The expectation ledger

The 1925 season, against expectation

Every game of 1925scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19241926→
Games
104
Model Brier
0.1734
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
17.8%
Cleveland Bulldogs

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1925.

1
Detroit Panthers
Detroit
9
exp 5.13
2
New York Giants
New York
8
exp 4.62
3
Pottsville Maroons
Pottsville
10
exp 7.22
4
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
11.5
exp 9.24
5
Akron Pros
Cleveland
5
exp 3.95
6
Rock Island Independents
Moline
6.5
exp 5.91
7
Kansas City Blues
Kansas City
2.5
exp 2.09
8
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
8
exp 7.69
9
Frankford Yellow Jackets
Philadelphia
13
exp 13.03
10
Providence Steam Roller
Providence
6.5
exp 6.82
11
Hammond Pros
Chicago
1
exp 1.59
12
Canton Bulldogs
Cleveland
4
exp 4.61
Show all 20 rows
13
Chicago Bears
Chicago
10.5
exp 11.34
14
Cleveland Bulldogs
Cleveland
5.5
exp 6.65
15
Rochester Jeffersons
Rochester
0.5
exp 1.72
16
Duluth Kelleys
Duluth
0
exp 1.57
17
Dayton Triangles
Dayton
0.5
exp 2.18
18
Buffalo Bisons
Buffalo
2
exp 3.72
19
Milwaukee Badgers
Milwaukee
0
exp 1.85
20
Columbus Tigers
Columbus
0
exp 3.09

