Motorsport · Formula 1
Formula 1
The Drivers’ and Constructors’ World Championships since 1950, seen through the metros that host them. Live standings, the full roll of champions, all-time win leaders, and a host-metro league table linking every Grand Prix venue back to its city.
2026 Standings
● LIVEafter round 19Title odds
Each driver's and constructor's chance of the title: the season so far, run over the 4 races left.
How this is measured
Our odds against the market
The title odds above beside Polymarket's prices for the same question, frozen and scored at the finale.
Who wins the 2026 Formula 1 drivers' championship?
Locks 1 Nov 2026 · Resolves 6 Dec 2026
| Outcome | Ours | Market |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 100% | >99% |
| George Russell | 0% | <1% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | <1% |
Market: Polymarket prices, 30 Oct 2026, overround removed. For comparison only, not betting advice.
Who wins the 2026 Formula 1 constructors' championship?
Locks 1 Nov 2026 · Resolves 6 Dec 2026
| Outcome | Ours | Market |
|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 100% | >99% |
| Ferrari | 0% | <1% |
Market: Polymarket prices, 30 Oct 2026, overround removed. For comparison only, not betting advice.
How these forecasts workv1.0
Re-run from half way through every season 2010-2025, using only what was known then, the model gave the eventual drivers' champion 59% on average and its favourite won 9 of 16; from three quarters of the way, 79% and 13 of 16. Log loss 1.038 and 0.449, against 3.085 and 1.41 for an even split over the drivers still in contention. Constructors: the champion averaged 89%. It runs overconfident when a season turns late, because it has no car development: 2010 (after round 10 of 19), 2010 (after round 14 of 19), 2012 (after round 10 of 20) gave the eventual champion under 5%.
Every forecast is frozen when it locks and scored against the result. Resolution rules: The driver who tops the FIA drivers' standings at the end of the season. Resolves on the official classification after round 23 (the season finale); a title clinched earlier resolves then. The constructor that tops the FIA constructors' standings at the end of the season. Resolves on the official classification after round 23 (the season finale); a title clinched earlier resolves then.
Not forecast, and why
- Race-by-race winner odds: The model has no track or qualifying effects, so a single race is not a forecast it can stand behind.
This Season (2026)
Host Metros
Every metro that has staged a World Championship Grand Prix, ranked by races held. The view F1 rarely takes: the sport as a map of cities.
World Champions
Most Drivers’ Titles
- Lewis Hamilton7
- Michael Schumacher7
- Juan Fangio5
- Alain Prost4
- Max Verstappen4
- Sebastian Vettel4
- Ayrton Senna3
- Jack Brabham3
Most Constructors’ Titles
All-Time Wins
Constructors are counted as continuous organisations, so Team Lotus’s wins are added up rather than split across the four chassis names the archive files them under, and the Brackley team’s run from Tyrrell through Brawn to Mercedes is one row. Every name links to its team page. See all 78 teams, and where they build their cars.
About this hub
Results and championships run from 1950 to the current season. Historical data derives from the Ergast archive; the current season refreshes from the Jolpica-F1 API the day after each Grand Prix, with live standings pulled from ESPN. Every race is mapped to its host metro, so circuits link through to their city pages. Race wins are counted from official classifications; constructors’ titles begin in 1958.