The expectation ledger

The 1924 season, against expectation

Every game of 1924scored against the chance it was given beforehand: the same axis that runs from 1920 to this weekend's picks.

← 19231925→
Games
80
Model Brier
0.1704
Market Brier
—
no usable spreads this season
Longest odds beaten
20.9%
Hammond Pros

Teams against expectation

Expected wins are the pre-game probabilities of each team's own games added up; teams are printed under the name they carried in 1924.

1
Frankford Yellow Jackets
Philadelphia
11.5
exp 8.32
2
Cleveland Bulldogs
Cleveland
7.5
exp 4.99
3
Duluth Kelleys
Duluth
5
exp 2.71
4
Racine Legion
Milwaukee
5.5
exp 4.64
5
Rock Island Independents
Moline
6
exp 5.40
6
Chicago Bears
Chicago
8
exp 7.43
7
Hammond Pros
Chicago
2.5
exp 1.93
8
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
7
exp 6.69
9
Columbus Tigers
Columbus
4
exp 3.83
10
Kansas City Blues
Kansas City
2
exp 2.09
11
Kenosha Maroons
Chicago
0.5
exp 1.18
12
Chicago Cardinals
Chicago
5.5
exp 6.47
Show all 18 rows
13
Dayton Triangles
Dayton
2
exp 3.02
14
Akron Pros
Cleveland
2
exp 3.14
15
Buffalo Bisons
Buffalo
6
exp 7.34
16
Milwaukee Badgers
Milwaukee
5
exp 6.42
17
Minneapolis Marines
Minneapolis
0
exp 2.06
18
Rochester Jeffersons
Rochester
0
exp 2.36

The game log

Chance is the home side's pre-game win probability. The five results that beat the longest odds of 1924 are marked. A score opens the box score on Pro-Football-Reference; neutral-site games and clubs no longer in the league carry none.