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1925 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1925-09-20Chicago BearsatRock Island Independents45.2%0-0
1925-09-20Hammond ProsatGreen Bay Packers71.2%0-14
1925-09-26Buffalo BisonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets73.6%7-27
1925-09-27Chicago BearsatGreen Bay Packers53.9%10-14
1925-09-27Buffalo BisonsatPottsville Maroons64.1%0-28
1925-09-27Rochester JeffersonsatCanton Bulldogs76.0%7-14
1925-09-27Hammond ProsatChicago Cardinals66.8%10-6
1925-09-27Kansas City BluesatDuluth Kelleysshock75.6%3-0
1925-09-27Dayton TrianglesatRock Island Independents70.4%0-0
1925-09-27Cleveland BulldogsatAkron Pros45.2%0-7
1925-09-27Columbus TigersatDetroit Panthers32.3%0-7
1925-10-03Providence Steam RolleratFrankford Yellow Jackets70.4%0-7
1925-10-04Milwaukee BadgersatChicago Cardinals59.5%0-34
1925-10-04Chicago BearsatDetroit Panthers24.6%0-0
1925-10-04Rochester JeffersonsatBuffalo Bisons67.5%0-0
1925-10-04Providence Steam RolleratPottsville Maroons61.0%6-0
1925-10-04Dayton TrianglesatCanton Bulldogs69.9%0-14
1925-10-04Kansas City BluesatAkron Pros68.0%7-14
1925-10-04Green Bay PackersatRock Island Independents48.1%0-3
1925-10-04Columbus TigersatCleveland Bulldogs65.8%0-3
1925-10-10Canton BulldogsatFrankford Yellow Jackets68.5%7-12
1925-10-11Milwaukee BadgersatGreen Bay Packers74.1%0-31
1925-10-11Hammond ProsatChicago Bears73.7%7-28
1925-10-11Akron ProsatBuffalo Bisons50.8%0-0
1925-10-11Canton BulldogsatPottsville Maroons53.7%0-28
1925-10-11Columbus TigersatChicago Cardinals66.2%9-19
1925-10-11Kansas City BluesatCleveland Bulldogs76.5%13-16
1925-10-11New York GiantsatProvidence Steam Roller83.2%0-14
1925-10-11Rock Island IndependentsatDuluth Kelleys53.9%12-0
1925-10-11Frankford Yellow JacketsatDetroit Panthersshock23.5%0-3
1925-10-17New York GiantsatFrankford Yellow Jackets88.6%3-5
1925-10-18Cleveland BulldogsatChicago Bears68.5%0-7
1925-10-18Columbus TigersatBuffalo Bisons55.6%6-17
1925-10-18Pottsville MaroonsatProvidence Steam Roller61.1%34-0
1925-10-18Akron ProsatCanton Bulldogs60.9%20-3
1925-10-18Kansas City BluesatChicago Cardinals77.2%7-20
1925-10-18Frankford Yellow JacketsatNew York Giants20.9%14-0
1925-10-18Rock Island IndependentsatGreen Bay Packers64.4%0-20
1925-10-18Dayton TrianglesatDetroit Panthers51.7%0-6
1925-10-24Dayton TrianglesatFrankford Yellow Jackets82.2%0-3
1925-10-25Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals48.4%0-9
1925-10-25Kansas City BluesatRock Island Independents78.5%3-3
1925-10-25Akron ProsatDetroit Panthers40.8%0-0
1925-10-25Rochester JeffersonsatGreen Bay Packers85.4%13-33
1925-10-31Columbus TigersatFrankford Yellow Jackets80.6%0-19
1925-11-01Green Bay PackersatMilwaukee Badgers34.1%6-0
1925-11-01Rock Island IndependentsatChicago Bears68.5%0-6
1925-11-01Frankford Yellow JacketsatBuffalo Bisons34.6%12-3
1925-11-01Columbus TigersatPottsville Maroons77.0%0-20
1925-11-01Duluth KelleysatChicago Cardinals72.8%6-10
1925-11-01Cleveland BulldogsatNew York Giants27.3%0-19
1925-11-01Dayton TrianglesatAkron Pros73.9%3-17
1925-11-01Rochester JeffersonsatProvidence Steam Roller74.5%0-17
1925-11-01Hammond ProsatDetroit Panthers49.2%6-26
1925-11-03Buffalo BisonsatNew York Giants45.9%0-7
1925-11-07Akron ProsatFrankford Yellow Jackets72.8%7-17
1925-11-08Milwaukee BadgersatDetroit Panthers58.4%0-21
1925-11-08Frankford Yellow JacketsatChicago Bears53.4%0-19
1925-11-08Buffalo BisonsatProvidence Steam Roller71.2%0-10
1925-11-08Akron ProsatPottsville Maroons66.9%0-21
1925-11-08Cleveland BulldogsatCanton Bulldogs56.5%0-6
1925-11-08Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals50.8%6-9
1925-11-08Columbus TigersatNew York Giants52.9%0-19
1925-11-11Rochester JeffersonsatNew York Giants64.2%0-13
1925-11-11Cleveland BulldogsatDetroit Panthers57.5%13-22
1925-11-14Pottsville MaroonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets62.8%0-20
1925-11-15Detroit PanthersatChicago Bears79.2%0-14
1925-11-15Buffalo BisonsatChicago Cardinals81.7%6-23
1925-11-15Rochester JeffersonsatPottsville Maroons85.2%6-14
1925-11-15Kansas City BluesatRock Island Independents75.5%12-35
1925-11-15Providence Steam RolleratNew York Giants44.0%12-13
1925-11-15Dayton TrianglesatGreen Bay Packers84.7%0-7
1925-11-21Cleveland BulldogsatFrankford Yellow Jacketsshock82.2%14-0
1925-11-22Milwaukee BadgersatRock Island Independents74.8%7-40
1925-11-22Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears61.8%0-21
1925-11-22Cleveland BulldogsatPottsville Maroons70.4%6-24
1925-11-22Columbus TigersatCanton Bulldogs71.9%0-6
1925-11-22Dayton TrianglesatChicago Cardinals83.4%0-14
1925-11-22Kansas City BluesatNew York Giants65.3%3-9
1925-11-22Rochester JeffersonsatDetroit Panthers75.5%0-20
1925-11-22Frankford Yellow JacketsatProvidence Steam Roller46.8%7-20
1925-11-26Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears67.5%0-0
1925-11-26Green Bay PackersatPottsville Maroons58.0%0-31
1925-11-26Kansas City BluesatCleveland Bulldogsshock74.4%17-0
1925-11-26Rock Island IndependentsatDetroit Panthers48.8%6-3
1925-11-28Green Bay PackersatFrankford Yellow Jackets57.6%7-13
1925-11-29Columbus TigersatChicago Bears88.9%13-14
1925-11-29Frankford Yellow JacketsatPottsville Maroons65.1%0-49
1925-11-29Rock Island IndependentsatChicago Cardinals66.4%0-7
1925-11-29Dayton TrianglesatNew York Giants66.2%0-23
1925-11-29Cleveland BulldogsatProvidence Steam Roller72.5%7-7
1925-12-05Chicago BearsatFrankford Yellow Jackets43.5%14-7
1925-12-06Chicago BearsatNew York Giants28.2%19-7
1925-12-06Pottsville MaroonsatChicago Cardinals55.8%21-7
1925-12-06Canton BulldogsatCleveland Bulldogs52.3%0-6
1925-12-06Green Bay PackersatProvidence Steam Roller54.5%13-10
1925-12-09Chicago BearsatProvidence Steam Roller34.4%6-9
1925-12-10Milwaukee BadgersatChicago Cardinals82.6%0-59
1925-12-12Chicago BearsatDetroit Panthers30.2%0-21
1925-12-12Hammond ProsatChicago Cardinals79.9%0-13
1925-12-12Cleveland BulldogsatFrankford Yellow Jackets70.8%3-0
1925-12-13New York GiantsatChicago Bearsshock81.2%9-0
1925-12-13Frankford Yellow JacketsatProvidence Steam Roller59.4%14-6
1925-12-20Frankford Yellow JacketsatCleveland Bulldogs47.0%13-7

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.