Motorsport · Formula 1

Formula 1

The Drivers’ and Constructors’ World Championships since 1950, seen through the metros that host them. Live standings, the full roll of champions, all-time win leaders, and a host-metro league table linking every Grand Prix venue back to its city.

1950–20261,168 races70 host metros78 circuits

2026 Standings

● LIVEafter round 19
1Andrea Kimi Antonelli
380 pts
2Max Verstappen
261 pts
3Lewis Hamilton
259 pts
4George Russell
250 pts
5Charles Leclerc
245 pts
6Lando Norris
221 pts
7Oscar Piastri
150 pts
8Isack Hadjar
105 pts
9Liam Lawson
79 pts
10Pierre Gasly
43 pts
11Arvid Lindblad
38 pts
12Franco Colapinto
31 pts

Title odds

Each driver's and constructor's chance of the title: the season so far, run over the 4 races left.

How this is measured
Each driver's strength is his race points per race this season, weighted 0.9 per round toward the latest, with a retirement rate shrunk toward the grid's. Every remaining race is drawn as strength plus standard normal noise, retirements removed, the field ranked and the F1 points table paid (sprint table on sprint weekends). The noise scale is fitted so the simulation reproduces each driver's points per race so far. 10,000 runs; the share of runs a driver or constructor finishes top is the odds. A lead the calendar cannot overturn is clinched; a gap it cannot close is eliminated. No car development, track effects or driver changes. Simulated after round 19 of 23; next, the Brazilian Grand Prix. A driver still has 100 points to race for, a constructor 200. Source: Jolpica (Ergast API); generated 2026-11-02.
1
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Mercedes · 380 pts · proj. 453
clinched
title
2
Max Verstappen
Red Bull · 261 pts · proj. 317
out
title
3
Lewis Hamilton
Ferrari · 259 pts · proj. 309
out
title
4
George Russell
Mercedes · 250 pts · proj. 288
out
title
5
Charles Leclerc
Ferrari · 245 pts · proj. 291
out
title
6
Lando Norris
McLaren · 221 pts · proj. 258
out
title
7
Oscar Piastri
McLaren · 150 pts · proj. 175
out
title
8
Isack Hadjar
Red Bull · 105 pts · proj. 129
out
title
9
Liam Lawson
RB F1 Team · 79 pts · proj. 95
out
title
10
Pierre Gasly
Alpine F1 Team · 43 pts · proj. 50
out
title
1
Andrea Kimi Antonelli · George Russell · 630 pts
>99%
title
2
Charles Leclerc · Lewis Hamilton · 504 pts
0%
title
3
Isack Hadjar · Max Verstappen · 380 pts
out
title
4
Lando Norris · Oscar Piastri · 371 pts
out
title
5
Arvid Lindblad · Liam Lawson · Yuki Tsunoda · 104 pts
out
title
6
Franco Colapinto · Pierre Gasly · 74 pts
out
title
7
Esteban Ocon · Oliver Bearman · Ryo Hirakawa · 30 pts
out
title
8
Gabriel Bortoleto · Nico Hülkenberg · 23 pts
out
title
9
Alexander Albon · Carlos Sainz · 12 pts
out
title
10
Fernando Alonso · Lance Stroll · 7 pts
out
title

Our odds against the market

The title odds above beside Polymarket's prices for the same question, frozen and scored at the finale.

Who wins the 2026 Formula 1 drivers' championship?

Locks 1 Nov 2026 · Resolves 6 Dec 2026

OutcomeOursMarket
Andrea Kimi Antonelli100%>99%
George Russell0%<1%
Lewis Hamilton0%<1%

Market: Polymarket prices, 30 Oct 2026, overround removed. For comparison only, not betting advice.

Who wins the 2026 Formula 1 constructors' championship?

Locks 1 Nov 2026 · Resolves 6 Dec 2026

OutcomeOursMarket
Mercedes100%>99%
Ferrari0%<1%

Market: Polymarket prices, 30 Oct 2026, overround removed. For comparison only, not betting advice.

How these forecasts workv1.0

Re-run from half way through every season 2010-2025, using only what was known then, the model gave the eventual drivers' champion 59% on average and its favourite won 9 of 16; from three quarters of the way, 79% and 13 of 16. Log loss 1.038 and 0.449, against 3.085 and 1.41 for an even split over the drivers still in contention. Constructors: the champion averaged 89%. It runs overconfident when a season turns late, because it has no car development: 2010 (after round 10 of 19), 2010 (after round 14 of 19), 2012 (after round 10 of 20) gave the eventual champion under 5%.

