The expectation ledger

The 1927 season, against expectation

Every game of 1927scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19261928→
Games
72
Model Brier
0.2063
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
14.6%
Cleveland Bulldogs

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1927.

1
Cleveland Bulldogs
Cleveland
8.5
exp 4.77
2
New York Giants
New York
11.5
exp 8.53
3
New York Yankees
New York
7.5
exp 5.81
4
Providence Steam Roller
Providence
8.5
exp 6.91
5
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
7.5
exp 6.70
6
Chicago Bears
Chicago
10
exp 9.73
7
Dayton Triangles
Dayton
1.5
exp 2.17
8
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
3.5
exp 4.70
9
Pottsville Maroons
Pottsville
5
exp 6.71
10
Buffalo Bisons
Buffalo
0
exp 1.75
11
Duluth Eskimos
Duluth
1
exp 3.43
12
Frankford Yellow Jackets
Philadelphia
7.5
exp 10.80

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1927 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1927-09-18Dayton TrianglesatGreen Bay Packers77.7%0-14
1927-09-24Dayton TrianglesatFrankford Yellow Jacketsshock84.8%6-3
1927-09-25Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals41.2%9-0
1927-09-25Buffalo BisonsatPottsville Maroons75.6%0-22
1927-09-25New York GiantsatProvidence Steam Roller50.6%8-0
1927-09-25Cleveland BulldogsatGreen Bay Packers83.3%7-12
1927-10-02Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers50.8%7-6
1927-10-02Buffalo BisonsatProvidence Steam Roller58.4%0-5
1927-10-02Pottsville MaroonsatChicago Cardinals40.8%7-19
1927-10-02New York GiantsatCleveland Bulldogs32.8%0-0
1927-10-02New York YankeesatDayton Triangles67.6%6-3
1927-10-08Dayton TrianglesatFrankford Yellow Jackets82.0%0-0
1927-10-09New York GiantsatPottsville Maroons64.0%19-0
1927-10-09Dayton TrianglesatChicago Cardinals70.9%0-7
1927-10-09Duluth EskimosatGreen Bay Packers67.1%0-20
1927-10-09New York YankeesatCleveland Bulldogs55.7%13-7
1927-10-12New York YankeesatBuffalo Bisons62.5%19-8
1927-10-15Buffalo BisonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets82.0%0-54
1927-10-16New York YankeesatChicago Bears82.7%0-12
1927-10-16Frankford Yellow JacketsatBuffalo Bisons28.6%23-0
1927-10-16Pottsville MaroonsatProvidence Steam Roller47.8%6-3
1927-10-16Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers68.9%0-13
1927-10-16Cleveland BulldogsatNew York Giantsshock85.4%6-0
1927-10-22New York GiantsatFrankford Yellow Jackets70.5%13-0
1927-10-23Cleveland BulldogsatChicago Bears87.8%12-14
1927-10-23Duluth EskimosatPottsville Maroons66.2%27-0
1927-10-23Frankford Yellow JacketsatNew York Giants58.4%0-27
1927-10-23New York YankeesatGreen Bay Packers80.0%0-13
1927-10-23Dayton TrianglesatProvidence Steam Roller63.9%0-7
1927-10-29Providence Steam RolleratFrankford Yellow Jacketsshock72.7%20-7
1927-10-30Dayton TrianglesatChicago Bears87.0%6-14
1927-10-30Pottsville MaroonsatNew York Giants72.9%0-16
1927-10-30New York YankeesatChicago Cardinals69.8%7-6
1927-10-30Frankford Yellow JacketsatProvidence Steam Roller56.2%0-14
1927-10-30Duluth EskimosatCleveland Bulldogs35.6%20-21
1927-11-05Pottsville MaroonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets60.5%0-10
1927-11-06Providence Steam RolleratChicago Bears76.7%0-0
1927-11-06Frankford Yellow JacketsatPottsville Maroons52.8%0-9
1927-11-06Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals41.6%6-6
1927-11-06Duluth EskimosatNew York Giants70.9%0-21
1927-11-06New York YankeesatCleveland Bulldogs52.3%0-15
1927-11-08Chicago BearsatNew York Yankeesshock25.9%6-26
1927-11-08Providence Steam RolleratNew York Giants73.4%0-25
1927-11-11New York YankeesatPottsville Maroons63.9%19-12
1927-11-12Cleveland BulldogsatFrankford Yellow Jackets70.0%0-22
1927-11-13Pottsville MaroonsatChicago Bears76.8%12-30
1927-11-13Chicago CardinalsatNew York Yankees57.6%6-20
1927-11-13Dayton TrianglesatGreen Bay Packers84.3%0-6
1927-11-13Duluth EskimosatProvidence Steam Roller58.7%7-13
1927-11-13Frankford Yellow JacketsatCleveland Bulldogs42.5%0-37
1927-11-19Chicago CardinalsatFrankford Yellow Jackets58.4%8-12
1927-11-20Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears58.9%6-14
1927-11-20Duluth EskimosatPottsville Maroons52.0%0-6
1927-11-20Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants81.7%7-28
1927-11-20Cleveland BulldogsatProvidence Steam Roller71.2%22-0
1927-11-24Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bearsshock80.8%3-0
1927-11-24Providence Steam RolleratPottsville Maroons57.6%0-6
1927-11-24Green Bay PackersatFrankford Yellow Jackets41.8%17-9
1927-11-24Cleveland BulldogsatNew York Yankees62.4%30-19
1927-11-26Duluth EskimosatFrankford Yellow Jackets56.5%0-6
1927-11-27Chicago BearsatNew York Giants66.7%7-13
1927-11-27Cleveland BulldogsatChicago Cardinals53.5%32-7
1927-11-27New York YankeesatProvidence Steam Roller57.8%7-14
1927-12-03Chicago BearsatFrankford Yellow Jackets43.6%0-0
1927-12-03Providence Steam RolleratNew York Yankees55.9%9-0
1927-12-03Duluth EskimosatCleveland Bulldogs71.4%0-20
1927-12-04Frankford Yellow JacketsatChicago Bears71.6%0-9
1927-12-04Pottsville MaroonsatProvidence Steam Roller62.4%0-20
1927-12-04New York YankeesatNew York Giants85.8%0-14
1927-12-10New York YankeesatFrankford Yellow Jackets67.0%6-6
1927-12-11Duluth EskimosatChicago Bears78.7%14-27
1927-12-11New York GiantsatNew York Yankees24.4%13-0

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.