Brentford crest

Brentford

Value$680MHeartbreak#2987.3

London, London · England · Premier League

Power-ranking history

Rank (1 = best)1248Score (per-season normalised)0.00.51.024/25

Against expectation

Every English top-flight match this club has played, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 10 seasons from 1935-36 to 2025-26 it has fallen short of them by −2.0 match points.

1935-36 to 2025-26one bar per season · height in match points

Best season against expectation
2022-23 +9.0 league pts
59 points on 50.0 expected as Brentford
Worst season against expectation
2023-24 −12.4 league pts
39 points on 51.4 expected as Brentford

Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1981-82 and three after; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable. The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.

London against expectation →How this is measured →

Title chances

This side's chance in each title race we forecast, frozen and scored like every forecast here.

Season simulation · 3 Nov 2026

Who will win the Premier League?

<1%Brentford's chance

From 20,000 simulated seasons, updated daily. The frozen, scored forecast names the leading sides only.

Full odds tableTrack record

Full odds: Premier League · every title race

What the squad was worth

Total market value of the squad, EUR millions, by month; the player count beside it is the size of the priced squad.

How this is measured

Drawn as a step, not a curve: Transfermarkt reprices every squad in December and June (marked with a small tick on the axis) and revalues continuously between, so the line only moves when a real valuation changed, never by interpolation.

A month renders no value at all once the priced squad falls below 15 players, so a thin squad is never shown as a cheap one. The series is floored at July 2012 on purpose: earlier Transfermarkt totals reflect which players happened to be priced yet rather than the squad’s real worth, and are excluded rather than shown misleadingly low.

Upstream (dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets) has been paused since July 2026, so the series ends where the source ends rather than where the season does.

Player valuations from Transfermarkt via github.com/dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets (CC0).

What the squad was worth€477m
025951715-1618-1920-2122-2324-25

Peak
€479m in Mar 2026 · 28 players valued
Most recent
€477m in Jun 2026 · 26 players valued

London on the rankings →

Who controls the club

The entity that holds control today, one per franchise; co-controllers and minority holders are listed, never summed.

How this is measured

Exactly one control entity is recorded per franchise, so a portfolio can never count a club twice. Co-controllers and minority holders are shown as published and carry no weight in any total.

The chip names the evidence. Sourced: a primary source is linked (league, club, filing or tier-one outlet). Cross-checked: matched against the ownership-change sweep. Contested: disputed or mid-sale. Rows are reviewed weekly.

Stakes are as published, often only “majority”, and are not pro-rated. A record of control is not a claim about anyone’s intent or conduct.

Who controls the clubMatthew Benham
Matthew Benhamindividual· Majority (not disclosed)
Sourcedas of 1 Jul 2025

Minority holders: Gary Lubner, Sir Matthew Vaughn, Prakash Melwani, Sir Lucian Grainge

Shares transferred to Best Intentions Analytics Ltd in Feb 2025; minority investors added Jul 2025 at a valuation above GBP 400m.

Matthew Benham on the owners board →

The money ledger

Fees paid and received each season, and what the squad was worth once the trading is netted out.

How this is measured

Spent is the fees paid for players arriving, received the fees for players leaving, both in EUR millions by the July-to-June season of the move. A move with no fee on record (a free, a loan, an undisclosed sum) is counted, never priced: the small figure beside each total is the moves with a fee, plus those without (so 4+3 is four priced arrivals and three unpriced), and a quiet window is not mistaken for a cheap one. Wages are not here: they are estimates nobody licenses, and fees are documented.

Appreciation is the season’s change in squad value with the net spend taken out: buy 100m of players and finish 100m higher is zero; finish 120m higher and the club made 20m of players better, or the market repriced them. It needs a priced squad at both ends of the season (the same 15-player floor as the value chart), so it is blank rather than guessed for a season that lacks one.

The source has been paused since 6 July 2026, so the final row holds only the opening days of its window.

Transfer fees and player valuations from Transfermarkt via github.com/dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets (CC0).

The money ledger−€69m
Spent
€440m
49 arrivals with a fee
Received
€371m
24 departures with a fee
Net
−€69m
200 moves with no fee
Appreciation
+€401m
9 seasons with a priced squad

Grown or bought: in 2026-27, trading −€18m and appreciation —. Over the last 5 seasons (2022-23–2026-27), trading −€93m and appreciation unpriced.