Every forecast is frozen when it locks and scored against the result. Resolution rules: The driver who tops the FIA drivers' standings at the end of the season. Resolves on the official classification after round 23 (the season finale); a title clinched earlier resolves then. The constructor that tops the FIA constructors' standings at the end of the season. Resolves on the official classification after round 23 (the season finale); a title clinched earlier resolves then.

Not forecast, and why

  • Race-by-race winner odds: The model has no track or qualifying effects, so a single race is not a forecast it can stand behind.

This Season (2026)

Rd 1
Circuit
Albert Park Grand Prix Circuit
Winner
George Russell
Rd 2
Circuit
Shanghai International Circuit
Winner
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Rd 3
Circuit
Suzuka Circuit
Metro
Winner
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Rd 4
Circuit
Miami International Autodrome
Metro
Winner
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Rd 5
Circuit
Circuit Gilles Villeneuve
Winner
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Rd 6
Circuit
Circuit de Monaco
Metro
Winner
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Rd 7
Circuit
Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya
Winner
Lewis Hamilton
Rd 8
Circuit
Red Bull Ring
Metro
Winner
George Russell
Rd 9
Circuit
Silverstone Circuit
Winner
Charles Leclerc
Rd 10
Circuit
Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps
Metro
Winner
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Rd 11
Circuit
Hungaroring
Winner
Lando Norris
Rd 12
Circuit
Circuit Park Zandvoort
Winner
Lando Norris

Host Metros

Every metro that has staged a World Championship Grand Prix, ranked by races held. The view F1 rarely takes: the sport as a map of cities.

1
Italy · 2 circuits · 1950–2026
76 races
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (2026)
2
Monaco · 1 circuit · 1950–2026
72 races
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (2026)
3
UK · 1 circuit · 1950–2026
61 races
Charles Leclerc (2026)
4
Belgium · 1 circuit · 1950–2026
59 races
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (2026)
5
Canada · 3 circuits · 1968–2026
47 races
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (2026)
6
Germany · 2 circuits · 1951–2020
42 races
Lewis Hamilton (2020)
7
Spain · 4 circuits · 1951–2026
42 races
Lewis Hamilton (2026)
8
Brazil · 1 circuit · 1973–2025
42 races
Lando Norris (2025)
9
Hungary · 1 circuit · 1986–2026
41 races
Lando Norris (2026)
10
Austria · 4 circuits · 1964–2026
41 races
George Russell (2026)
11
Netherlands · 2 circuits · 1952–2026
36 races
Lando Norris (2026)
12
Germany · 1 circuit · 1970–2019
36 races
Max Verstappen (2019)

World Champions

2025
Lando Norris · British
2024
Max Verstappen · Dutch
2023
Max Verstappen · Dutch
2022
Max Verstappen · Dutch
2021
Max Verstappen · Dutch
2020
Lewis Hamilton · British
2019
Lewis Hamilton · British
2018
Lewis Hamilton · British
2017
Lewis Hamilton · British
2016
Nico Rosberg · German
2015
Lewis Hamilton · British
2014
Lewis Hamilton · British

Most Drivers’ Titles

  • Lewis Hamilton7
  • Michael Schumacher7
  • Juan Fangio5
  • Alain Prost4
  • Max Verstappen4
  • Sebastian Vettel4
  • Ayrton Senna3
  • Jack Brabham3

Most Constructors’ Titles

All-Time Wins

Constructors are counted as continuous organisations, so Team Lotus’s wins are added up rather than split across the four chassis names the archive files them under, and the Brackley team’s run from Tyrrell through Brawn to Mercedes is one row. Every name links to its team page. See all 78 teams, and where they build their cars.

1Lewis Hamilton
106 wins
2Michael Schumacher
91 wins
3Max Verstappen
74 wins
4Sebastian Vettel
53 wins
5Alain Prost
51 wins
6Ayrton Senna
41 wins
7Fernando Alonso
32 wins
8Nigel Mansell
31 wins
9Jackie Stewart
27 wins
10Jim Clark
25 wins
11Niki Lauda
25 wins
12Nelson Piquet
23 wins
250 wins
204 wins
162 wins
114 wins
79 wins
35 wins
17 wins
9 wins

About this hub

Results and championships run from 1950 to the current season. Historical data derives from the Ergast archive; the current season refreshes from the Jolpica-F1 API the day after each Grand Prix, with live standings pulled from ESPN. Every race is mapped to its host metro, so circuits link through to their city pages. Race wins are counted from official classifications; constructors’ titles begin in 1958.