The expectation ledger

The 1926 season, against expectation

Every game of 1926scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19251927→
Games
116
Model Brier
0.1602
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
18.8%
Los Angeles Buccaneers

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1926.

1
Los Angeles Buccaneers
Los Angeles
6.5
exp 2.59
2
Kansas City Cowboys
Kansas City
8
exp 4.93
3
Frankford Yellow Jackets
Philadelphia
15
exp 11.96
4
Chicago Bears
Chicago
13.5
exp 10.87
5
New York Giants
New York
8.5
exp 7.30
6
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
8.5
exp 7.41
7
Duluth Eskimos
Duluth
7.5
exp 6.48
8
Pottsville Maroons
Pottsville
11
exp 10.28
9
Buffalo Rangers
Buffalo
5
exp 4.58
10
Dayton Triangles
Dayton
1.5
exp 2.01
11
Louisville Colonels
Louisville
0
exp 0.63
12
Brooklyn Lions
New York
3
exp 3.64
Show all 22 rows
13
Racine Tornadoes
Milwaukee
1
exp 1.92
14
Akron Indians
Cleveland
2.5
exp 3.57
15
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
5.5
exp 6.74
16
Providence Steam Roller
Providence
5.5
exp 6.90
17
Hammond Pros
Chicago
0
exp 1.42
18
Columbus Tigers
Columbus
1
exp 2.51
19
Milwaukee Badgers
Milwaukee
2
exp 3.52
20
Hartford Blues
Hartford
3
exp 4.58
21
Detroit Panthers
Detroit
5
exp 6.65
22
Canton Bulldogs
Cleveland
2.5
exp 5.50

