Season titles · resolves 14 Jul 2028
Who will win the 2028 UEFA European Championship?
2%Italy's chance
“mkt” is Polymarket’s price, a reference line, not advice.
How the model worksSeason titles record: 100% of 3 calls right
Italy
Europe · UEFA · European Union
#15Elo 1951· 2026-11-02#15FIFA· 2026-10-07
4World Cup titles· last 20062Continental titles· last 20213Other tournament wins6World Cup final runs4Continental finals reached
Title chances
This side's chance in each title race we forecast, frozen and scored like every forecast here.
Full odds: UEFA European Championship · every title race
RivalriesFrance-Italyvs Francetwo-way
Greatest games
Italy's top tournament matches by the site's Game Score (ELO).Methodology.
Footprint
Tournament appearances
47
Trophies
9
Major trophies
6
Last appearance
2024
World Cup appearances
18
Continental appearances
11
Last final reached
2022
Last trophy
2021
Comparable programs
MethodologyFive national programs whose honors profile and historical footprint sit closest to Italy. Scored across World Cup pedigree, continental dominance (tier-adjusted), intercontinental wins, tournament span, and decade coverage. The labels describe the shared trait that drove the match.
Germany
Multi-World-Cup-winning archetype
Honors 60.50 · distance 7.00
Spain
Closest cohort across honors profile and longevity
Honors 29.75 · distance 7.07
England
Repeat continental finalists
Honors 12.25 · distance 9.38
France
Reached the World Cup final without winning it
Honors 36.50 · distance 10.03
Czechia
Reached the World Cup final without winning it
Honors 10.00 · distance 10.06
Tournament history
Most recent first. Every senior international tournament appearance on file: World Cups, continental cups, intercontinental tournaments, and selected others. The Name column shows what the team was called at the time of that appearance (Soviet Union, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, etc. on rows played under a predecessor identity).
2024Euros
Round of 16UEFA European Championship 2024
Italy
2023Other
Semifinal2023 UEFA Nations League Finals
Italy
2022Inter
FinalFinalissima 2022
Italy
2021Euros
ChampionUEFA European Championship 2021
Italy
2021Other
Semifinal2021 UEFA Nations League Finals
Italy
2016Euros
QuarterfinalUEFA European Championship 2016
Italy
2014WC
AppearanceFIFA World Cup 2014
Italy
2013Inter
SemifinalFIFA Confederations Cup 2013
Italy
2012Euros
FinalUEFA European Championship 2012
Italy
2010WC
AppearanceFIFA World Cup 2010
Italy
2009Inter
AppearanceFIFA Confederations Cup 2009
Italy
2008Euros
QuarterfinalUEFA European Championship 2008
Italy
Tournament finals
Every senior-tournament final this team has played. Wins highlighted in gold; losses muted. Penalty shootouts shown as "PKs" alongside the regulation score.