The director’s ledger: 69 arrivals graded since 2022-23, 3 ungraded, 86% EV-positive. €333m deployed for a 1.2× multiplier.

2026-27 spent €18m received —to 6 July 2026
in: Jannik Schuster €18m
—
unpriced
2025-26 spent €109m received €159m
in: Dango Ouattara €43m
+€120m
squad gain
2024-25 spent €86m received €75m
in: Igor Thiago €33m
−€29m
squad gain
2023-24 spent €72m received €7m
in: Nathan Collins €27m
+€1m
squad gain
2022-23 spent €48m received —
in: Keane Lewis-Potter €19m
+€47m
squad gain
2021-22 spent €37m received —
in: Kristoffer Ajer €16m
+€87m
squad gain
2020-21 spent €7m received €57m
in: Ivan Toney €6m
+€121m
squad gain
2019-20 spent €32m received €31m
in: Bryan Mbeumo €7m
+€14m
squad gain

Money against football

Every priced club-season in the six leagues: points against expectation across, squad value gained beyond the net spend up. This club’s seasons are joined.

● the frontier: no other club-season beat it on both axes · ● this club, season by season, the largest dot the latest

Every club’s return on the transfer window →

Greatest games

Brentford's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play. H, A and N mark home, away and a neutral venue; a ★ is a curated all-time classic (tap it for the model's own score).All-time board.

1
1938-03-26 · First Division
64.2
game score
2
1936-04-10 · First Division
63.2
game score
3
1938-04-30 · First Division
61.7
game score
4
1938-02-19 · First Division
61.5
game score
5
1937-04-07 · First Division
60.7
game score
6
1937-03-03 · First Division
60.5
game score
7
1936-10-03 · First Division
59.6
game score
8
1939-04-15 · First Division
56.5
game score
9
1938-09-24 · First Division
56.0
game score
10
1946-03-09 · FA Cup · Quarterfinals
55.9
game score

Footprint

Tiers played
L1, L2, L3, L4
Top-flight (L1) seasons
11
Lower-tier league seasons
89
First season
1921
Most recent season
2026

The Heartbreak Index7.3 · #298

The Tortured · Never won it, waiting since 1921

7.3
Heartbreak
#298
of 1,138 clubs
#187
in Football
7.3
agony
The clocks
  • First major trophy since 192112.6
Heaviest wounds

relegated from the top flight, 1947 · lost the playoff final, 2020 · survived a relegation scare, 2024 · relegated from the second tier, 1993

One formula, every club the site covers. See the whole board →

YouTube

+239,381
views gained since 23 Oct 2026
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subscribers gained since 23 Oct 2026

Open the official channel on YouTube

Calculated by Citizen of Nowhere from YouTube channel statistics, as of 2 Nov 2026. Not part of the Fan Attention Index. Not ranked.

Data from YouTube API Services · YouTube Terms of Service · How we use YouTube data

Season-by-season

Most recent season first. Covers Levels 1 through 5 of the English pyramid. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.

2027
Premier League (1) · P6● live
9 P · 3-5-1 · 16:9 · +7
14
pts
2026
Premier League (1) · P9
38 P · 14-11-13 · 55:52 · +3
53
pts
2025
Premier League (1) · P10
38 P · 16-8-14 · 66:57 · +9
56
pts
2024
Premier League (1) · P16
38 P · 10-9-19 · 56:65 · -9
39
pts
2023
Premier League (1) · P9
38 P · 15-14-9 · 58:46 · +12
59
pts
2022
Premier League (1) · P13
38 P · 13-7-18 · 48:56 · -8
46
pts
2021
Championship (2) · P3↑
46 P · 24-15-7 · 79:42 · +37
87
pts
Lg Cup SF
2020
Championship (2) · P3PO
46 P · 24-9-13 · 80:38 · +42
81
pts
2019
Championship (2) · P13
45 P · 16-13-16 · 72:59 · +13
61
pts
2018
Championship (2) · P9
46 P · 18-15-13 · 62:52 · +10
69
pts
2017
Championship (2) · P10
46 P · 18-10-18 · 75:65 · +10
64
pts
2016
Championship (2) · P9
46 P · 19-8-19 · 72:67 · +5
65
pts