The expectation ledger

The 1931 season, against expectation

Every game of 1931scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19301932→
Games
59
Model Brier
0.1688
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
14.1%
Frankford Yellow Jackets

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1931.

1
Portsmouth Spartans
Portsmouth
11
exp 8.22
2
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
12
exp 10.19
3
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
5
exp 4.05
4
Chicago Bears
Chicago
8
exp 7.76
5
Providence Steam Roller
Providence
5.5
exp 5.46
6
Cleveland Indians
Cleveland
2
exp 2.19
7
Staten Island Stapletons
New York
4.5
exp 4.97
8
Frankford Yellow Jackets
Philadelphia
1.5
exp 2.25
9
New York Giants
New York
7.5
exp 8.68
10
Brooklyn Dodgers
New York
2
exp 5.24

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1931 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1931-09-13Cleveland IndiansatGreen Bay Packers89.3%0-26
1931-09-13Brooklyn DodgersatPortsmouth Spartans54.6%0-14
1931-09-18Cleveland IndiansatChicago Bears87.7%0-21
1931-09-20Brooklyn DodgersatGreen Bay Packers78.6%6-32
1931-09-23Chicago CardinalsatPortsmouth Spartans51.9%3-13
1931-09-26Brooklyn DodgersatCleveland Indians38.3%0-6
1931-09-27Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers65.3%0-7
1931-09-27New York GiantsatProvidence Steam Roller36.4%14-6
1931-09-30New York GiantsatPortsmouth Spartans36.2%6-14
1931-10-02Brooklyn DodgersatFrankford Yellow Jackets59.7%20-0
1931-10-04New York GiantsatGreen Bay Packers61.3%7-27
1931-10-04Brooklyn DodgersatStaten Island Stapletons64.3%7-9
1931-10-04Frankford Yellow JacketsatProvidence Steam Roller69.9%0-0
1931-10-07Cleveland IndiansatPortsmouth Spartans82.4%0-6
1931-10-10Providence Steam RolleratFrankford Yellow Jackets49.4%6-0
1931-10-11New York GiantsatChicago Bears54.4%0-6
1931-10-11Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers79.1%7-26
1931-10-11Staten Island StapletonsatBrooklyn Dodgers51.9%6-18
1931-10-15Frankford Yellow JacketsatPortsmouth Spartans78.4%0-19
1931-10-18Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears72.2%13-26
1931-10-18Staten Island StapletonsatNew York Giants73.5%0-7
1931-10-18Cleveland IndiansatProvidence Steam Rollershock78.9%13-6
1931-10-18Portsmouth SpartansatBrooklyn Dodgers49.5%19-0
1931-10-18Frankford Yellow JacketsatGreen Bay Packers90.1%0-15
1931-10-25Frankford Yellow JacketsatChicago Bearsshock85.9%13-12
1931-10-25Brooklyn DodgersatNew York Giants78.0%0-27
1931-10-25Portsmouth SpartansatStaten Island Stapletons44.2%20-7
1931-10-25Providence Steam RolleratGreen Bay Packers85.3%20-48
1931-10-31Portsmouth SpartansatFrankford Yellow Jackets28.4%14-0
1931-11-01Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears44.7%6-2
1931-11-01Chicago CardinalsatBrooklyn Dodgers52.9%14-7
1931-11-01Portsmouth SpartansatNew York Giants59.7%0-14
1931-11-01Providence Steam RolleratStaten Island Stapletons60.5%7-7
1931-11-04Brooklyn DodgersatStaten Island Stapletons63.6%0-13
1931-11-08Portsmouth SpartansatChicago Bears57.5%6-9
1931-11-08Chicago CardinalsatCleveland Indians38.5%14-6
1931-11-08Frankford Yellow JacketsatNew York Giants87.9%0-13
1931-11-08Staten Island StapletonsatGreen Bay Packers85.8%0-26
1931-11-08Brooklyn DodgersatProvidence Steam Roller65.6%0-7
1931-11-11Staten Island StapletonsatPortsmouth Spartans75.0%12-14
1931-11-15Chicago BearsatNew York Giantsshock66.3%12-6
1931-11-15Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinalsshock31.5%13-21
1931-11-15Cleveland IndiansatPortsmouth Spartans85.7%6-14
1931-11-15Staten Island StapletonsatProvidence Steam Roller60.0%0-6
1931-11-21Cleveland IndiansatProvidence Steam Roller76.1%7-13
1931-11-22Chicago BearsatBrooklyn Dodgers27.0%26-0
1931-11-22Portsmouth SpartansatChicago Cardinals53.5%19-20
1931-11-22Green Bay PackersatNew York Giants49.3%14-10
1931-11-22Cleveland IndiansatStaten Island Stapletons73.1%7-16
1931-11-26Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears69.5%7-18
1931-11-26New York GiantsatStaten Island Stapletons37.4%6-9
1931-11-26Green Bay PackersatProvidence Steam Roller28.7%38-7
1931-11-28Cleveland IndiansatChicago Cardinals84.4%0-21
1931-11-29Chicago BearsatPortsmouth Spartans50.1%0-3
1931-11-29Providence Steam RolleratNew York Giants74.6%0-0
1931-11-29Green Bay PackersatBrooklyn Dodgers15.7%7-0
1931-12-06Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears46.3%6-7
1931-12-06New York GiantsatBrooklyn Dodgers29.5%19-6
1931-12-13New York GiantsatChicago Bearsshock66.4%25-6

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.