DateGameHome chanceScore
1924-09-27Rochester JeffersonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets59.1%0-21
1924-09-28Milwaukee BadgersatChicago Cardinals61.8%7-17
1924-09-28Chicago BearsatRock Island Independents44.6%0-0
1924-09-28Green Bay PackersatDuluth Kelleys42.0%3-6
1924-09-28Hammond ProsatRacine Legion66.8%0-10
1924-10-04Kenosha MaroonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets76.3%6-31
1924-10-05Kansas City BluesatMilwaukee Badgers82.3%0-3
1924-10-05Chicago BearsatCleveland Bulldogs33.1%14-16
1924-10-05Columbus TigersatBuffalo Bisons68.1%0-13
1924-10-05Green Bay PackersatChicago Cardinals64.2%0-3
1924-10-05Racine LegionatRock Island Independents59.7%0-9
1924-10-05Akron ProsatRochester Jeffersons48.0%3-0
1924-10-05Duluth KelleysatMinneapolis Marines60.6%3-0
1924-10-05Frankford Yellow JacketsatDayton Triangles59.0%7-19
1924-10-11Cleveland BulldogsatFrankford Yellow Jackets59.3%3-3
1924-10-12Kenosha MaroonsatMilwaukee Badgers83.8%0-21
1924-10-12Racine LegionatChicago Bears72.7%10-10
1924-10-12Dayton TrianglesatBuffalo Bisonsshock70.1%7-0
1924-10-12Minneapolis MarinesatChicago Cardinals76.6%0-13
1924-10-12Kansas City BluesatGreen Bay Packers83.3%0-16
1924-10-12Hammond ProsatRock Island Independents73.1%0-26
1924-10-12Akron ProsatCleveland Bulldogs52.4%14-29
1924-10-12Columbus TigersatRochester Jeffersons48.1%15-7
1924-10-18Columbus TigersatFrankford Yellow Jackets52.5%7-23
1924-10-19Milwaukee BadgersatGreen Bay Packers59.7%0-17
1924-10-19Chicago CardinalsatChicago Bears59.9%0-6
1924-10-19Rochester JeffersonsatBuffalo Bisons79.1%0-26
1924-10-19Kansas City BluesatRacine Legion82.3%3-13
1924-10-19Dayton TrianglesatRock Island Independents64.1%0-20
1924-10-19Hammond ProsatKenosha Maroons42.1%6-6
1924-10-26Racine LegionatMilwaukee Badgers58.6%10-0
1924-10-26Frankford Yellow JacketsatChicago Bears76.5%3-33
1924-10-26Akron ProsatBuffalo Bisons69.6%13-17
1924-10-26Hammond ProsatChicago Cardinalsshock79.1%6-3
1924-10-26Rock Island IndependentsatKansas City Bluesshock22.5%7-23
1924-10-26Rochester JeffersonsatCleveland Bulldogs74.0%0-59
1924-10-26Kenosha MaroonsatDuluth Kelleys79.4%0-32
1924-10-26Minneapolis MarinesatGreen Bay Packers75.3%0-19
1924-10-26Columbus TigersatDayton Triangles63.5%17-6
1924-11-01Akron ProsatFrankford Yellow Jackets58.4%0-23
1924-11-02Milwaukee BadgersatChicago Cardinals68.9%17-8
1924-11-02Rock Island IndependentsatChicago Bears72.1%3-3
1924-11-02Frankford Yellow JacketsatBuffalo Bisons69.5%24-0
1924-11-02Hammond ProsatKansas City Blues46.3%6-0
1924-11-02Akron ProsatColumbus Tigers67.4%0-30
1924-11-02Racine LegionatGreen Bay Packers63.2%3-6
1924-11-02Duluth KelleysatMinneapolis Marines50.3%6-0
1924-11-02Dayton TrianglesatCleveland Bulldogs63.6%0-35
1924-11-08Kansas City BluesatFrankford Yellow Jackets82.5%7-42
1924-11-09Minneapolis MarinesatMilwaukee Badgers74.2%7-28
1924-11-09Columbus TigersatChicago Bears72.1%6-12
1924-11-09Kenosha MaroonsatBuffalo Bisons84.6%0-27
1924-11-09Dayton TrianglesatChicago Cardinals69.7%0-23
1924-11-09Rock Island IndependentsatRacine Legion59.1%6-3
1924-11-09Cleveland BulldogsatAkron Pros44.3%20-7
1924-11-09Duluth KelleysatGreen Bay Packers70.1%0-13
1924-11-11Milwaukee BadgersatKansas City Bluesshock29.9%3-7
1924-11-15Minneapolis MarinesatFrankford Yellow Jackets78.6%7-39
1924-11-16Green Bay PackersatMilwaukee Badgers46.2%17-10
1924-11-16Racine LegionatChicago Bears73.8%3-3
1924-11-16Dayton TrianglesatBuffalo Bisons72.2%6-14
1924-11-16Akron ProsatChicago Cardinals76.8%0-13
1924-11-16Kansas City BluesatRock Island Independents83.0%0-17
1924-11-16Rochester JeffersonsatColumbus Tigers79.4%0-16
1924-11-16Frankford Yellow JacketsatCleveland Bulldogs57.7%12-7
1924-11-22Milwaukee BadgersatFrankford Yellow Jackets71.2%6-21
1924-11-22Buffalo BisonsatRochester Jeffersons31.1%16-0
1924-11-23Milwaukee BadgersatBuffalo Bisonsshock69.7%23-0
1924-11-23Green Bay PackersatChicago Bears60.5%0-3
1924-11-23Racine LegionatChicago Cardinals62.8%10-10
1924-11-23Duluth KelleysatRock Island Independents69.3%9-0
1924-11-23Columbus TigersatCleveland Bulldogs59.6%0-7
1924-11-27Milwaukee BadgersatCleveland Bulldogs62.3%10-53
1924-11-27Chicago BearsatChicago Cardinals46.5%21-0
1924-11-27Buffalo BisonsatAkron Pros42.1%0-22
1924-11-27Green Bay PackersatKansas City Blues23.2%17-6
1924-11-27Dayton TrianglesatFrankford Yellow Jackets80.5%7-32
1924-11-29Buffalo BisonsatFrankford Yellow Jackets76.3%7-45
1924-11-30Milwaukee BadgersatChicago Bears79.7%14-31
1924-11-30Green Bay PackersatRacine Legion46.7%0-7

Back to the full century, or score yourself on the same axis in Citizen of Nowhere Picks.