Pro Patria

Heartbreak#6163.1

Busto Arsizio, Milan · Italy · Serie A

Against expectation

Every Italian top-flight match this club has played in the Serie A, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 12 seasons from 1929-30 to 1955-56 it has fallen short of them by −15.3 match points.

1929-30 to 1955-56one bar per season · height in match points

Best season against expectation
1931-32 +3.6 league pts
31 points on 27.4 expected as Pro Patria
Worst season against expectation
1955-56 −8.7 league pts
15 points on 23.7 expected as Pro Patria

Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1994-95 and three from it; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable. The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.

Milan against expectation →How this is measured →

Greatest games

Pro Patria's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play. H, A and N mark home, away and a neutral venue; a ★ is a curated all-time classic (tap it for the model's own score).All-time board.

1
1953-05-31 · Serie A
70.0
game score
2
1933-06-25 · Serie A
62.0
game score
3
1949-05-29 · Serie A
61.1
game score
4
1953-05-03 · Serie A
58.9
game score
5
1953-04-05 · Serie A
58.2
game score
6
1949-04-17 · Serie A
58.0
game score
7
1952-04-13 · Serie A
56.6
game score
8
1933-04-16 · Serie A
56.5
game score
9
1932-04-24 · Serie A
55.9
game score
10
1949-04-30 · Serie A
55.5
game score

Footprint

Tiers played
L1
Top-flight (L1) seasons
14
First season
1928
Most recent season
1956

The Heartbreak Index3.1 · #616

The Blessed · Never won it, waiting since 1928

3.1
Heartbreak
#616
of 1,138 clubs
#382
in Football
3.1
agony
The clocks
  • First major trophy since 19286.3
Heaviest wounds

relegated from the top flight, 1953 · relegated from the top flight, 1956 · relegated from the top flight, 1933 · survived a relegation scare, 1949

One formula, every club the site covers. See the whole board →

Season-by-season

Most recent season first. Covers Serie A only. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.

1956
Serie A (1) · P18↓
34 P · 3-9-22 · 31:87 · -56
15
pts
1955
Serie A (1) · P18
34 P · 6-9-19 · 29:55 · -26
21
pts
1953
Serie A (1) · P18↓
34 P · 7-8-19 · 40:67 · -27
22
pts
1952
Serie A (1) · P9
38 P · 12-13-13 · 47:62 · -15
37
pts
1951
Serie A (1) · P10
38 P · 14-6-18 · 47:74 · -27
34
pts
1950
Serie A (1) · P11
38 P · 11-12-15 · 50:61 · -11
34
pts
1949
Serie A (1) · P17
38 P · 11-8-19 · 51:61 · -10
30
pts
1948
Serie A (1) · P8
40 P · 17-6-17 · 65:66 · -1
40
pts
1933
Serie A (1) · P18↓
34 P · 8-5-21 · 46:71 · -25
21
pts
1932
Serie A (1) · P10
34 P · 9-13-12 · 37:55 · -18
31
pts
1931
Serie A (1) · P15
34 P · 8-7-19 · 37:61 · -24
23
pts
1930
Serie A (1) · P12
34 P · 12-6-16 · 46:64 · -18
30
pts