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1926 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1926-09-19Chicago BearsatMilwaukee Badgers39.0%10-7
1926-09-19Columbus TigersatChicago Cardinals79.2%0-14
1926-09-19Kansas City CowboysatDuluth Eskimos63.8%0-7
1926-09-19Detroit PanthersatGreen Bay Packers65.6%0-21
1926-09-25Akron IndiansatFrankford Yellow Jackets66.0%6-6
1926-09-26Detroit PanthersatMilwaukee Badgers48.5%0-6
1926-09-26Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers59.2%6-6
1926-09-26Akron IndiansatBuffalo Rangers47.8%0-7
1926-09-26New York GiantsatHartford Blues50.9%21-0
1926-09-26Los Angeles BuccaneersatChicago Cardinals88.1%0-15
1926-09-26Columbus TigersatCanton Bulldogs69.5%14-2
1926-09-26Hammond ProsatRacine Tornadoes53.6%3-6
1926-09-26Brooklyn LionsatProvidence Steam Roller81.9%0-13
1926-10-02Hartford BluesatFrankford Yellow Jackets78.2%0-13
1926-10-03Los Angeles BuccaneersatMilwaukee Badgersshock75.2%6-0
1926-10-03Chicago BearsatDetroit Panthers43.5%10-7
1926-10-03Dayton TrianglesatBuffalo Rangers65.0%3-0
1926-10-03Frankford Yellow JacketsatHartford Blues34.3%10-0
1926-10-03Columbus TigersatPottsville Maroons80.6%0-3
1926-10-03Louisville ColonelsatCanton Bulldogs75.2%0-13
1926-10-03Racine TornadoesatChicago Cardinals79.7%0-20
1926-10-03New York GiantsatProvidence Steam Roller59.5%7-6
1926-10-03Hammond ProsatAkron Indians65.5%0-17
1926-10-03Duluth EskimosatGreen Bay Packers70.2%0-0
1926-10-09Buffalo RangersatFrankford Yellow Jackets76.9%0-30
1926-10-10Milwaukee BadgersatRacine Tornadoes61.3%13-2
1926-10-10New York GiantsatChicago Bears68.2%0-7
1926-10-10Hartford BluesatBrooklyn Lions50.0%0-6
1926-10-10Dayton TrianglesatPottsville Maroons82.4%6-24
1926-10-10Canton BulldogsatAkron Indians65.9%0-0
1926-10-10Chicago CardinalsatGreen Bay Packers53.1%13-7
1926-10-10Kansas City CowboysatDetroit Panthers63.3%0-10
1926-10-10Duluth EskimosatHammond Pros48.9%26-0
1926-10-10Columbus TigersatProvidence Steam Roller68.3%0-19
1926-10-16Pottsville MaroonsatBrooklyn Lions18.9%21-0
1926-10-16Kansas City CowboysatColumbus Tigers60.8%9-0
1926-10-16New York GiantsatFrankford Yellow Jackets69.7%0-6
1926-10-17Milwaukee BadgersatGreen Bay Packers73.7%0-7
1926-10-17Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals63.1%16-0
1926-10-17Buffalo RangersatDayton Triangles59.4%7-6
1926-10-17Los Angeles BuccaneersatCanton Bulldogsshock74.9%16-13
1926-10-17Brooklyn LionsatPottsville Maroons91.1%0-14
1926-10-17Louisville ColonelsatDetroit Panthers79.2%0-47
1926-10-17Frankford Yellow JacketsatNew York Giants44.7%6-0
1926-10-17Duluth EskimosatRacine Tornadoes38.9%21-0
1926-10-23Canton BulldogsatFrankford Yellow Jackets80.3%0-17
1926-10-23Columbus TigersatBrooklyn Lions47.1%12-20
1926-10-24Chicago CardinalsatMilwaukee Badgers35.1%3-2
1926-10-24Duluth EskimosatChicago Bears70.9%6-24
1926-10-24Los Angeles BuccaneersatBuffalo Rangers68.0%0-0
1926-10-24Brooklyn LionsatHartford Blues61.6%6-16
1926-10-24Pottsville MaroonsatProvidence Steam Roller40.9%0-14
1926-10-24Kansas City CowboysatNew York Giants65.1%0-13
1926-10-24Akron IndiansatDetroit Panthers57.3%0-25
1926-10-24Racine TornadoesatGreen Bay Packers81.7%0-35
1926-10-30Providence Steam RolleratFrankford Yellow Jackets68.5%7-6
1926-10-31Duluth EskimosatMilwaukee Badgers42.6%7-6
1926-10-31Akron IndiansatChicago Bears80.5%0-17
1926-10-31Buffalo RangersatPottsville Maroons82.2%0-14
1926-10-31Kansas City CowboysatHartford Blues51.3%7-2
1926-10-31Canton BulldogsatDetroit Panthers70.4%0-6
1926-10-31Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals63.4%3-0
1926-10-31Frankford Yellow JacketsatProvidence Steam Roller52.1%6-3
1926-11-02Canton BulldogsatNew York Giants69.9%7-7
1926-11-06Chicago CardinalsatFrankford Yellow Jackets66.4%7-33
1926-11-07Green Bay PackersatMilwaukee Badgers34.8%21-0
1926-11-07Louisville ColonelsatChicago Bears92.6%0-34
1926-11-07Columbus TigersatBuffalo Rangers65.1%0-26
1926-11-07Canton BulldogsatHartford Blues48.1%7-16
1926-11-07Los Angeles BuccaneersatProvidence Steam Rollershock81.2%7-6
1926-11-07Akron IndiansatPottsville Maroons79.0%0-34
1926-11-07Chicago CardinalsatNew York Giants50.0%0-20
1926-11-07Kansas City CowboysatBrooklyn Lions41.2%10-9
1926-11-07Duluth EskimosatDetroit Panthers57.2%0-0
1926-11-11Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears76.7%0-10
1926-11-11Los Angeles BuccaneersatPottsville Maroons87.0%0-10
1926-11-11Canton BulldogsatProvidence Steam Roller76.6%2-21
1926-11-11Duluth EskimosatNew York Giants56.7%13-14
1926-11-13Duluth EskimosatFrankford Yellow Jackets74.1%0-10
1926-11-14Milwaukee BadgersatChicago Bears88.5%7-10
1926-11-14Buffalo RangersatHartford Blues50.3%13-7
1926-11-14Los Angeles BuccaneersatNew York Giantsshock78.3%6-0
1926-11-14Duluth EskimosatPottsville Maroons74.8%0-13
1926-11-14Canton BulldogsatBrooklyn Lions47.8%0-19
1926-11-14Louisville ColonelsatGreen Bay Packers90.1%0-14
1926-11-14Kansas City CowboysatProvidence Steam Rollershock73.1%22-0
1926-11-14Dayton TrianglesatDetroit Panthers73.7%0-0
1926-11-20Dayton TrianglesatFrankford Yellow Jackets85.9%0-35
1926-11-21Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears68.8%13-19
1926-11-21Kansas City CowboysatBuffalo Rangers53.3%2-0
1926-11-21Dayton TrianglesatHartford Blues51.2%0-16
1926-11-21Los Angeles BuccaneersatBrooklyn Lions49.6%20-0
1926-11-21Hammond ProsatPottsville Maroons87.4%0-7
1926-11-21Duluth EskimosatCanton Bulldogs37.1%10-2
1926-11-21Providence Steam RolleratNew York Giants58.1%0-21
1926-11-25Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears80.1%0-0
1926-11-25Los Angeles BuccaneersatDetroit Panthers69.7%9-6
1926-11-25Providence Steam RolleratPottsville Maroons81.0%0-8
1926-11-25Akron IndiansatCanton Bulldogs43.5%0-0
1926-11-25New York GiantsatBrooklyn Lions29.9%17-0
1926-11-25Green Bay PackersatFrankford Yellow Jackets69.1%14-20
1926-11-27Duluth EskimosatHartford Blues38.0%16-0
1926-11-27Detroit PanthersatFrankford Yellow Jackets81.3%6-7
1926-11-28Canton BulldogsatChicago Bears91.3%0-35
1926-11-28Pottsville MaroonsatBuffalo Rangers27.7%0-0
1926-11-28Kansas City CowboysatChicago Cardinals62.1%7-2
1926-11-28Brooklyn LionsatNew York Giants85.7%0-27
1926-11-28Green Bay PackersatDetroit Panthers45.7%7-0
1926-11-28Duluth EskimosatProvidence Steam Roller48.2%0-0
1926-12-04Chicago BearsatFrankford Yellow Jackets58.8%6-7
1926-12-05Los Angeles BuccaneersatKansas City Cowboys68.8%3-7
1926-12-11Providence Steam RolleratFrankford Yellow Jackets84.1%0-24
1926-12-12Pottsville MaroonsatChicago Bears62.0%7-9
1926-12-12Duluth EskimosatKansas City Cowboys58.0%7-12
1926-12-18Pottsville MaroonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets67.7%0-0
1926-12-19Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears70.7%3-3

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.