Season titles · resolves 30 Jun 2028
Who will win the 2028 OFC Nations Cup?
5%Papua New Guinea's chance
- New Zealand48%
- New Caledonia19%
- Papua New Guinea5%
- Everyone else28%
How the model worksSeason titles record: 100% of 3 calls right
Papua New Guinea
Oceania · OFC
#147Elo 1401· 2026-11-01#167FIFA· 2026-10-07
1Continental finals reached
Title chances
This side's chance in each title race we forecast, frozen and scored like every forecast here.
Full odds: OFC Nations Cup · every title race
Footprint
Tournament appearances
5
Trophies
0
Major trophies
0
Last appearance
2024
World Cup appearances
0
Continental appearances
5
Last final reached
2016
Last trophy
-
Comparable programs
MethodologyFive national programs whose honors profile and historical footprint sit closest to Papua New Guinea. Scored across World Cup pedigree, continental dominance (tier-adjusted), intercontinental wins, tournament span, and decade coverage. The labels describe the shared trait that drove the match.
Solomon Islands
Repeated continental champions
Honors 0.30 · distance 0.20
United Arab Emirates
Repeated continental champions
Honors 0.50 · distance 0.20
Burkina Faso
Repeated continental champions
Honors 0.75 · distance 0.21
Mali
Repeated continental champions
Honors 0.75 · distance 0.26
Libya
Repeated continental champions
Honors 0.75 · distance 0.33
Tournament history
Most recent first. Every senior international tournament appearance on file: World Cups, continental cups, intercontinental tournaments, and selected others. The Name column shows what the team was called at the time of that appearance (Soviet Union, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, etc. on rows played under a predecessor identity).
2024OFC
AppearanceOFC Nations Cup 2024
Papua New Guinea
2016OFC
FinalOFC Nations Cup 2016
Papua New Guinea
2012OFC
AppearanceOFC Nations Cup 2012
Papua New Guinea
2002OFC
AppearanceOFC Nations Cup 2002
Papua New Guinea
1980OFC
AppearanceOFC Nations Cup 1980
Papua New Guinea
Tournament finals
Every senior-tournament final this team has played. Wins highlighted in gold; losses muted. Penalty shootouts shown as "PKs" alongside the regulation score.
