The expectation ledger

The 1933 season, against expectation

Every game of 1933scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19321934→
Games
58
Model Brier
0.1798
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
14.8%
Cincinnati Reds

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1933.

1
New York Giants
New York
11
exp 8.37
2
Chicago Bears
Chicago
10.5
exp 8.93
3
Boston Redskins
Boston
6
exp 5.21
4
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
3.5
exp 2.89
5
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh
4
exp 3.60
6
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
5.5
exp 5.14
7
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati
3.5
exp 3.26
8
Portsmouth Spartans
Portsmouth
6
exp 7.08
9
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
5.5
exp 7.56
10
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
1.5
exp 4.95

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1933 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1933-09-17Boston RedskinsatGreen Bay Packers80.6%7-7
1933-09-17Cincinnati RedsatPortsmouth Spartans88.4%0-21
1933-09-20New York GiantsatPittsburgh Pirates30.1%23-2
1933-09-24Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers56.3%14-7
1933-09-24New York GiantsatPortsmouth Spartans68.0%7-17
1933-09-27Chicago CardinalsatPittsburgh Pirates33.9%13-14
1933-10-01Boston RedskinsatChicago Bears82.8%0-7
1933-10-01Chicago CardinalsatPortsmouth Spartans78.0%6-7
1933-10-01New York GiantsatGreen Bay Packers66.7%10-7
1933-10-04Boston RedskinsatPittsburgh Pirates40.5%21-6
1933-10-08Chicago BearsatBrooklyn Dodgers25.9%10-0
1933-10-08Chicago CardinalsatCincinnati Reds37.0%3-0
1933-10-08New York GiantsatBoston Redskins46.7%20-21
1933-10-08Portsmouth SpartansatGreen Bay Packers50.5%0-17
1933-10-11Cincinnati RedsatPittsburgh Pirates57.4%3-17
1933-10-15Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears81.7%9-12
1933-10-15Portsmouth SpartansatBoston Redskins40.8%13-0
1933-10-15Philadelphia EaglesatNew York Giants84.3%0-56
1933-10-15Cincinnati RedsatBrooklyn Dodgers74.8%0-27
1933-10-15Pittsburgh PiratesatGreen Bay Packers88.3%0-47
1933-10-18Portsmouth SpartansatPhiladelphia Eagles19.1%25-0
1933-10-22Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears69.0%7-10
1933-10-22Chicago CardinalsatBoston Redskins55.8%0-10
1933-10-22Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants76.2%7-21
1933-10-22Pittsburgh PiratesatCincinnati Reds53.7%0-0
1933-10-29New York GiantsatChicago Bears74.3%10-14
1933-10-29Chicago CardinalsatBrooklyn Dodgers52.6%0-7
1933-10-29Pittsburgh PiratesatBoston Redskinsshock79.2%16-14
1933-10-29Philadelphia EaglesatGreen Bay Packers89.2%9-35
1933-11-05Chicago BearsatBoston Redskinsshock26.4%0-10
1933-11-05Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals35.5%14-6
1933-11-05Philadelphia EaglesatCincinnati Reds55.5%6-0
1933-11-05Portsmouth SpartansatNew York Giants48.8%10-13
1933-11-05Pittsburgh PiratesatBrooklyn Dodgers72.4%3-3
1933-11-12Chicago BearsatPhiladelphia Eagles16.6%3-3
1933-11-12Cincinnati RedsatChicago Cardinalsshock80.3%12-9
1933-11-12Boston RedskinsatNew York Giants70.2%0-7
1933-11-12Green Bay PackersatPortsmouth Spartans59.4%0-7
1933-11-12Brooklyn DodgersatPittsburgh Pirates46.5%32-0
1933-11-19Chicago BearsatNew York Giants50.7%0-3
1933-11-19Brooklyn DodgersatChicago Cardinals51.1%3-0
1933-11-19Green Bay PackersatBoston Redskins41.8%7-20
1933-11-19Pittsburgh PiratesatPhiladelphia Eagles62.4%6-25
1933-11-19Portsmouth SpartansatCincinnati Redsshock14.8%7-10
1933-11-26Portsmouth SpartansatChicago Bears62.6%14-17
1933-11-26Boston RedskinsatBrooklyn Dodgers53.0%0-14
1933-11-26Cincinnati RedsatPhiladelphia Eagles66.0%3-20
1933-11-26Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants63.3%6-17
1933-11-30Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals24.3%22-6
1933-11-30New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers41.4%10-0
1933-12-03Chicago BearsatPortsmouth Spartans51.2%17-7
1933-12-03Boston RedskinsatChicago Cardinals42.5%0-0
1933-12-03Green Bay PackersatPhiladelphia Eagles32.7%10-0
1933-12-03Pittsburgh PiratesatNew York Giants92.0%3-27
1933-12-03Brooklyn DodgersatCincinnati Redsshock31.8%0-10
1933-12-10Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears73.5%6-7
1933-12-10New York GiantsatPhiladelphia Eagles21.2%20-14
1933-12-17New York GiantsatChicago Bears64.0%21-23

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.