The expectation ledger

The 1932 season, against expectation

Every game of 1932scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19311933→
Games
48
Model Brier
0.1581
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
23.5%
Boston Braves

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1932.

1
Boston Braves
Boston
5
exp 2.75
2
Chicago Bears
Chicago
10
exp 8.17
3
Portsmouth Spartans
Portsmouth
8
exp 6.61
4
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
10.5
exp 9.91
5
Staten Island Stapletons
New York
3.5
exp 4.64
6
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
3
exp 4.31
7
New York Giants
New York
5
exp 6.44
8
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
3
exp 5.18

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1932 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1932-09-18Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers73.5%7-15
1932-09-25Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers70.9%0-0
1932-09-25New York GiantsatPortsmouth Spartans56.2%0-7
1932-09-25Brooklyn DodgersatStaten Island Stapletonsshock69.8%7-0
1932-10-02Chicago BearsatStaten Island Stapletons40.9%0-0
1932-10-02Chicago CardinalsatPortsmouth Spartans67.3%7-7
1932-10-02Brooklyn DodgersatBoston Braves42.1%14-0
1932-10-02New York GiantsatGreen Bay Packers69.8%0-13
1932-10-09Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals53.3%0-0
1932-10-09New York GiantsatBoston Bravesshock23.5%6-14
1932-10-09Portsmouth SpartansatGreen Bay Packers70.6%10-15
1932-10-09Staten Island StapletonsatBrooklyn Dodgers59.5%7-6
1932-10-16Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears44.5%2-0
1932-10-16Chicago CardinalsatBoston Braves30.8%9-0
1932-10-16Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants69.4%12-20
1932-10-16Portsmouth SpartansatStaten Island Stapletons43.2%7-7
1932-10-20Portsmouth SpartansatStaten Island Stapletons43.8%13-6
1932-10-23Staten Island StapletonsatChicago Bears74.6%7-27
1932-10-23Boston BravesatNew York Giants83.9%0-0
1932-10-23Brooklyn DodgersatGreen Bay Packers86.4%0-13
1932-10-30Chicago BearsatBoston Braves24.8%7-7
1932-10-30Brooklyn DodgersatChicago Cardinals74.3%7-27
1932-10-30Portsmouth SpartansatNew York Giants50.1%6-0
1932-10-30Staten Island StapletonsatGreen Bay Packers87.0%0-26
1932-11-06Chicago BearsatNew York Giants49.5%28-8
1932-11-06Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals38.9%19-9
1932-11-06Staten Island StapletonsatBoston Braves46.1%6-19
1932-11-06Portsmouth SpartansatBrooklyn Dodgers31.9%17-7
1932-11-13Portsmouth SpartansatChicago Bears56.5%13-13
1932-11-13Chicago CardinalsatBrooklyn Dodgers38.8%0-3
1932-11-13Green Bay PackersatBoston Braves15.4%21-0
1932-11-13Staten Island StapletonsatNew York Giants69.8%7-27
1932-11-20Brooklyn DodgersatChicago Bears81.0%0-20
1932-11-20Chicago CardinalsatStaten Island Stapletonsshock38.4%7-21
1932-11-20Boston BravesatPortsmouth Spartans87.5%0-10
1932-11-20Green Bay PackersatNew York Giantsshock27.1%0-6
1932-11-24Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears74.6%0-34
1932-11-24New York GiantsatStaten Island Stapletons43.4%13-13
1932-11-24Green Bay PackersatBrooklyn Dodgers21.1%7-0
1932-11-27Chicago BearsatPortsmouth Spartans59.5%7-7
1932-11-27Boston BravesatChicago Cardinalsshock75.1%8-6
1932-11-27New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers41.5%13-7
1932-11-27Green Bay PackersatStaten Island Stapletons21.2%21-3
1932-12-04New York GiantsatChicago Bears71.5%0-6
1932-12-04Boston BravesatBrooklyn Dodgers61.5%7-0
1932-12-04Green Bay PackersatPortsmouth Spartans46.3%0-19
1932-12-11Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears53.1%0-9
1932-12-18Portsmouth SpartansatChicago Bears59.7%0-9

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.