhiladelphia Eagles56.9%10-7
1934-11-11Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants60.0%3-17
1934-11-11Pittsburgh PiratesatSt. Louis Gunners62.8%0-6
1934-11-18Chicago BearsatNew York Giants38.5%10-9
1934-11-18Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packersshock73.5%9-0
1934-11-18Boston RedskinsatPhiladelphia Eagles46.3%14-7
1934-11-18St. Louis GunnersatDetroit Lions91.0%7-40
1934-11-18Brooklyn DodgersatPittsburgh Pirates38.2%10-0
1934-11-25Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears87.6%6-17
1934-11-25Boston RedskinsatNew York Giants73.9%0-3
1934-11-25Philadelphia EaglesatBrooklyn Dodgersshock70.4%13-0
1934-11-25Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lionsshock77.5%3-0
1934-11-29Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions42.8%19-16
1934-11-29Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals49.6%0-6
1934-11-29New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers30.8%27-0
1934-12-02Detroit LionsatChicago Bears76.3%7-10
1934-12-02Brooklyn DodgersatBoston Redskins71.6%3-13
1934-12-02New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eaglesshock27.8%0-6
1934-12-02Green Bay PackersatSt. Louis Gunners31.3%21-14
1934-12-09Chicago BearsatNew York Giants33.5%13-30

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.